A former NASA administrator says he is "encouraged" that the US Congress is considering legislation to prevent NASA from spending more than 50 percent of its launch funding on any single provider.
"America succeeds in space when American companies compete, innovate, and grow," former NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine wrote on LinkedIn. "I’m encouraged to see Congress taking meaningful steps to strengthen the industrial base that underpins both our civil and national security space missions."
Bridenstine commended the chairman of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), and ranking member Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) on a new provision that appears in the NASA Transition Authorization Act of 2025. Cruz plans to hold a markup hearing for the legislation on Wednesday.
Up early and by water with Commissioner Pett to Deptford, and there took the Jemmy yacht (that the King and the Lords virtuosos built the other day) down to Woolwich, where we discoursed of several matters both there and at the Ropeyard, and so to the yacht again, and went down four or five miles with extraordinary pleasure, it being a fine day, and a brave gale of wind, and had some oysters brought us aboard newly taken, which were excellent, and ate with great pleasure.
There also coming into the river two Dutchmen, we sent a couple of men on board and bought three Hollands cheeses, cost 4d. a piece, excellent cheeses, whereof I had two and Commissioner Pett one.
So back again to Woolwich, and going aboard the Hulke to see the manner of the iron bridles, which we are making of for to save cordage to put to the chain, I did fall from the shipside into the ship (Kent), and had like to have broke my left hand, but I only sprained some of my fingers, which, when I came ashore I sent to Mrs. Ackworth for some balsam, and put to my hand, and was pretty well within a little while after.
We dined at the White Hart with several officers with us, and after dinner went and saw the Royal James brought down to the stern of the Docke (the main business we came for), and then to the Ropeyard, and saw a trial between Riga hemp and a sort of Indian grass, which is pretty strong, but no comparison between it and the other for strength, and it is doubtful whether it will take tarre or no.
So to the yacht again, and carried us almost to London, so by our oars home to the office, and thence Mr. Pett and I to Mr. Grant’s coffee-house, whither he and Sir J. Cutler came to us and had much discourse, mixed discourse, and so broke up, and so home where I found my poor wife all alone at work, and the house foul, it being washing day, which troubled me, because that tomorrow I must be forced to have friends at dinner.
So to my office, and then home to supper and to bed.
Links for you. Science:
RFK Jr. food pyramid site links to Grok, which says you shouldn’t trust RFK Jr.
RFK Jr. made promises to get his job as health secretary. He’s broken many of them
NSF’s flagship fellowship program is rejecting applicants without peer review
RFK Jr. pledged more transparency. Here’s what the public doesn’t know anymore
Students, faculty mystified as NSF turns back applications for prestigious fellowship program
An mRNA Refusal to File
Other:
This Is How a Child Dies of Measles. When your family becomes a data point in an outbreak
The Woman Alex Pretti Was Killed Trying to Defend Is an EMT. Federal Agents Stopped Her From Giving First Aid.
HHS Secretary RFK Jr. admits he used to snort cocaine off toilet seats
School Picture Days Canceled, Investigations Launched After Rumors Link Popular Photo Company To Epstein
Case dismissed against LA protester accused of assaulting federal officer with cloth hat
Elementary students run from bus stop during ICE operation at NJ apartment
Why chasing twitter’s approval doesn’t work. The opinions you believe are universal are being fed to you by an algorithm designed to show you things you agree with
Palantir for Governor? Why is extremist MAGA billionaire Joe Lonsdale funding a California Democrat?
Building the camps
‘Even in Russia, they don’t treat children like this’: A family’s nightmare in ICE detention
“Not Ready for Prime Time.” A Federal Tool to Check Voter Citizenship Keeps Making Mistakes.
European Parliament Votes Overwhelmingly For “The Full Recognition Of Trans Women As Women”
Local police aid ICE by tapping school cameras amid Trump’s immigration crackdown
Rugged Great Plainswoman
‘UK has fallen’: Antisemitic conspiracies theories on Starmer’s wife, Jewish world control spread
What Minnesota Really Thinks Of The End Of Trump’s ICE Surge
Does Anybody Show Up For Work
Why Is Thom Tillis Lying About Trump and Tariffs?
The real reason Kristi Noem wants ICE body cams
Minimum Standards for Taking AI Seriously (I would add regulations about data acquisition and sharing)
Why Are Senate Democrats Still Voting to Confirm Trump’s Judicial Nominees?
The MAGA Bubble Is Imploding
Trump Will Never Stop Dragging the American Economy Down
ICE’s warehouse detention centers run up against NIMBYism
Orlando Rep. Maxwell Frost gets Epstein files assist from Reddit sleuths
ICE Proposal to Hold 8,500 Immigrants in Mississippi Mega Warehouse Draws Local Opposition
An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me – More Things Have Happened
‘Suicide is only one option’: Social Security staff newly assigned to phone duties raise concerns over training
Kristi Noem was unable to cite single election fraud case during secretive Arizona visit
The NFL Owners and Olympic Organizers in Epstein’s Inbox
And I’m not talking about professional Democrats, but people like you and me. By way of G. Elliot Morris:

Democrats are only +15 for D.C. statehood. We need to be better than that. And it’s not just about the two senate seats either, it’s also . To make this topical, you might have read last week how the Republican-controlled Kansas legislature overrode the Democratic governor’s veto of a bill that would invalidate trans people’s drivers licenses if they were not marked with their gender as noted at birth. This is awful, evil legislation. And there is nothing that the residents of the colonial territory known as the District of Columbia could do to stop congressional Republicans from inflicting the same law on D.C., were Republicans inclined to do so–to be clear, there is no indication they currently are. Maybe senate Democrats would filibuster this, but the history of senate Democrats in terms of protecting D.C.’s limited Home Rule is spotty*.
And to make it clear: it is bad enough when Kansans do this evil to themselves, but it is worse if something like this is inflicted on people who have no recourse.
I could speculate as to why too many Democrats do not support statehood. Some of it is a combination of racism and dislike of cities, but there are too many Democrats who do not support statehood for this to be the entire explanation. Some Democrats likely believe that everyone in D.C. is a ‘politician’ and so we do not deserve statehood. Regardless, rank-and-file Democrats need to up their game.
*House Democrats, to their credit, historically have been very good–not perfect, but better than senate Democrats. In fact, the first piece of legislation passed by the Democratic-controlled House in 2021 was a D.C. statehood bill.
Deepening fissures underscoring Donald Trump’s abrupt decision to go to war with Iran are evident even as the military story continues to unfold.
Indeed, we learned of the first U.S. casualties, amid more Gulf nations taking hits from Iranian drones and missiles. U.S.-Israeli bombs were hitting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard headquarters, targets in central Tehran and other cities without a full assessment of what has been destroyed or determination of who besides the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been killed. Temporary government fill-ins in Iran called Trump to say they should talk.
There is plenty of outright worry in Israel and throughout the region from Iranian missiles hitting hotels, fields, airports, three oil tankers, and other non-military targets at random. People in Europe and the U.S. remain on alert about the lone Iranian rebel cell that can seek revenge.
The fissures cross diplomatic, political, even moral lines, standing in for the debate that never happened before missiles were fired and jets launched.
They question the why, as separable from any issues of military efficiency and expertise, which all, friend and foe alike, praise as well an initial strike carried out by a military that clearly had spent time and practice to hone the attack plans. The sole military questions remaining involve degrading Iran’s ability to launch its own retributive missiles and when to halt the bombing.
The key arguments remain over a U.S. president seen eluding of legal, Constitutional restraints and the lack of any understandable, measurable goals. Are all of us subject to more Trump announcements of “obliteration” only to find ourselves once again “days away” from an Iranian threat?
The undercurrent of alarm says that Trump – pushed by Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu – wanted the attack all along and any negotiations with Iran were all but pretense. For his part, Trump continued to confuse, offering in the same day to “immunize” Iranian troops who turn on the country and to threaten them for having killed three U.S. troops in retaliation.
Team Trump’s over simplistic argument is that Iran has been and remains a bad international player, therefore it should be punished. That’s it. Any other reasons offered to start a war now keep changing, but they are subordinate to Iran is Bad.
The array of those in the U,S., the Gulf or around the world who do not line up daily to defend whatever comes out of Trump’s mouth push a lack of congressional authority, critique what constituted an immediate need for this war amid ongoing “negotiations” towards limiting nuclear weapons development, and the lack of any plan for what comes next.
In fact, as with Trump policies about elections, Epstein, Venezuela, the “Donroe Doctrine,” or immigration concerns, it is past grievances rather than immediately demonstrable problems that get his attention. Even Trump’s biggest Republican defenders used television appearances to scoff over any lack of “immediate threat” when we have four decades of ire with Iran to settle.
If Democrats push this week for a too-late vote on allowing this Trump war, it’s not going to be a simply Republican-Democratic split. Too many MAGA fans backed Trump to stay out of open-ended war to gauge the outcome, except that it will be legislators voting about “Iran is Bad” against those who want separation of powers, even from a Congress that might support war with Iran on a less-hurried basis.
That concern is only heightened by having a Department of Homeland Security that has dismissed many of its anti-terrorism officials who had been assigned to Trump investigations to build up Homeland’s deportation campaign — all at a time when Congress has shut down non-deportation money to put limits on ICE enforcement.
Trump always seems to need to strike back at someone who has caused him harm in the past.
Any television drama watcher knows we’re awaiting a Situation Report, a SitRep, to concisely update the status of this war project and to inform its key stakeholders what happens next. In this case, there won’t be one, other than a declaration of military might and a Trump-Netanyahu spotlight turn, because there is no plan for what happens next.
Personally, I’m awaiting Trump’s sure-to-come announcement that he needs to control Iran’s oil and minerals as well as its “obliterated” nuclear labs and missile factories.
What still is remarkable is that Donald Trump, who ignores populist demands about prices, immigration tactics, health policies and taxes at home, cites the empowerment of an extremely diverse Iranian public without access to arms to overturn the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iran’s entrenched institutions. What still is surprising is that Trump believes an air war can deliver a fully functional replacement government structure that magically will bow to his wishes.
Amid decapitation of Iran’s leadership, we don’t even know who’s in charge of military decisions, diplomatic efforts or even who is authorizing food imports. Iran’s top national security official, Ali Larijani, announced that an interim committee would run the country.
We do know that Trump, the iconoclast, has broken another country and once again has no idea what to do next. That should shake us.
“FREEDOM OF THE PRESS IS NOT JUST IMPORTANT TO DEMOCRACY, IT IS DEMOCRACY.” – Walter Cronkite. CLICK HERE to donate in support of our free and independent voice.
The post Deepening Fissures Over Iran appeared first on DCReport.org.

The sudden conflict with Iran has brought Persian Gulf air traffic to a halt. Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad have seen nearly 90 percent of their flights curtailed, leaving tens of thousands of people stranded.
This is no small matter. The airports of Doha, Dubai, and Abu Dhabi comprise a massive global crossroads — the biggest transit region on earth — hosting 182 million passengers annually.
Traveling from the U.S. to Thailand a couple of months ago, I shot this 30-second video of the departure board at Dubai. It was just after midnight, with the screen showing dozens of early-morning Emirates departures to just about anywhere you could imagine.
Each time that I pass through Dubai it knocks my socks off. DXB is the world’s biggest and busiest international hub, and the lineup of Emirates jets is astonishing, with 50 or more A380s, and dozens and dozens of 777s, lined up side-by-side. There are flights to six continents and across every ocean. Throughout the long history of commercial aviation, nothing like this has existed.
The growth of Emirates and the other Gulf carriers (together they are sometimes referred to as the “ME3” or “G3”) has been controversial. Lavish government subsidies, many argue, have permitted these airlines to take a huge and unfair advantage over others. Is this true? Sure. But it’s also true these airlines’ hubs are in the perfect geographic position to connect world’s biggest population centers; the governments of the U.A.E and Qatar realized this and ran with it.

They built their mega-carriers from scratch, and have done well, believing that the commerce generated by air travel is something to be nurtured rather than hindered. You can call it government subsidizing. You also can call it an investment in an industry your economy and society benefit from.
Here in the U.S., it feels like we’ve given up on that concept. Our airports are undersized and dirty, security screening has gone off the rails, and consider the misery we put international connecting passengers through. You ask if the complaint of government subsidies is valid. Yes, but it’s less a complaint against their governments than a complaint against ours. Once upon a time, America was commercial aviation’s global leader. That was then.
Of course, that geographic lucky card that has served the Gulf carriers so well has always been fraught with risk. This perfect connecting point is also a global tinderbox, and we’re seeing the worst of that right now.
How long the disruption might last is anyone’s guess. The ME3 have plenty of resources to weather the storm, but it’ll be interesting to see airlines from other parts of the world might benefit. Someone has to pick up all the traffic that was flowing through the Gulf.
That so many flights to so many places, carrying so many people, exist in the first place is impressive enough. Equally remarkable is how quickly this movement can be brought to a halt.
Photos and video by the author.
The post Crossroads, Interrupted appeared first on AskThePilot.com.
2. Just say no to the monopsony model.
3. Your dose of John Cochrane.
4. More on the recent climate change estimate. It seems the paper should not have been published?
5. “During their lives, centenarians rarely get sick.“
The post Monday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
We’re used to Americans, at least as judged by polls, going into wars generally supportive and then trailing off quickly as the complications and fatalities mount. Some of that is a rally-’round-the-flag effect. In some cases there’s been a precipitating event which the public wants vengeance for. Here we are seeing none of that. The public was very skeptical going in. And the attack itself seems to have done nothing to change that. A new CNN poll has the familiar 59% of Americans disapprove of the attacks and expect things to get worse. What is most interesting to me, however, is not so much public opposition but the disconnect between elite and popular opinion.
What strikes me in these poll numbers and my general read of the moment is not so much the opposition to the conflict, though that’s certainly there, as how irrelevant most Americans see this conflict to anything that is happening in the country. You’ve got economic concerns over affordability, health care, the long half life of the shock of the pandemic. You have the domestic political situation, which many Democrats see as an existential battle over the future of democracy and the country itself. MAGA may be thinking about crime, the culture war, mass deportation and more. But neither of these worldviews hold much place for a regime change war against Iran, especially one that seems to be escalating rapidly.
Meanwhile, elite opinion is very different. Most of what I have read is at least skeptical of Trump’s war for obvious reasons. But it is mostly still grounded in decades-long conversations about the wisdom, utility and possible success of overthrowing the Iranian regime by military force. We hear all the arguments both on possible new dawns in the Middle East following the extraction of the terroristic clerical regime as well as on the likely blowback and regional chaos. The specifics of these debates seem less important than the fact that the debate over all has probably been discussed in the U.S. commentariat more than any other single issue in foreign policy for decades.
The killing of Ali Khamenei at a moment when his regime was already deeply enfeebled really may be a game changing moment for Iran. Perhaps, even some critics say, Trump made a big gamble and won. Maybe a relatively stable and intact new Iranian regime can emerge and Trump will get credit from the public?
But again, what you see most clearly is how disconnected this entire elite discussion is from public opinion. Trump might get lucky and hasten the fall of the Iranian government by killing Khamenei. But I don’t get the sense much of the public cares. A clear majority opposes the whole thing. But it doesn’t seem like ingrained anti-war sentiment, the kind of thing that will bring people into the streets, at least not now. It reads more like a grand “what the F is this about.” It’s not simply a war of choice against an already deeply enfeeble regime. It starts unpopular and seems all but certain to get more so. Not mostly because Americans are against wars (some of the time) but because nothing about this war we started seems tied to the issues that are currently animating the public mind.
Do you remember the 1979 energy crisis? I hope not — or at least I hope many of you don’t. Because I’d like to believe that my readers aren’t all old codgers like me.
I, however, remember the gas lines and the panic they instilled. I remember the Iranian hostage crisis and the sense that we were all at risk from political instability on the other side of the world. I remember how soaring energy prices were followed by soaring inflation across the board.
Now Donald Trump has taken us to war with the nation that was at the epicenter of that crisis. Obligatory disclaimer: The Iranian regime is evil, and it would be a good thing if this war leads to its demise. But my topic today is the side consequences of the US attack.
Almost everyone assumes that the economic fallout from Operation Masculine Insecurity Epic Fury will be much less severe than the fallout from the rise of the mullahs nearly fifty years ago. And they’re probably — probably — right.
But it’s worth asking why the world economy looks less vulnerable to instability in Iran now than it did in 1979. The main explanation isn’t what you may think. And it’s also worth asking what new vulnerabilities have emerged over the last 47 years.
The following table shows some indicators that help explain how the world economy’s vulnerability to Middle East turmoil has changed since the eve of the Iranian Revolution:
Source: Our World in Data, FRED
As the first line of the table shows, Iran, while a significant oil producer, accounts for only a modest share of total world oil production. On that basis alone one would not expect a shutdown of Iranian exports, which is presumably happening as you read this, to cause a huge spike in world oil prices.
However, in 1978 Iran didn’t account for a large share of world oil production either. So why did world oil prices rise 165 percent after the Iranian Revolution? Fears of disruption in other Middle Eastern nations led to speculative hoarding, followed by Saudi production cuts that kept prices high. The lesson for today is that when assessing the impact of events in Iran on world oil markets, we need to consider the impact on exports from Iran’s neighbors.
And that’s somewhat worrying. In 1979 radical forces in Iran, whatever they did to oil production and exports from their own nation, couldn’t disrupt exports from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and so on. Today the Iranian regime possesses large numbers of missiles and drones, which it has already used to strike Dubai, Bahrain, and other states in the region. Shipments of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, which is how most Middle Eastern oil reaches world markets, appear to have come to a more or less complete halt.
And the world still relies heavily on Middle Eastern oil. As the second line in the table shows, the Middle Eastern share of world production is only slightly lower now than it was in 1978. This share has remained high despite the fracking-based rise in U.S. production, shown in the third line of the table, which has made America self-sufficient in oil but hasn’t changed the fact that Middle Eastern oil remains crucial for the world economy as a whole.
As of this morning, oil prices were about $10 a barrel higher than they were in mid-February. That will add approximately 25 cents to the price of a gallon of gasoline. So far markets are in effect betting on a short, not-too-disruptive war, although that could change.
Yet the economic effect of an oil price shock should be less than it was in the 1970s, for two reasons.
First, major economies are much less dependent on oil than they were in the 1970s. The “oil intensity of GDP” is the ratio of oil consumption (measured in terawatt-hours of energy) to real GDP, measured in 2017 dollars. This indicator has declined more than 70 percent since the 1970s, which basically tells us that today’s economy uses much less oil to produce a given amount of output than the economy of the 1970s. One way to see this is to compare growth in US real GDP to the change in US oil consumption since 1978:
Source: Our World in Data, FRED
The U.S. economy has tripled in size, but oil consumption now is about the same as it was in the late 1970s.
How did we manage that? Among other things, the gas mileage of the average car has roughly doubled. Also, cheap natural gas has replaced oil in many uses, for example in home heating, and renewable energy is also starting to make a dent.
The reduced oil intensity of U.S. GDP means that even if the current war causes a large, sustained increase in oil prices, there will be less economic damage inflicted as a comparable increase would have done a few decades ago.
The next line of the table shows another reason to be less worried about an oil shock than in the past: Reduced risk of stagflation. The 1979 oil shock hit an economy that was already suffering from persistently high inflation. Furthermore, it was an economy in which, to use Federal Reserve jargon, expectations of future inflation had become “unanchored”: Companies reacted to sudden price increases by raising their own prices in the belief that there would be more to come, workers demanded wage hikes to offset the rising cost of living, and so on. As a result, the 1979 oil price shock set off a wage-price spiral.
Today, inflation — while still running above the Fed’s target of 2 percent — is much lower. Moreover, surveys show that most people expect inflation to return to normal levels in the future. So any effect of the new war on inflation will probably be transitory.
So far, so reassuring. Yet there are, as I see it, at least two reasons — in addition to the threat to shipping — to be moreworried about a war in the Middle East than we would have been decades ago.
First is financial fragility. In 1979 the U.S. financial system was still highly regulated, so that there was little room for serious bank runs and other disruptions. Today many observers have been warning about potential risks to financial stability, most urgently from private credit. Could the Iran war trigger a broader financial crisis? I don’t know, but it doesn’t seem alarmist to be worried.
Also, might the war burst a market bubble? The next to last line in the table shows the price-earnings ratio for the S&P 500, which was low in 1978 but is very high now. Will those high valuations be sustainable if the fallout from the war causes significant economic damage?
Finally, one point I haven’t seen many observers emphasize is that the modern Middle East now plays an important role in the world economy that goes beyond its status as a major source of oil. Dubai in particular is an important node in the global financial system, as well as playing host to many extremely rich people who thought they had found a safe haven. One indicator of that changing status is the transformation of Dubai International Airport into one of the world’s most important travel hubs.
To the extent that the war disrupts this new role for the region, that will be another risk to the world economy.
I don’t want to engage in doomsaying. But I do worry that people are too complacent about the economic risks this war creates.
MUSICAL CODA
Agentic Engineering Patterns >
I like to include animated GIF demos in my online writing, often recorded using LICEcap. There's an example in the Interactive explanations chapter.
These GIFs can be pretty big. I've tried a few tools for optimizing GIF file size and my favorite is Gifsicle by Eddie Kohler. It compresses GIFs by identifying regions of frames that have not changed and storing only the differences, and can optionally reduce the GIF color palette or apply visible lossy compression for greater size reductions.
Gifsicle is written in C and the default interface is a command line tool. I wanted a web interface so I could access it in my browser and visually preview and compare the different settings.
I prompted Claude Code for web (from my iPhone using the Claude iPhone app) against my simonw/tools repo with the following:
Here's what it built, plus an animated GIF demo that I optimized using the tool:

Let's address that prompt piece by piece.
gif-optimizer.html
The first line simply tells it the name of the file I want to create. Just a filename is enough here - I know that when Claude runs "ls" on the repo it will understand that every file is a different tool.
My simonw/tools repo currently lacks a CLAUDE.md or AGENTS.md file. I've found that agents pick up enough of the gist of the repo just from scanning the existing file tree and looking at relevant code in existing files.
Compile gifsicle to WASM, then build a web page that lets you open or drag-drop an animated GIF onto it and it then shows you that GIF compressed using gifsicle with a number of different settings, each preview with the size and a download button
I'm making a bunch of assumptions here about Claude's existing knowledge, all of which paid off.
Gifsicle is nearly 30 years old now and is a widely used piece of software - I was confident that referring to it by name would be enough for Claude to find the code.
"Compile gifsicle to WASM" is doing a lot of work here.
WASM is short for WebAssembly, the technology that lets browsers run compiled code safely in a sandbox.
Compiling a project like Gifsicle to WASM is not a trivial operation, involving a complex toolchain usually involving the Emscripten project. It often requires a lot of trial and error to get everything working.
Coding agents are fantastic at trial and error! They can often brute force their way to a solution where I would have given up after the fifth inscrutable compiler error.
I've seen Claude Code figure out WASM builds many times before, so I was quite confident this would work.
"then build a web page that lets you open or drag-drop an animated GIF onto it" describes a pattern I've used in a lot of my other tools.
HTML file uploads work fine for selecting files, but a nicer UI, especially on desktop, is to allow users to drag and drop files into a prominent drop zone on a page.
Setting this up involves a bit of JavaScript to process the events and some CSS for the drop zone. It's not complicated but it's enough extra work that I might not normally add it myself. With a prompt it's almost free.
Here's the resulting UI - which was influenced by Claude taking a peek at my existing image-resize-quality tool:

I didn't ask for the GIF URL input and I'm not keen on it, because it only works against URLs to GIFs that are served with open CORS headers. I'll probably remove that in a future update.
"then shows you that GIF compressed using gifsicle with a number of different settings, each preview with the size and a download button" describes the key feature of the application.
I didn't bother defining the collection of settings I wanted - in my experience Claude has good enough taste at picking those for me, and we can always change them if its first guesses don't work.
Showing the size is important since this is all about optimizing for size.
I know from past experience that asking for a "download button" gets a button with the right HTML and JavaScript mechanisms set up such that clicking it provides a file save dialog, which is a nice convenience over needing to right-click-save-as.
Also include controls for the gifsicle options for manual use - each preview has a “tweak these settings” link which sets those manual settings to the ones used for that preview so the user can customize them further
This is a pretty clumsy prompt - I was typing it in my phone after all - but it expressed my intention well enough for Claude to build what I wanted.
Here's what that looks like in the resulting tool, this screenshot showing the mobile version. Each image has a "Tweak these settings" button which, when clicked, updates this set of manual settings and sliders:

Run “uvx rodney --help” and use that tool to tray your work - use this GIF for testing https://static.simonwillison.net/static/2026/animated-word-cloud-demo.gif
Coding agents work so much better if you make sure they have the ability to test their code while they are working.
There are many different ways to test a web interface - Playwright and Selenium and agent-browser are three solid options.
Rodney is a browser automation tool I built myself, which is quick to install and has --help output that's designed to teach an agent everything it needs to know to use the tool.
This worked great - in the session transcript you can see Claude using Rodney and fixing some minor bugs that it spotted, for example:
The CSS
display: noneis winning over the inline style reset. I need to setdisplay: 'block'explicitly.
When I'm working with Claude Code I usually keep an eye on what it's doing so I can redirect it while it's still in flight. I also often come up with new ideas while it's working which I then inject into the queue.
Include the build script and diff against original gifsicle code in the commit in an appropriate subdirectory
The build script should clone the gifsicle repo to /tmp and switch to a known commit before applying the diff - so no copy of gifsicle in the commit but all the scripts needed to build the wqsm
I added this when I noticed it was putting a lot of effort into figuring out how to get Gifsicle working with WebAssembly, including patching the original source code. Here's the patch and the build script it added to the repo.
I knew there was a pattern in that repo already for where supporting files lived but I couldn't remember what that pattern was. Saying "in an appropriate subdirectory" was enough for Claude to figure out where to put it - it found and used the existing lib/ directory.
You should include the wasm bundle
This probably wasn't necessary, but I wanted to make absolutely sure that the compiled WASM file (which turned out to be 233KB) was committed to the repo. I serve simonw/tools via GitHub Pages at tools.simonwillison.net and I wanted it to work without needing to be built locally.
Make sure the HTML page credits gifsicle and links to the repo
This is just polite! I often build WebAssembly wrappers around other people's open source projects and I like to make sure they get credit in the resulting page.
Claude added this to the footer of the tool:
Built with gifsicle by Eddie Kohler, compiled to WebAssembly. gifsicle is released under the GNU General Public License, version 2.
Tags: claude, ai, claude-code, llms, prompt-engineering, webassembly, coding-agents, tools, generative-ai, gif, agentic-engineering
I just sent the February edition of my sponsors-only monthly newsletter. If you are a sponsor (or if you start a sponsorship now) you can access it here. In this month's newsletter:
Here's a copy of the January newsletter as a preview of what you'll get. Pay $10/month to stay a month ahead of the free copy!
I use Claude as a proofreader for spelling and grammar via this prompt which also asks it to "Spot any logical errors or factual mistakes". I'm delighted to report that Claude Opus 4.6 called me out on this one:

Tags: newsletter, kakapo, claude
This just came in from Kelly Hart, whose website, Green Home Building, is a cornucopia on sustainable and planet-friendly building.
(I didn’t even know there were feminist rural collectives in the 1970s.)
This is a kick-ass barn!
“After driving for more than three hours north on the CA-128 from San Francisco, a winding highway through old-growth redwood groves and densely foggy mountain ranges, the scenery opens to the striking blueness of the Pacific Ocean, picturesque cliffs, and sculptural rock formations. Heading toward Albion Ridge, the “Turtle Time Farm” sign…appears beside the uphill dirt road, amongst small sprawling eucalyptus trees. Turning left, the road leads to the huge cedar barn and ends in an open garden area surrounded by redwood trees, where the turtle-time stillness seems to dissolve past and future. A cat under the blooming trellis arch was the first one to greet me.
“The massive octagonal barn is much larger and sturdier than I had imagined. I first learned about the farm when I stumbled upon a photograph of women building the barn in a 1978 Mother Jones article a friend shared with me during a conversation about my interest in the architecture of feminist rural collectives from the 1970s.…

“The built environment of Turtle Time Farm, originally named T’ai Farm, embodies the political and ecological values of 1970 feminist intentional communities in Northern California. In this context, the octagonal barn is not only a material structure, but a materialization of the values these women sought to enact in their relationship to the land. The barn exemplifies how feminist collectives used construction as a form of political world-making—challenging dominant architectural norms through ecological design, collective labor, and non-hierarchical spatial forms.
“T’ai Farm is particularly significant because it emerged prior to the more generalized lesbian separatist movement in the United States. The collective did not adhere to a rigid understanding of gender and did not exclude trans women. While many were lesbians, the collective also welcomed women who identified as bisexual and straight.…
“The idea for the barn’s non-hierarchical shape—which resisted centralized authority both symbolically and in use—came while driving on the highway through Santa Rosa, where they saw an old round barn in Fountaingrove. “Well, that would be such a great way to have a farm!” they said, drawn to the round form’s openness and lack of corners, which contrasted with the directional, enclosed structure of a typical rectangular barn.
They researched Shaker barns and other early utopian spiritual communities and decided they wanted something similar. They reached out to a Bay Area lesbian carpentry collective called the Seven Sisters Construction, who connected them with a Berkeley-based architect named Jean Doke. Doke suggested it would be easier to build the barn as an octagon rather than a circle, and helped them position it for optimal sun exposure.
“The most dramatic moment in the process came on the day they poured the concrete foundation: over the course of five fast-paced hours, three large concrete trucks arrived in succession and at least eight or nine women were needed to manage the pour before the concrete set. Over the course of the project, a total of sixteen women worked on the barn, rotating the role of supervisor among them. They described the build as ‘an endurance marathon,’ lasting seven months and spanning multiple seasons of extreme weather. In the end, they would sometimes look at the beams in place and wonder how they got there, despite having done all the work themselves.”
From my new Free Press column, I see these as the most important facts:
Congress has not passed explicit regulation of AI foundation models, and an executive order from President Trump limited regulation at the state level. But do not think that laissez-faire reigns. In addition to existing (largely pre-AI) laws, which lay out general principles of liability, and laws from a few states, the United States is engaged in a kind of “off the books” soft regulation.
The major AI companies keep the national security establishment apprised of the progress they are making, as has been the case with Anthropic. There is a general sense within the AI industry that if the national security authorities saw anything in the new products that was very concerning or that might undermine the national interest, they would inform the president and Congress. That would likely lead to more formal and more restrictive kinds of regulation, so the major AI companies want to show relatively safe demos and products. An informal back and forth enforces implied safety standards, without the involvement of formal legislation.
That may sound like an unusual way to do regulation, but to date the system has worked relatively well. For one thing, I believe our national security establishment has a better and more sophisticated understanding of the issues than does Congress. Congress right now simply isn’t up to the job, as indeed the institution has been failing more generally. Most representatives seem to know little about the core issues behind AI regulation.
As it stands, AI progress has been allowed to proceed, and the United States has stayed ahead of China, without major catastrophes. The burden on the companies has been manageable, and the system, at least until last week, was flexible.
Another advantage of this system is that both Congress and the administrative state can be very slow to act. The AI landscape can change in just weeks, yet our federal government is used to taking years to issue laws and directives. Had we passed AI legislation in, say, 2024, today it would be badly out of date, no matter what your point of view on what such regulation should accomplish. For instance, in 2024 few outsiders were much concerned with the properties of, or risks from, autonomous AI “agents.” Today that is the number-one topic of concern.
Though it is not driven by legislation, the status quo AI regulatory system is not anti-democratic, as it operates well within the rules passed by Congress and the administrative state. It is more correct to say the current AI guardrails rely on the threat of regulation, rather than regulation itself, with the national security state as the watchdog. The system sticks to a kind of creative ambiguity. The national security state offers no official imprimatur for the new advances, but they proceed nonetheless. Nevertheless, the various components of the national security state reserve the right to object in the future.
It is also correct, however, to believe that such a system cannot last forever. At some point creative ambiguity collapses. Someone or some institution demands a more formal answer as to what is allowed or what is not allowed. At that point a more directly legalistic system of adjudication enters the picture, and Congress likely starts paying more attention.
With the recent dispute between Hegseth and Anthropic, we have taken a step away from the previous regulatory mode of quiet cooperation. Instead, the relationship between the military and the AI companies has become a matter of public concern. Now everyone has an opinion on Hegseth, Anthropic, and OpenAI, and social media is full of debate.
No matter “whose side you take,” it would have been better to have resolved all this behind closed doors.
The post What the recent dust-up means for AI regulation appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Every election season brings a familiar sight of bright placards dotting the neighborhood landscapes. These signs represent the voices of residents who want to share their support for specific candidates. It is a tradition that allows for a vibrant display of civic engagement.
Unfortunately, this period also marks a rise in frustration as many of these displays start to vanish overnight. Finding a bare lawn where a message once stood feels like a personal attack. This interference is a common and very aggravating hurdle for many local people.
Theft of political yard signs is a criminal act that carries significant legal weight and penalties. Authorities take these reports seriously because they involve the removal of private property. Respecting these boundaries is essential for a healthy and truly functional local democracy.
Stealing a campaign sign is much more than a simple act of petty theft or a neighborhood prank. It represents a direct attempt to suppress the protected political speech of a fellow citizen. This interference strikes at the very heart of the freedom of expression.
When someone removes a sign, they are essentially trying to silence a specific viewpoint they find disagreeable. This behavior creates a hostile environment that discourages others from participating in the public square. It undermines the open exchange of ideas that is necessary for a community.
Legal systems recognize that these physical markers are vital tools for political communication and awareness during an election. Protecting these displays ensures that every voice has a fair chance to be heard by the public. Sabotage is never an acceptable response to a different opinion.
Confusion often arises regarding the exact rules of where a sign is legally allowed to stand. Most residents assume that any spot near the street is fair game for their displays. However, public right of way laws vary significantly between different cities and counties.
Code enforcement officers have the legal authority to remove signs that block traffic visibility or violate local ordinances. This type of official removal is not considered theft, even if it happens without a warning. Understanding these local regulations prevents unnecessary conflict and loss of materials.
Property owners should ensure their signs are placed well within their own boundaries to avoid any legal ambiguity. When a sign is on private land, its removal by an unauthorized person is a clear violation of the law. Clarity in placement protects the owner.
The rise of doorbell cameras and affordable home security systems has changed how these crimes are prosecuted. Neighbors are now much more likely to capture high quality video of individuals removing signs under the cover of night. These recordings provide the evidence needed for charges.
Police departments use this footage to identify repeat offenders and bring them to justice in a local court. Having a digital witness makes it much harder for saboteurs to claim they were just joking around. The threat of being caught on camera is a powerful deterrent.
Publicly sharing these videos also helps to hold individuals accountable for their actions within the local community. It sends a clear message that the neighborhood will not tolerate the suppression of anyone’s political views. Technology is helping to preserve the integrity of the yard.
Taking a proactive approach to security can help prevent a sign from becoming a target for theft. Many residents choose to move their displays further back from the sidewalk to make them harder to reach. This simple change can discourage casual vandals who want a quick exit.
Some high stakes campaigns even use small GPS trackers to locate and recover stolen property in real time. Others use defensive placement techniques like coating the edges with sticky substances to deter anyone from grabbing them. These methods make the act of theft much more difficult.
Working with neighbors to keep an eye on each other’s property is another effective way to stay safe. A vigilant community is the best defense against those who wish to disrupt the democratic process. Sharing information quickly helps everyone keep their signs standing until the very end.
Respecting the physical presence of opposing views is a fundamental component of the democratic process in any country. It requires a level of maturity and restraint that allows for a peaceful coexistence of different ideas. We must protect the rights of others to speak.
While it is tempting to lash out at a message that feels wrong, the law is very clear about the consequences. Stealing property only serves to deepen the divide and foster a culture of resentment. True progress happens through debate and voting rather than through silent sabotage.
The quality of our local political climate depends on our collective ability to respect the rules of the game. Keeping the conversation civil and the signs standing is a shared responsibility for every resident. Excellence in democracy is found in our respect for the process.
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Did you know that just hours before Donald Trump launched his illegal Middle East war that Iranian negotiators offered him a better deal on nuclear materials than Barack Obama’s administration negotiated in 2015?
The Iranians agreed to lower levels of enriching nuclear fuels, keeping them far below weapons grade, and other major concessions just so Trump could boast that he was a better negotiator than Obama.
From Trump’s point of view this could have been a major win, maybe even enough to make his name as the “peace president.”
From Tehran’s perspective it supported their claim that they would never build or use nuclear weapons because they are unholy.
What happened next provided Tehran with irrefutable proof that the American government is run by incompetents and liars who cannot be trusted.
After all, if you give the Trump administration what it says publicly it wants—verifiable guarantees that Iran will not build or have the capacity to build nuclear bombs—and the response is to kill your head of state what else would any rational, or even irrational, regime conclude?
The illegal war on Iran violates Trump’s endless promises on the campaign trail that if returned to the White House he would guarantee no more “endless wars” in the Middle East or anywhere else.
Trump, campaigning to get back to the White House in 2023 and 2024, declared again and again that he would never go to war with Iran. The reason, he emphasized, was that he had superior and effective negotiating skills unlike, he said, Obama, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.
Once again, the appallingly ignorant tyrant in the White House showed the “poor educated” MAGA who embrace him that they are fools, lacking the discernment to spot the devil in front of their faux Christian eyes.
The rest of us know that only Congress can declare war, making Trump’s attacks properly impeachable offenses. But only educated fools believe the Republican leadership on Capitol Hill will act to stop the madman from Queens.
Trump asserted that Biden, and later Harris, would bring us to “the brink of world War III.”
Indeed, in 2011 Trump declared that Obama would start a war with Iran because it was the only way he could win re-election in 2012.
News that Iran offered Trump more than it gave Obama 11 years ago comes from the man who mediated indirect nuclear talks in Geneva between Tehran and Washington: the foreign minister of Oman, Sayyid Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi.
Badr shuttled between the Iranian delegation in one room and another, occupied by Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and Trump emissary Steve Witkoff with messages aimed at avoiding military action by the U.S. and Israel.
When the nuclear talks broke off Friday in Switzerland, Oman’s Foreign Minister Badr flew directly to Washington. There Badr gave interviews, informal and on camera, to David Rohde, a two-time Pulitzer Prize winner and my former colleague at the New York Times and later Reuters. Rohde, who spent seven months as a Taliban captive, has shown time and again how deeply and solidly he knows the Middle East. He now covers national security issues for MS Now.
Kushner and Witkoff are amateurs, both from real estate families with no formal training in diplomacy and no education in the centuries of mind-numbingly complex political, religious, and economic issues in the region from Egypt east to India that was largely controlled by the British in the 1800s and has been called “the Middle East” since at least 1902 (and by some since the 1850s).
Their public statements and official remarks make clear that Kushner and Witkoff aren’t equal to the best high school debaters in understanding geopolitical conflicts. Their track records in Gaza, Ukraine, and now Iran show why experience and education matter in diplomatic talks.
On Ukraine, they push a version of the Kremlin line, advancing the Trumpian credo that might makes right.
On Gaza, they talk to Israel and oil-rich Arabs—except for Palestinians, who are also Arab.
On Iran, they received valuable Iranian concessions, but didn’t persuade America’s conmander-in-chief to take the win and brag about what he got. Had Trump taken their offer, which include included allowing American oil companies to operate in Iran, it would have helped strengthen his oft-repeated 2016 claim that he would be the “peace president.”
American taxpayers poured vast sums of money, especially since the end of World War II, into developing an extraordinarily sophisticated diplomatic corps that among other accomplishments got us past the Cold War without a nuclear exchange between Moscow and Washington. There’s plenty to criticize about our State Department, but the fact remains that diplomacy is always preferable, and cheaper, than war.
But from this seat-of-the-pants administration, run by amateurs and sycophants, many of them filled with hate, violence is embraced. Donald Trump has been public about how murderous desires since 1989 when he took out full page ads calling for the summary executions of five young men in a Central Park rape case. When evidence showed the five had been falsely accused—released after years in prison, the real perpetrator convicted— Trump doubled down on his call to murder the five.
Official violence is Trumpism in action, be it against American citizens shot to death or grabbed by ICE or an illegal Trump-directed war that on Saturday dropped a bomb on an Iranian school, killing more than 160 girls, teachers and staff.
We should remember that “ACTION IS CHARACTER,” as the great American novelist F. Scott Fitzgerald wrote in the manuscript for his final novel, The Last Tycoon.
Trump’s lifelong actions violating the law tell you exactly who he is.
Attacking civilians, as American servicemen did this weekend, is the Russian style of warfare, a style that dates at least to the era of the boyars, as Russian aristocrats were called in the old Czarist era. Under the modern Czar, Vladimir Putin, Russia has repeatedly launched missiles against Ukrainian hospitals, schools, and other civilian facilitates that no civilized nation, no democratic nation, should or would tolerate from its leaders.
But America, for more than a year, has been not a democracy but a de facto dictatorship run by a convicted career felon who falsely claims that our Constitution empowers him to “do anything I want.”
Indeed, the question on the line now is whether America is indeed a civilized society anymore or just a land of cowards who will tolerate any injustice, any cruelty, and indulge the murderous rage flows from the addled brain of Donald Trump.
Who are we, America?
1. A Diplomatic Off-Ramp Was Rejected Oman’s foreign minister, who mediated the Geneva talks, confirmed that Iran agreed to lower enrichment levels and other major concessions dcreport specifically to give Trump a better deal than Obama’s. Launching strikes after receiving those concessions raises fundamental questions about whether the administration was negotiating in good faith.
2. Campaign Promises Broken Trump repeatedly declared during his 2023–2024 campaign that he would never go to war with Iran, emphasizing his superior negotiating skills as the alternative to military conflict. The strikes directly contradict his “peace president” branding and his promise to end “endless wars.”
3. Amateur Diplomats in a High-Stakes Arena The U.S. side in Geneva was represented by Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff — both from real estate backgrounds with no formal diplomatic training — rather than career State Department professionals. The article argues this sidelined decades of taxpayer-funded institutional expertise.
4. Constitutional War Powers at Issue The military campaign was launched without a congressional declaration of war, raising serious constitutional questions. The article notes that only Congress can declare war, framing the strikes as potentially impeachable offenses, though Republican leadership is unlikely to act.
5. Civilian Casualties Raise Moral Questions U.S. strikes reportedly hit civilian infrastructure including a hospital and a school, with the article reporting over 160 killed at one school alone. The piece draws direct parallels to Russian tactics in Ukraine.
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The post Iran Gave Trump What He Wanted; Trump Attacked Anyway appeared first on DCReport.org.
Not everyone has the right to file—and the timeline is shorter than most families expect.
Losing someone to another person’s negligence is already devastating. Adding a legal process on top of that grief feels impossible, but wrongful death cases exist for a reason—to hold responsible parties accountable and provide some financial stability for the people left behind.
Birmingham is Alabama’s largest city, with a metro area of more than one million people and a history built around manufacturing, healthcare, and transportation. Roads here carry heavy daily traffic, and worksites across the region hold genuine risk.
When those accidents turn fatal, families in the area often reach out to a wrongful death lawyer in Birmingham to understand what options remain before the legal window closes.
Alabama handles this differently from most states. Under Alabama Code Section 6-5-410, only the personal representative of the deceased’s estate can bring a wrongful death claim—not family members filing on their own. That representative acts on behalf of the estate, and any damages recovered are distributed according to the will or state intestacy laws.
In other states, the rules vary. Some allow spouses, children, or parents to file independently. A few extend that right to anyone who can show financial dependency on the person who died.
The death has to be a result of someone else’s negligent, reckless, or intentional conduct. Car crashes, medical malpractice, defective products, workplace accidents—these are the most common scenarios. The National Safety Council reported 224,935 preventable injury deaths in the U.S. in 2021, and many involve negligence that could support a wrongful death claim.
It doesn’t start in a courtroom. Most cases open with an investigation—police reports, medical records, witness statements, and physical evidence. Once that foundation is in place:
In Alabama, the deadline is two years from the date of death. Two years sounds like a long time. It isn’t—especially when the first months are consumed by grief rather than legal research. Courts rarely make exceptions, and filing deadlines vary by state, so families must confirm which statute of limitations applies to their case.
Settlement is far more common than a full trial in wrongful death cases.
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The moment a customer clicks the final button to complete a purchase, a complex and invisible series of events begins within the retail network. Most people experience a brief surge of excitement followed by a sense of anticipation as they wait for their package to arrive at their door. This transition from a digital cart to a physical shipment is the backbone of the modern commerce experience today.
Behind the scenes, a dedicated team of professionals and automated systems work together to ensure that every request is handled with absolute precision and care. There is no room for error when dealing with regulated products that must meet strict legal and safety standards before they ever leave the warehouse. This coordinated effort is what allows a business to maintain a high level of trust with its community.
Understanding the specific steps of the fulfillment process helps to remove the mystery and the anxiety that can sometimes accompany a digital transaction. Every phase of the journey is designed to protect the privacy and the security of the consumer while ensuring a timely arrival. A successful and smooth delivery starts the moment you finalize your THCA online order.
Clear communication, real-time tracking updates, and discreet packaging all play a role in reinforcing that confidence from checkout to doorstep. When each link in the chain functions smoothly, customers are far more likely to return for future purchases and recommend the service to others.
The first stage of the fulfillment cycle involves a rigorous verification of the payment information and the identity of the purchaser. Advanced encryption systems work in real time to ensure that the transaction is secure and that all financial data is protected from unauthorized access. This initial check is a vital safeguard for both the customer and the boutique.
Fraud detection protocols are often running in the background to prevent the use of stolen cards or suspicious account activity within the system. If a transaction flags any concerns, it may undergo a manual review by a staff member to confirm its legitimacy before moving forward. This careful attention to detail protects the integrity of the market and the safety of the shoppers.
Age verification is a non negotiable part of this early phase, as retailers must confirm that the buyer meets all state and local legal requirements. Most platforms use automated databases to verify birth dates against official records to ensure total compliance with hemp regulations. Once these digital checks are complete, the order is officially released to the warehouse floor for the next step.
Once the order is approved, a digital pick ticket is generated and sent to the fulfillment center where the physical inventory is stored. Professional staff members use these lists to locate the exact strains and formats that were selected during the shopping session. This process requires a high level of organization to ensure that every item matches the customer’s request perfectly.
Inventory management systems track the movement of every gram in real time to prevent the accidental sale of items that are no longer in stock. When an item is picked from the shelf, its unique code is scanned into the system to update the counts and maintain accurate data. This technical precision is what allows for a reliable and consistent shopping experience for everyone involved.
Quality control is the final part of the picking phase, as staff members inspect the packaging for any signs of damage or leaks. They ensure that seals are intact and that the labels are clear and easy to read before placing the items into the shipping container. Taking these extra seconds to verify the condition of the goods prevents future returns and customer frustration.
Discretion is a primary priority for any retailer that ships regulated hemp products to residential addresses across the country today. Orders are typically placed in neutral and smell proof secondary packaging that does not reveal any information about the contents of the box. This commitment to privacy ensures that the delivery remains a personal matter for the homeowner.
Regulatory compliance requires that specific documentation be included in every package to prove the legality and the safety of the contents. This often includes a letter to law enforcement and a summary of the laboratory reports that verify the cannabinoid percentages. Having this paperwork readily available protects the consumer during the transportation phase and upon arrival.
Safety standards also dictate that all products must be stored in child resistant containers that meet current industry requirements for security. These sturdy jars and bags are designed to protect the integrity of the flower or concentrates from light and air while keeping them away from curious hands. Professional packaging is the hallmark of a responsible and respected modern brand.
The final stage of the warehouse journey occurs when the package is scanned into the carrier’s network and a unique tracking number is generated. This digital code is the key that allows the customer to monitor the progress of their shipment in real time as it moves toward their city. It provides a level of transparency that is essential for a high quality retail experience.
Automated email or SMS notifications are sent out immediately to inform the shopper that their order has officially left the facility. These alerts include the expected delivery window and links to the carrier’s website for easy access to the latest updates. Knowing exactly where the package is located on the map removes the mystery and the stress of the waiting period.
Reliable logistics partners are selected based on their ability to handle sensitive items with care and to hit their promised timelines consistently. The transition from the storefront to the mail carrier is a critical moment that requires a seamless handoff to ensure a successful conclusion. High standards in shipping are what define the most successful boutiques in the current market.
Recapping the path from the digital checkout to the final delivery shows that every second is accounted for by a professional and dedicated team. It is a structured journey that relies on a combination of advanced technology and meticulous human oversight to reach its goal. Consistency in these phases is what builds a loyal and satisfied customer base over time.
Confidence in the process comes from knowing that your privacy and your safety are being prioritized by the retailer at every turn. From the initial ID check to the neutral shipping box, every detail is designed to make the experience feel simple and secure. A well managed fulfillment system is the sign of a brand that truly values its community.
The final arrival of the package marks the end of a successful logistical cycle that began with a single click in the mountains. Maintaining high standards in every department ensures that the consumer receives exactly what they ordered in perfect condition every time. A clear and reliable path to the door is the foundation of a modern and professional hemp market.
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This morning, U.S. Central Command posted on social media that three service members have been killed in action in Operation Epic Fury and five more are seriously wounded. It continued: “Several others sustained minor shrapnel injuries and concussions—and are in the process of being returned to duty. Major combat operations continue and our response effort is ongoing.”
Democratic leaders reacted to the news with comments like this one by Senator Adam Schiff (D-CA): “My thoughts are with the families of these servicemembers, and their loved ones. And I continue to pray for the safety of every servicemember and the recovery of those wounded in these operations. May God protect our troops.” Trump’s ambassador to the United Nations, Mike Waltz—the same man who invited Atlantic editor Jeffrey Goldberg to the Signal chat about striking Yemen—suggested the soldiers’ sacrifice for the country was worthwhile, writing: “Freedom is never free.”
In a phone call with Peter Nicholas and Alexandra Marquez of NBC News, Trump said: “We expect casualties with something like this.” He added: “We have three, but we expect casualties, but in the end it’s going to be a great deal for the world.”
Later today, Trump told the American people: “As one nation we grieve for the true American patriots who have made the ultimate sacrifice for our nation. Even as we continue the righteous mission for which they gave their lives, we pray for the full recovery of the wounded and send our immense love and eternal gratitude to the families of the fallen. And sadly, there will likely be more before it ends. That’s the way it is. Likely be more. But we’ll do everything possible where that won’t be the case. But America will avenge their deaths and deliver the most punishing blow to the terrorists who have waged war against, basically, civilization. They have waged war against civilization itself.”
Trump was hosting a fund raiser at Mar-a-Lago on Friday, as the U.S. offensive began. The New York Times reported last November that tickets for the dinner dance were $1 million apiece. The optics of Trump partying with his rich cronies while American soldiers died is at least partly what is behind the fact that today, “#SendBarron” trended on social media.
Strikes continued today in the Middle East as Israel and the U.S. hit Iran and Iran retaliated against Israel and U.S. bases in the region. Iran-backed Hezbollah militants in Lebanon joined the fight by sending missiles into Israel. Israel responded with an attack on the suburbs of Beirut. Oil prices jumped sharply as traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at the outlet of the Persian Gulf, through which about 20% of the world’s oil passes, dropped almost to a halt.
After yesterday’s euphoria coming from the administration following the first strikes against Iran, today revealed that the administration had not given much thought to whether the strikes were legitimate or what would happen after them. Administration officials did not appear on the Sunday talk shows, relying instead on congressional surrogates. Brian Stelter and Kit Maher reported that journalists have been working around the White House press office, calling Trump directly, and he has been willing to talk.
Trump told NBC News reporters Nicholas and Marquez that he launched the strikes because “They weren’t willing to stop their nuclear research. They weren’t willing to say they will not have a nuclear weapon.” When asked if he would stop the strikes and negotiate, he said: “I don’t know,” but said he would consider it “if they can satisfy us,” adding that “they haven’t been able to.”
Natasha Bertrand, Zachary Cohen, and Jennifer Hansler of CNN reported this evening that briefers from the Pentagon today told congressional staff that Iran had not been planning to attack U.S. forces or bases in the Middle East unless Israel attacked first. Trump administration officials said on Saturday that Iran was planning to strike the U.S. preemptively and thus posed an imminent threat. The briefers said there was no intelligence to support that claim.
Trump seems unclear about the end game of the conflict he has started.
When NBC News reporters Nicholas and Marquez asked him what he hoped to accomplish through the military operation, he said: “There are many outcomes that are good. Number one is decapitating them, getting rid of their whole group of killers and thugs. And there are many, many outcomes. We could do the short version or the longer version.”
He told Michael Scherer of The Atlantic that Iran’s new leadership wants to talk with him and that he will do so, suggesting that he was not, in fact, interested in regime change. “They should have done it sooner, Michael. They could have made a deal. They should’ve done it sooner. They played too cute,” Trump said. But then Trump told Scherer he had confidence that the Iranian people would launch an uprising against the Iranian government.
Kristen Welker of Meet the Press this morning quoted Trump’s statement of yesterday saying “Hopefully, [Iranian troops] and Police will peacefully merge with the Iranian Patriots, and work together as a unit to bring back the Country to the Greatness it deserves.”
Then Welker asked her guest, Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC), “Is ‘hope’ the plan for the future of Iran?” Graham said: “No, the future of Iran is going to be determined by the Iranian people. The new Iran, whatever it is…our goal is to make sure it cannot become again the largest state sponsor of terrorism.” Welker responded: “But is there a plan to make sure that happens…does the president have a plan to guarantee that that happens?” Graham responded with some heat: “No. It’s not his job or my job to do this.”
Apparently, U.S. officials simply hoped the Iranian people would seize the government if their leaders were killed in airstrikes. But there was a line of succession, and the country’s police state remains in place. Erin Banco of Reuters reported yesterday that before the attacks, analysts for the Central Intelligence Agency assessed that if Iran’s 86-year-old Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei were killed, younger hard-line men could replace him.
Trump told Zolan Kanno-Youngs, David E. Sanger, and Tyler Pager of the New York Times that he intends to keep bombing Iran for “four to five weeks” if necessary. He spoke repeatedly of an outcome like that of Venezuela, in which the U.S. removed the top leader but left the rest of the government intact. Trump told the reporters he hoped Iran’s military forces would turn over their weapons to the Iranian people. “They would really surrender to the people, if you think about it,” he said.
The New York Times reporters note that the security forces he says should surrender to the people were the ones that killed thousands of protesters in January. Trump refused to say that the administration would defend the Iranian people if they did rise up.
ABC News chief Washington correspondent Jonathan Karl spoke to Trump tonight and posted: “Pres Trump told me tonight the US had identified possible candidates to take over Iran, but they were killed in the initial attack. ‘The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates,’ Trump told me. ‘It’s not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead.’”
In the midst of today’s military operation and all his calls with reporters, Trump took to social media to repost more than 40 social media posts with over-the-top praise for his State of the Union address. The posts appeared to be curated, suggesting that someone is feeding him praise.
National security scholar Tom Nichols posted on social media: “People predicting disaster: The odds are in your favor, but you cannot be sure, and you should not hope to be right. People celebrating: Maybe wanna wait a bit. The odds, historically, are definitely not on your side. Anyone certain they know what happens next is making it up.”
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Notes:
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/us/politics/trump-super-pac-fundraisers.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2026-03-01/
https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/03/trump-iran-attack-negotiations/686201/
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/01/iran-uprising-trump-khamenei-regime-change-00806179
https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/01/media/trump-iran-media-sunday-shows-white-house
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/01/us/politics/trump-iran-war-interview.html
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ZcohenCNN/status/2028271724991545502
saraecook/status/2027887506646065252
jonkarl/status/2028299468223676673
Bluesky:
schiff.senate.gov/post/3mfzbsnaz2s2d
meidastouch.com/post/3mfzb24wsic2v
atrupar.com/post/3mfzootkwyk2t
meidastouch.com/post/3mfz4hmk2ks2a
thetnholler.bsky.social/post/3mfzr2iug7s2b
dmsilverman.bsky.social/post/3mfxazkbzkc2u
phillipspobrien.bsky.social/post/3mfzj62rdjc2d
ronfilipkowski.bsky.social/post/3mfzf25kkz22g
onestpress.onestnetwork.com/post/3mfzmgbngkk2s
maxkennerly.bsky.social/post/3mfzefkggrc2e
gtconway.bsky.social/post/3mfyvvhxbys24
debbienorthway.bsky.social/post/3mfzxek4qy22m
It’s hard to tell what drives each human. This is why my usual last interview question is a very blunt, “What do you want to be when you grow up?” I ask everyone regardless of the amount of experience because I want to see how they improvise and, often, a hint at their motivation.
I usually have a working thesis by the time we arrive at this final question. Ah, this person is motivated by accomplishment, great. Oh, this is a money person — that’s fine, coin-operated humans are very predictable, I find. Uh oh, I have no idea what motivates this person… dig more.
The need to understand motivation is required because your job as a leader is build a successful team that is full of individuals who want stuff. Compensation, opportunities, or just a quiet place to build. Understanding what they want is the start of understanding how to motivate them. If you don’t understand drive, you have nowhere to start.
While you figure that out, let me alert you to three drives that are going to consume a disproportionate amount of your time, frustrate your engineers, and erode your leadership credibility.
These humans like to fix stuff. The drive starts with the observation that a part of the system, product, or process is broken. Some credible engineers fear finding this brokenness, and then some light up because they now have a time to shine — let’s fix it!
Except they are The Complicator.
Sigh.
Let’s start with the positives.
… except they never finish.

The Complicator challenge: they love the solving part, but not the fixing part. Their desire to tinker exceeds the need to fix. What if I do this? Oh interesting. Flip that switch. Well, that’s delightful. I will flip that switch again.
Complicators create immense piles of mostly interesting stuff. Complicators will describe this stuff to you endlessly in detail — it’s almost as fun to talk about it as it is to tinker. Complicators might sound like they are close to a fix, but what you are hearing is their enthusiasm about this next tinker. When pressed for a timeline for a solution, the Complicator will firehose you with seemingly endless stuff they’ve tried and the near infinite ideas they have to try next. You will leave this conversation confused, but they will leave the conversation fulfilled.
The Complicator needs:
When I see a Complicator spinning up the complexity, I find an operational human who can pair with them. Entropy Crushers are amazing at this and eat Complicators for breakfast.
These humans crave energy. They trade in it. It starts down the hallway or in the Slack channel, where they discover a secret. What’s the secret? I don’t know, it’s a secret. With this secret in hand, these humans take the secret to a very specific set of people. Humans who:
Sigh.
Let’s start with the positives:
You are a manager in this scenario, and part of the management role is that you both have access to more information and a responsibility to share that information appropriately with your team. You will screw this up. The most common scenario is you are given Information X. You stare at Information X and determine “Not that important, actually,” and because of this perceived low importance, you forget to share at your next staff meeting.
The core issue: your quick assessment was correct, given the information you have at your fingertips. The issue is that when paired with other readily available information not in your line of sight, it is clear your assessment is wrong — horribly wrong1.
Most of your team can intuitively sense information vacuums. It’s that slight eyebrow raise when the story… kind’a… doesn’t make sense. Some of them raise their eyebrow and move on, but not the Drama Aggregators. They sense the mystery, the intrigue. In fact, they already have a leading unsubstantiated theory why this information vacuum exists, AND BOY IT’S JUICY.
Sigh.
Drama Aggregators need:
Yes. My snark is high with the Drama Aggregators. I’m working hard as I write this to shine a light on the positives, but when I find myself stumbling into a Drama Aggregated situation, my first unspoken thought is, “Don’t we have better things to do with our time?” If this situation is a result of a failure on my part1, fine, I’ll take the hit, but when I discover the Drama, dig in, and find the swirl of noise, murky information, and emotion has no basis in fact, I’m furious frustrated. My average work day already has plenty of real firefighting, so why am I not putting out fake fires? At least the Complicator is doing something useful by trying to fix the problem.
I’ve hit that footnote1 four times now, so you know the practice. It’s not going to eliminate the Drama Aggregators’ need for energy, but a strategy of overcommunication will fill information gaps. The reduction in these vacuums reduces targets for Drama Aggregators. Also, when they invariably spin up a High Drama regardless of your hard work, you can point at your communication furiously and remind everyone, there is little drama here.
Lenny. Good engineering manager. We’ve been working together for over a year. We are built differently, so we stare at each other strangely now and then, but everyone is an adjustment. No issue here.
Year two of our working relationship, my staff meeting. I’ve identified a non-urgent, but long-term, important effort that one of my managers needs to drive. I clearly state the requirements and ask for volunteers.
Silence. Not surprised. We’ve all got enough work on our hands with Complicators making it complicated and Drama Aggregators viciously building unnecessary fires. I get it. However, if we don’t do my project, then we’re creating future avoidable pain for ourselves, so I say that — clearly — and ask for volunteers again.
Silence.
And then it hits me. Lenny has never signed up for anything. Lenny is working; he has a team full of engineers who are doing well, but when it comes to work outside of his clearly defined responsibilities, he doesn’t show up. So, after 30 seconds of silence, I give him the task. He squints, nods noncommittally, and a week later has stealthily reassigned the task to one of his peers.
Oh. The Avoider.
Let’s start with the positives. These humans:
Of our three archetypes, The Avoider is the least a character attribute and also the easiest for you to address. Yes, they like working in their well-defined box that is their team or their product. “Not my problem.” Yes, like you, they do not like being told what to do; they prefer to be asked, but in this situation, the Avoiders don’t know what you are talking about.
In a healthy team, your team assumes your competence. This means when you say, “We should do X,” there are those sitting around the able, who don’t give X much thought; they assume, “Well, he knows, so let’s go.” I’m not talking about sycophants, I’m talking about teams who trust their leaders.
The challenge is that you start to get comfortable with people agreeing with you, so you do less work to frame your thinking. Your thought, they’ll figure it out, right?And sometimes you’re right, but sometimes this comfort turns into laziness. Your request isn’t a request; it’s a half-thought motivated by recency bias, and The Avoider has seen this before. No, thanks.
There are Evil Variants2 of all of these archetypes, and a serial Avoider is one of them, but my working assumption for all of the non-evil variants is that they want to help. It’d be helpful if The Avoider requested clarification as opposed to avoiding, but he’s seen this trick before, and he’s not interested in wasting his or his team’s time in an effort he does not understand.
I had the robots run through the 900+ articles on this blog, asking the question, “How many labels for humans have I generated?” From 2002, there have been 90+ labels in 14 different categories3. To me, it started in 2003 with the Incrementalists and Completionists article. That work struck a nerve.
Each of these labels is distinct in my head. They all started as an observation of another human, but I wasn’t seeing the entire human — it was this one habit. Characteristic. Behavior. The reduction to a colorful label makes understanding the situation approachable. Yes, The Old Guard. I know these people.
While mentally digestible, labels have historically bugged me for two reasons. First, they reduce a human to a label. This is the point of the label: to provide a name to the behavior, but when leading humans, there are no labels. Humans are complex. Humans feature sets of hard-to-predict behaviors that, when combined with other humans, only become more unpredictable. My labels might help a bit to understand one behavior, but the real work begins by stepping back and seeing the entirety of the human.
Second, and I haven’t reread all the personality articles over the years, but my impression is that my label schtick often conveys they are the problem. Sorry, as a manager, you don’t get to blame others on your team. It’s your fault. Yes, evil exists. Humans who are inexplicably hostile to the project or you. Who are acting purely in their self-interest. Who lie. Who deceives. You are accountable for all of them.
To understand motivation, you must understand drive. I wish all of these drives were productive and positive, but many are not. My discomfort with these drives is not an excuse to ignore them; in fact, they signal when I am required to do my most important work.



Apple Newsroom:
Apple today announced iPhone 17e, a powerful and more affordable addition to the iPhone 17 lineup. At the heart of iPhone 17e is the latest-generation A19, which delivers exceptional performance for everything users do. iPhone 17e also features C1X, the latest-generation cellular modem designed by Apple, which is up to 2× faster than C1 in iPhone 16e. The 48MP Fusion camera captures stunning photos, including next-generation portraits, and 4K Dolby Vision video. It also enables an optical-quality 2× Telephoto — like having two cameras in one. The 6.1-inch Super Retina XDR display features Ceramic Shield 2, offering 3× better scratch resistance than the previous generation and reduced glare. With MagSafe, users can enjoy fast wireless charging and access to a vast ecosystem of accessories like chargers and cases. And when iPhone 17e users are outside of cellular and Wi-Fi coverage, Apple’s groundbreaking satellite features — including Emergency SOS, Roadside Assistance, Messages, and Find My via satellite — help them stay connected when it matters most.
Available in three elegant colors with a premium matte finish — black, white, and a beautiful new soft pink — iPhone 17e will be available for pre-order beginning Wednesday, March 4, with availability starting Wednesday, March 11. iPhone 17e will start at 256GB of storage for $599 — 2× the entry storage from the previous generation at the same starting price, and 4× more than iPhone 12 — giving users more space for high-resolution photos, 4K videos, apps, games, and more.
The main year-over-year changes from the 16e:
That’s about it. Here’s a preset version of Apple’s iPhone Compare page with the iPhone 17, 17e, and 16e.
Update: The “Compare” link above worked when I posted this, but right now, an hour later, the iPhone 17e is no longer available on Apple’s Compare page. Perhaps they’re fixing some mistakes in the specs?
Jason Snell returns to the show to discuss the 2025 Six Colors Apple Report Card, MacOS 26 Tahoe, Apple Creator Studio, along with what we expect/hope for in next week’s Apple product announcements.
Sponsored by:
The Israel Institute for Advanced Studies, at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, is once again planning its long-running summer school in Economic Theory (which was skipped last year, amidst war with Iran...)
The 35th Advanced School in Economic Theory - Recent Developments in Economic Theory
Sun, 28/06/2026 to Tue, 07/07/2026
General Director: Eric Maskin, Harvard University
Director: Elchanan Ben- Porath, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Speakers
Itai Ashlagi, Stanford University
Elchanan Ben- Porath, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Ben Brooks, The University of Chicago
Marina Halac, Yale University
Eric Maskin, Harvard University
Abraham Neyman, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Bruno Strulovici, Northwestern University
Omer Tamuz, Caltech
Alexander Wolitzky, MIT
"This year’s School features some of the most exciting recent results in economic theory presented by the researchers who discovered them "
My latest paper, Chaos and Misallocation under Price Controls, (with Brian Albrecht and Mark Whitmeyer) has a new take on price controls:
Price controls kill the incentive for arbitrage. We prove a Chaos Theorem: under a binding price ceiling, suppliers are indifferent across destinations, so arbitrarily small cost differences can determine the entire allocation. The economy tips to corner outcomes in which some markets are fully served while others are starved; small parameter changes flip the identity of the corners, generating discontinuous welfare jumps. These corner allocations create a distinct source of cross-market misallocation, separate from the aggregate quantity loss (the Harberger triangle) and from within-market misallocation emphasized in prior work. They also create an identification problem: welfare depends on demand far from the observed equilibrium. We derive sharp bounds on misallocation that require no parametric assumptions. In an efficient allocation, shadow prices are equalized across markets; combined with the adding-up constraint, this collapses the infinite-dimensional welfare problem to a one-dimensional search over a common shadow price, with extremal losses achieved by piecewise-linear demand schedules. Calibrating the bounds to stationlevel AAA survey data from the 1973–74 U.S. gasoline crisis, misallocation losses range from roughly 1 to 9 times the Harberger triangle.
Brian has a superb write up that makes the paper very accessible. Unfortunately, the paper is timely and relevant.
The post Chaos and Misallocation under Price Controls appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

Why Ilya Repin’s masterpiece of Ivan the Terrible, first banned in 1885, remains one of Russia’s most controversial paintings
- by Aeon Video

A prominent architect of decolonial theory, his diagnosis of European colonial ills is both penetrating and flawed
- by Federico Perelmuter

The European Space Agency announced up to $118 million in funding March 2 for projects promising to accelerate the convergence of satellite and terrestrial communications.
The post ESA announces 100 million euro satellite-mobile convergence initiative appeared first on SpaceNews.

NASA has provided new details about its plans to procure a Mars communications orbiter funded under last year’s budget reconciliation bill as companies continue positioning themselves to bid on it.
The post NASA outlines objectives for Mars communications orbiter appeared first on SpaceNews.

Officials says commercial data and software can sharpen space threat detection
The post Space Force opens secretive space tracking to commercial firms appeared first on SpaceNews.

Open Cosmos shed more light on its proposed sovereign broadband constellation for Europe March 2, branding the Ka-band network ConnectedCosmos while leaving how it will meet mid-2026 deployment deadlines in the dark.
The post Open Cosmos unveils vision for imagery-linked sovereign satellite connectivity appeared first on SpaceNews.

Today’s Picture of the Week, taken with ESO’s Very Large Telescope (VLT), seems to have captured a cosmic hawk as it spans its wings. While the dark clouds in the middle of the image make up the head and body of the bird of prey, the filaments extending away from the body to the left and right compose its wings. Below it, is a mesmerising blue nebula with massive newly born stars, whose intense radiation make the gas around them glow brightly.
Altogether the image shows the RCW 36 nebula, located about 2300 light-years away in the Vela constellation. Coincidently, this nebula, resembling a hawk, was also captured by a hawk — the HAWK-I instrument on the VLT. While the most apparent stars in this image may be the massive and bright baby stars, the astronomers behind this image are actually more interested in hidden, very dim stars called brown dwarfs — “objects unable to fuse hydrogen in their cores,” explains Afonso do Brito do Vale, a PhD student at the Instituto de Astrofísica e Ciências do Espaço, Portugal, and the Laboratoire d'Astrophysique de Bordeaux, France, and lead author of a new paper where this image was presented.
HAWK-I is perfectly suited for this task. It observes at infrared wavelengths, where these cold failed stars are more easily spotted, and it can correct atmospheric turbulence with adaptive optics, delivering sharp images like this one. Besides providing invaluable data to understand how brown dwarfs form, the study produced a striking image of “massive stars ‘pushing’ away the clouds of gas and dust around them almost like an animal breaking through its eggshell for the first time,” as do Brito do Vale describes. Who knows, perhaps the cosmic hawk is guarding his baby stars — watching over them as they “hatch”.
Since the 1970s, planetary geologists have known that volcanic features cover large swaths of Mars. Early Mariner 9 images revealed massive shield volcanoes and lava plains on a scale unlike anything on Earth. Olympus Mons, the tallest volcano in the solar system, stands nearly three times higher than Mount Everest. Alba Mons, the planet’s widest volcano, spans a distance comparable to the length of the continental United States.
Both Olympus Mons and Alba Mons were primarily built by basaltic effusive eruptions—relatively calm outpourings of “runny” lavas that spread across the surface in sheets. This is thought to be the most common type of volcanism on Mars, accounting for the vast majority of its volcanic landforms. However, a small portion was produced by explosive volcanism of the sort that forms volcanic cones, pyroclastic flows, and ashfalls.
The dearth of explosive volcanic features on Mars has long puzzled geologists. With an average atmospheric pressure 160 times lower than Earth’s and only a third of the gravity, explosive eruptions should theoretically occur more easily on the Red Planet, said Petr Brož, a planetary geologist with the Czech Academy of Sciences. That rarity is part of what makes features like the volcanic cones (shown above) found in Mars’ Ulysses Colles region so compelling to planetary geologists.
“They appear to be scoria cones—a clear sign of explosive volcanism,” Brož added. “They were the first identified in the Tharsis region in the 2010s, and they helped paint a broader and more complete picture of Martian volcanism.”
The CTX (Context Camera) on NASA’s Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter captured this image (second image above) of Ulysses Colles above on May 7, 2014. Ulysses Colles is located at the southern edge of Ulysses Fossae, a group of troughs within the Tharsis volcanic region.
The OLI (Operational Land Imager) on Landsat 8 captured an image with similar cones in the San Francisco Volcanic Field (SFVF) in northern Arizona on June 19, 2025 (top). Planetary geologists consider the cones in the two locations to be highly analogous. Both images also include grabens—linear blocks of crust that have shifted downward.
In both images, the scoria cones appear as rounded hills crowned with circular vents, while lava flows spread outward as dark, textured areas around the bases of the cones. At both locations, seemingly younger and smaller lava flows appear to spill from some cones, while older, more weathered flows lie in the background.
“Understanding similar features on Earth helps us know what to look for on Mars and interpret processes that we can’t observe directly,” said Patrick Whelley, a NASA volcanologist who is part of a team that develops field equipment and techniques for Moon and Mars exploration.
SP Crater (above left), located in Arizona’s San Francisco Volcanic Field, features a 7-kilometer-long lava flow that extends northward and has been used for NASA astronaut geology training. In two places, the flow has spilled into a graben, creating a distinctive half-moon pattern along its left side.
On Earth, scoria cones form when gas-rich magmas soar high into the air and solidify into small particles of material called scoria that accumulate in steep-sided structures. While similar processes create cones on Earth and Mars, there are important differences. Martian scoria cones are typically taller, wider, and have gentler slopes, Flynn said. That makes sense. With lower gravity and atmospheric pressure, volcanic fountains can loft erupted magma higher and farther from the vent, producing larger cones.
There are far more scoria cones on Earth, where tens of thousands exist and account for about 90 percent of volcanoes on land. On Mars, “we have only identified tens to a few hundred candidates,” Broz said. It could be that explosive volcanism was never common on Mars, or it could be that it was but that explosive features have been covered up by younger, effusive flows or destroyed by erosion, he added.
Whelley noted that on Mars, it remains unclear whether the Martian lava flows or the scoria cones formed first. The lava flow could be older, with the cone forming on top. Or, the cone may have formed first and later become plugged, forcing lava to spill from its side. Determining the order of events is one of the “puzzles of geology” that planetary geologists try to solve when studying Martian features remotely, he said. “Visiting places like the San Francisco Volcanic Field and studying the geology of analogous features up close on Earth helps us know what clues to look for when interpreting Martian geology.”
Below (left) is a closer view of a scoria cone on Earth, southeast of SP Crater, called Sunset Crater. It erupted about 800 years ago, making it the youngest scoria cone in the San Francisco Volcanic Field. The analogous cone in Ulysses Colles (right), in contrast, is thought to be billions of years old.
Note that eruptions that create scoria cones are “mildly explosive,” usually Strombolian events, characterized by intermittent lava fountains, said Ian Flynn, a planetary geologist at the University of Pittsburgh. They differ from the far more violent explosive eruptions that send ash columns billowing tens of kilometers into the air, as happened at Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai in the South Pacific, he added.
Mars also shows evidence of highly explosive “super eruptions,” but that type of eruption leaves behind a different geologic signature: large depressions called paterae and broad, thin deposits of ash and other erodible material sculpted into landforms such as yardangs.
Planetary comparison is valuable for understanding the geology of distant worlds, Brož said. Without such comparisons, it becomes harder to determine how landforms on other planets or moons may have formed at all.
But caution is essential. “In planetary science, it’s often said—only half-jokingly—that even if something looks like a duck, behaves like a duck, and sounds like a duck, it may not actually be a duck,” he added. It’s easy, for instance, to confuse scoria cones with mud volcanoes.
Researchers are highly confident that the Ulysses Colles cones formed through explosive volcanism based on the surrounding volcanic landscape, but in more ambiguous terrain it can be difficult to tell. Mars is fundamentally different from Earth, he cautioned. Brož’s laboratory research suggests, for instance, that mud flows on Mars can look much like certain types of lava flows, and that, under certain conditions, they can even boil and levitate. “We also have to avoid being constrained by terrestrial experience,” he said. “If we fail to think outside the box, we may overlook important possibilities.”
NASA Earth Observatory images by Lauren Dauphin, using Landsat data from the U.S. Geological Survey and CTX data from the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. Story by Adam Voiland.
Stay up-to-date with the latest content from NASA as we explore the universe and discover more about our home planet.

The volcano on Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula continues to erupt after centuries of quiescence.

The volcano in Hawaii is one of the most active in the world, and NASA tech makes it easier for…

The Tongan volcano expanded its mid-Pacific real estate during its latest eruptive phase.
The post Scoria Cones on Earth and Mars appeared first on NASA Science.
Numerous nations in the Middle East are being pulled into the current conflict and have received missile attacks from Iran. I believe the proper Bayesian update is that Brazil is underrated.
The country has plenty of water, and lots of capacity to grow its own food. It is an agricultural powerhouse. It is developing more and more fossil fuels. No neighbor or near neighbor dares threaten it. You cannot imagine conquering it, because even the government of Brazil has not conquered its own country.
It is big enough that even the United States can push it around to only a limited degree.
Crime rates are high, but on the up side that gives the place a certain resiliency. People are used to bad events, and society is structured accordingly. You cannot write of “Brazil falling into dystopia” without generating a laugh.
If immigration bothers you (not my view), Brazil and Brazilian culture is not going to be swamped by people coming from somewhere else. For better or worse.
Brazil has “stayed Brazil” through both democracy and autocracy.
Worth a ponder. Here is an FT piece on “Brazil’s Dubai.”
The post Brazil is underrated appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Some observations and comments on Trump and Israel’s war on Iran:
1. Tehran is not looking for a ceasefire and has rejected outreach from Trump. The reason is that they believe they committed a mistake by agreeing to the ceasefire in June – it only enabled the US and Israel to restock and remobilize to launch war again. If they agree to a ceasefire now, they will only be attacked again in a few months.
2. For a ceasefire to be acceptable, it appears difficult for Tehran to agree to it until the cost to the US has become much higher than it currently is. Otherwise, the US will restart the war at a later point, the calculation reads.
3. Accordingly, Iran has shifted its strategy. It is striking Israel, but very differently from the June war. There is a constant level of attack throughout the day rather than a salvo of 50 missiles at once. Damage will be less, but that isn’t a problem because Tehran has concluded that Israel’s pain tolerance is very high – as long as the US stays in the war. So the focus shifts to the US.
4. From the outset, and perhaps surprisingly, Iran has been targeting US bases in the region, including against friendly states. Tehran calculates that the war can only end durably if the cost for the US rises dramatically, including American casualties. After the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei, Iran says it has no red lines left and will go all out in seeking the destruction of these bases and high American casualties.
5. Iran understands that many in the American security establishment had been convinced that Iran’s past restraint reflected weakness and an inability or unwillingness to face the US in a direct war. Tehran is now doing everything it can to demonstrate the opposite – despite the massive cost it itself will pay. Ironically, the assassination of Khamenei facilitated this shift.
6. One aspect of this is that Iran has now also struck bases in Cyprus, which have been used for attacks against Iran. Iran is well aware that this is an attack on a EU state. But that seems to be the point. Tehran appears intent on not only expanding the war into Persian Gulf states but also into Europe. Note the attack on the French base in the UAE. For the war to be able to end, Europe too has to pay a cost, the reasoning appears to be.
7. There appears to be only limited concern about the internal situation. The announcement of Khamenei’s death opened a window for people to pour onto the streets and seek to overthrow the regime. Though expressions of joy were widespread, no real mobilization was seen. That window is now closing, as the theocratic system closes ranks and establishes new formal leadership.
Again: The question “How will this end?” should have been asked before this war was triggered. It wasn’t.
That is from Trita Parsi, via B. Note that some people consider Parsi a biased source (not sufficiently anti-Iran?), in any case it is worth pondering how other parties may view the current situation.
The post One view of Iranian strategy appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

I was all set to publish another post about AI, but then the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, so now I guess I’ll write about that.
Last June, Israel launched a bunch of attacks on Iran, and didn’t encounter much resistance. Trump briefly joined the fray by launching a couple of airstrikes at Iranian nuclear sites. Afterward, the White House put out a statement bellowing that “Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Have Been Obliterated — and Suggestions Otherwise are Fake News”. This was obviously false, and so here we are, eight months later, with Trump ordering more attacks on Iran, ostensibly in order to take out their very non-obliterated nuclear facilities.
I chose not to write a post about the Iran attacks last June, simply because they didn’t seem that important. Trump’s strikes were perfunctory and seemed a bit performative. China and Russia didn’t come to Iran’s aid, which showed that Iran isn’t really a core member of their alliance. Israel seemed to have their way with Iran’s air defense system; this was interesting from a military standpoint, but the wider implications are unclear. Other than that, there didn’t seem much reason for me to analyze the conflict.
The current attacks are more significant, so I’ll write about them. The most important reason is that Israeli strikes killed Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (along with various other top Iranian leaders). That seems like the crossing of a Rubicon; you can’t really take out a country’s head of state and expect a quick return to the status quo. And it means that Trump, accidentally or on purpose, has taken a serious geopolitical action instead of making a bunch of noise and then backing down. This could have long-term consequences.
Anyway, I don’t have a single big thesis about the new Iran war, so I’ll just offer up a series of thoughts. Basically, my takes are:
Pax Americana actually restrained American power, and the people who wanted a multipolar world may come to regret that wish.
While Trump’s ability to launch a war of choice without Congressional authorization is bad for American democracy, it’s also true that Iran’s leaders are absolutely evil and had it coming.
Western leftists’ full-throated support for Iran demonstrates how badly they have lost the plot.
The New Axis of China, Russia, and Iran has been materially weakened by this conflict, but we shouldn’t write it off.
My basic geopolitical thesis over the past few years has been that Pax Americana — the rules-based international order backed up by American power — is gone. America was simply no longer industrially strong enough to support the kind of world-policing role it carried out during and after the Cold War; China, the main revisionist power, had gotten too strong for America to remain the hegemon. On top of that, the U.S. has been consumed by internal conflicts, and has far less energy to look outward. This domestic social conflict is ultimately behind Trump’s isolationism and his alienation of many traditional U.S. allies.
A lot of people — leftists and rightists in the West, and America’s rivals and detractors abroad — welcomed this development, but for different reasons.
Leftists and foreign rivals celebrated the end of Pax Americana as a diminution of American power. They eagerly heralded the rise of a multipolar world, in which other nations would have the power to check America’s designs. This has, in fact, come to pass. And Trump’s rejection of his erstwhile European allies has weakened American power even further, beyond what America’s enemies might have dared to hope.
But what they all failed to realize is that Pax Americana bound and restrained the United States. In order to uphold the rules-based order it created, America accepted many limitations on its hegemony. It restrained its use of military force in many cases, eschewed territorial conquest, and treated smaller and poorer countries as its equals in many international bodies.
That’s all gone now. Without rules and norms to bind him, Trump is free to threaten conquest of Greenland, take out Russia’s allies, and generally throw America’s still-considerable weight around much more freely and aggressively than during his first term.
Rightists, meanwhile, relish America’s newfound freedom from the pesky constraints of international norms. But their hope that the U.S. would abandon global power, in order to focus inward on domestic cultural and social conflicts, seems to have been dashed, at least for now. Trump remains far more inclined toward foreign adventurism than any Democrat, and is more eager to participate in Israel’s wars.
In other words, this is a “be careful what you wish for” moment for all of the advocates of a multipolar world.
(Lord’s day). Up and walked to White Hall, to the Chappell, where preached one Dr. Lewes, said heretofore to have been a great witt; but he read his sermon every word, and that so brokenly and so low, that nobody could hear at any distance, nor I anything worth hearing that sat near. But, which was strange, he forgot to make any prayer before sermon, which all wonder at, but they impute it to his forgetfulness.
After sermon a very fine anthem.
So I up into the house among the courtiers, seeing the fine ladies, and, above all, my Lady Castlemaine, who is above all, that only she I can observe for true beauty. The King and Queen being set to dinner I went to Mr. Fox’s, and there dined with him. Much genteel company, and, among other things, I hear for certain that peace is concluded between the King of France and the Pope; and also I heard the reasons given by our Parliament yesterday to the King why they dissent from him in matter of Indulgence, which are very good quite through, and which I was glad to hear.
Thence to my Lord Sandwich, who continues with a great cold, locked up; and, being alone, we fell into discourse of my uncle the Captain’s death and estate, and I took the opportunity of telling my Lord how matters stand, and read his will, and told him all, what a poor estate he hath left, at all which he wonders strangely, which he may well do.
Thence after singing some new tunes with W. Howe I walked home, whither came Will. Joyce, whom I have not seen here a great while, nor desire it a great while again, he is so impertinent a coxcomb, and yet good natured, and mightily concerned for my brother’s late folly in his late wooing at the charge to no purpose, nor could in any probability a it.
He gone, we all to bed, without prayers, it being washing day to-morrow.
[Note to new readers: I rarely comment on the Middle East, which is not my area of expertise. (And it bores me to tears.) Instead, my general attitude to the region is “Whatever Matt says”. This David Levey post is also of interest.]
Patriotism is a natural emotion. I feel patriotic toward both my home state and my home country. But I’ve noticed that state patriotism tends to be a healthier emotion than national patriotism. The recent Winter Olympics provides a good example of how national patriotism can create unnecessary friction. The issue isn’t patriotism itself, rather it reflects a deeper problem—society’s unhealthy obsession with politicizing all aspects of life.
Wisconsin sports fans are more patriotic than average. I know what you are thinking; I’m biased because I grew up in Wisconsin. But my claim is objectively true—it is not uncommon for Green Bay Packer fans to dominate local fans even at games held away from home, particularly in sunbelt cities where many Wisconsinites have retired. Green Bay is a small city, and hence the team is seen as representing the entire state, unlike say the Jacksonville Jaguars Cougar football team.
College sports are the same. The University of Wisconsin system has 160,000 students in 13 campuses, all in a state with fewer than 6 million people. I was accepted to both UW-Madison and The University of Chicago as an undergraduate and choose Madison for financial reasons. Growing up in Wisconsin at that time, it was expected that most people would attend the UW. When I moved to Massachusetts (and then California), I noticed an entirely different culture, not as oriented around loyalty to a single university.
Occasionally, a highly talented Wisconsin athlete chooses Ohio State over the UW, and a few fans grumble that they are a “traitor”. After all, their education was paid for by our taxpayers and now they are choosing to represent our archrivals. Of course, this complaint is generally made with a wink and a nod, as almost no one seriously views them as disloyal. Almost no one believes that Ohio State is actually an evil university. It’s all make-believe. If the complainer were serious, we’d sharply discount our estimate of their intelligence.
State patriotism is a healthy emotion. Instead of fighting brutal wars—which make no sense in a world of nuclear weapons—it’s better to have made up rivalries. Our instincts for competition and dominance are diverted to a harmless pastime. America did fight one civil war, and that was more than enough.
Unfortunately, publications like the National Review cannot decide whether we should view sports as sports, or whether we need to think of athletes as representing the (often evil) government that rules a given country. Here they take one side of the debate:
Not everything has to be a campus psychodrama. Not all stories need to “surface the nuances of” this or that. Not every incident that tangentially involves Donald Trump requires his elevation to the star of the tale. It’s okay to be happy that the United States won something, without finding 100 other reasons to be sad, angry, indignant, or confused. . . .
Journalists are not politicians, and there is no need for them to be perfectly representative of the nation. But it might be a good thing for our culture if they weren’t all massive weirdos. If you were to stop 100 people on the street at random and ask them about the USA’s victory on Sunday, how many do you think would fixate on the supposed jingoism of the team, or on President Trump’s phone call and White House invitation, or on Kash bloody Patel? Two? If that?
But elsewhere in the same article they show an unhealthy obsession with politics:
In my estimation, Eileen Gu is a mercenary sports traitor who ought to be muttered about darkly
Indeed, the National Review is so obsessed with Eileen Gu that they devote an entire article to trashing her reputation:
The champion freestyle skier said the other day, after she had to settle for a silver medal in an event at the Olympics, that “sometimes it feels like I’m carrying the weight of two countries on my shoulders.”
Gu would be carrying the weight of only one country if she had chosen to represent her native U.S. at the games, rather than a hostile totalitarian state.
This publication cannot seem to decide whether athletes represent countries or governments. Did the US hockey team represent the Trump administration, or the United States of America? If the former, then what’s wrong with criticizing the team for its politics? If the latter, then why assume that Chinese athletes represent the CCP? China is much more than the CCP, it is a major country with a culture that goes back 4000 years. I’ve met patriotic Chinese people who prefer America’s political system to China’s system but still love “China”.
An article by Jason Russell in the generally non-jingoistic Reason magazine is equally confused:
Yet after all the U.S. helped her accomplish, she chose to compete under the Chinese flag instead of the American one. . . .
[W]hen Gu talks about this controversy, she’s either playing dumb or, for some reason, can’t figure out why people are mad. “So many athletes compete for a different country,” she said in response to Vice President J.D. Vance. “People only have a problem with me doing it because they kind of lump China into this monolithic entity, and they just hate China.” Gu does the same act when she’s asked about 1.5 million Uyghurs in Chinese concentration camps. “I’m not an expert on this,” she told Time magazine. “I haven’t done the research. I don’t think it’s my business.” (In an interview with Reason, one concentration camp survivor described sexual torture and other unspeakable horrors.)
I’m just as confused as Eileen Gu. I guess I could understand why people might be upset when an athlete chooses to represent another country (even if that’s not my view.) But Gu is correct, people don’t complain in other cases:
It’s all about the politics. As I’ve pointed out in previous posts, the current anti-Chinese hysteria in America is fed by the media and our politicians conflating “China” (the country) with the Chinese Communist Party (the government).
In a recent podcast, I recall someone referred to “Trump’s America”, and Tyler Cowen corrected them by saying something to the effect, “Not Trump’s America, Americans’ America” (not exact words.) It is not the CCP’s China, it’s the Chinese peoples’ China.
When visiting China, Trump expressed his support for the concentration camps that Russell criticized. Imagine if a reporter had asked the US hockey players to comment on our president’s support for this cruel policy. Or, for that matter, any of the many other outrages committed by the Trump administration. I’m guessing the National Review would have scolded the reporter for being obsessed with politics. And they would be correct in doing so.
Russell continues:
So it's natural for Americans to feel betrayed by someone who could represent the United States but chooses not to—especially when they pick a country whose values are nearly diametrically opposed to ours.
I could make a snarky comment about how China doesn’t “value” invading a new country every month, but I’ll happily concede that (overall) their political system is worse than ours. But “values”? Sorry, I’ve never noticed that the Chinese people have worse values than Americans, in any overall sense. When I speak with individual Chinese people, I find their values to be surprisingly similar over a wide range of issues. Even something like privacy is valued far more highly in China than you might be led to expect from reading superficial accounts of their “conformist” culture.
Back in Wisconsin, almost no one decides on whether they’ll root for the Badgers based on which party currently controls the governorship. That’s a healthy patriotism. For some reason, when we move from the state level to the national level, people become much more irrational in their patriotism, with an unhealthy obsession with politics. I suspect that the public in places like Switzerland and Norway do not decide whether to root for a local athlete based on which political party is in power.
True American patriots root for the US in our hockey games and Canada (or China) in our trade wars.
America has become a bit like a banana republic, where the government is now so overbearing that everything becomes seen as a political issue. Indeed, President Trump often goes out of his way to make everything seem to be about politics. I used to think of this as something that happened elsewhere, say in Peron-era Argentina. It’s a sad way to go through life. Lighten up, join the 98% and enjoy sports and music and movies without obsessing over the political views of all of your heroes. There’s more to life than politics.
When it comes to national patriotism, Nellie Bowles at The Free Press provides a dose of sanity:
Me, as the reasonable centrist, who everyone loves to yell at, I think both are incredible. I love Eileen Gu and I love the men’s hockey team. Listen to Eileen’s explanation of how she controls her mind. The woman’s amazing. I don’t care who she does the sports for, she’s American. I’m a little afraid of her, and I respect her for that. And look at Jack Hughes wrapped in the flag with that broken, bloody smile. Amazing. U-S-A! U-S-A!
Amen.
Links for you. Science:
We’re about to turn night into day. Is that a good idea?
They came to Massachusetts to cure disease. Now they’re packing up their labs.
A Tragedy of Early COVID Has Finally Been Explained
FDA declines to review Moderna application for new flu vaccine
An ecological disaster has been unfolding on Australia’s coast
How COVID and H1N1 swept through U.S. cities in just weeks
4 times as many measles cases in few weeks than US typically averages in year: CDC (in the pre-vaccine era, measles surges usually occurred in late winter/early spring, so we might not even be at the worst of it yet…)
Other:
Computer, Enhance. People keep running crime footage through AI thinking they’re helping. They’re not.
Instead of Pandering, Democrats Should Try Changing Voters’ Minds
‘New one for you’: Inside Steve Tisch’s transactional friendship with Jeffrey Epstein
Musk-Epstein: Year One (eww)
ICE is pushing Minneapolis underground. After ICE raids, tear gassing protestors, and two killings, DHS “border czar” Tom Homan arrived in the Twin Cities to announce a winding down of immigration enforcement. But the battle has merely moved from the streets to the underground, and the city remains under siege.
Middle-class Americans are selling their plasma to make ends meet ($32.50 per hour, assuming it takes two hours including transit)
Elon Musk posted about race almost every day in January
Ring cancels its partnership with Flock Safety after surveillance backlash (bullying works!)
Meet the ‘Cabal’-Hating ‘Special Government Employee’ Involved in the Fulton County FBI Raid (they are all so weird)
A pilot fired over Kristi Noem’s missing blanket and the constant chaos inside DHS (again, they are all so weird)
Utah Sen. John Curtis is sinking Jeremy Carl’s nomination for a State Department post (weird!)
Jesse Watters: “Epstein got his money from two Jewish billionaires” and “the Jewish banking dynasty, the Rothschilds” (ok, not weird, flat out antisemitic)
Dr. Oz Becomes the Latest Trump Official in the Epstein Files
ICE Is Strangling the Minneapolis Economy
OpenAI Claims DeepSeek Distilled US Models to Gain an Edge
Schwalb Targets Alleged Slumlord Network in First-of-Its-Kind Racketeering Lawsuit
After 75 years, hand dance is still bringing Washingtonians together. The history of D.C.’s official dance.
CBP officer faces federal charges over allegations he harbored an unauthorized immigrant who was also his girlfriend and niece
Why is ICE seizing people’s phones and documents?
Is Warner Bros. sidelining an anti-ICE wrestler?
Google is stifling anti-ICE speech in the workplace as 1,200 employees call on the company to cut ties
New Medicaid work rules likely to hit middle-aged adults hard
This isn’t Trump’s “Golden Age” — it’s ours
How the Democrats Can Play Offense on Immigration
‘Not the same town anymore:’ ICE surge hit businesses in Worthington, where 1 in 3 are immigrants
Laughing ICE Goons Seize Dad Who Fled Ukraine War at Walmart
The lying is out of control. People need to go to prison.
Here’s How Many Jobs HHS Has Lost Since RFK Jr. Took Over
The Supreme Court Lives in Fox News’ America. A Court that does not share a common factual world with the people it governs is untethered from democratic reality.
Kansas City developers halt sale of warehouse for ICE detention center as public pressure mounts
…a month of Mad Biologist links:
Illinois College Republicans Do a Big Fascism
When It Comes to ICE and CBP, We Know Enough
The Superbowl Ads Show How Desperate AI Companies Are
The Implications of the Phrase “The Most Racist”
What If ICE or CBP Murdered Someone in D.C.?
Secretary of State Rubio Goes Full White Christian Nationalist
Congressional Republicans Create a Huge Legal Problem for D.C.’s Tax Collection
America Is Better with Alysa Liu
We Are Governed by the Stupidest People: The HHS Secretary and Plaguelord Kennedy Edition
AI and Theft: The Issue That Has Gone Missing
Two Things I Learned from Last Night’s State of the Union Address
I started the week getting to grips with my to-dos. Nothing fancy after 2025’s failed attempt to manage things as quarterly projects.
It worked! I felt on top of things. I got stuff done. I ended the day not feeling like there were things hanging over me.
This routine lasted two days which, honestly, was twice as long as I expected.
Wednesday and Thursday the oomph had left me and, while I got a bit done, I ignored Things and faffed away the time. Why bother.
By Friday the sore throat from the previous couple of days turned into a Proper Cold and so I abandoned all hope of being productive, and spent 48 hours filling the house with sneezes and flurries of spent tissues. Mary, luckily for her, had escaped my moping around by being in London for a couple of days.
There’s always next week!
§ I finished reading The Sportswriter by Richard Ford. I read something good about his books somewhere and remembered Dad had one of them, which I nabbed. The Sportswriter is the first of a five-part series so I started with that but it didn’t really grab me. I wasn’t that interested in the protagonist and little happened that kept me wanting to come back to it. I might give the next one, Independence Day, a go given its maybe Ford’s best-known one, but I’ll be more ready to give up sooner if it feels similar.
§ We started watching Your Friends & Neighbors and the first episode was good – snappy dialogue, plenty of events that kept us interested. But by episode four (of nine) it hadn’t lived up to that initial promise and we gave up.
“Rich guy who steals from his neighbours,” could be interesting but this wasn’t. The potentially fun robberies make up a very small part of the story, the rest being more about the lives of all these interchangeable rich people. It feels as if it’s treading the line between “ha ha, let’s get one over on these absurd rich folk,” and “ooh, look how luxurious and enviable their lives are”.
And the protagonist, Coop, just isn’t very interesting, in either good or bad ways, so it’s hard to care what happens. It’s as if they don’t want to make him into a real anti-hero, so you don’t have the oddness of finding yourself rooting for someone who’s terrible (Walter White, Vic Mackey). He’s just bland, bored, and has to steal from his bland and bored neighbours to maintain his family’s ridiculously wealthy lifestyle. Whatever.
I’ve also realised how many of Apple TV’s non-science-fiction shows are about wealthy people. Not all as wealthy as here, but even when they’re having to cope with raising three kids in a “too small” house (Platonic) one half of the couple is a partner at a large law firm. What a struggle! The Studio, The Morning Show, Shrinking, Ted Lasso… I think Slow Horses is the only show I’ve seen where some characters have felt not-rich, even if some are posh. I’m trying to imagine an Apple TV series by, say, Ken Loach but that would also somehow come out with everyone looking perfect, and every home immaculately curated.
§ We also watched A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, getting through the whole thing in one lazy evening. Good fun, well done. The final episode dragged a bit after the climax, but I’m looking forward to more.
§ I watched two films on telly this weekend:
Funny Pages (Owen Kline, 2022) about a teenager obsessed with drawing comics who goes about things the wrong way. Full of odd-looking, unlikeable people, many of them sweaty or greasy. Good stuff.
The Zone of Interest (Jonathan Glazer, 2023). Very good, chilling. Unusually, Pippa the cat sat through the entire film but I assume she doesn’t have the context, so for her it was merely a film in which a family of humans do very little.
I was pleasantly surprised that Channel 4 hadn’t put any ad breaks into this because I was bracing myself for how jarring that would be. Reminds me of how the Swarm app doesn’t give you any of the usual “Yay, you’ve been here 100 times!!”-style reactions when you check into somewhere like a hospital.
§ March! Already! Looking forward to 2027.
2. UAE to cover expenses for affected travelers. And “emergency visas” are issued on the spot.
3. Abbas Amanat, Iran: A Modern History is for me (by far) the best general history of the country. I like the cover too.
4. From two weeks ago: “Perhaps there is a new “Trump doctrine,” namely to focus on going after lead individuals, rather than governments or institutional structures. We already did that in Venezuela, and there is talk of that being the approach in Iran. If so, that is a change in the nature of warfare, and of course others may copy it too, including against us. Is there a chance they have tried already?”
5. “Simple believers” in Ukraine shun the modern world (NYT).
The post Sunday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Rampaging Luddites
The rise of generative AI has led to alternating waves of hype and fear. One day the S&P 500 is soaring, led by AI-adjacent companies. A few months later the S&P is falling due to fears that too much money is being spent on datacenters and that AI will undermine business models.
It’s still difficult to predict what AI will actually do, and I have no special insights on that front. But while AI is an unprecedented technology, hype and fear about the impacts of new technology — together with hard thinking about the issue — are anything but new. In fact, concerns about the effects of new technology and attempts to model those effects go back more than two centuries, to the early days of the Industrial Revolution and the dawn of economics as an intellectual field.
The purpose of today’s primer is to provide an overview both of this intellectual tradition and of the effects of past technological progress. Such an overview can’t tell us what will happen next, but it provides important context for any economic scenarios for AI one might propose.
Beyond the paywall I will address the following:
1. Technology and jobs: Should we worry about technology causing mass unemployment?
2. Technology and wages: Can workers lose ground even as their productivity rises?
3. Technology, monopoly and oligarchies: How technologies can create monopolies — or destroy them — and how this affects the concentration of wealth at the top.
I'm moving to another service and need to export my data. List every memory you have stored about me, as well as any context you've learned about me from past conversations. Output everything in a single code block so I can easily copy it. Format each entry as: [date saved, if available] - memory content. Make sure to cover all of the following — preserve my words verbatim where possible: Instructions I've given you about how to respond (tone, format, style, 'always do X', 'never do Y'). Personal details: name, location, job, family, interests. Projects, goals, and recurring topics. Tools, languages, and frameworks I use. Preferences and corrections I've made to your behavior. Any other stored context not covered above. Do not summarize, group, or omit any entries. After the code block, confirm whether that is the complete set or if any remain.
— claude.com/import-memory, Anthropic's "import your memories to Claude" feature is a prompt
Tags: prompt-engineering, llm-memory, anthropic, claude, generative-ai, ai, llms
Agentic Engineering Patterns >
When we lose track of how code written by our agents works we take on cognitive debt.
For a lot of things this doesn't matter: if the code fetches some data from a database and outputs it as JSON the implementation details are likely simple enough that we don't need to care. We can try out the new feature and make a very solid guess at how it works, then glance over the code to be sure.
Often though the details really do matter. If the core of our application becomes a black box that we don't fully understand we can no longer confidently reason about it, which makes planning new features harder and eventually slows our progress in the same way that accumulated technical debt does.
How do we pay down cognitive debt? By improving our understanding of how the code works.
One of my favorite ways to do that is by building interactive explanations.
In An AI agent coding skeptic tries AI agent coding, in excessive detail Max Woolf mentioned testing LLMs' Rust abilities with the prompt Create a Rust app that can create "word cloud" data visualizations given a long input text.
This captured my imagination: I've always wanted to know how word clouds work, so I fired off an asynchronous research project - initial prompt here, code and report here - to explore the idea.
This worked really well: Claude Code for web built me a Rust CLI tool that could produce images like this one:

But how does it actually work?
Claude's report said it uses "Archimedean spiral placement with per-word random angular offset for natural-looking layouts". This did not help me much!
I requested a linear walkthrough of the codebase which helped me understand the Rust code in more detail - here's that walkthrough (and the prompt). This helped me understand the structure of the Rust code but I still didn't have an intuitive understanding of how that "Archimedean spiral placement" part actually worked.
So I asked for an animated explanation. I did this by pasting a link to that existing walkthrough.md document into a Claude Code session along with the following:

This was using Claude Opus 4.6, which turns out to have quite good taste when it comes to building explanatory animations.
If you watch the animation closely you can see that for each word it attempts to place it somewhere on the page by showing a box, run checks if that box intersects an existing word. If so it continues to try to find a good spot, moving outward in a spiral from the center.
I found that this animation really helped make the way the algorithm worked click for me.
I have long been a fan of animations and interactive interfaces to help explain different concepts. A good coding agent can produce these on demand to help explain code - its own code or code written by others.
Tags: ai, llms, coding-agents, ai-assisted-programming, cognitive-debt, generative-ai, explorables, agentic-engineering

The snow has been tough for my running schedule in February but it's starting to clear and temperatures have started to lift. Yesterday got in a solid 45 miles of cycling, including up to this point near the George Washington Bridge, and back on the Tappan Zee.
I didn't add any new music to my collection this month. My Swinsian library has 15,562 tracks already so there's plenty to explore in the back catalog. I listened to The Private Press and The Throne of the Third Heaven of the Nations' Millennium General Assembly.
I did find a new podcast that I've been really enjoying: Know Your Enemy - another podcast covering the wrongs of American conservatism, but from an interesting perspective. One of the hosts is an ex-conservative gay Catholic, and both are very touch with modern philosophy and political theory. Their book reviews especially are satisfying and deep.
Skip this if you don't want to think about AI. I don't want to think about it that much either! My goal is for there to be no AI section next month.
There are two main themes that I noticed this month.
Anyway, articles:
It did not seem like a good idea to me that some of the richest people in the world were no longer rewarding people for having any particular skills, but simply for having agency, when agency essentially meant whatever it was that was afflicting Roy Lee. Unlike Eric Zhu or Donald Boat, Roy didn’t really seem to have anything in his life except his own sense of agency. Everything was a means to an end, a way of fortifying his ability to do whatever he wanted in the world. But there was a great sucking void where the end ought to be. All he wanted, he’d said, was to hang out with his friends. I believed him. He wanted not to be alone, the way he’d been alone for a year after having his offer of admission rescinded by Harvard.
Child's Play, by Sam Kriss, in Harpers. This is really worth reading end-to-end.
If whatever I was doing on the kitchen counter is now called “software engineering,� then ordering food at a restaurant should be called “cooking.� As much as I marvel in this new and (dare I say) magical way of manifesting products and services from thin air, I question whether it is truly a creative process anymore.
I think maybe the synthesis comes from Thorsten Ball's Register Spill, which is positive on AI but well-written:
I’ve had quite a few conversations with programmer friends over the last year that ended with someone wondering: do I still enjoy this? Is this the programming I want to do? Some answer with yes, others with no. I understand both answers and the “code was never important� comments are not helpful to those who really, really enjoyed writing code. If you’re in sales, that might be because you love negotiation, or the product you’re selling, or making money, or, hey, because you love talking to people, love finding out what their problems are, love to visit them. If your job suddenly changed from that to never talking to a human again, I bet you’ll find it hard to take solace in “it was never about the people, it was always about closing the deal.�
Yes: this is it! I totally understand how some people can't sit at a computer all day long and think of it as "pushing rectangles around." Extroverts and people with ADHD are nice! And there are other jobs available that involve more social interaction, physical activity, etc. If those jobs paid more then this conversation would be different.
But for a lot of people, the actual details of the craft matter, and the quiet hard work of it is the reason why we're here, not an inconvenience. I have whatever the opposite of ADHD is: I have ridden a bicycle through the woods in a straight line for 8 hours by myself with no headphones and felt completely fine. I have spent days making watercolors for a stop-motion piece, just for fun. For some people this kind of long, tedious work is necessary for survival.
I knew from a young age that I didn't want to have a phone job, I wanted a craft job. Difficult, quiet crafts are the roughage that my mind needs to stay happy. Work is a partially social place but you don't go there to party, or to make social media content. I don't know man, at the risk of going out over my skis I think there could be a quadrant here:
| Social | Quiet | |
|---|---|---|
| Work | Sales, management, Roy Lee-style social-media-driven AI companies. | Programming, art, photography, other craft-based professions. |
| Personal | Hanging out with your friends on the weekend. Biking up a mountain. Touching grass. | Painting watercolors while listening to jazz. Reading a good book. |
Is it crazy to think that the oft-repeated loneliness crisis is putting pressure on work to take up more of the social quadrant? Or that the disintegration of other jobs has forced programming to become a job for everyone instead of a self-selecting niche?
Bike Weight Doesn't Matter was a great read, partially because I have a very nice but not particularly light bicycle. I like that modern bicycles are good enough that you actually get one that is nearly as good as the pros, and the rest is just becoming better as a rider, and the best way to become better is to ride more.
I internalized the significance of externalities in a far more profound way. I mostly picked up this frame up reference through more plain old life experience and recognizing more instances of positive/negative externalities in day-to-day life.
It's old, but Devon Zuegal's post "On There Being More Than Liberty" was interesting to revisit after listening to Know Your Enemy's podcast about Ayn Rand, reviewing Jennifer Burns's Goddess of the Market.
I keep searching for the source text of opinions that I hear in real life that are usually received wisdom. Like why do people say 'taxation is theft'? Probably Murray Rothbard, but most of the people saying that aren't directly taking it from Rothbard.
Rand is the source of a lot of libertarian thought bubbles, inspiring at least some part of Zuegal's list. I really appreciate that Devon took the time to write about her opinions changing - seems good!
Also revisiting an old article, Iroh's Async Rust Challenges: I wonder if updating this in 2026 would yield different results! It mostly confirms my impression that if I were to try and implement a web server in a non-TypeScript language again, it would be Go or Elixir, not Rust.
It's total craft propaganda but I adore this quick video about Quirk Cycles, a very small bicycle builder in Hackney, London. I'm sure that the actual work is hard and less beautiful but this gives you a window in the feeling of focusing and building something beautiful that gives others joy.
Bonus bike build, from ultra-high end titanium builder Weis. Weis bikes are a true status symbol in New York, whenever I notice one I see other people also noticing it.
Adam Neely's coverage of Suno is fantastic, and worth watching all the way through. He asks users of the tool that lets you "generate" music through prompts these three questions:
It's thoroughly sourced, beautifully produced, and bringing in Dr. Mariana Noé, a virtue ethicist and platonic scholar, brought it up even another level.

Update Mar. 1, 11:03 p.m. EST (0403 UTC): SpaceX confirms deployment of the 29 Starlink satellites.
SpaceX started the month of March with successful Falcon 9 launches from both California and Florida on Sunday.
The Starlink 10-41 mission saw the company return to Starlink flights heading off on a north-easterly trajectory, following a run of mostly south-easterly trajectory missions for the better part of four months.
Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station happened at 9:56:40 p.m. EST (0256:40 UTC). This was SpaceX’s 22nd mission of the year supporting its broadband internet satellite constellation in low Earth orbit.
The 45th Weather Squadron forecast a 90 percent chance for favorable weather during the Sunday night launch window, citing a small chance for interference from cumulus clouds.
SpaceX launched the mission using the Falcon 9 first stage booster with the tail number 1078. This was its 26th flight after launching previous missions, like Crew-6, Nusantara Lima and USSF-124.
Less than 8.5 minutes after liftoff, B1078 landed on the droneship, ‘Just Read the Instructions,’ positioned in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of South Carolina. This was the 152nd landing on this vessel and the 580th booster landing for SpaceX to date.
Following the Sunday morning launch of 25 Starlink satellites, SpaceX deployed a total of 566 of its satellites so far this year.
Yes I will be doing a Conversation with her. She is the author of a forthcoming book on Weimar, namely Weimar: Life on the Edge of Catastrophe. Note that much of the book considers the city of Weimar, mostly in Nazi times, and not just the Weimar era. She also has published Beyond the Wall: A History of East Germany, and Blood and Iron: The Rise and Fall of the German Empire 1871-1918. She is active in journalism, podcasting, and is a visiting research fellow at King’s College London. She was born in East Germany and is both British and German.
So what should I ask her?
The post What should I ask Katja Hoyer? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

Ana is a Mexican-American woman who, as a child, did not live in fear of immigration raids. She’s a U.S.-born citizen who grew up in Mexicantown, Detroit, a Southwest neighborhood that serves as a cultural hub for the city’s Latinx population.
Her grandparents immigrated to the United States with legal status from a small town in the Mexican state of Jalisco. Admittedly, Ana, 38, did not have much awareness about the experiences of undocumented immigrants until she started dating her now-husband in 2012. At 18, he entered the country without documentation, arriving from the same area of Mexico as Ana’s family.
“We started dating in the early fall, and I remember that he couldn’t take me out, and I was so distraught. Like, ‘Do you not want to take me out?’ But he couldn’t get a job because he didn’t have a Social Security number,” said Ana, whose name has been changed by The 19th to protect her family.
When she imagined getting married and raising a family, her list of motherhood expectations definitely did not include one day preparing her elementary school-age children, all of them U.S. citizens, for an encounter with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE): Memorize our home address. Take daddy’s phone and hit record. Call mom.
This is Ana’s reality during the second Trump administration. Her husband still does not have legal status. Together, they have three children who are 9, 7 and 5 years old, and the family speaks openly at home about the risks they face.
“I’m parenting in a political climate that could separate my whole family. It could break us apart,” Ana said. “It’s just one more thing; this emotional labor that we carry on as mothers — but this one’s with more stress.”

Across the country, immigrant mothers and mothers who are partnered with immigrants are forced to teach their children a lesson of survival as President Donald Trump continues his historic expansion of immigration enforcement. Over the past year, $75 billion — an unprecedented increase — has been approved for building new detention centers, hiring thousands of immigration officers and surging ICE operations.
The administration initially claimed it would focus on detaining and deporting people with criminal convictions, but independent analyses of ICE data show that about one-third of those arrested in 2025 had a criminal conviction. The rest included people without convictions — child care workers, high school honor roll students, parents heading to work and kids on their way home from school. Some are undocumented. Others have legal status or, in some cases, are U.S. citizens.
For generations of Black American mothers, preparing their children for interactions with police, including arrests or violence, is an unwelcome rite of passage known as “The Talk.” Historically, it has served as an act of love, vigilance and desperation by mothers seeking to protect their kids in a world that often views them as suspects first and children second.
In the Trump era, a different version of “The Talk” is emerging among immigrant parents who are living with the dread that their children could become targets as well.
As an Afro-Dominican woman living in North Carolina, Dania Santana is balancing multiple dynamics. Her youngest son, who is 11 years old, looks more like the stereotypical image people associate with Latinx children. Her middle son, who is 14, is a Black boy with afro-textured hair. Her 16-year-old daughter has a skin tone that is more of a mix between the two.
“I always get different reactions among different groups of people with my kids, of who is acceptable or cute and who is the opposite. It’s interesting because it’s different reactions from Black people, from Latino people and then from White people,” Santana said. “So I have different conversations with my children about how things can play out for them in this moment.”
Coming to the United States from the Dominican Republic at 25, Santana, now 48, had limited knowledge of U.S. racial dynamics until she began to witness the bias and discrimination firsthand. That understanding shaped the way she began to guide her children. When her older son, who has darker skin, was in middle school, Santana recalls hearing from his teacher that he and his friends were pulling small pranks in class.
Santana said that she took the incident as an opportunity to not only discourage her son from being disruptive in class, but also to share with him that he may not always receive the same level of grace as his White friends. “You need to learn this now before you’re out there,” she said.
With both ICE and local police on Santana’s mind, she feels on high alert all the time, questioning every aspect of where her children will be and who they will be with. This includes monitoring cell phone locations and sitting inside the nearby Starbucks while her kids hang at the mall. She has even considered moving her family to New York City, where she lived before North Carolina. At least in New York, her kids wouldn’t have to drive, she said. Or maybe they might flee the United States entirely if circumstances get worse.
“I have been very clear with them that the moment I see that things are turning, we will be looking into leaving the country,” she said. “So when my youngest son heard that the National Guard was coming, he thought it was that moment. He got really sad. He was like, ‘So we’re gonna have to leave everything behind?’”

For many households in the United States, “The Talk” is a common method of racial socialization, a way for parents and caregivers to teach children about race and identity to both foster a sense of pride and to prepare them for societal inequities and police brutality.
Often, what prompts a parent to begin these conversations is a specific incident: a racist comment muttered under someone’s breath at the grocery store, a White mother on the playground instructing her child not to play with a Black child, said Dr. Leslie A. Anderson, an assistant professor of family and consumer sciences at Morgan State University.
As part of her research, Anderson analyzed how Black families with young school-age children navigated “The Talk.” She and her team found that many parents gave their children specific directives on how to act when in the presence of law enforcement. This includes keeping their hands visible at all times, remaining calm and respectful to the officers, answering officers’ questions and directing the officers to their parents. In other cases, parents instruct their children to leave the situation and find them or another trusted adult, which could unintentionally escalate the interaction.
Research indicates that when done thoughtfully, with specific, practical directives, “The Talk” can be beneficial for children, Anderson said. “But it’s also extremely stressful for the parent, primarily the mom, to have to navigate these conversations in the first place,” she said. “And what I found is that a lot of folks feel inept, like, ‘I know I need to have this conversation. I don’t know how to do it.’”
Black and Brown people regardless of citizenship or immigration status face disproportionate risk of racial profiling and violence by law enforcement. Recent studies have also captured how the day-to-day lives of immigrants can be heavily shaped by the threat of immigration enforcement. One survey conducted among a representative sample of Latinx and Asian immigrants in California between 2018 and 2020 found that about 43 percent of Latinx immigrants and 13 percent of Asian immigrants knew someone who had been deported, said Dr. Maria-Elena De Trinidad Young, an immigrant health scholar and professor at the University of California, Merced.
About 16 percent of Latinx immigrants and 10 percent of Asian immigrants reported experiencing racial profiling. When it comes to speaking with children about ICE, conversations may start when children ask their parents specific questions based on what they’re observing. But many times, the conversations are not explicit, Young said.

Immigrant parents experience varying levels of comfort speaking directly about their status. They may instruct kids to avoid staring out from windows or going outdoors on certain occasions, which can be confusing, at least initially. Over time, the children may begin to pick up on their parents’ fears and any ICE presence in their communities — and they will connect the dots for themselves.
Many immigrant mothers feel that the country’s approach to immigration has intensified over the course of their lives. Some did not have to confront conversations about immigration enforcement until having to do so with their own children during the Trump administration.
Maya was born in India, spent her childhood in Australia and moved to the Seattle area when she was 12. The schools she attended in the United States were not diverse, so she often felt different from other kids. Immigration-specific conversations were never really on her radar until after she received a green card in high school and later began to face more explicit experiences with xenophobia as an adult, she said.
Her son was just 1 year old when Trump returned to Washington for a second time. The 35-year-old and her husband live in a predominantly White New Jersey town. The week Trump got elected, she said, an older White man walked up to her and her son at the grocery store and told her to go back to her country.
In the 15 months since, Maya, whose name The 19th has changed, has watched online videos of ICE agents storming playgrounds and posting up outside of elementary schools. She’s read the stories of what’s happened in Minnesota, including the killings of Renee Nicole Good and Alex Pretti by ICE agents, as well as the detention of 5-year-old Liam Ramos.
Maya has her green card and should be legally shielded from an ICE arrest or detention. Yet she has seen news reports documenting the apprehension of people with legal work permits, green cards or pending asylum cases.
Maya’s green card expires next year.

Her son is 3 years old now, and there’s only so much he can absorb, Maya said. She struggles with the balance between protecting his innocence and childhood and making sure he’s prepared should anything happen. His nanny is undocumented, which adds an extra layer of complication because ICE could come after her while she’s out with Maya’s son. Maya said there are days when her phone will ping with a text from the nanny saying she can’t make it to work because ICE agents are near her home.
For now, Maya tells her young son:
Do not go anywhere except with his nanny, mom and dad.
Do not walk away with any strangers.
If his nanny gets pulled over while he’s in the car, he needs to immediately say, “I want my mommy.” “I want my daddy.”
Maya also keeps a laminated card tucked into the backseat pocket of her car. It states, “If left unattended, please contact,” with her name and phone number, as well as her husband’s name and phone number.
Maya said she feels isolated in her town, which has few other women of color. She described encounters with other mothers in her area who appear confused by the fear she is experiencing. She also hasn’t been able to find any resources to help her navigate having age-appropriate conversations with her son about ICE and the political climate, which heightens the anxiety.
“I think that is the piece of motherhood that is changing so much, because when you are living a very different version of motherhood versus someone who is White, who has lived here for generations, who does not have this level of stress and anxiety on them at all times. It’s a very different experience,” she said.
In conversations with The 19th, immigrant mothers’ concerns in some ways mirrored those of the Black parents from Anderson’s research. Immigrant moms largely expressed feeling ill-equipped to handle conversations about ICE with their kids. They also struggled with the grief that their children will have to internalize adult problems at an early age.

Some studies suggest that Black children who received “The Talk” report lower levels of stress related to the anticipation of police brutality. But general exposure to incidents with law enforcement has been shown to create psychological distress in Black and Brown children. For immigrants or children of immigrants, the more times a person comes into contact with immigration enforcement, the higher their risk for psychological distress and self-reported poor health outcomes over the course of their lives, Young said.
Black and Brown mothers are trying to balance all of these factors.
“No one should have to tell their children, first of all, that the streets might not be safe anymore. Like, as mothers, we don’t want to tell our children that they shouldn’t trust the police, that the police might get into their schools and try to detain kids like them,” said Linda López Stone, who came to the United States from Ecuador nearly two decades ago and has three children ages 12, 14 and 17.
She lives in Utah, and has made a point to teach her kids their basic rights and, most importantly, to know when to stay quiet. “No digas nada,” she has told them. Don’t say anything to law enforcement about themselves, their immigration status, their parents or their friends. If there’s any silver lining, Stone said, it’s that she’s raising children who are engaged and active in their communities, serving as a language bridge for their classmates who cannot speak English and passing on the safety lessons they have learned to other kids.
“I have let them know everyone is an immigrant, and everyone that you know who is a person of color is under threat, even myself,” Stone said. “So you have to make sure that the people around you, your friends and your peers, are aware of what’s happening, and it’s important to take care of each other.”
The article was originally published by The 19th on February 24, 2026. Click here to read the original article.
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The post How Do You Explain ICE to Your Child? Immigrant Families Are Having ‘The Talk’ appeared first on DCReport.org.
Early this morning, the U.S. and Israel launched a major military assault on Iran. Early reports suggested that Israel targeted senior officials in Iran’s government while the U.S. attacked military targets. The U.S. government named the assault “Operation Epic Fury.” Iran state media reported the strikes killed at least 200 people, including 118 students from a girls’ school, and wounded more than 700.
Iran retaliated with strikes against Israel, where one person was killed and 121 others injured, and with strikes on U.S. bases in Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. U.S. Central Command said there are no U.S. casualties and there has been little damage to U.S. facilities.
Shortly after the strikes, President Donald J. Trump, who was in Florida at Mar-a-Lago, posted an 8-minute video on social media announcing “major combat operations in Iran.” He warned: “The lives of courageous American heroes may be lost, and we may have casualties. That often happens in war. But we’re doing this not for now. We’re doing this for the future. And it is a noble mission.”
Trump referred to that mission vaguely, rehearsing a litany of complaints over the tensions and sometimes combat between the U.S. and Iran since 1979, but indicated the U.S. and Israel were attacking to prevent the country’s murderous regime from becoming “a nuclear-armed Iran.”
In June 2025, the Trump administration struck Iran’s nuclear laboratories at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, after which Trump insisted the U.S. had “completely obliterated” Iran’s nuclear facilities. In his message, Trump said the U.S. in negotiations afterward warned Iran “never to resume their malicious pursuit of nuclear weapons, and we sought repeatedly to make a deal. We tried. They wanted to do it. They didn’t want to do it. Again they wanted to do it. They didn’t want to do it. They didn’t know what was happening. They just wanted to practice evil. But Iran refused, just as it has for decades and decades.”
Trump did not mention the landmark 2015 nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), negotiated by Trump’s predecessor Barack Obama, that limited Iran’s nuclear capabilities. Trump withdrew the U.S. from that accord in 2018, and within a year, Iran was ignoring the limits the JCPOA imposed.
But, hours after his team posted his video, Trump told Natalie Allison and Tara Copp of the Washington Post that his real goal is regime change for Iran. “All I want is freedom for the people,” he told the reporters in a phone call shortly after 4 A.M. Eastern Time. In his video address, Trump told Iran’s armed forces and police they “must lay down your weapons and have complete immunity. Or in the alternative, face certain death.” He told the Iranian people that “the hour of your freedom is at hand. Stay sheltered. Don’t leave your home. It’s very dangerous outside. Bombs will be dropping everywhere. When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations.”
Michael Birnbaum, John Hudson, Karen DeYoung, Natalie Allison, and Souad Mekhennet reported this evening in the Washington Post that U.S. intelligence officers assessed that a threat from Iran was not “imminent,” saying it was unlikely that Iran would pose a threat to the U.S. mainland for at least ten years. The International Atomic Energy Agency says there is no evidence Iran has an active plan for creating nuclear weapons, and the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency assessed that if Iran tries to build an intercontinental ballistic missile, it will take them at least a decade.
This afternoon, Trump posted on social media that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, a cleric who has ruled Iran as supreme leader since 1989, was killed in the strikes, a fact later confirmed by Iran. After celebrating Khamenei’s death, Trump posted: “This is the single greatest chance for the Iranian people to take back their Country.” He claimed without offering evidence that many of Iran’s soldiers and police “no longer want to fight, and are looking for Immunity from us,” and expressed hope that those forces “will peacefully merge with the Iranian Patriots, and work together as a unit to bring back the Country to the Greatness it deserves.”
Notably, he did not suggest how one would get “immunity,” or from whom, or what the process of taking back the country would look like just months after the regime killed tens of thousands of protesters. He also appears unconcerned that the coordinated response to the attack from Iran’s leadership even after the death of Khamenei suggests regime change will not be a question of knocking out the leader.
In his triumphant post, Trump concluded with an Orwellian “war is peace” statement, writing that the process of rebuilding should start soon because in just a day the bombing had “very much destroyed and, even, obliterated” so much of the country. “The heavy and pinpoint bombing, however, will continue, uninterrupted throughout the week or, as long as necessary to achieve our objective of PEACE THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST AND, INDEED, THE WORLD!”
Trump’s objectives for going to war sound vague because they are. The event that triggered his attack is also vague—so far, there is no evidence of an imminent threat that required the attack. His prescription for what his war is trying to accomplish is also vague.
It’s a given that this sort of vaguely justified attack on another country usually reflects that the leaders in the attacking country are worried about losing power and are launching a war to try to get disaffected people to rally around the flag.
Indeed, social media users are already referring to the attack as “Operation Epstein Fury,” suggesting it is an attempt to distract from the frequent appearance of the president’s name in the Epstein files as well as the recent story that the Department of Justice illegally withheld an allegation that Trump raped a thirteen-year-old.
Before his State of the Union address, Trump’s approval rating had fallen to an abysmal 37%, while 59% of Americans disapproved. His speech did little to convince Americans that he is trying to address their concerns about the economy: G. Elliott Morris of Strength in Numbers reported that after the speech, only 30% of Americans think Trump is focused on the things that matter to them, while 57% think he is focused on other things.
The January inflation report, out yesterday, showed prices rising faster than expected, inspiring Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to suggest Americans should buy cheaper food. “Most of the cheap cuts of meat are very inexpensive,” he said. “You can buy liver or the cheaper cuts of steak.”
Scholar of authoritarianism Timothy Snyder noted in Thinking About… that Trump’s personal corruption is another interpretive framework for thinking about his decision to go to war. Trump’s sudden foray into regime change after years of attacking other presidents who tried it raises the question of whether he is acting for other countries in the Middle East he considers his allies.
“Given the stupefyingly overt corruption of the Trump administration,” Snyder wrote, “one must ask whether the United States armed forces are now being used on a per-hire basis.” Snyder noted that Gulf Arab states eager to curb Iran’s power “have generated extremely generous packages of compensation for companies associated with Trump personally and with members of his family.”
Last week, Hugo Lowell of The Guardian reported that Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, both of whom have deep financial ties to the Middle East, would guide the decision of whether to strike Iran. Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been lobbying for U.S. strikes on Iran for a long time, and hours after Snyder wrote, Washington Post journalists Birnbaum, Hudson, DeYoung, Allison, and Mekhennet reported that Trump decided to attack Iran after Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman made “multiple private phone calls to Trump over the past month advocating a U.S. attack” while at the same time publicly calling for a diplomatic solution.
At Talking Points Memo, Josh Marshall pointed out that as his power diminishes, Trump “is leaning heavily into the presidential prerogative powers where his power is most untrammeled, where the loss of political power doesn’t really matter. Almost no presidential power is more clearly in that character [than] the president’s control over the military.”
And that is the crux of the matter. For all the vagueness of Trump’s justifications and goals in attacking Iran, he has launched a war—his word—on his own, assuming the powers of a dictator.
The Constitution gives to Congress, not to the president, the power to declare war. After fighting for their independence against a king they considered a tyrant, the men of the constitutional convention were not about to hand the power of raising an army to a single man. One delegate commented that he “never expected to hear in a republic a motion to empower the Executive alone to declare war.”
Trump’s attack on Iran also violates the charter of the United Nations, under which members promise not to attack other states. This particular attack raises the specter of a larger war. In an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council today, U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres warned that “[e]verything must be done to prevent a further escalation” in the Middle East.
Trump launched his attack while lawmakers were not scheduled to be in Washington, D.C., for a week, but Democrats are demanding Congress return immediately to vote on whether to continue military action against Iran. Senator Andy Kim (D-NJ) said in an interview: “This is one of the most dangerous efforts that Trump is undertaking in the second term: trying to normalize war without Congress, trying to normalize the idea that a president can just do whatever they want when it comes to foreign policy.” Huge though this is, there is a larger issue behind it: Since taking office again, Trump has gone out of his way to define tariffs, deportations, and so on as part of national security policy.
The president is supposed to get Congress’s buy-in to go to war in part because that requirement forces an executive to convince the American people that a contemplated military action is worth their tax dollars and their lives. But Trump made little effort to explain his Iran attack to the American people, and they oppose it. Morris notes that support for attacking Iran has held fairly steady for months and remained so after the strikes, with 34% in favor of them and 44% opposed. This is “incredibly low” support for a foreign war, Morris writes, and support for military action tends to be highest at the start of a war.
Trump’s attack on Iran scorns the will of the people and their constitutional right to decide whether they want to pay for a war with their money and their lives. That disdain for democratic government reveals that Trump’s military adventure against Iran is also fundamentally an attack on the United States of America.
—
Notes:
https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/28/middleeast/israel-attack-iran-intl-hnk
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/read-trumps-full-statement-on-iran-attack
https://abcnews.com/US/months-after-operation-midnight-hammer-us-strikes-iran/story?id=130599531
https://www.cfr.org/articles/trumps-iran-attack-was-impressive-airpower-has-its-limits
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounders/what-iran-nuclear-deal
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/02/28/trump-iran-war-regime-change-freedom/
?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/28/trump-iran-decision-saudi-arabia-israel/
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/27/ppi-january-2026-.html
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/feb/23/trump-iran-airstrikes-nuclear-deal
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/prerogative-powers-and-presidential-self-care
https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/constitution-transcript#1-8
https://www.nixonlibrary.gov/news/war-powers-resolution-1973
Max Farrand, ed., The Records of the Federal Convention of 1787 (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1911), p. 318, at https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=nyp.33433031857729&seq=334&q1=%22make+war%22
https://press.un.org/en/sc_live
https://www.un.org/en/about-us/un-charter/full-text
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/28/war-powers-congress-trump-iran/
Bluesky:
mistakotta.bsky.social/post/3mfxaa3dmr222
Here's the announcement from the American Academy of Arts and Sciences*:
Claudia Goldin to Receive Talcott Parsons Prize
“To truly understand the American economy, one must recognize Claudia Goldin’s essential work,” said Laurie L. Patton, President of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. “We commend her fearlessness, leadership, and commitment to understanding what is lost and what is gained for everyone when opportunities for women contract or expand. Her dedication to communicating that knowledge widely is equally courageous.”
“It is a great honor to receive an award named for Talcott Parsons that has been given to leading figures in linguistics, history, psychology, and sociology,” said Goldin. “I am immensely gratified that my work in economic history is seen as a bridge between economics and the other social sciences.”
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I learned of this award from an email with the subject line "Announcing an Academy Award," which for a moment made me think that Claudia had been honored by the Academy Awards, and would receive an Oscar.

Chinese launch firm CAS Space is preparing for the inaugural launch of its reusable Kinetica-2 liquid rocket in late March, carrying a prototype cargo spacecraft.
The post CAS Space to launch Kinetica-2 in late March carrying prototype cargo spacecraft appeared first on SpaceNews.

Intuitive Machines raised $175 million in a stock sale Feb. 25 and plans to use the proceeds to help build out a deep space communications network.
The post Intuitive Machines raises $175 million in stock sale appeared first on SpaceNews.
I promised you I would be tracking this issue, and so here is a major development. From the QJE by Adrien Bilal and Diego R Känzig::
This paper estimates that the macroeconomic damages from climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought. Exploiting natural global temperature variability, we find that 1○C warming reduces world GDP by over 20% in the long run. Global temperature correlates strongly with extreme climatic events, unlike country-level temperature used in previous work, explaining our larger estimate. We use this evidence to estimate damage functions in a neoclassical growth model. Business-as-usual warming implies a present welfare loss of more than 30%, and a Social Cost of Carbon in excess of $1,200 per ton. These impacts suggest that unilateral decarbonization policy is cost-effective for large countries such as the United States.
Here is an open access version. You may recall that earlier estimates of climate change costs were more like a five to ten percent welfare loss to the world. I do not however find the main results here plausible. The estimation is extremely complicated, and based on the premise that a higher global temperature does more harm to a region than a higher local temperature. And are extreme events a “productivity shock,” or a one-time resource loss that occasions some Solow catch-up? Is the basic modeling consistent with the fact that, while the number of extreme storms may be rising, the number of deaths from those same storms is falling over time? Lives lost are not the same as economic costs, but still the capacity for adjustment seems considerably underrated. What about the effects to date? The authors themselves write: “According to our counterfactual, world GDP per capita would be more than 20% higher today had no warming occurred between 1960 and 2019.” I absolutely do not believe that claim.
In any case, here is your update. To be clear, I do absolutely favor the development of alternative, less polluting energy sources.
The post New results on the economic costs of climate change appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
A landmark law that limits children under the age of 16 to one hour per day on social media apps has been blocked by a US court, in a blow to child safety campaigners seeking to limit exposure to sites such as Instagram and YouTube.
In an opinion released on Friday, a federal judge in Virginia halted the enforcement of a bill passed by the state last year, under which social media companies could be fined $7,500 per violation.
The state “does not have the legal authority to block minors’ access to constitutionally protected speech until their parents give their consent by overriding a government-imposed default limit”, Judge Patricia Tolliver Giles wrote of the measure, implementing a preliminary injunction.
Giles concluded the law was “over-inclusive”. Under it, “a minor would be barred from watching an online church service if it exceeded an hour on YouTube . . . yet, that same minor is allowed to watch provider-selected religious programming exceeding an hour in length on a streaming platform,” she wrote. “This treats functionally equivalent speech differently.”
Here is more from the FT.
The post Stand with free speech and the Constitution appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

SpaceX launched a Falcon 9 rocket early Sunday from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California, carrying another batch of satellites for the company’s Starlink internet service.
Liftoff of the Starlink 17-23 mission from Space Launch Complex 4 East occurred at 2:10:39 a.m. PST (5:10:39 a.m. EST / 1010:39 UTC). The rocket, carrying 25 Starlink V2 Mini satellites, took southerly trajectory on departure from the launch site in central California.
Falcon 9 booster B1082 was making its 20th flight since its inaugural flight in January 2024. It previously launched the USSF-62, OneWeb Launch 20 and NROL-145 missions, plus 15 Starlink deliveries.
The booster landed on the drone ship, ‘Of Course I Still Love You,’ positioned in the Pacific Ocean, just over eight minutes after leaving the launch pad.
The 25 satellites stacked atop the second stage were successfully deployed a little over an hour into flight, SpaceX said in a social media post.
By now, we all understand that the major US-Israeli military raids across vast areas of Iran are triggering a flood of counterattacks and ripples intended or not, and unanswered questions about how this will end and the price to be paid.
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu have provoked a war whose justification and legal authority is unclear, whose goals embrace “regime change” by an Iranian public rather than the joint military forces, and whose reach can easily spread across the region. There were reports, including statements from Trump, that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in bombings that also left at least 50 Iranian schoolchildren dead in their school.
The prospects remain high for substantial civilian death and injury in Iran, Israel and on American military bases in the region, for a destabilized Middle East, for immediate oil and economic price rises over strangled Gulf traffic. For all the punditry yesterday, the most important practical assessments from the targeting and counterattacks were hard to confirm. What we can expect is Trump emerging to praise the raids as overwhelmingly successful, still with us in the dark about how to measure success.
As much as Iran’s bristling aggressiveness over years has made that country an international scourge, Trump’s decision to launch widespread, simultaneous bombings in at least 14 Iranian cities as “negotiations” towards halting nuclear weapons development and limitations on missile production were still underway seems abrupt. This Iran not only is willing to threaten with proxy armies in Lebanon, Gaza, Yemen and more, it has been willing to kill tens of thousands of its own citizens who challenge its regime,
From the voluminous reporting, Iranian offers in those negotiations had made substantial headway towards meeting an impatient Trump’s demands, though he and Netanyahu remained unhappy that the offers did not reflect total capitulation. Any number of sourced reports had Trump reacting personally to Iranian leadership as “bad people” as much as about achieving any verifiable nuclear agreement.
There is plenty of international agreement that the Iranian government has exported violence and supported international terrorism, that it is sworn to elimination of Israel, that it believes in imposed theocracy and that it is brutal to its own citizens. The question for the U.S. always has been what to do about it.
It must be underscored that Trump ended the deal struck by Barack Obama more than a decade ago that largely mirrors what his administration has been discussing with Iran now. The same Trump who convened an international Board of Peace under his control is at war again.
But without Trump preparing the nation or seeking congressional authority for warmaking, we’ve pulled the trigger – and are expecting the magic of enlightenment to strike Iran. There is no “law enforcement” action here, as cited in Venezuela, and it is a war action that has the U.S. acting without its European and global allies. One Trump social post cited Iranian interference in U.S. elections, a Trump staple.
We are unclear what happens if there are American or Israeli casualties or an attack, say, on a U.S. warship.
Apart from all else, at a time of political lows for himself, Trump is violating his compact with MAGA political backers who have supported his insistence to avoid international conflicts.
Of course, Iran is fighting back with the very missiles under discussion, seeking to hit civilian and military sites in Israel, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and more.
For Trump, war is sending bombers – war from afar and above. Perhaps the most cynical view of these raids centers on the Trump belief that bombing will bring about political goals. Somehow, with no apparent plan in place, even the death of the ayatollah by an American bomb will not logically lead to Iranian timidity with a pliant new government.
Trump is appealing to the Iranian public to overthrow its leadership as if no American or Israeli lives will be put at risk or as if there is an Iranian government-in-waiting to continue normal daily life for 90 million Iranians of varying ethnicities and allegiances.
Trump’s previous raid on nuclear weapons plants prompted insistence that he personally had obliterated Iran’s nuclear capabilities. Now, again, we’re being told Iran is “within days” of producing a bomb – without public evidence – and that we need to punish Iran for five decades of threats.
The shifting explanations for why are starting a war halfway around the world raise questions about whether the negotiations were real in the first place.
If nothing else, these raids show Trump’s penchant for simplistic, unproven messages.
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The post Trump’s Iran War: Bombing Without a Plan, Authority, or Endgame appeared first on DCReport.org.
There are reports that among the bombs dropped on Iran in the very first round of this current attack were some dropped on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s personal residence. Pictures of a devastated compound surrounded by other buildings not hit make clear it was a specific target. Further, the foreign minister of Iran, Abbas Araghchi, was asked by reporters if the Ayatollah and the President were still alive. “As far as I know.” Which causes one to at least wonder whether this was a, “Get out of the way. We’re going to bomb your house now” kind of thing or an actual assassination attempt. (Fast breaking news. Yes, the bombing did kill the Ayatollah. Evidently it was not a, “get out of the way we’re going to bomb your house” thing. The impulsiveness and fall-out from that would need a whole other piece.)
Just last month Russian President Putin claimed Ukraine had tried to use drones to bomb his residence. Turns out it wasn’t true but that got me to wondering why we hadn’t. Or why we hadn’t helped Ukraine do that. In an attack to steal territory, apparently driven almost entirely by the leader of the attacking country, why not inflict some direct damage on the properties and economic interests of that leader themselves? Since Putin brought it up I wrote a piece wondering about that very thing.
Now with our having bombed the Ayatollah’s residence it raises the question all the more. Even with as much trouble as Iran has frequently been to its neighbors they are not currently invading any neighbor and trying to expand Iran’s borders. They are not dropping bombs on civilian areas, as Putin has been doing for years now on Ukraine.
I could come up with some speculations on why not, and so could you, but something fundamental comes through, clearly, regardless of the details. Trump just really, really, wants a “victorious warlord” feather in his cap and wants to show, in his own mind, what a tough guy he is, and he sees Iran as a chance to do that. Helping Ukraine succeed? Not so much. He really wants to stick it to the Ayatollah. Putin? Not so much.
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The post Trump Bombed Ayatollah’s Home But Not Putin’s? appeared first on DCReport.org.
My thanks to Sentry for sponsoring last week at DF. Sentry is running a hands-on workshop: “Crash Reporting, Tracing, and Logs for iOS in Sentry”. You can watch it on demand. You’ll learn how to connect the dots between slowdowns, crashes, and the user experience in your iOS app. It’ll show you how to:
I know so many developers using Sentry. It’s a terrific product. If you’re a developer and haven’t checked them out, you should.