May 12, 2026.   Not Your Average Joe.

Who looks cooler in a 727, me or Joe Strummer?

Okay, don’t answer that.

I’m unsure where Joe was headed, but I’m on a Northwest Orient flight from Boston to Orlando, Florida. It’s April of 1980.

This was only my fourth or fifth time on an airplane, and my first time sitting in first class. It was a morning departure. You can’t quite see it, but I’m eating a cheese omelette.

 

Strummer Photo courtesy of Bob Gruen.

The post May 12, 2026.   Not Your Average Joe. appeared first on AskThePilot.com.

My excellent Conversation with Bob Spitz

Here is the audio, video, and transcript.  Here is the episode summary:

Bob Spitz has written major biographies of the Beatles, Led Zeppelin, Bob Dylan, and now the Rolling Stones — but also, somehow, Ronald Reagan and Julia Child. In rock, his credentials were hard won: he started out hustling gigs for an unknown Bruce Springsteen for six years, moved on to handling Elton John’s American business, and spent long enough in the world to find himself jamming with Paul McCartney and chatting with Bob Dylan on a stoop in the Village. The Reagan and Julia Child books are harder to explain, and perhaps that’s the point—Spitz seems to do his best work when he has no business writing the book at all.

Tyler and Bob discuss how the Stones became so great so quickly, what they added to the blues, how their melodies stack up against the Beatles’, whether Exile on Main Street deserves its canonical status, which songs are most underrated, what Charlie Watts actually got out of playing in a rock band, the rise and fall of Brian Jones, how the Stones outlasted nearly everyone, the influence of Mick’s London School of Economics training, why popular music has lost its cultural influence, what we should still be asking Paul McCartney and Ringo Starr, whether the Beatles’ breakup was good for the world, how senile Reagan really was in his second term and whether he was ever truly a communist, how good a cook Julia Child actually was, his next book on Lennon’s second act, and much more.

Excerpt:

SPITZ: Mick, from a very early age, was an exercise freak.

As we know from my investigation in the book, Mick’s father was the Jack Lalanne of the United Kingdom. He had a television show, an exercise show like Richard Simmons, and he always had a great person to show off the exercises, young Michael. He would say, Mike, get down, show him 50 pushups. Mike, do 100 chins, and Mick would jump to it and do it. That man still has a 27-inch waist at the age of 83.

Keith, on the other hand, is a medical miracle.

And this:

COWEN: Mick once said his favorite economist was Friedrich A. Hayek. Do you know anything more about that?

SPITZ: I do not, actually. I think it’s incredible that Mick had favorite economists. We do know that Mick was a scholarship student to the London School of Economics, and that for two and a half years, he attended and got pretty good grades. He did fairly well. The one thing that amazes me about Mick coming out of that London School of Economics is this. After 1967, when Andrew Loog Oldham stopped managing the Stones, they have never had another manager. They’ve had some money managers, but as far as managers go, Mick Jagger was their manager.

And:

COWEN: How good a cook was Julia Child? That’s another of your biographies. Actually, how good was she?

SPITZ: She was great. She was a wonderful person, but here’s the little secret. Julia was a great cooking teacher, but not a very good cook. There were people who left her house—and John Updike told me this. He was a frequent guest with her. Corby Kummer, who was a wonderful food writer, told me this as well. They’d leave Julia’s house. They’d go to a little park around the corner, and they’d get physically ill. They’d get sick. Julia used too much butter, too much cream. She really had no reins on her when it came to using things like that.

Bob was excellent throughout, and I very much enjoyed his new biography of the Rolling Stones.

The post My excellent Conversation with Bob Spitz appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

      

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Ice Moves Out of Aniak

April 21, 2026
May 7, 2026
A frozen river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Nearby meandering channels are also frozen, and much of the surrounding land is snow-covered.
A frozen river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Nearby meandering channels are also frozen, and much of the surrounding land is snow-covered.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
A river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Some stretches of the wide channel are still frozen over, while others contain broken-up ice. Most of the surrounding land is snow-free.
A river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Some stretches of the wide channel are still frozen over, while others contain broken-up ice. Most of the surrounding land is snow-free.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
A frozen river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Nearby meandering channels are also frozen, and much of the surrounding land is snow-covered.
A frozen river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Nearby meandering channels are also frozen, and much of the surrounding land is snow-covered.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
A river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Some stretches of the wide channel are still frozen over, while others contain broken-up ice. Most of the surrounding land is snow-free.
A river winds from east to west past Aniak, Alaska. Some stretches of the wide channel are still frozen over, while others contain broken-up ice. Most of the surrounding land is snow-free.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
April 21, 2026
May 7, 2026
The landscape along the Kuskokwim River near Aniak, Alaska, is frozen on April 21, 2026 (left), while spring melt and river ice breakup are evident on May 7, 2026 (right). Both images were acquired with the OLI (Operational Land Imager) on Landsat 9. NASA Earth Observatory images by Michala Garrison.

Thawing may be a welcome sight for Alaskans following a remarkably cold winter and early spring in much of the state. But with melting comes the threat of rapid flooding in low-lying areas as river ice breaks up and periodically jams.

The landscape along the Kuskokwim River appeared frozen in a Landsat 9 image acquired on April 21, 2026 (left). According to observations published by the Alaska-Pacific River Forecast Center, river ice near the town of Aniak was thick and still covered in deep snow as of April 16. The Kuskokwim ice road connecting numerous villages traces a dark line down the river. The thick river ice supported a route that extended about 350 miles (560 kilometers) in winter 2025-2026 and shut down for the season on April 10, according to news reports.

Conditions were changing quickly around May 7, when the right image was acquired. The previous day, the front of the ice breakup had nearly reached Aniak, and a sheet of grounded ice caused a jam that stretched 21 miles (34 kilometers) upstream. News reports showed ice chunks several feet thick piled up on riverbanks around the town. Ice became unstuck by May 7, and the backup, visible above (right), had started to flow downstream.

Aniak remained at risk, however, as ice clogged the river later that night, this time several miles downstream from the community. Waters began to rise, and a flood watch was issued for the town on May 8. Water inundated low-lying areas and encroached on homes and businesses near the east side of the runway, according to reports, before receding two days later.

Flooding caused by spring breakup can be most hazardous when heavy snowpack and thick ice remain in place from the winter and there’s a sudden transition from freezing to warmer temperatures. In what is known as a dynamic breakup, snowmelt encounters intact ice and causes water to back up quickly. On the other hand, if ice weakens before significant snowmelt or ice from upstream arrives, jams are less likely to form.

Forecasters noted that spring 2026 showed warning signs of a dynamic breakup. Snowpack was above average in some major river drainages, and historically low temperatures marked the winter and spring months in many places. For example, the March average temperature in Bethel, downstream of Aniak, was 14 degrees Fahrenheit (8 degrees Celsius) below normal. However, floods had been relatively minor along the large rivers through early May, experts noted, while cautioning that more severe flooding still has the potential to develop quickly.

NASA Earth Observatory images by Michala Garrison, using Landsat data from the U.S. Geological Survey. Story by Lindsey Doermann.

References & Resources

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A new US military wargame series began by simulating a nuclear weapon in orbit

US Space Command is inviting commercial companies to participate in a new series of classified wargames. The first exercise simulated a scenario involving a potential nuclear detonation in orbit.

Gen. Stephen Whiting, the senior officer in charge of Space Command, discussed the new wargame series Tuesday in a discussion hosted by the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies. Space Command is responsible for military activities in space and is separate from the Space Force, which provides the people and equipment to support those operations.

The new wargames, called Apollo Insight, combine military and commercial expertise to respond to simulated threats in space. Space Command plans to conduct four Apollo Insight "tabletop exercises" this year.

Read full article

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Meta's AI Chief On AI Beef, New Models And Life With Zuck - EP 71 Alex Wang

Last June, Meta pried Alex Wang away from Scale AI, the company he co-founded and ran, in a deal valued at $14 billion. Zuck could feel Meta fading in the AI race and decided that Wang was the rescue plan. He would work full-time at Meta, assemble a super team and hopefully make the company more competitive against the likes of OpenAI, Anthropic and Alphabet.

Wang has basically been in hiding ever since. He moved from San Francisco to the South Bay to be closer to Meta’s headquarters and has been working non-stop. Last month, the world saw the first fruits of the revitalized AI effort in the form of Meta’s new Muse Spark model. And now Wang is speaking for the first time about the model, Meta’s grand AI ambitions and all the happenings over the last year in an exclusive interview here on the Core Memory podcast.

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Wang arrived at our studio sporting a mullet and a powerful whitetail deer camouflage shirt. He was in good spirits and tried his best to convince us that Meta can catch up to its rivals.

We hit on his personal beef with Sam Altman, Zuck delivering soup to AI recruits, the incredible pay packages Meta has been handing out, the vast amount of work Meta still has to do and the Meta AI hierarchy that includes all-stars like Nat Friedman, Daniel Gross and Shengjia Zhao, who seems to have blocked me on X for reasons I know nothing about.

The Core Memory podcast is on all major platforms and on our YouTube channel over here. If you like the show, please leave a review and tell your friends.

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Do you make stuff? Do you need metal parts fast and believe in truth and justice? Then head on over to SendCutSend where you’ll get a 15 percent discount thanks to Core Memory on whatever you’re trying to build. We believe in you.

The Core Memory podcast is also sponsored by Brex, the intelligent finance platform built to help companies spend smarter and move faster.

Did we go to Texas, find a telescope ranch and then obtain an entire nebula in Brex’s honor? Oh yes, we did.

We run on Brex and so should you. Learn more about Brex right here.

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★ Nextpad++

Windows Notepad is, more or less, the Windows peer to MacOS’s TextEdit — the built-in system text editor. For years, it was really basic — so much more basic than TextEdit that it engendered no affection. You don’t see paeans to Notepad in The New Yorker. Recently though, Microsoft has started beefing it up, culminating last year when they added fucking Markdown support. Which still blows my mind.

Notepad++ is a longstanding open source (GPL) Windows text editor by Don Ho, which debuted back in 2003. Just adding “++” to the name might be misleading. The name implies that it’s like Microsoft’s Notepad plus a little more. But Notepad++ is in fact a wholly independent programming text editor, with a rich plugin library. It doesn’t resemble Microsoft’s Notepad much at all anymore. It’s over two decades old but remains quite popular. To some extent Notepad++ is sorta kinda the Windows peer to BBEdit.

Nextpad++ is something new, from Andrey Letov. It’s a Mac port of the Notepad++ GPL code. It launched a few weeks ago under the name “Notepad++ for Mac”, but Letov had no right or permission to the name. That dispute has been settled, and Letov has renamed this project Nextpad++. The website’s About page has entire sections for “How Nextpad++ for Mac Was Built” and “Technology Stack”, and neither of those mentions AI, but this thing has to have been built using AI vibe-coding agents. That same About page also says the project only started on March 10, and the 1.0 version (under the defunct “Notepad++ for Mac” name) shipped just a few weeks after that. Something of the scope of this port couldn’t happen at that pace without AI. Update: On the Author page, not the About page, it states, “multi-agent AI development workflows are what make a one-person project at this scale practical.” Possible, sure, but I wouldn’t call this practical.

Nextpad++ feels like a fever dream. Like what Mac apps would be if the Nazis had won WWII. Look, there are all sorts of foreign apps on the Mac. Electron apps. Apps ported with Wine. Web apps running in browser tabs or saved to the Dock. The curious new generation of lean-and-mean apps that are, in a technical sense, “native”, but are decidedly not Mac-assed apps, like Zed and Tolaria. All those types of apps feel alien on MacOS. Like different species. They are apps for the Mac but aren’t Mac apps. The Mac, however, is welcoming to them all, like the Mos Eisley cantina. We do serve their kind here. Nextpad++ isn’t like that. It doesn’t feel like an alien. It feels like Vincent D’Onofrio’s alien-bug-in-human-skin character from Men in Black.

Letov’s website describes Nextpad++ as “A real Mac app, not a Wine wrapper: Objective-C++ on top of Scintilla and Cocoa, shipped as a Universal Binary for Apple Silicon (M1–M5) and Intel Macs.” Ostensibly that’s a good thing. The download is only 14 MB. But Nextpad++ looks and feels like something that should not exist. The promotional screenshots on the app’s own website show it with 50 inscrutable toolbar buttons. It closes document tabs on mousedown, not mouseup. Its default font is 10-point Courier New. This is a real dialog box. It offers four settings for font antialiasing — “Default”, “None”, “Antialiased”, and “LCD Optimized” — but the default is not “Default”. No human being would port a complex Windows app like Notepad++ to the Mac like this.

I’m not anti-AI. I’m very much intrigued by the whole incipient vibe-coding phenomenon. But this app feels unholy.

May 12, 2026

The biggest story in the country, today and always, is that the president of the United States is mentally unwell.

Over the course of three hours last night, he posted on social media fifty-five times. Those posts accused a number of those Trump considers his personal enemies, including former president Barack Obama, of treason; claimed that investigations of the ties between his 2016 campaign and Russian operatives were an attempt to damage Trump; insisted the 2020 presidential election was stolen; reposted a fake quotation from Senator John Kennedy (R-LA) accusing Obama of making a personal fortune of $120 million from the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare; labeled Obama and others “traitors” and called for their arrest; and demanded to know why acting attorney general Todd Blanche hadn’t indicted any of those people yet.

This morning, he started in again with a long screed attacking the New York Times for its coverage of his alterations to the reflecting pool in front of the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C., and insisting that Democratic presidents Obama and Joe Biden had “botched” renovations that he was now fixing for “a ‘tiny’ fraction of the cost!” He posted an AI image of Obama, Biden, and former House speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) apparently swimming in a filthy version of the reflecting pool with the caption: “Dumacrats Love Sewage.” Then he posted an image of himself on the $100 bill. And then he was back to calling House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) “Low IQ.”

After posting a number of AI images showing the U.S. military destroying the Iranian military, Trump posted: “When the Fake News says that the Iranian enemy is doing well, Militarily, against us, it’s virtual TREASON in that it is such a false, and even preposterous, statement. They are aiding and abetting the enemy!”

Then he posted an image of a map with Venezuela overlaid with the U.S. flag. The caption read: “51st State.”

Trump seems to be comforting himself by lashing out at his perceived enemies and insisting he is competent and popular. Before he left for China today, he claimed: “We have Iran very much under control. We’re either going to make a deal or they’re going to be decimated. One way or the other, we win.”

Mosheh Gains, Courtney Kube, and Monica Alba of NBC News reported today that if Trump decides to restart major combat operations against Iran, military leaders are considering renaming the operations with a new name, like “Operation Sledgehammer,” to suggest those operations would be different than the current “Epic Fury.” They argue that renaming the military operation would restart the clock of the 1973 War Powers Act that requires congressional authorization to continue it after sixty days, a deadline that ran out on May 1.

War Powers Act expert Brian Finucane, who was a lawyer for the State Department, commented: “Nope. Changing the name of the authorized war with Iran does not alter the application of the War Powers Resolution’s 60-day clock.”

In the meantime, there is no apparent movement toward opening the Strait of Hormuz, even as numbers released today by the Department of Labor show that inflation in April hit its highest level since 2023. Trump’s own intelligence agencies assessed earlier this year that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon and that Iran’s leader had not reauthorized the nuclear weapons program he suspended in 2003. An assessment from the Defense Intelligence Agency said that Iran would not be able to reach the U.S. with an intercontinental ballistic missile until 2035.

Nonetheless, the administration and its supporters appear to have settled on the idea that the cost of the war has been worthwhile because the U.S. was under imminent threat of nuclear attack by Iran. When a reporter asked Trump today, before he left for China, to what extent Americans’ financial situation is motivating him to make a deal with Iran, he answered:

“Not even a little bit. The only thing that matters when I’m talking about Iran—they can’t have a nuclear weapon. I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing—we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all.”

A CNN/SSRS poll released today shows that 70% of Americans disapprove of the way Trump is handling the economy.

Trump is, however, thinking about his own financial situation. Tonight Andrew Duehren and Alan Feuer of the New York Times reported that the Department of Justice is in talks to settle Trump’s $10 billion lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service for damages after a contractor during Trump’s first term leaked tax information, including his, to the media.

The judge in the case has ordered Trump’s lawyers and the Department of Justice to file briefs by May 20 explaining why this is a true case in which the two sides are opposed when Trump both is the plaintiff and runs the agency that is the defendant. If they settle before then, the judge will not be able to say much about whether the case was valid in the first place.

Duehren and Feuer note that the Department of Justice has fought similar cases brought because of the leak, arguing that the government can’t be held liable for something a contractor does. The government settled a case with hedge fund billionaire Ken Griffin in 2024 by making a public apology.

The New York Times journalists report that one of the options for settling with Trump would be for the IRS to drop any audits of Trump, his family members, or his businesses. Since 1977, IRS policy has been to conduct a mandatory audit of the sitting president every year, although it failed to audit Trump’s taxes for his first two years in office during his first term. Clearly, he would like for it to fail to audit his taxes this time around as well.

The special treatment certain people enjoy in the U.S. that enables them to get around accountability was in the news earlier today, too, as the victims of sex offender Jeffrey Epstein testified before a panel made up of the Democrats on the House Oversight and Reform Committee. The top Democrat on the committee, Robert Garcia of California, began the day by introducing a new report called “The Price of Non-Prosecution.” It explained that the sweetheart deal U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida Alexander Acosta—later Trump’s secretary of labor—negotiated with Epstein to protect him from federal prosecution left him able to continue his sex-trafficking operation and to expand it.

The survivors recounted their anger and frustration when they discovered the federal government had made a secret deal with Epstein. One survivor, who identified herself as Roza, detailed how Epstein sexually assaulted her over three years when he was supposed to be serving a jail sentence. She broke down as she recounted how the Department of Justice under then–attorney general Pam Bondi continued that favoritism, exposing her name publicly while leaving the names of the perpetrators’ names redacted.

“I stepped forward along other survivors hoping those who allowed this to happen will be held accountable. I kept my identity protected as ‘Jane Doe.’ I woke up one day with my name mentioned over 500 times. While the rich and powerful remain protected by redaction, my name was exposed to the world. Now reporters from across the globe contact me. I cannot live without looking over my shoulder. I can only imagine the long-term impact this ‘mistake’ will have on my life.”

In Tennessee today, Tennessee House speaker Cameron Sexton removed all the House Democrats from standing committees, saying they had behaved in a way “aimed at disrupting the democratic and legislative processes” as they protested the mid-decade redistricting that broke up Tennessee’s only majority-Black, Democratic district. As Tennessee state representative Justin J. Pearson notes, this decree removed “every Black elected official in the state legislature from any committee we served on” and stripped “nearly 2 million Tennesseans from the representation they deserve” in the Tennessee state legislature.

“We will not stop fighting,” state representative Justin Jones posted. “We will not stop getting in good trouble. We will not go back!”

Notes:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/inflation-could-hit-4-next-month-and-stay-elevated-for-rest-of-year-economist-warns

https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-uae-iron-dome-f3d5738853111cfc80985c157edab7c3

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/pentagon-considering-re-naming-iran-war-sledgehammer-ceasefire-collaps-rcna344630

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/why-us-attack-iran-trump-administration/

https://www.dia.mil/Portals/110/Documents/News/golden_dome.pdf

https://www.factcheck.org/2025/06/trump-gabbard-comments-on-iran-nuclear-capability/

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-not-thinking-american-finances-iran-talk-rcna344785

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/28114951-cnn-poll-conducted-by-ssrs-affordability/

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/12/business/trump-suit-irs.html

https://www.npr.org/2022/12/27/1145579351/why-did-the-irs-neglect-to-audit-trump-during-his-first-2-years-in-office

https://oversightdemocrats.house.gov/imo/media/doc/the_price_of_non-prosecution.pdf

https://pro.stateaffairs.com/tn/politics/house-democrats-committee-removal

https://www.actionnews5.com/2026/05/12/multiple-tn-democrats-stripped-all-committee-assignments/

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/12/jeffrey-epstein-survivor-palm-beach-hearing

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Politics Chat, May 12, 2026

Politics Chat, May 12, 2026

Made in the U.S.A.*

CSP Allow-list Experiment

Tool: CSP Allow-list Experiment

An experiment that shows that you can load an app in a CSP-protected sandboxed iframe (see previous note) and have a custom fetch() that intercepts CSP errors and passes them up to the parent window... which can then prompt the user to add that domain to an allow-list and then refresh the page.

Screenshot of a web tool titled "CSP Allow-list Experiment" with buttons Reset sample, Clear allow-list, Refresh preview. Left panel shows HTML source code starting with <!doctype html>. Right panel shows Preview with CSP header default-src 'none'; script-src 'unsafe-inline'; style-s... and heading "Sandbox fetch test". A modal dialog from tools.simonwillison.net is overlaid reading: "The sandbox tried to connect to: https://api.inaturalist.org   Add this origin to the CSP connect-src allow-list and refresh the page?" with an unchecked checkbox "Don't allow tools.simonwillison.net to prompt you again" and Cancel and OK buttons. Below is "Messages from sandbox" showing fetch-catch blocked https://api.inaturalist.org/v1/observations?per... connect-src · https://api.inaturalist.org. At the bottom left is "Allowed fetch() origins" with an input field containing https://api.github.com, an Add button, and a tag https://api.github.com x.

I built this one with GPT-5.5 xhigh running in the Codex desktop app.

Tags: content-security-policy, iframes, security

Esther Kim Varet believes she has what it takes

Esther Kim Varet a Democratic candidate in the CA-40 congressional race, was offered the opportunity to write a piece following Lisa Ramirez’s guest post from earlier this week.

Dear CA40 voters: if you live in CA40, your June 2 ballot includes an extremely important choice that has urgent implications for our district and our entire nation.

In our district, two well-funded Republican incumbents are at war with each other over who is more loyal to Donald Trump. Five Democrats, including me (Esther Kim-Varet), are running to replace them, alongside one candidate not affiliated with a party. Eight candidates total. Under California’s top-two primary, only the top two vote-count candidates advance to November, regardless of party and regardless of percentages. This is a “sudden death” primary that offers no second chance.

Because both the Republican and Democrat votes are split, this is a very similar dynamic to the Governor’s race, but even riskier because CA40 has more registered Republicans than registered Democrats. Compare my campaign to Xavier Becerra’s: well-funded, organized, and competitive in the polls. The other Democratic candidates’ campaigns are comparable to Antonio Villaraigosa’s: well-intentioned and hardworking, but mathematically stalled and at risk of dividing the vote enough to pre-emptively hand the election to Republicans on June 2.

I do not say this to disparage anyone. I respect every Democrat who has stepped forward to run in this district. But in this particular primary, with only three weeks left, we need to move past mud-slinging and wish-casting and instead focus on the facts, the math, and the stakes.

The facts. Tulchin Research’s latest poll of five hundred likely CA40 primary voters shows me at 20 percent, statistically tied with Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim. Among Democratic voters specifically, my support has surged to 42 percent in just four months, since the earlier January poll. My closest Democratic rival lost ground and is down to 6 percent overall support. The next closest Democrat is at 4 percent. Both of those other Democratic candidates are trending downward since January. To date, my campaign has raised $3 million dollars (mostly from 65,000 small dollar grassroots donations), run paid television advertising, deployed mail across the district, and built a social media audience of more than one hundred and fifty thousand supporters. My Democratic opponents, after trying for six months since redistricting, have done none of these things at scale, not because they lack character or commitment, but because they lack the resources and operational infrastructure required to compete with two well-funded Republican incumbents.

The math. The two candidates with the highest vote totals on June 2 advance to November, regardless of party. With Calvert, Young Kim, and me locked in a statistical tie at the top of the field, this race is an unusual “sudden death” primary. There is no second chance for Democrats. If our Democratic vote splits between multiple challenger candidates while the Republican vote consolidates behind Calvert and Young Kim, two MAGA Republicans WILL advance to November together. A vote for any Democrat other than the only Democrat in striking distance (me) is implicitly a vote to forfeit CA40 to Trump-enabling Republicans. Like it or not, like me or not, that is just the factual math of this high-stakes dual-Republican top-2 primary.

The stakes. They could not be higher. After this week’s Virginia ruling, the path to a Democratic House majority has narrowed to a perilous knife’s edge. CA40 is the LAST MAGA-held seat in Southern California that Democrats can realistically flip in 2026, and the ONLY red-to-blue seat in the nation that is at risk of forfeiture in the primary. If we surrender this district because our coalition could not unite around the only candidate in position to actually get a spot in the general election, we will all share responsibility for a Republican-held House through the remainder of President Trump’s second term. That means no oversight of an administration that has already targeted civil liberties, environmental protections, the press, and the basic machinery of American democracy. The cost of disunity in CA40 would be paid by every American who believes in free elections and the rule of law.

I am not your only option in this primary. I am your only viable option. I have made missteps in this race, as every first-time candidate does, and I will make more before June 2. If you need to hold your nose to vote for me, please do. Hold your nose. Cast the ballot. Move on. Let’s make CA40 blue together. Let’s help put checks and balances on the Trump administration together. The only alternative is a CA40 represented by two of the most corrupt and harmful incumbents in Congress.

For those who want more detail on my policies and platform, I welcome and encourage you to review them here and here, and hope you will reach out to me to discuss at ekv@estherforcongress.org.

My door is always open.

I am asking every Democrat in CA40, every independent who values democracy, and every Republican who recognizes that something has gone deeply wrong in their party and our nation, to join me on June 2. We have only three weeks to prevent this critical House seat from being forfeited to Trump-enabling Republicans.

Here is a link to the detailed poll analysis of 500 CA40 primary voters taken last week by highly respected pollster Ben Tulchin, who also works with among others Bernie Sanders, Gavin Newsom, Dave Min, Fiona Ma, and Sharon Quirk-Silva. This is the best information available today on where the CA40 race stands and how we can prevent a Republican lock-out.


Thanks for listening …

— Esther

Esther Kim Varet is a Democratic candidate in the CA-40 congressional race.

The Price of Non-Prosecution

The Apotheosis of Willful Ignorance

The so-called experts ridiculed Donald Trump’s claims during the 2024 campaign that he would bring grocery prices down on Day One and cut energy prices in half.

The so-called experts said that Trump’s tariffs would raise consumer prices while failing to bring back manufacturing jobs.

The so-called experts said that Trump appointee Pete Hegseth’s emphasis on “warrior ethos” rather than competence and his purge of officers he doesn’t consider sufficiently loyal to Trump would degrade the U.S. military and be disastrous in a war.

The so-called experts warned that Trump’s attack on Iran would lead us into a quagmire and cause a global energy crisis.

The so-called experts said that Trump’s contempt for international agreements and his threats to friendly nations would undermine the world’s trust in America, and that we would find ourselves without allies when we needed their help.

The so-called experts were completely right.

Right now inflation is surging; manufacturing employment is down; the Strait of Hormuz remains closed; and Trump is traveling to Beijing as a supplicant, in effect begging China for help getting out of his Iran mess.

But it would be foolish to expect Trump and his minions to learn anything from their humiliation.

To be fair, experts aren’t always right. For example, many prominent military analysts have been repeatedly, profoundly wrong about the Russia-Ukraine war, grossly exaggerating Russian strength and vastly underestimating Ukrainian resilience. Many economists, myself included, understated the risks of inflation in 2021. Many prominent economists, this time myself not included, then greatly overestimated the costs of getting inflation back down.

But political figures who think that they know better than the so-called experts are much more likely to be wrong than right. And they’re especially likely to be wrong if their rejection of expertise stems from wishful thinking, personal obsessions and, last but by no means least, corruption.

Trump is, of course, a perfect example of the kind of political figure who absolutely shouldn’t disregard experts and absolutely will. When deciding to take us to war with Iran he dismissed warnings about what could go wrong and insisted that it would be easy. His economic policy reflects his decades-old fixation on tariffs; his energy policy is still shaped by his anger over a wind farm that he thought spoiled the view from his golf course; his Iran policy has been driven in large part by a determination to reject everything Barack Obama achieved. And on all issues what he does is strongly influenced by who is able and willing to offer the biggest bribes.

Yet the catastrophic stupidity of current U.S. policy shouldn’t be attributed purely to Trump’s personal unfitness to lead. Willful ignorance and rejection of expert advice have characterized the U.S. political right for many years. Thomas Mann and Norman Ornstein published “It’s Even Worse Than It Looks,” a warning about the growing extremism of the Republican Party, fourteen years ago. Even then they wrote that

The GOP has become an insurgent outlier in American politics. It is ideologically extreme; unmoved by conventional understanding of facts, evidence and science; scornful of compromise and dismissive of the legitimacy of its political opposition. [My emphasis]

Trumpism may represent the apotheosis of willful ignorance as a political principle, but we’ve been heading here for decades.

Why does the right hate expertise?

The rejection of science, like so much of the U.S. political landscape, has a lot to do with the influence of the fossil fuel industry. Warnings about climate change threatened that industry’s profits, so it was necessary to attack climate science, and this generalized into hostility toward scientific research as a whole.

Beyond this specific issue, anti-democratic movements have an inherent distrust of expertise, of anyone who knows what they are talking about. Experts can’t be trusted, because they might think independently. In her classic book The Origins of Totalitarianism Hannah Arendt wrote that

Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty.

The Trump administration isn’t a full-on totalitarian regime, at least not yet, but its instincts obviously run in that direction. The degradation of the federal government’s competence, the gutting of American science, and the epically bad judgment that led to Operation Epic Fury are all part of the same story.

So how will Trump and his party respond to their string of high-profile policy failures, from Iran to inflation? Trump may find a way to accept defeat in the Persian Gulf while claiming victory, although that’s looking harder by the day. But there’s no reason to believe that policymaking will get any better, that the experts and the grownups will be let back into the room. The beatings — and the willful ignorance — will continue until morale improves.

MUSICAL CODA

Welcome to the Datasette blog

Welcome to the Datasette blog

...

Quoting Boris Mann

“11 AI agents” is meaningless as a phrase.

If I said “I have 11 spreadsheets” or “I have 11 browser tabs” to do my work, it means about the same thing.

Boris Mann

Tags: ai-agents, ai, agent-definitions

Wednesday 13 May 1663

Lay till 6 o’clock and then up, and after a little talk and mirth, he went away, and I to my office, where busy all the morning, and at noon home to dinner, and after dinner Pembleton came and I practised. But, Lord! to see how my wife will not be thought to need telling by me or Ashwell, and yet will plead that she has learnt but a month, which causes many short fallings out between us. So to my office, whither one-eyed Cooper came to see me, and I made him to show me the use of platts, and to understand the lines, and how to find how lands bear, &c., to my great content.

Then came Mr. Barrow, storekeeper of Chatham, who tells me many things, how basely Sir W. Batten has carried himself to him, and in all things else like a passionate dotard, to the King’s great wrong. God mend all, for I am sure we are but in an ill condition in the Navy, however the King is served in other places.

Home to supper, to cards, and to bed.

Read the annotations

SES joins Eutelsat in canceling GEO expansion satellites

SES has canceled two satellites Intelsat ordered before being acquired by the Luxembourg-based multi-orbit operator, joining France’s Eutelsat in pulling back from GEO expansion plans drawn up just a few years ago.

SpaceX sets date for first Starship version 3 launch

SpaceX has set a date for the long-delayed first launch of its next-generation Starship vehicle, which is critical to the company’s ambitions as well as NASA’s lunar plans.

Varda to collaborate with United Therapeutics on microgravity drug research

Varda Space Industries has signed its first major agreement with a pharmaceutical company to develop improved drugs in microgravity.

FCC approves SpaceX spectrum deal with $2.4 billion escrow condition

SpaceX has the FCC’s blessing to buy EchoStar spectrum to improve direct-to-device services in the United States, subject to a $2.4 billion escrow tied to disputes over the seller’s abandoned terrestrial 5G network buildout.

Congressional Budget Office estimates $1.2 trillion price tag for Golden Dome

The estimate is over 20 years; space-based interceptors would account for most of the cost

Is AI putting graduates out of work already?

If you are studying coding, we might have some bad news

How the world has avoided an oil catastrophe so far

The great commodity-market mystery is deepening

Index rebalancing is now the biggest event in markets

But profiting from it is another matter

Rocketeers are Competing at the IREC for Your Attention

The 2026 International Rocket Engineering Competition (IREC) is rapidly approaching.  Thousands of engineering students, representing 150 teams from 20+ countries, will converge at the Midland Spaceport (aka, the West Texas […]

The post Rocketeers are Competing at the IREC for Your Attention appeared first on SpaceNews.

Northrop Grumman targets lunar navigation market with Webb-derived guidance system

The LR-450 is designed for spacecraft operating in the absence of GPS signals

Results Age

Please, we need your help. Our research suggests you're the last living descendant of the person who knew how to format this config file.

Xavier, Nick, and Tristan podcast with me

All three are from Queens College, I thought they did a great job, and mostly fresh material.  They describe the episode as such:

Xavier, Tristan, and Nick talk about everything interesting under the sun, including aesthetic convergence, the probability that Tyler lives for many centuries, if Spain was the most culinarily optimal culture to colonize Mexico in the 16th century, if Tyler would have joined the fellowship of the ring, why we don’t yet have a GMU lunch podcast, and much more. We hope you have as much fun listening to it as we had recording it!

Recommended, this is a good argument for sometimes doing podcasts with semi-random people, though choose them wisely.

The post Xavier, Nick, and Tristan podcast with me appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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Related Stories

 

Wednesday assorted links

1. On Pettis and sectoral imbalances.

2. Is this where the Flynn Effect went?

3. Compute futures have arrived?

4. Redoing Dulles?

5. Why restrict stablecoins?

6. Scott Wu of Cognition.

7. “The decline of marginalism may also signal the decline of the philosophy of economics or its radical transformation.

8. Luis Garicano on European productivity problems, excellent post.  Hanno Lustig comments on Russia.

9. Speculative claims about quantum batteries?

The post Wednesday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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Navigating the Long Term Costs of a No Insurance Ticket in Texas

Getting pulled over without insurance is a stressful experience that results in an immediate financial shock. Most drivers are caught off guard by the severity of the initial fine and the administrative hurdles that follow. It is a moment that changes your financial outlook for several years to come.

The state of Texas takes a very aggressive stance on financial responsibility to protect all motorists on the road. When you cannot provide proof of a valid policy, the officer has the authority to issue a significant citation. This event triggers a long list of secondary legal and financial burdens.

One of the first questions people ask after being stopped is how much is a no insurance ticket in Texas . The answer is often much more than just the base fine written on the paper. It involves a cascade of expenses that make it the most expensive ticket you can receive.

Breaking Down Fines for First Time and Subsequent Violations

For a first-time offender, the base fine typically ranges between one hundred and seventy-five dollars to three hundred and fifty dollars. This might seem manageable at first glance, but it is often just the beginning of the state’s intervention. Courts rarely show leniency for those who ignore the basic safety laws.

If you are caught a second time, the stakes rise dramatically for your wallet and your driving record. Subsequent violations carry fines that can reach as high as one thousand dollars per incident. The state views repeat offenders as a significant risk to public safety that must be discouraged through heavy penalties.

These mounting costs can quickly lead to a cycle of debt for families who are already struggling to make ends meet. Paying the citation is just one part of the total financial obligation required by the local court system. The long-term impact on your household budget is often felt for many months.

The Hidden Costs of SR-22 and High Risk Premiums

Perhaps the most hidden and persistent cost of an insurance ticket is the mandatory SR-22 requirement. This is a formal certificate that your insurance company must file with the state to prove you have a policy. It is essentially a high-risk label that follows you for several consecutive years today.

Maintaining this certificate leads to a massive spike in your monthly premiums because you are now seen as a dangerous driver. Many standard carriers will refuse to insure you at all, forcing you into expensive secondary markets. You will likely pay double or triple for the same basic liability coverage.

A single lapse in payment during this time will result in an immediate suspension of your license once again. The state receives a notification the moment your policy is canceled, leading to more fines and legal headaches. This cycle of high premiums is a direct result of that first initial traffic stop.

Administrative Fees and Potential Impoundment Expenses

If your license is suspended following a conviction, you must pay an administrative fee to have it reinstated. This surcharge is an additional burden that must be cleared before you can legally get back behind the wheel. The state uses these fees to cover the costs of managing high-risk driver files.

In many jurisdictions, the officer also has the legal authority to order the immediate impoundment of your vehicle. This leads to towing fees and daily storage costs that accumulate very quickly at the local yard. Recovering your property often requires paying several hundred dollars in cash within just a few days.

These combined expenses create a massive barrier for anyone trying to regain their mobility and return to their daily routine. The logistical nightmare of being without a car adds even more stress to an already difficult situation. Every administrative step carries a price tag that further drains your personal savings accounts.

Impact on Driving Records and Future Employment Options

A conviction for driving without insurance becomes a permanent part of your driving record for all to see. This mark is visible to insurance companies, law enforcement, and even potential employers who conduct background checks. It suggests a lack of responsibility that can be difficult to explain during a professional interview.

If your career involves driving a commercial vehicle or a company car, this citation can be a deal breaker. Many businesses have strict safety standards that prevent them from hiring anyone with a history of insurance violations. Your ability to earn a living in the transportation industry is put at risk.

Protecting your reputation requires a clean record that demonstrates your commitment to following the laws of the road. A single mistake can close doors to high-paying opportunities and limit your career growth for several years. The cost of the ticket is also measured in the opportunities you lose over time.

Conclusion

Final reflections on the true cost of an insurance ticket highlight why it is never worth the risk of driving uncovered. The amount written on the citation is only a small fraction of the total financial and legal burden you will face. It is a lesson that stays with you for years.

By following the rules of the road and maintaining a policy, you protect yourself from these avoidable and expensive headaches. The peace of mind that comes with being fully compliant is worth every cent of your monthly premium payments. Safety and responsibility are the keys to a stable future.

Ultimately, the goal is to ensure that you are never in a position where you have to answer for a lack of coverage. Taking the time to secure an affordable policy is a vital investment in your own physical and financial security today. Accountability on the highway starts with your choice.

photo: Mikhail Nilov via Pexels


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South Carolina

“We are the most gerrymandered Republican state in the country already,” said South Carolina Sen. Majority Leader Shane Massey (R), announcing his opposition to a new post-Callais redistricting effort which went down to defeat, for now, a short time later. Massey made both political and moral arguments against the move. We shouldn’t underestimate the political motivation. Democrat Joe Cunningham won the 1st district in the wave election of 2018. Nancy Mace defeated him by less than a single percentage point two years later. Her district then had to be significantly fortified with Republican voters to help her keep her seat. Point being, there are a lot of Democratic voters in Jim Clyburn’s 6th district. Spread them out into neighboring districts and you’ve spread the gerrymander so tight it can just snap. And those snaps happen in wave elections.

With the Corrupt Supreme Court, It’s Calvinball All the Way Down

Some of the most consequential and trust-shattering Supreme Court decisions of late have been ones that could have been predicted decades ago. Certainly that’s the case with the Dobbs decision. Callais doesn’t have quite as long a history, in terms of attempts to overturn the precedent. But certainly it’s been in the cards for at least a decade. Still, it’s some of the smaller decisions that tell us just who and what this corrupt court is. Kate Riga notes one of them here: Conservatives on the Supreme Court have previously invoked the “Purcell principle” to rule that a change couldn’t be made to districts on the “eve” of an election. Now it’s fine to do so in states like Louisiana and Alabama where primary elections are actually already underway and tens of thousands of cast ballots must be invalidated.

The message is simple: there are no rules. Only power. It reminds me of my hand tool woodworking shop. There are a big selection of tools. And it’s just a matter of what helps the GOP and the Court in that particular moment. In a way it’s clarifying. Even helpful.

It took me a long time to come around to the necessity of reforming the Court. But I’ve been pushing this for three or four years now. And no moment I’ve seen has represented such a dam burst of support for reform. Each day I see a new middle-of-the-roadish Dem come out in support of it. It’s coming. I strongly suspect it will be a sine qua non position for federal elected Democrats by 2028 and quite likely before.

A few points along these lines.

It appears that Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger and Democratic State Senate Majority Leader Scott Surovell have ruled out the strategy of forced state supreme court retirements to overrule the state court’s decision. For what it’s worth, I suspect that strategy represents a failure of imagination about the possible paths forward in the state. I don’t know the particulars of the current Virginia state constitution. But a state legislature and governor combined usually have quite a lot of options open to them. My approach would be simply to state the obvious which is that the court exceeded its legitimate mandate. The existence of a statewide plebiscite in which the voice of the sovereigns were heard directly outweighs any strained and theoretical defect the justices think they may have found.

Meanwhile TPM Reader JG makes the pretty good point that this is a very, very shortsighted decision. The odds that the corrupt Court is going to come in and overturn this decision are basically nil. But what if they did? Do we really want this Court to come in and start invalidating the decisions of state supreme courts in interpreting state laws and state constitutions? No. We don’t. I generally see this as too cute by half in both directions. But this decision seems to me mainly an effort for state Democrats to say they did something rather than simply give up even though the something is absurd and conceivably dangerous.

I want to circle back to an email I got a few days ago from TPM Reader MS who disagrees that reform is viable or wise.

Here’s his note …

I am frustrated by the discourse surrounding what to do about the Supreme Court. It seems extremely simple-minded to me, not to put anyone down, that is not my intention. But I think the discourse skips over a few obvious points and I don’t really understand why.

The proposed remedy for the Supreme Court is basically court packing. This is offered up as the obvious solution and you are deemed insufficiently committed if you do not adopt the solution. But there are some obvious problems with placing all of the eggs in the court packing basket.

Court packing has not been tried in nearly 100 years, and was a failure the last time it was tried. I couldn’t begin to tell you what happened before FDR but I have a hard time supposing that there is a rich history of court packing before that. So the historical precedents for the success of such a thing are dismal — the precedents for the legality/acceptability of such a thing are scarcely better. 

The Court and its allies would obviously respond in rhetoric and other tricks/tactics. They would paint the Dems as radical and for once, it wouldn’t be such a crazy fit.

Another problem that the tactic has is that the Republicans have just as much access to it as the Democrats. What if they proposed adding 2 Justices right now, how would Democrats perceive that? Well, that’s exactly how Republicans would perceive it if we did it. The most recent election for which we have data colors the Republicans as the more popular party — yes, I realize this is absurd but this is the ground setting for the discourse we are about to get into. “Win more elections,” I can just hear the Republicans say.

I think it would be beneficial to enlist an expert in the Supreme Court who is skeptical about court packing and invite him or her onto the podcast for an episode-length discussion or even debate. What would SCOTUS reform ACTUALLY look like? What would the Court do in response? What would Fox News say about it? Etc. etc. 

This is a valuable part of the debate and I do not see it represented in the sources I consult.

This was my reply …

The size of the court was actually increased multiple times before the 1930s. As for the legality of expanding the court there’s literal no argument that it is illegality. It’s legal. That’s open and shut. Acceptability is a subjective question. It’s true that Republicans can further expand the court. But to me that’s more feature than bug since it decreases the important of individual justices and Supreme Court itself. You’re saying that adding justices is the only proposed remedy but that’s not the case. As for what Fox News would say, I think this is a very poor guide to action. 

I’m very open to debating anyone. I don’t think a law school professor expert on the Court is a person worth debating it with frankly. They tend to be part of the problem.

But I would turn the question back at you: your solution seems to be to leave the current corrupt body in place. And allow it to continue exercising a judicial veto on any actions by Democrats. I’m  curious how you justify that position. 

In a further exchange, I said closing the door to reform means accepting a corrupt judicial legislative veto through the 2040s. I simply do not find that an acceptable option, certainly not something to accept in advance.

Again, we are emerging, slowly, hopefully, from a period in which Democrats were both contestants in partisan battles and upholders of the norms of an already-vanquished order. That status mixes the comic with the unworkable. It is more than anything else hopeless. You become both a player and the ref in a contest in which only you obey the ref’s calls. It’s absurd. In such a circumstance, Democrats must use every lawful means and power at their disposal.

As I said earlier, I do not buy the idea that only a forced retirement of all the Virginia state court justices is the only way to undo this illegitimate decision. I suspect there are more narrowly-tailored solutions on offer. As for the Senate Majority Leader’s claim that the time remaining is too short in any case? Well, look across the southern states of the old Confederacy over the last week and tell me that again with a straight face.

To all the tut-tuts and complaints I would say, it seems like your answer is to do nothing. How do you justify that? The state legislature approved Virginia’s new maps and the voters of the state chose it in a free and fair election by a substantial margin. I would take that legitimacy into any battle. If your answer is to do nothing, please say that clearly and have voters judge your decision-making and values.

Since this may seem near a counsel of despair let’s pull back for a moment to take a broader view of the situation. Under Trumpism, of course the Supreme Court is now simply an adjunct on the run. They’re acting with what seems like a knowledge of the coming backlash and reasoning there’s simply no downside in taking every corrupt action available to lock in their power before the flood comes, to hopefully build a damn of autocracy and rigged elections that even a flood can’t overcome. That loss of popular support, that panic and despair should hearten their opponents.

For what it’s worth, I think the Democrats will win the midterm elections even without the Virginia gerrymander and notwithstanding the reverses of the last two weeks. The tide is that large. But this isn’t about winning a single election. It is about taking the steps necessary to make a rebirth of a more robust civic democracy possible. There is simply no excuse or rationale for leaving any lawful tool unused in making that happen.

Nebraska’s Bizarre Senate Primary Gives State Dems the Result They Wanted

A bright spot for Democrats, as Republicans’ scramble to gerrymander the old confederacy plows forward: Over in Nebraska, the path is cleared for an independent who supports things like strengthening the social safety net and taking on corporate power.

That candidate, Dan Osborn, is mounting a second independent Senate run with Democratic support, the logic being the Democratic Party brand might be too toxic in the state, but that voters may still want an option to reject Trump Republicans. Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) is up for reelection this year.

But a “Democrat” no one was expecting got into the race earlier this year: an anti-abortion, Trump-voting pastor who, CNN found, had posted on his Facebook page about attending a Republican training session — then deleted the post. CNN confronted the candidate, William Forbes, about all this back in March:

Asked repeatedly to name a Democrat he voted for, Forbes grew frustrated and said the party needed to return to the “morality” it represented under President John F. Kennedy.

So that was the first Democrat to get into the Senate primary. Didn’t seem great!

Cindy Burbank, another Democrat, soon entered the race, promising to immediately drop out if she won, clearing the field for Osborn. Because she didn’t plan to run in the fall, the state’s Republican Secretary of State initially tried to boot her, but she sued and was able to say on the ballot.

On Tuesday night, Burbank trounced Forbes. The race was called just a few minutes after polls closed. As of this writing, Burbank has 89% of the vote; Forbes has just over 10%.

Uncle Sam Says

Observed at the corner of 16th and P Streets, NW, Dupont Circle, D.C.:

Untitled

Links 5/12/26

Links for you. Science:

Key US science panels are being axed — and others are becoming less open
Guns and bulletproof vests: How federal agents arrested Fauci aide
Postprandial lipid metabolism durably enhances T cell immunity
Push for raw milk intensifies—despite illness outbreaks and scientists’ warnings
We Are Bombarding America’s Forests With Roundup
Twenty-five-million-year-old platypus fossils with teeth found in outback SA
Trump drops embattled surgeon general pick Casey Means, announces new nominee. Means’s nomination stalled as some Republicans questioned her credentials. The new nominee, Trump’s third pick for the role, is Nicole Saphier a radiologist and Fox News contributor.

Other:

You Can Have Democratic Self-Government or the Corrupt Court — Not Both
What Will It Take to Get A.I. Out of Schools?
Ds Must Expand The Supreme Court First. Add justices in February 2029
The Perversion of the Voting Rights Act: The Supreme Court rules that white people can disenfranchise Black voters for political advantage.
The Oil Squeeze Tightens
Meet the first-timers running for D.C. mayor
The Supreme Court’s Conservatives Just Issued the Worst Ruling in a Century
OpenAI Really Wants Codex to Shut Up About Goblins
Black lawmakers decry supreme court voting decision: ‘We’re going backwards’
SpaceX satellites half the size of pickup trucks are falling from the sky — every day. As space junk accumulates, astronomer Sam Lawler explains why we should be concerned about the rapid proliferation of private satellites in low orbit
The demise of Lori Chavez-DeRemer and Trump’s clown cabinet
(One) Good AI Is Here
Promoting False Flag Conspiracy Theories Helps Fascists
As Budgets Tighten, Some State Lawmakers Reconsider Costly Private School Vouchers
Calling Trump a Tyrant Is Not a Call to Violence
ICE Agent Who Shot Dead Unarmed Mom Quietly Reassigned as FBI Probe Stalls
Max and Israel Makoka Were Waiting for a Hancock High School Bus. ICE Took the Brothers Instead.
University Professors Disturbed to Find Their Lectures Chopped Up and Turned Into AI Slop
The Mask is Off: Major Anti-Abortion Group Calls for Arrest of Abortion Patients
A Year of Magical Thinking: Elite impunity has fueled the fantasy that catastrophes are for other people.
As DC eyes robotaxis, questions remain over safety and jobs
Gov. Wes Moore Claims Maryland Banned Surveillance Pricing for Groceries. It Didn’t.
This country wants to tax tech giants to fund newsrooms
City Learns Flock Accessed Cameras in Children’s Gymnastics Room as a Sales Pitch Demo, Renews Contract Anyway
Half of AI health answers are wrong even though they sound convincing—new study
Trump’s CBS 60 Minutes Interview: What Aired and What Was Cut
A ‘Barbaric’ Problem in American Hospitals Is Only Getting Bigger
The more young people use AI, the more they hate it
Legalizing online gambling will harm D.C. iGaming risks trapping children, youth, and vulnerable residents in a cycle of digital addiction and possible financial ruin, one expert argues.
Addressing Questions Surrounding Hawaii’s Bold Move To Undo Citizens United

Could this be the moment that drug manufacturing takes off in orbit?

NASA has enabled scientists to study the impact of microgravity on drug development for decades, beginning with the Space Shuttle. This work accelerated in the 2010s, with the completion of the International Space Station and full-time crew members devoted to scientific research.

There have been some notable successes during this timeframe, such as the ability to grow a more uniform crystalline form of the cancer drug Keytruda in 2019. This opened up the possibility of administering the drug via injection rather than requiring a patient to spend hours in a clinic setting to receive the drug intravenously.

NASA subsidized much of this work, typically paying the considerable costs to transport research to the ISS and for astronaut time to conduct research there. There were, however, trade-offs, such as long lead times to get research into space. Nevertheless, it has become clear that there could be some commercial applications for making drugs in space.

Read full article

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Idle warriors

Photo of a person cycling on a city street with parked cars and an orange truck in the background under green trees.

How a public health initiative to reduce air pollution has created ‘full-time citizen complainants’ who patrol the city

- by Aeon Video

Watch on Aeon

Moral Economics: three podcasts, with Lawrence Krauss, Yascha Mounk, Sean Carroll

Some of the podcasts I participated in have or will come out this week, to mark the official publication of Moral Economics in the U.S. Here are those I became aware of yesterday.  I suppose you could binge on them if you want (or sample them, or even buy the book and read it or listen to it yourself:)

Below, on YouTube is the podcast with Lawrence Krauss that was recast after being lost. (It's also on substack.)

  

 "Alvin Roth is a Nobel Prizewinning Economist whose work on designing markets has had real world impacts that may have saved thousands of lives around the world, while arousing strong emotions both for and against the programs he has helped put in place.  Clearly not one to shy away from controversy, he represents the best of what The Origins Project is trying to promote: applying science and reason to public policy.   In short, connecting science and culture!

"Roth’s new book, which is fantastic, and comes out the same day this podcast is released deals with issues that often raise the public’s ire, from legalizing prostitution, to assisted suicide, and finally to a rational market for kidney transplants..."

########

Here's my conversation with Yascha Mounk (there's also a transcript accompanying his podcast The Good Fight, at the link):

Al Roth on Why People Should Be Free to Sell Their Kidneys
Yascha Mounk and Al Roth discuss what we miss when we separate economics from human emotion. 

"In this week’s conversation, Yascha Mounk and Al Roth discuss the impact of moral disgust on solving economic problems, whether we should allow financial payments for organ donation, and what the rise of OnlyFans tells us about changing attitudes towards the self and economic transactions. 

#######

And here's my conversation with Sean Carroll on his Mindscape podcast (with transcript):

Alvin Roth on the Economics of Morally Contested Markets 

 

 


Rick Beato Versus the NY Times

Fifteen days ago, the New York Times published its list of the 30 greatest living American songwriters. Since then, all hell has broken loose in the music world. And in the last 48 hours, that Hades just got a lot hotter.

I’d been one of the 250 “music insiders” surveyed by the Times for the article—so the day after the list was published I shared my ballot here.

I was unhappy with the results, as were many other music fans. But that might have been the end of the story. Surveys are always a bit dodgy—but what can you do about it?

Then I took time to learn about the Times methodology and was even more dismayed. In fact, I was miffed.


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I assumed that I was voting for the songwriters who would be included in the list. But I now see that the experts consulted by the Times only got to make nominations. The final 30 names were chosen by six New York Times music critics.

There never was a real vote. The Times got the results it wanted internally—the insiders made the final call. But the way they explained it to their readers was intentionally vague.

In small print, readers were told that industry experts “weighed in”—whatever that means.

Readers were invited to click on a link to learn “how we made the list.” But even here, the Times served up fuzzy language.

If you kept on reading, you eventually learned the truth. The Times took the verdict of the “experts” and then “ran it through a filter.” The survey was just a “starting point.” The actual top thirty was decided via a “conversation” among its internal team.

Huh?

The Times did share a few ballots, and even this small sample made clear how different the final list was from the survey of experts. That would be embarrassing for the Times under the best of circumstances, but especially so in the current environment—when that same newspaper has repeatedly expressed outrage about voter suppression and attempts to subvert democracy.

If the Times really believes in the importance of voting and standing by results, why doesn’t it just share the actual ballot count?

Even so, this all might have been forgotten. But last Friday, the Times made the mistake of releasing a video entitled “In Defense of the NYT ‘Greatest Songwriters’ List.”

Here members of the inside team came across as smug, maybe even contemptuous, in responding to music fans who reached out to them. At one juncture, a Times critic laughs at a comment from a reader—simply for saying that he went to the Berklee College of Music. Then he continues to chuckle and smirk as he reads the rest of the reader’s comment, before finally throwing it on the floor.

This music lover had made the mistake of defending Billy Joel. For a serious critic at the Times, that is apparently very funny.

In a curious coincidence, I had just published an article on music criticism the day before the Times released this video. In this article—entitled “Nine Rules of Music Criticism”—I made this claim:

Trust your emotional response to creative work, and be wary of critical stances that run counter to how it actually makes you feel….

Be wary of any critic who doesn’t seem to care about your enjoyment of music or other art forms. I’m not saying that the critic needs to agree with your responses, but a clear hostility to enjoyment and doctrinaire disregard of our emotional response to a work is a huge warning sign.

Little did I know that I would see this “warning sign” on display the very next day at America’s newspaper of record.

During the subsequent 72 hours, the backlash intensified. A fiery response from esteemed jazz pianist Brad Mehldau was ostensibly a defense of Billy Joel, but focused mostly on the problems with music criticism of this sort. He describes a music critic character type very similar to the one I warned against in my article:

He is a snob who wants to be hip, so he becomes a critic. He listens to music not because he loves music, but because of how it defines his understanding of himself, narcissistically.

But even this response was mild compared to Rick Beato’s take, which went live yesterday. Rick is a very smart guy with big ears and a deep understanding of music—much deeper than those Times insiders. And his words carry weight. By my measure, Beato has more influence than any music critic in the world right now, and when he says something, it gets attention.

Rick had already released a video about the Times songwriter list, and he rarely deals with the same issue a second time. “I don’t usually make videos back-to-back on the same topic,” he explains. But he was also irritated by the tone of the Times video and felt compelled to respond to it.

His rebuttal is going viral with a vengeance. It’s been up for less than a day, and already has ten times as many views as the original Times video.

For the most part, he just shares clips from the Times podcast—which are damaging enough—before asking in frustration: “You hear these guys competing for the worst take?” In his words, they come across as “the most pretentious, cork-sniffing smug people”—whose condescension is all the worse because they have “no background in music.”

Rick, I should add, is not just a pundit, but is also a very skilled guitarist, record producer, music educator, etc. He possesses real credentials—the same ones the Times critics lack—and not just opinions.

But did he go too far?

The people watching his video clearly don’t think so. It already has 10,000+ comments—that’s more responses than the original Times article received. And they are brutal.

That first comment has almost 8,000 likes. As I said above, Hades is getting hotter—especially that level of Dante’s Inferno reserved for music critics.

By my measure, around 99% of the responses are in agreement with Beato. All this adds up to a bad look for the New York Times. A very bad look.

It also tells you about the shift underway in media power. A few years ago, I couldn’t imagine a single person taking on the Times in this way and having such an impact. But the world has changed.

I’ve said it over and over, but I need to repeat it now: Trust is the most scarce thing in the media landscape right now.

Many journalists have fooled themselves into thinking that the institutional power of their employer is more important than this personal authority held by the trustworthy individual—but they’re wrong.

We’re now seeing how that plays out in the world of music criticism. On one side, we have a trusted individual, and on the other a team of institutional insiders. The response of the audience has already made clear which side wins in this kind of disagreement.

I’m not sure if the Times can muster an adequate response at this late stage. But if it wants a bit of that trustworthiness for itself, it ought to start by publishing an actual count of the 250 ballots it solicited for its songwriter list.

I suspect that it would be very revealing.

Copy.Fail Linux Vulnerability

This is the worst Linux vulnerability in years.

TL;DR

  • copy.fail is a Linux kernel local privilege escalation, not a browser or clipboard attack. Disclosed by Theori on 29 April 2026 with a working PoC.
  • It abuses the kernel crypto API (AF_ALG sockets) plus splice() to write four bytes at a time straight into the page cache of a file the attacker does not own.
  • The exploit works unmodified across Ubuntu, RHEL, Debian, SUSE, Amazon Linux, Fedora and most others. No race condition, no per-distro offsets.
  • The file on disk is never modified. AIDE, Tripwire and checksum-based monitoring see nothing.
  • Kubernetes Pod Security Standards (Restricted) and the default RuntimeDefault seccomp profile do not block the syscall used. A custom seccomp profile is needed.
  • The mainline fix landed on 1 April. Distros are rolling kernels out now. Patch.

“Local privilege escalation” sounds dry, so let me unpack it. It means: an attacker who already has some way to run code on the machine, even as the most boring unprivileged user, can promote themselves to root. From there they can read every file, install backdoors, watch every process, and pivot to other systems.

Why does that matter on shared infrastructure? Because “local” covers a lot of ground in 2026: every container on a shared Kubernetes node, every tenant on a shared hosting box, every CI/CD job that runs untrusted pull-request code, every WSL2 instance on a Windows laptop, every containerised AI agent given shell access. They all share one Linux kernel with their neighbours. A kernel LPE collapses that boundary.

News article.

Some non-obvious reasons why AI will create some transitional problems in employment

I do not find the mass unemployment hypothesis persuasive, and I have covered this extensively in the past.  But here are three other problems which may end up being noticeable in the short run, though likely absent longer term:

1. Many of the new jobs to be created may come in highly regulated sectors, and that will slow their creation.  Energy and health care — especially biomedical trials — are two examples I have in mind here.  Let’s say we opt for more nuclear power to ease constraints of compute — how long will it take for most of those jobs to come on line?

2. At least initially, job search and matching might be less efficient.  We have lots of practice judging which workers are best for which jobs in a pre-AI world.  But say most jobs involve working with AI in some manner?  How well can actual HR departments judge who is good at that?  Are the HR departments themselves even decent at that?

So expect slower matches, though at some point AI itself might give us better and faster labor market matches.

3. Government fiscal policy might be less effective at putting people to work in an efficient manner, given that the government is likely, at least for some while, to be a poor judge of who is good at working with AI.  That may slow hiring, or lead to quicker dismissals and quits, or simply result is less output from the fiscal policy investments, thus making them less effective.

These features of the problem all could use a bit more consideration, and likely there are others I have not thought of.

The post Some non-obvious reasons why AI will create some transitional problems in employment appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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Data centers are good

Data centers are the physical infrastructure behind cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and enterprise software. The rapid diffusion of artificial intelligence (AI) is intensifying demand for compute, accelerating investment in data centers, and raising concerns about the local economic and environmental footprint of these facilities. Their expansion creates a local policy tradeoff. A data center can bring capital investment, construction activity, and specialized employment, but it can also increase demand for electricity, land, and grid capacity. This paper studies these effects at the U.S. county level. We assemble a facility-level panel of global data centers with precise coordinates, scale metrics, and annualized revenue. We map facilities to U.S. counties and combine them with County Business Patterns, county-level IRS income, county-level house prices, and electricity prices. To address endogenous siting, we instrument for data center growth using two shift-share instruments, which leverage pre-existing proximity to InterTubes long-haul fiber nodes and the 1980 county share of U.S. urban college population as shares, and both Chinese and rest-of-the-world data center revenue growth as shifts. The IV estimates show positive effects on total employment, data-processing employment, construction employment, establishments, house prices, and electricity prices at different horizons after data center growth. We also find positive effects on tax returns, adjusted gross income, and wages, while annual payroll responds less robustly. The results suggest that data centers create measurable local activity, increase house prices, and affect local electricity markets through higher prices.

That is from a new NBER working paper by Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, Joyce Chow & Diana Van Patten.

The post Data centers are good appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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America’s Emerald Isle

A satellite image shows several islands in Lake Michigan. The largest one, Beaver Island, is in the center. The islands are mostly green and vegetated, with bright sandy areas on their perimeters. Shallow waters near the land appear turquoise, and deeper waters are dark blue.

In a process that played out over thousands of years, a retreating ice sheet carved, scoured, and shaped the landscape of the present-day Great Lakes. In northern Lake Michigan, this sculpting left distinct ridges and valleys running north-to-south along the lake floor. Some parts of those ridges, made of erosion-resistant rock, have remained above the waves of the big lake, forming the Beaver Archipelago.

The OLI (Operational Land Imager) on Landsat 9 captured this image of several of the archipelago’s islands on August 2, 2024. These patches of land contain upland forests, dunes, wetlands, and marshes—habitats that support rare plant and bird species and provide spawning grounds for fish. The bright, sandy perimeters of the islands are surrounded by shallow, turquoise waters and deeper, dark blue areas, where depths reach up to about 330 feet (100 meters).

This image centers on Beaver Island, the largest island in Lake Michigan at 13 miles (21 kilometers) long and 6 miles (10 kilometers) wide. It is also the only inhabited island of the Beaver Archipelago, and many of its approximately 600 residents are of Irish descent. In the mid-1800s, scores of immigrants from County Donegal, Ireland, and Irish fishermen from nearby islands and ports in Michigan settled on the island, which subsequently took on the moniker of “America’s Emerald Isle.”

The farming and fishing, in particular, were productive for the new arrivals. In the 1880s, Beaver Island became the largest supplier of freshwater fish in the United States. Due to overfishing, however, such abundance would be short-lived.

Ship traffic on the Great Lakes was also increasing during this time. Two lighthouses were constructed on the island to help the growing number of vessels traveling between Chicago and the Straits of Mackinac. The Beaver Head Lighthouse operated from 1852 to 1962 on the southern end of the island. On the northern side, the Beaver Island Harbor Light, pictured below, was first lit in 1870 and remains an active beacon more than 150 years later.

A lighthouse with a white tower and a glowing red beacon at the top stands on the left side of this photograph. A large lake and cloudy skies fill the background.

Today, people travel to Beaver Island by boat or plane to explore its history and enjoy activities such as biking, fishing, and kayaking. The island’s remote location and minimal light pollution led to the establishment of the Beaver Island State Wildlife Research Area International Dark Sky Sanctuary in 2024. Sky gazers may be drawn to the sanctuary for a chance to glimpse the aurora borealis and other celestial phenomena.

Neighboring islands in the archipelago are more difficult to access and have remained relatively undisturbed. Perched, or cliff-top, sand dunes are found up to 200 feet (60 meters) above the lake level on the western side of High Island. Unique plant species, including the Pitcher’s thistle and Lake Huron tansy, grow in the island’s dunes. On Hog Island, patches of old-growth northern hardwood forest remain. Wetland communities known as Great Lakes marshes along the shoreline provide spawning grounds for perch and smallmouth bass.

NASA Earth Observatory image by Wanmei Liang, using Landsat data from the U.S. Geological SurveyPhoto by Kelcie Herald/Unsplash. Story by Lindsey Doermann.

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Once again, SpaceX has set a new record for the tallest rocket ever built

For the third time in three years, SpaceX has stacked a new version of its enormous Starship rocket on a launch pad in South Texas, just a few miles north of the US-Mexico border. The newest-generation Starship, known as Starship Version 3, is taller and more powerful than the ones that came before it.

The upgrades on Starship are numerous. Perhaps the most notable changes are higher-thrust, more efficient Raptor engines on the Super Heavy booster and Starship upper stage, a new reusable lattice-like structure at the top of the booster for hot staging, and three—not four—modified grid fins to help bring the first stage back to Earth for recovery and reuse.

If all goes according to plan, this is the version of Starship that SpaceX will use to begin experimenting with in-orbit refueling, a capability engineers must master before sending ships anywhere farther than low-Earth orbit. In the near-term, refueling will enable Starships to fly to the Moon to serve as landers for NASA's Artemis program. Starship remains an iterative development program, and new versions are in the pipeline, but Starship V3 should mark a step toward SpaceX actually using Starships in space, rather than solely proving they can get there and get home.

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Broadcasters Urge EU to Use the DMA to Go After Smart TV Platforms, None of Which Are From European Companies

Foo Yun Chee, reporting for Reuters back on March 23:

Google, Amazon, Apple and Samsung’s smart TVs and virtual assistants should fall under the EU’s toughest tech rules because of their growing market power, the world’s largest broadcasters told EU antitrust chief Teresa Ribera on Monday.

The call by the Association of Commercial Television and Video on Demand Services in Europe (ACT) whose members include Canal+, RTL, Mediaset, ITV, Paramount+, NBCUniversal, Walt Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, Sky and TF1 Groupe underscores the battle between ​broadcasters and Big Tech for market share in a lucrative industry.

Android TV, which increased its market share from 16% to ​23% from 2019 to 2024, Amazon Fire OS whose market share rose from 5% to 12% in the same period and Samsung’s Tizen OS with its 24% market share should be designated as gatekeepers under the EU’s ​Digital Markets Act, the broadcasters said, citing data from a 2025 market study.

Apple is mentioned only in the context of voice assistants, not Apple TV 4K:

The broadcasters also voiced concerns about virtual assistants, the most ​well known of which are Amazon’s ​Alexa and Apple’s Siri, while OpenAI entered the field last year with a beta feature called Tasks for its AI chatbot ChatGPT. The European Commission has yet to label any virtual assistants as gatekeepers under the DMA. [...]

They urged Ribera to subject smart TVs and virtual assistants to the DMA on the basis of qualitative criteria even if they do not meet the quantitative benchmarks which ​are more than 45 million monthly active users and 75 billion euros ($87 ​billion) in market capitalisation.

I found this story only after posting the previous item, trying to see if there were any DMA-related actions that I’d missed under Ribera’s leadership. I didn’t find much. And this Reuters story only says the broadcasters sent Ribera a letter asking her to go after smart TV platforms and voice assistants — there’s no suggestion that Ribera intends to do so.

 ★ 

New DMA Compliance Features for EU Users in iOS 26.5 (and Perhaps the EU Has Finally Come to Their Senses on Tech Regulation)

Juli Clover, MacRumors:

To comply with the EU’s Digital Markets Act, Apple is letting third-party wearables access some features that have historically been limited to the Apple Watch and AirPods.

  • Proximity pairing — Third-party earbuds are able to use proximity pairing to connect to an iPhone, similar to the AirPods. Bringing a set of earbuds that support the feature near an iPhone will initiate an AirPods-like one-tap pairing process, so third-party wearables like earbuds will no longer require multiple steps to pair.

  • iPhone notifications — Third-party accessories like smartwatches are able to receive notifications from the iPhone, and users are able to view and react to them. Interactive notifications from the iPhone have been limited to the Apple Watch, while third-party wearables have only been able to display read-only notifications. Notifications can only be forwarded to a single connected device at a time, so turning on notifications for a third-party wearable disables notifications on Apple Watch.

  • Live Activities — Live Activities from the iPhone can be displayed on a third-party wearable, similar to how Live Activities are shown on an Apple Watch.

Accessory makers will need to add support for the interoperability updates, so they may not be available right away. Third-party TVs, smartwatches, and headphones will be able to use the features.

Two thoughts. First, I’d love to hear about any third-party devices that begin taking advantage of these EU-exclusive features.

Second, it sure seems as though the European Commission has quietly walked away from using the DMA as a cudgel under the leadership of competition chief Teresa Ribera. I’d even forgotten her name. Margrethe Vestager’s name, I still remember. I haven’t mentioned Ribera, or any new enforcement actions against Apple and iOS, in 13 months. The last was this post regarding a €500M fine imposed against Apple in April last year, the culmination of an investigation that began under Vestager. I wrote then:

This finding — and the scope of the fine (roughly $570M converted from euros) — was completely in line with (at least my) expectations. Apple booked about $184B in profit last year, so this fine is about 0.3% of that. Maybe Apple just considers this the new cost of doing business in the EU? It’s not nothing, but it’s about 1/80th of the theoretical maximum fine the EU could have assessed, $39B.

Something, not nothing, but definitely not a big deal. Teresa Ribera, the EC competition chief, is clearly trying to thread a political needle here. Fines big enough to create the impression that the EU is asserting itself, but small enough not to actually be all that inflammatory amidst the Trump-initiated mad-king trade war. Even Ribera’s job title — Executive Vice-President for Clean, Just and Competitive Transition — seems designed to de-escalate tensions. Margrethe Vestager was adamantly against American companies. Ribera is not.

These new DMA compliance features are the result of requirements imposed in March last year — again, from investigations that began under Vestager, not Ribera. I wrote then:

Apple’s statement makes clear their staunch opposition to these decisions. But at least at a superficial level, the European Commission’s tenor has changed. The quotes from the Commission executives (Teresa Ribera, who replaced firebrand Margrethe Vestager as competition chief, and Henna Virkkunen) are anodyne. Nothing of the vituperativeness of the quotes from Vestager and Thierry Breton in years past. But the decisions themselves make clear that the EU isn’t backing down from its general position of seeing itself as the rightful decision-maker for how iOS should function and be engineered, and that Apple’s core competitive asset — making devices that work better together than those from other companies — isn’t legal under the DMA.

I think that holds up. The EU hasn’t rescinded any of their existing requirements under the DMA. But Ribera has clearly deescalated the EU’s approach to regulating American companies in general, and Apple specifically. No new requirements in over a year, no new investigations, and no inflammatory rhetoric. (Still no iPhone Mirroring in the EU, either, though, because they haven’t rescinded any already-imposed requirements.)

Much better.

 ★ 

Kagi Snaps

Kagi’s documentation:

Typing @r headphones will search for “headphones” but limit the results to reddit.com (r is the short code for Reddit). This allows you to quickly find relevant content on a specific site using Kagi’s powerful index. It is effectively the same as doing headphones site:old.reddit.com.

Its relative, Bangs feature, invoked by using “!r headphones”, would redirect the user to Reddit’s internal search.

I learned about the snaps feature from a Kagi blog post a few months ago, and I’ve been loving it ever since. From that post:

You can also use Snaps to quickly search within Kagi’s knowledgebase. For example, the @help snap searches the Kagi help docs, handy for when you want to quickly look into a feature.

User tip: “I recommend combining Snaps with the “I’m feeling lucky” bang: ! with no short code. Like searching @gh curl ! to go to the curl repo.

I’ve never actually looked any of these up. I just guessed at the ones I most want to use and they all worked on the first try. @nyt returns results from The New York Times; @wsj is for The Wall Street Journal. Take a guess what @df does.

And you can add your own custom bangs/snaps in Kagi’s settings. It’s easy. In fact, I created a custom @nyt bang/snap shortcut to override Kagi’s default. Kagi’s built-in @nyt bang/snap uses the query.nytimes.com subdomain, which is outdated. You get better results just using nytimes.com with no subdomain.

Also: Does your preferred search engine have a well-written comprehensive user manual? Kagi does. Good documentation is a tell-tale sign of a great product and a company that puts users first. There exist good products with bad or no documentation, but there are very few poor products with great documentation.

 ★ 

Seriously, Give Kagi a Try

Quoting from a post I wrote a year ago:

Like, even if I use the magic &udm=14 parameter with Google search, to get “disenshittified” results from Google, I find I get better results from Kagi. When I know there’s one right answer (say, a specific article I remember reading and want to find again), Kagi is more likely than Google to list it first. If it’s a years-old article, Kagi is way more likely than Google to find it at all. For me, Google (and, alas, DuckDuckGo too) have largely stopped working reliably for finding not-recent stuff on the web. Not true with Kagi.

I used DuckDuckGo for years as my default search, and for those years, I found it largely on par with Google. But it felt like every once in a while — maybe, say, once or twice a month — DuckDuckGo would come up dry in its results. DuckDuckGo pioneered a trick they call Bangs. Include !g to any search terms, and instead of performing the search itself, DuckDuckGo will redirect that search to Google. They have a whole bunch of these Bangs — “!a” for Amazon search, “!nf” for Netflix. There are literally thousands of them (which of course they allow you to search for). The only one I ever really used though was !g, for redirecting my current search to Google because DuckDuckGo’s own results for the same terms was unsatisfying. My memory may not match with my actual usage, but like I said, I feel like I used this about once or twice a month for the several years I was using DuckDuckGo as my default search engine. Infrequently enough that it didn’t annoy me to the point of considering switching back to Google for default in-browser search, but frequently enough that I was annoyed enough to remember that I needed to use it at all.

Kagi supports Bangs too, including !g for Google web search. I can’t remember the last time I felt the need to try using it. It’s been months, many months. And, the last few times I’ve tried it, Google’s results were no more help than Kagi’s.

In the year since writing the above, I honestly don’t think I’ve resorted to the !g bang once. For me, Google web search is about as relevant to my life as Yahoo search. Something I used to use, something that used to be better, but which I’ve found a vastly superior alternative to. If Kagi went out of business or changed for the worse, I’d be heartsick. It’s truly one of the best services I’ve used, and it keeps getting better.

Google Search is like watching 2001: A Space Odyssey with a goddamn Febreze ad stuck in the famed match cut. Kagi search is like paying for a streaming service with no ads and higher image quality and better sound. It’s just plain better.

 ★ 

Search Ads as a Vector for Travel Scams

Dawn Gilbertson, writing for The Wall Street Journal (gift link):

Calder says that he tried to rebook at the given link a few times but that it wouldn’t work. He became worried new flight options were dwindling, so he googled the airline’s customer-service number. (There was a link to customer-service contacts way down in the email that he initially overlooked.)

The rest of the story is sadly familiar to the Better Business Bureau, Federal Trade Commission, airlines and consumer advocates. It’s called an impostor scam. This can occur when a company impersonates an airline’s customer-service number or site, often by buying a sponsored ad on a search platform. The company is hoping that panicked consumers trying, say, to rebook a flight will click on the first link they see, bringing them to unscrupulous parties that try to charge exorbitant fees. I’ve written before about such tactics, and they are only becoming more sophisticated with AI.

“Scammers thrive on that sense of urgency,” says John Breyault, a vice president at the National Consumers League whose coverage area includes fraud.

The person who answered Calder’s call identified himself as a Lufthansa representative and asked for the Lufthansa confirmation number. He found new flights on Lufthansa’s partner Air Canada and Austrian Airlines, a Lufthansa Group subsidiary, on the same late-summer dates.

The kicker, which Calder admits in hindsight is a colossal red flag: He had to pay $12,132 to make the change. That’s more than five times the amount of the original tickets.

In addition to airlines, these scammers often impersonate hotels. Yet another reason to try Kagi as your default web search engine. I’m not saying Kagi is scam-proof in its actual search results, but it’s 100 percent resistant to scammers buying search result ads — because they have no ads. With Kagi, you pay a very small subscription fee and in exchange you get better results with zero ads.

Also, another reason to worry about Apple’s upcoming ads in Apple Maps.

 ★ 

Teresa Ribera Visited the U.S. and No One Noticed

Jacob Parry and Laura Greenhalgh, reporting for Politico, one month ago:

The EU’s landmark tech regulations are a “success story” that are beginning to level the playing field between Silicon Valley’s giants and their digital competitors in Europe, said European Competition Commissioner Teresa Ribera on Friday. [...]

Ribera’s comments come as Brussels prepares for a formal review of the DMA to determine what is working and where the law may need to be reformed. The regulation aims to prevent “gatekeeper” firms, including Apple, Alphabet and Meta, from using their dominant positions to stifle competition from smaller players.

The EU’s top antitrust official pushed back against criticism that enforcement has been too slow, arguing that the “rule of law” requires a methodical approach based on evidence and due process. [...]

Ribera recently returned from a diplomatic mission to Washington and Silicon Valley where she met with U.S. officials and tech executives. She said there is a surprising degree of alignment between European and American priorities, despite the differing political climates. In particular, Ribera highlighted a “consistent” dialogue with the U.S. Department of Justice under the current Trump administration.

Again, I only found this story because I went searching for news regarding Teresa Ribera and the DMA after taking note in an earlier post that things have been very quiet on this front for the last year. When Margrethe Vestager visited the U.S. and met with tech executives, it was news. There were press photos. Vestager drew attention to the meetings, and, of course, to herself.

It’s pretty telling that Ribera recently visited both Washington and Silicon Valley and it barely registered in the news. Ribera’s approach to the E.U. competition chief job might actually be focused on genuine competition and consumer welfare, not punishing U.S. companies for their success by weaponizing byzantine layers of bureaucracy that ultimately work against the interests of EU citizens and the stagnant EU economy.

 ★ 

May 11, 2026

The story of the Trump Mobile phone seems a microcosm of the Trump administration.

As Judd Legum of Popular Information explains, on June 16, 2025, Trump’s sons Donald Jr. and Eric announced the launch of a new, gold plated, Trump smartphone, “proudly designed and built in the United States.” It would be available in August 2025 for $499. Its website urged customers to “pre-order” the phone by depositing $100 toward it. Don Jr. said the phone would be “American hardware, built in America, without the potential of…[a] backdoor into the hardware that some of our adversaries have installed in there.”

And yet a disclaimer on the website said the Trumps and the Trump Organization were involved only in the branding of the phone; they had nothing to do with the design, development, manufacture, distribution, or sales of the item. As Legum notes, the idea of a superior U.S.-made phone was always a fantasy, and within two weeks the phone’s description changed from “MADE IN THE USA” to “designed with American values in mind.”

The phone never shipped, and on April 6, Trump Mobile updated its terms to say the $100 deposit was not actually a deposit for a pre-order, but rather “a conditional opportunity if Trump Mobile later elects, in its sole discretion, to offer the Device for sale.” It went on to say the deposit “does not lock in pricing, promotions, service plans, taxes, fees, shipping costs, or other commercial terms” and that “[e]stimated ship dates, launch timelines, or anticipated production schedule are non-binding estimates only.”

A new phone has recently gotten clearance from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), and Trump Mobile executives say they are waiting for approval from T-Mobile, the company whose network Trump Mobile wants to use. Legum points out that T-Mobile relies on the federal government for approval for business activities, creating an enormous conflict of interest.

Donald Trump has always ridden to power by projecting an image of dominance. He could maintain that image thanks to the people who covered for him: his father, Trump Organization chief financial officer Allen Weisselberg, and in his first presidential term—as Sidney Blumenthal reminded readers in The Guardian today—Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Secretary of Defense James Mattis, who filtered the options Trump received; chief of staff General John Kelly, who made a pact with Mattis that one of them would always stay in the country to stand in the way of Trump’s impulses; and National Economic Council director Gary Cohn, who stopped Trump from signing disastrous executive orders, sometimes going so far as to steal them off his desk.

In Trump’s second term, though, those people who curbed his worst impulses have been replaced with yes-men, and there is no one to protect him from the fallout.

Over the weekend, Trump took to social media to complain bitterly about the demise of his tariffs, about Iran, and about political opponents; to boast about his changes to the reflecting pool in front of the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C., and about the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) mixed martial arts event he plans to host in front of the White House on his 80th birthday; and to try, once again, to project dominance.

Trump complained twice that in its decision declaring his “Liberation Day” tariffs of April 2025 unconstitutional, the Supreme Court had not included a sentence saying, “Any money paid to the United States of America does not have to be paid back.” That sentence, he insisted, “would have saved America 159 billion Dollars!” He complained about his Supreme Court appointees Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett and suggested he should “PACK THE COURT! I’m working so hard to, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, and then people that I appointed have shown so little respect to our Country, and its people. What is the reason for this? They have to do the right thing, but it’s really OK for them to be loyal to the person that appointed them to ‘almost’ the highest position in the land, that is, a Justice of the United States Supreme Court.”

He warned them to vote his way on the question of birthright citizenship because “A negative ruling on Birthright Citizenship, on top of the recent Supreme Court Tariff catastrophe, is not Economically sustainable for the United States of America!”

On Saturday morning, the president’s social media account posted AI images of exploding Iranian drones beside an image of blue butterflies with the caption “Drones Dropping Like Butterflies.” Then it posted another AI image of a U.S. vessel shooting down drones with the caption “Bye Bye, Drones.” Then it showed a flotilla of ships with Iranian flags on the surface of the ocean under the caption “Obama/Biden” beside an image of those ships on the bottom of the ocean under the caption “Trump.” Then it showed an AI image of Trump on the bridge of a ship watching Iranian ships exploding. Then it showed another image of “Iran’s Navy” on the ocean floor.

The account posted a long screed about the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the 2015 agreement between Iran and the U.S., United Kingdom, China, France, Germany, Russia, and the European Union to limit Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for relief from sanctions. Trump pulled the U.S. out of the JCPOA in 2018, and this weekend Trump rehashed false right-wing talking points about the deal to claim that former president Barack Obama was “a weak and stupid American President” who worked for Iran.

Trump’s account posted an AI image of Illinois governor J.B. Pritzker gorging on junk food under the caption “JB is too busy to keep Chicago safe!” It posted two clips of former FBI director James Comey, whom the Department of Justice under Trump has criminally charged for posting a photograph of seashells spelling out “8647.” Trump called him “A Dirty Cop!!!” He went after California representative Ro Khanna and warned: “The Radical left Dumacrats must fail—our Country is at stake!”

Trump’s account posted two AI images of a UFC fight surrounded by a stadium-style audience in front of the White House. Then it posted five images of the Washington, D.C., reflecting pool colored electric blue, one of which claimed Trump had renovated it in a week for just $2 million. A number of posts championed his proposed ballroom on the site where he bulldozed the East Wing of the White House.

But by far the most frequent postings on the president’s social media account over the weekend were praise for Trump himself. In addition to posting “Excellent Poll Numbers. Thank you!” he reposted stories saying that he had delivered “remarkable leadership” and is “Master of the Deal,” that he is one of the top three presidents in U.S. history, or “WITHOUT A DOUBT THE GREATEST PRESIDENT WE HAVE EVER KNOWN.” A number of posts called him “The Greatest of All Time.”

But just as with Trump Mobile, the clock is running out and the advertising isn’t working.

On May 7, Catherine Rampell of The Bulwark called Trump “an economic serial killer, whacking firms left and right.” She noted that Trump’s tariffs, along with deportations of farm workers and cancelling of foreign food aid programs, led farm bankruptcies to rise 46% in 2025 from the previous year, and now higher costs for diesel, fertilizer, and other products because of the Iran war are putting farmers under even more pressure.

Similarly, tariffs have cut into manufacturing jobs, and corporate bankruptcies last year were at their highest level in more than a decade. Meanwhile, the Trump administration is paying almost $2 billion to stop wind projects and has cancelled or stalled dozens of other renewable energy products. Customs and Border Protection is supposed to issue tariff refunds beginning on May 12, but the money will not go to consumers. It will go to the “trade community.”

Trump’s war on Iran, undertaken alongside Israel, has not delivered the fast regime change Trump promised, either. Instead, it has mired Trump in a war Iran appears to have little interest in permitting the U.S. to leave, at least not without confirming a new global order that benefits Iran.

In The Atlantic yesterday, neoconservative foreign policy scholar Robert Kagan ranked the Iran debacle as worse than Vietnam. There will be no going back to a world in which the Strait of Hormuz is open, he writes. Iran is now a key player in the region, China and Russia are strengthened, and the U.S. is “substantially diminished.” Anyone can see that “just a few weeks of war with a second-rank power” drastically reduced American weapons stocks, opening the way for aggression from China or Russia, while “the conflict has revealed an America that is unreliable and incapable of finishing what it started.”

Last week, the U.S. proposed a one-page memorandum to establish a framework for later talks on Iran’s nuclear ambitions, offering to lift sanctions and release billions in Iranian funds in exchange for opening the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians responded over the weekend, reiterating their determination to control the strait and calling for reparations for damages caused by the war, in addition to an end to the naval blockade and the unfreezing of Iranian assets. On Sunday afternoon, Trump posted: “I have just read the response from Iran’s so-called ‘Representatives.’ I don’t like it—TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE!”

Today Trump told reporters the Iran proposal was a “piece of garbage” and warned that the ceasefire is on “massive life support where the doctor walks in and says ‘Sir, your loved one has approximately a 1% chance of living.’” And yet Trump is relying on that ceasefire to justify his refusal to ask Congress for authority to continue his war on Iran. Under the 1973 War Powers Act, Trump had 60 days to get congressional approval after informing Congress of the attack, and that period ran out on May 1.

Gas prices have jumped more than 50% since the war began and now average more than $4.50 a gallon. Although Trump has downplayed concerns about higher prices, today Nancy Cordes of CBS News reported that he is planning to suspend the federal gas tax to bring down the cost of gasoline. But, Cordes notes, doing so would require Congress to agree and would cost the federal government about a half a billion dollars a week in revenue at a time when the national debt is skyrocketing. It crossed $39 trillion in March just five months after hitting $38 trillion and is on track to hit $40 trillion before the midterm elections.

On Saturday, Julian Borger reported in The Guardian that tensions between Trump and Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu are high. Former Israeli diplomat Alon Pinkas noted that Trump stopped mentioning Netanyahu by the end of March and left Israel out of the loop on ceasefire negotiations in April. Pinkas noted that if Trump lashes out at Netanyahu, he will look like he was manipulated into going to war, while Netanyahu has tied himself to Trump at a time when the prime minister must hold an election before October. “This affects Netanyahu politically and this affects Trump politically,” Pinkas told Borger. “In other words, they have screwed each other pretty badly.”

Philip Kennicott of the Washington Post noted last week that, apparently determined to convince Americans all is going well, Trump is putting words in our mouths. Around Washington, D.C., signs are appearing that show Trump in a hard hat near construction scaffolding and read: “Thank you, PRESIDENT TRUMP.”

Notes:

Popular Information
We were promised a gold-plated Trump phone
On June 16, 2025, President Trump’s two eldest sons, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, announced the launch of Trump Mobile. The new venture’s flagship product was “a sleek, gold smartphone engineered for performance“ called the T1 Phone. The pair announced Trump Mobile at Trump…
Read more

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/may/11/republicans-trump-popularity

The Bulwark
The ‘America First’ Corporate Graveyard
IN THE MIDST OF AN ENERGY CRISIS, the Trump administration is paying companies to not build more energy infrastructure…
Read more

https://content.govdelivery.com/bulletins/gd/USDHSCBP-415c8e9

https://fortune.com/2026/03/18/how-big-national-debt-39-trillion-trump-promises/

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-interview-suspending-gas-tax-iran-war/?linkId=941331742

https://thehill.com/policy/international/5871568-iran-us-peace-proposal-response/

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/2026/05/iran-war-trump-losing/687094/

https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/11/world/live-news/iran-war-proposal-trump

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Prices-Jump-After-Trump-Rejects-Irans-Peace-Proposal.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/2026/05/07/signs-thanking-trump-in-washington/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/09/tensions-emerge-bejamin-netanyahu-donald-trump-alliance

https://trumpstruth.org/

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Bluesky:

atrupar.com/post/3mllmumiwnv26

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Thoughts on GitLab's workforce reduction" and "structural and strategic decisions"

GitLab Act 2

There's a lot going on in this announcement from GitLab about the "workforce reduction" and "structural and strategic decisions" they are making with respect to the agentic era.

  • They're "planning to reduce the number of countries by up to 30% where we have small teams". One of the most interesting things about GitLab is that they have employees spread across a large number of countries - 18 are listed in their public employee handbook but this post says they are "operating in nearly 60 countries". That handbook used to document their payroll workflows for those countries too - they stopped publishing that in 2023 but the last public version (hooray for version control) remains a fascinating read. Since we don't know which of those 60 countries have small teams, we can't calculate how many countries that 30% applies to.
  • "We're planning to flatten the organization, removing up to three layers of management in some functions so leaders are closer to the work." - this isn't the first announcement of this type I've seen that's trimming management. Coinbase recently announced a much more aggressive version of this: they were "flattening our org structure to 5 layers max below" and "No pure managers: Every leader at Coinbase must also be a strong and active individual contributor. Managers should be like player-coaches".
  • In terms of team structure: "We're re-organizing R&D to create roughly 60 smaller, more empowered teams with end-to-end ownership, nearly doubling the number of independent teams." I've always loved the idea of individual teams that can ship features unblocked by other teams, and it makes sense to me that agentic engineering can increase the capability of such teams. The 37signals public employee handbook used to have a section on working In self-sufficient, independent teams which perfectly captured this for me, I'm sad to see they removed that detail in January 2024!
  • Tucked away towards the bottom: "We will be retiring CREDIT as our values framework" - that's the values framework described on this page: "Collaboration, Results for Customers, Efficiency, Diversity, Inclusion & Belonging, Iteration, and Transparency". The new values are "Speed with Quality, Ownership Mindset, Customer Outcomes". The fact that "Diversity" is no longer in there is likely to attract a whole lot of attention, so it's worth noting that a sub-bullet under Customer Outcomes reads "Interpersonal excellence: individuals who are good humans, embrace diversity, inclusion and belonging, assume good intent and treat everyone with respect".

Here's the part of their new strategy that most resonated with me:

The agentic era multiplies demand for software. Software has been the force multiplier behind nearly every business transformation of the last two decades. The constraint was the cost and time of producing and managing it. That constraint is collapsing. As the cost of producing software collapses, demand for it will expand. Last year, the developer platform market used to be measured in tens of dollars per user per month, this year it is hundreds/user/month and headed to thousands. Not only is the value of software for builders increasing, but we believe there will be more software and builders than ever, and we will serve an increasing volume of both.

That very much encapsulates my own optimistic, Jevons-paradox-inspired hope for how this will all work out.

Their opinion on this does need to be taken with a big grain of salt though. GitLab's stock price was ~$52 a year ago and is ~$26 today, and it's plausible that the drop corresponds to uncertainty about GitLab's continued growth as agentic engineering eats its way through their core market.

If your entire business depends on software engineering growing as a field and producing larger volumes of more lucrative seats, you have a strong incentive to believe that agents will have that effect!

Via Hacker News

Tags: 37signals, careers, ai, gitlab, coding-agents, jevons-paradox, agentic-engineering

Pharma’s Sputnik Moment

“I’m really hoping your industry moves from drug discovery,” Jensen Huang quipped, “which is kind of like wandering around the forest looking for truffles.”

The other guy laughed, nodded, and by the time the session ended, agreed to commit a billion dollars over five years to Nvidia’s stack — talent, infrastructure, and compute. The two men shook hands.

The other guy was David Ricks, the chief executive of Eli Lilly — the most valuable pharmaceutical company in the world, a $700 billion firm built over a century, responsible for some ho-hum compounds like insulin, Prozac, and Zepbound. Ricks and Huang had been on a stage at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference in San Francisco, widely regarded as the most important annual gathering in pharma.

These were two men, among the most important in their fields, which also happen to be two of the most important industries on earth.

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The relationship has a hierarchy. There is a speed differential. There is an incumbent and an insurgent. And the insurgent is becoming a real threat to the incumbent.

Pharma is slow; AI labs are fast. Pharma is regulated; AI labs are not (as much). Pharma still believes it sets the terms of its own industry; AI labs already know it does not. Everyone in the room knew the hierarchy. Huang said it in a sentence, with a joke, and Ricks laughed along. Two men, one check.

Eli Lilly had just bought ten million truffles.

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“A century of human progress in science could be achieved by AI in just 5 or 10 years.”

Dario Amodei had said it from a stage at Davos a year earlier. Three months after the JPMorgan session, Anthropic quietly acquired the startup Coefficient Bio for $400m in stock. Coefficient was only eight months old, and had fewer than ten employees. It had no wet lab, no clinical capacity, no Investigational New Drug (IND) application. What it boasted was a small team that had come out of Genentech’s machine-learning brain trust, Prescient Design.

Anthropic is not the only foundation lab on the prowl. Within two weeks of the Coefficient deal, OpenAI announced its own pharmaceutical partnership with Novo Nordisk, and just two days later, launched GPT-Rosalind, a biology research agent built specifically for drug discovery workflows. Earlier in the year, Google’s Isomorphic Labs announced a research collaboration with Johnson & Johnson and now expects its first AI-designed compounds to enter clinical trials by the end of 2026. Every major frontier lab is making the same bet at the same time.

No alternative text description for this image
Isomorphic Labs’ official statement regarding its partnership with Johnson & Johnson.

I’ve spent the last several months trying to explain to friends in tech why the frontier labs are racing into pharma, and why pharma — the industry that fifteen years ago would have responded to a GPU seller with a polite rejection email — is responding now with billion-dollar contracts and stage time at its most important annual conference.

Pharma is having its Sputnik moment.

The reason this matters past the boundaries of either industry is that the relationship being drawn between AI and pharma right now will determine, over the next decade, how fast new drugs reach patients, which diseases get pursued and which do not, and how much of that calculus happens inside companies whose decisions you can see versus inside companies whose decisions you cannot. It is the story of the system that decides whether the drug your father needs gets approved in three years or twelve.

For most of the last century, pharma was a unipolar power inside drug development. It set the timelines. It set the pace. There was no peer pressure. There was nothing upstream of it that could move faster, no force pulling it toward urgency.

That has now changed. The frontier labs are not coming for pharma’s manufacturing or its trials or its distribution — they cannot, and I will get to why. They are coming for the part of the work that compounds in software, and they are moving at a speed pharma has never had to compete against. This is not a takeover. It is a forced partnership — closer, faster, and stranger than either industry has been in before. Two powers, neither able to fully absorb the other, each forced by the other’s existence to move faster than it would on its own. The space race was not produced by NASA alone. It was produced by NASA and the Soviets, in a relationship neither side wanted but both sides operationalized.

How Did the United States Take the Lead in the 'Space Race?'
For anyone who remembers (or young history buffs), the Space Race was the deal of the decade.

AI is not going to eat pharma. Pharma is not dying. But truffle jokes and biotech acquisitions are the same story told from two ends — in public, and on the cap table.

What are AI labs getting out of this?

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Modeling the US-Europe Paradox (Very Wonkish)

This is a technical note for economists, which I am putting up basically so I can refer to it later on. Normal human beings may want to skip it.

I recently wrote about the European economy, and how the widespread narrative that says that Europe is in decline isn’t supported by the evidence. As I noted, conventional measures of growth in GDP per capita have favored the United States since 2000:

But European relative GDP per capita measured at PPP has not declined:

Call this the US-Europe paradox.

Of course, it isn’t really a paradox. It makes perfect sense given US dominance of sectors that are experiencing rapid productivity growth, which leads to a rise in relative US GDP at constant prices but doesn’t translate into a rise in relative GDP at current prices. But I worry somewhat that my attempt to explain what’s going on in terms that non-economists might be able to follow may, um, paradoxically have made it less clear to economists. So this note lays the story out economics-professor style, with a bit of math.

Economese from here on.

A stylized model of the US-Europe paradox

Imagine a world consisting of two countries, US and EU. Assume for the sake of simplicity that labor is the only factor of production, and that the two countries have equal labor forces.

There are two goods, tech (T) and nontech (N). Both are costlessly tradable. Preferences are Cobb-Douglas, with consumers in both countries spending a constant share 𝜏<1/2 of their income on T.

Labor productivity in the production of N is assumed to be the same in both countries, and again for simplicity I assume zero productivity growth in that sector. Because productivity is the same and N is tradable, this ensures that wages are the same in the two countries, and hence that GDP in current prices is the same.

However, there is technological progress in tech, T.

I assume that US has a comparative advantage in T, and hence that all T is produced there. It doesn’t matter for this model what the source of that comparative advantage is, although in the real world it has a lot to do with the positive externalities generated by industrial clusters.

Crucially for this analysis, T experiences more rapid technological progress than N. I assume that productivity in that sector rises at a rate ⍴, versus zero in N.

Given these assumptions, what does the model imply for measured growth and relative performance?

As I’ve set it up, the model implies that all T will be concentrated in US. Because T attracts a share 𝜏 of world spending, it will also account for a share 𝜏 of world GDP, and hence 2𝜏 of US GDP.

Given this, technological progress in T implies rising US real GDP, measured the way we actually calculate it — as growth in “chained” constant prices — at a rate of 2𝜏𝜌. Growth in EU real GDP is zero. (We could obviously add in some growth in N productivity to make this number positive.) Yet relative GDP at current prices remains 1.

Oh, and real wages rise at the rate 𝜏𝜌 in both nations.

And that’s the US-Europe paradox. US dominance in tech leads to higher measured growth in the United States than in Europe, but not to a divergence in relative GDP or living standards.

Now back to writing in something resembling English.

datasette 1.0a29

Release: datasette 1.0a29

  • New TokenRestrictions.abbreviated(datasette) utility method for creating "_r" dictionaries. #2695
  • Table headers and column options are now visible even if a table contains zero rows. #2701
  • Fixed bug with display of column actions dialog on Mobile Safari. #2708
  • Fixed bug where tests could crash with a segfault due to a race condition between Datasette.close() and Database.close(). #2709

That segfault bug was gnarly. I added a mechanism to Datasette recently that would automatically close connections at the end of each test, but it turned out that introduced a race condition where an in-flight query could sometimes be executing in a thread against a connection while it was being closed. I ended up solving that by having Codex CLI (with GPT-5.5 xhigh) create a minimal Dockerfile that recreated the bug.

Tags: projects, datasette

Quoting Mo Bitar

Now, if your CEO has never heard the phrase Ralph Loop, oh man, you are less than 30 days away from your next promotion. I'm not even exaggerating. Walk into his office, close the door, and say, hey chief, been experimenting with something. It's called Ralph Loops. And I think it could change literally everything. And he's gonna say, what's a Ralph loop? And you will say, give me $18,000 worth of API credits and I'll show you. Now you won't actually do anything, because you can't do anything. Because nobody can, because nobody knows what they're doing. But by the time he figures that out, you'll have a new title, and equity bump. [...]

Talk about automation constantly. Nothing arouses the slumbering capitalists than the mention of automation. Drop names too, bro. Like talk about specific team members you can automate out of existence. Be like, yo, I automated Gary, bro. Tag Gary in the message. Tag him in Slack in a very public channel. Be like, yo, I just automated @Gary. His function has been Ralph Looped. And tag your CEO in the same message. You think you're getting laid off after that?

Mo Bitar, The Unethical Guide to Surviving AI Layoffs, TikTok

Tags: ai-ethics, tiktok, careers, ai

Quoting Mitchell Hashimoto

The thing about 90% of TDMs [Technical Decision Makers] is that they're motivated primarily by NOT GETTING FIRED. These aren't people who browser Lobsters or push to GH on the weekend. These are people that work 9 to 5, get paid, go home, and NEVER THINK ABOUT WORK AGAIN. So to achieve all that, they follow secular trends supported by analysts and broad public sentiment. Oh, Gartner said that "AI strategy" is most important? McKinsey said "context" needs to be managed? Well, "Context Engine for AI Apps" is going to be defensible. Buy it.

Mitchell Hashimoto, in a conversation about the design of the Redis homepage

Tags: marketing, mitchell-hashimoto, redis

llm 0.32a2

Release: llm 0.32a2

A bunch of useful stuff in this LLM alpha, but the most important detail is this one:

Most reasoning-capable OpenAI models now use the /v1/responses endpoint instead of /v1/chat/completions. This enables interleaved reasoning across tool calls for GPT-5 class models. #1435

This means you can now see the summarized reasoning tokens when you run prompts against an OpenAI model, displayed in a different color to standard error. Use the -R or --hide-reasoning flags if you don't want to see that.

Tags: llm, projects, openai, generative-ai, annotated-release-notes, ai, llms

Tuesday 12 May 1663

Up between four and five, and after dressing myself then to my office to prepare business against the afternoon, where all the morning, and dined at noon at home, where a little angry with my wife for minding nothing now but the dancing-master, having him come twice a day, which is a folly.

Again, to my office. We sat till late, our chief business being the reconciling the business of the pieces of eight mentioned yesterday before the Duke of York, wherein I have got the day, and they are all brought over to what I said, of which I am proud.

Late writing letters, and so home to supper and to bed. Here I found Creed staying for me, and so after supper I staid him all night and lay with me, our great discourse being the folly of our two doting knights, of which I am ashamed.

Read the annotations

What Happens When Americans Realize How Miserable We Are?

The title of today’s post is a riff on a recent headline in the Wall Street Journal: “What happens when Europeans find out how poor they are?” The Journal’s management evidently liked that article, which revolved around the assertion that European economies are lagging far behind the U.S. A few days ago they published a video enlarging on the claim.

As I explained the other day, however, perceptions of European decline are largely based on a statistical misunderstanding. European incomes relative to American incomes have not declined, because GDP growth as conventionally measured doesn’t mean what many people think it means. For the extremely wonkish, I’ve posted a little mathematical model to explain what’s going on in the data.

But let me not stop there, and pose a challenge in the opposite direction: What will happen when Americans realize how miserable we are? Not in all respects, of course. But my guess is that relatively few Americans realize how much we are falling behind other nations on basic aspects of a civilized life, like health and safety.

Take the issue of life expectancy, which surely matters as much as GDP. After all, one important contributor to the quality of life is not being dead. Judging from reader reactions to earlier posts, many generally well-informed Americans are still startled to learn how badly U.S. life expectancy has lagged behind other advanced nations:

This life expectancy gap will surely grow in the years ahead, thanks to the Trump administration’s attacks on both health coverage and modern medicine, including but not limited to the widening assault on vaccines.

The US lag in preventing deaths gets even more startling when one begins to delve into the details. I myself only learned recently that the United States, which used to lead the world in traffic safety, now has much more dangerous roads than other wealthy nations. I included Portugal in the chart at the top of this post because of personal history: I worked in Lisbon for three months in 1976, and driving there back then was terrifying. Now Portugal has much safer roads than we do.

Or consider infant mortality, where the United States not only does much worse than other rich nations but now does worse than some much poorer countries:

Then there’s deaths by violence. Donald Trump and right-wingers in general often portray European cities as dangerous places, overrun by criminal immigrants. The reality is that while U.S. crime has plunged from its peak around 1990 — you wouldn’t know it listening to the right, but New York City in particular is incredibly safe by historical standards — murder rates are still far higher in the U.S. than in Europe:

Mortality is a useful point of comparison because it’s easily quantifiable. So, to a lesser extent, is work-life balance. As I noted in Sunday’s primer, the Germans and the French are roughly as productive per hour as Americans. They have lower GDP per capita than we do because they have more leisure time. Most German employees, for example, receive 25-28 days of paid leave every year. The average US private-sector worker receives only 10 days of paid vacation and 6 paid holidays annually.

And the US is, of course, the only advanced nation that doesn’t guarantee healthcare to all its citizens.

Other problems with the US way of life — like our lack of walkable cities, access to public transportation, and feasibility of living without a car — are harder to summarize with simple numbers. But they are real failings.

I don’t mean to suggest that everything is worse in the U.S. We do, in fact, have substantially higher GDP per capita than European nations, and this is reflected in our material standard of living. For example, we live in bigger houses, which is nothing to sneer at, and drive bigger cars. And as people who have lived on both sides of the Atlantic can attest, “getting stuff done” — everything from finding a place to live to finding a plumber on a weekend — is often much easier in America.

But there are many ways in which America’s quality of life is much worse than one would expect given the nation’s wealth. And we should always remember that economic growth is supposed to be the foundation of a better life. A nation that has high GDP per capita but whose citizens live worse than their counterparts in other countries is not a success story.

And many Americans would, I believe, be angry if they realized how much worse our lives are in many ways than those of our counterparts abroad.

Why are American lives so often nastier, more brutish, and shorter than those of citizens of other advanced nations? That’s a complicated story, but much of it comes down to the fact that US politics has for decades been dominated by a party that is fiercely opposed to any concept of shared responsibility, of caring for our fellow citizens, and that foments a deep level of distrust that makes it ever harder to operate as a society.

As a result, we don’t guarantee healthcare. We underfund public services. We promote private consumption — including driving — while neglecting the provision of public goods. We don’t assure basic health and safety, including for children, which in the long run will make us poorer. It’s not an accident that America began to fall behind other rich countries in many ways around 1980, that is, around the time the election of Ronald Reagan marked a sharp rightward turn in U.S. politics and policy.

You shouldn’t read this post as an exercise in America-bashing. As a nation, we have many strengths and virtues. But we also have weaknesses and failings. And American triumphalism, which often involves bashing Europe, gets in the way of recognizing what we get wrong.

MUSICAL CODA

SpaceX targets May 19 for debut of Starship Version 3, Launch Pad 2

SpaceX’s first Starship V3 rocket stands at Launch Pad 2 prior to a fueling demonstration on Monday, May 11, 2026. Image: SpaceX

SpaceX is now targeting no earlier than Tuesday, May 19, for the long awaited debut of the third major iteration of its Starship-Super Heavy rocket. The announcement came the day after it completed an integrated tanking test on Monday.

The mission, dubbed Flight 12, will not only be the first launch of what is collectively referred to as Starship V3, but also the first launch from Pad 2, the updated version of the launch infrastructure supporting both launch and catch capabilities. Starship V3 will also use a new iteration of the Raptor engines, referred to as Raptor 3 engines. 

“The flight test’s primary goal will be to demonstrate each of these new pieces in the flight environment for the first time, with each element of the Starship architecture featuring significant redesigns to enable full and rapid reuse that incorporate learnings from years of development and test,” SpaceX said on its website.

The flight profile of the mission is similar to previous Starship test missions, in that it will be a suborbital flight. However, because of all the new elements at play, SpaceX will not attempt a catch of either the upper stage, called Ship 39, or the first stage, called Booster 19.

SpaceX will have Booster 19 perform a controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico (referred to as Gulf of America by the U.S. Government) about seven minutes after liftoff. Meanwhile, Ship 39 will aim for its own aquatic landing a little more than an hour into the mission out in the Indian Ocean.

Unlike the previous iterations of its Super Heavy booster, this time around, SpaceX is using an integrated hot stage, which exposes the forward dome of the booster’s fuel tank during hot staging. Engineers included a non-structural steel layer that will work in concert with tank pressure to help shield the liquid methane tank from the fire of the upper stage engines.

As it did with Flight 10 and Flight 11 last year, SpaceX also intends to deploy simulator Starlink satellites from the ship upper stage. This time around however, there will be 22 of them onboard – about double from previous flights – with two of them featuring new capabilities.

“The last two satellites deployed will scan Starship’s heat shield and transmit imagery down to operators to test methods of analyzing Starship’s heat shield readiness for return to launch site on future missions,” SpaceX said. “Several tiles on Starship have been painted white to simulate missing tiles and serve as imaging targets in the test.”

SpaceX will be testing a far more complete version of its heat shield with Flight 12. Unlike previous missions, during which multiple tiles were intentionally removed, this time only one is intended to be missing at liftoff.

“For Starship entry, a single heat shield tile has been intentionally removed to measure the aerodynamic load differences on adjacent tiles when there is a tile missing,” SpaceX said.

The Raptor engines also underwent notable upgrades since their last flight, offering greater promised performance.

“Raptor 3 engines deliver increased thrust, with sea-level variants now producing 250 tf (551,000 lbf) up from 230 tf (507,000 lbf), while vacuum engines produce 275 tf (606,000 lbf) up from 258 tf (568,000 lbf),” SpaceX said. “Sensors and controllers are now internally integrated and covered by engine thermal protection, eliminating the need for individual engine shrouds on both Starship and Super Heavy. All engine variants will also now feature a redesigned ignition system.

“Mass of the Raptor sea-level engines has been reduced to 1,525 kg from 1,630 kg. Overall vehicle-level mass savings reach approximately 1 ton per engine through simplification of the engine itself, vehicle-side commodities, and supporting hardware.”

The debut of Starship V3 is a long time coming and will be critical for NASA’s plans to return humans to the Moon. This iteration of the rocket will eventually demonstrate propellant transfer capabilities, which will be needed to support flights of the Human Landing System iteration of the rocket.

Both Starship and Blue Origin’s Blue Moon Mk.2 designed mission architectures that require multiple launches and for fuel to shift from a tanker to their respective landers. A propellant transfer as such has never been done before in space.

“That first prop transfer flight is going to be really important to us for SpaceX and we expect to see that and get some real great data from it,” said Tom Percy, NASA’s HLS Systems Engineering and Integration Manager, based at the Marshall Space Flight Center. He spoke with Spaceflight Now prior to the launch of NASA’s Artemis 2 mission in April.

“I think more importantly for me, just as a long-term vision for space exploration, we know that multi-launch architectures for deep-space exploration are going to have to become a common thing. And so all the things that both providers (both SpaceX and Blue Origin) are doing to manage the development and the understanding of how to coordinate multiple launches to be able to build these bigger exploration systems is going to help us not only for the Moon, but also for Mars and beyond.”

Moral Economics: How to buy a copy at a bookstore

 It's publication day for Moral Economics, so I think my involvement in bookselling has probably reached it's peak.  You can buy it IRL now, at American bookstores, and my English publisher notes that you can still pre-order it there at a discount from independent bookstores (see below).

 Here's a snapshot taken at a Barnes and Noble in New York City on publication day May 12.

Moral Economics: New and Notable at Barnes and Nobel

 And here's a message from my publisher in England, where the book will come out in real life only later this month.

"May Pre-Order Offer 2026

We’re delighted to include your forthcoming book in our May Pre-Order Offer, for a limited time, readers will be able to pre-order your book and save 20%. With this offer, we’re aiming to drive extra sales supporting indie bookshops ahead of publication day.

How to get involved
Please share a
Bookshop.org link to your book between 13-17th May.

Pre-order a copy of my book from Bookshop.org between 13-17 May and save 20% with the code: PREORDER20 Every sale supports real independent bookshops across the UK!"

 

 

 

Inflation Spiking? Cue the Idiotic Tax Ideas.

Photo by rulenumberone2 (CC BY 2.0)

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After decades of low inflation, we were all reminded in 2022 that rising prices have a unique political power, one that can swamp all other concerns and produce almost limitless anger among voters. Faced with that anger, politicians may turn even stupider than usual as they try either to resist or exploit it, depending on whether they’re in or out of power. It’s happening again.

Naturally, President Trump has the dumbest idea at this particular moment — but some Democrats are offering up foolishness of their own. I’ll get to the misguided Dems in a moment, but let’s begin with the news, and it ain’t good.

According to just-released government data, inflation is rising, real incomes are falling, and as we all know, the price of gas has ballooned. But worry not, because President Trump knows how to solve that pesky affordability problem: Suspend the gas tax!

Every few years, gas prices spike for one reason or another, and some politicians — sometimes Democrats, sometimes Republicans — propose to suspend the gas tax, which is currently 18.4 cents per gallon, in order to help cushion the blow. And every time, I write a column explaining how wrongheaded it is; for instance, here’s one I wrote in 2022 attacking Democrats for playing around with the idea. Strangely, my words have so far gone unheeded.

The only consolation is that even as a political matter (let alone a practical one), this never works. Not enough people hear about the proposal, and Congress has never actually suspended the gas tax anyway (though some states have suspended their own gas taxes). Even if it did, the industry would probably just pocket most or all of the windfall, and no one would notice a difference at the pump. So if you think Trump will get a political windfall from floating this idea, you have nothing to worry about.

But when voters are saying “Something must be done!” politicians are tempted to respond “Here, this is something!” even if it’s really nothing. And the higher gas prices go, the less of a psychological impact suspending the gas tax would have. Even if the whole amount were refunded at the pump (which it wouldn’t be) imagine you’re paying the national average for gas, which is now $4.50 a gallon. If you paid $4.32 a gallon instead, would you say “Wow, this is so cheap now! Thanks, President Trump!”? Of course not. That’s still really high, and it was just weeks ago you were paying about three bucks. The fact that you paid $60 instead of $63 to fill up your car wouldn’t make you feel better.

The good news is that not only will this proposal go nowhere (since it won’t be approved in Congress), suggesting it makes Trump look even more out of touch and indifferent to people’s struggles. This is one of those rare instances when people see and understand the direct impact a government decision had on their lives: Trump went to war against Iran, a war that almost nobody wanted, and now we’re all paying more at the pump (and are beginning to pay more for everything). And when he’s not screwing up that war, he’s obsessing over his golden ballroom. Which is how we get polls like this one:

A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds that 77% – including a majority of Republicans – say that Trump’s policies have increased the cost of living in their own community. Roughly two-thirds of Americans say that Trump’s policies have worsened economic conditions in the country. And Trump’s approval rating stands at 30% on the economy, a career low.

In their polls, the lowest approval Trump got on the economy in his entire first term was 44%. Now he’s at 30% and falling.

Democrats get on the stupid train

Unfortunately, the response of some Democrats to the rise of “affordability” as a pressing political issue is to find the most Republican solution they can, which is…tax cuts! This is a terrible mistake.

Some examples:

  • Sen. Cory Booker wants to exempt the first $75,000 of family earnings from federal income taxes.

  • Sen. Chris Van Hollen has a proposal co-sponsored by 18 other Democrats to eliminate federal income taxes on anyone making under the “median cost of living,” which he puts at $46,000.

  • In the campaign for California governor, Katie Porter has proposed eliminating state income taxes for any family earning under $100,000.

  • Former congresswoman and current Senate candidate Mary Peltola proposes to “eliminate federal income tax entirely for working and middle-class Alaskans earning less than $92,000 per year, paid for by raising taxes on millionaires and billionaires.”

  • Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wants law enforcement officers to be exempted from taxes on their first $100,000 of income.

All this sounds progressive and populist (maybe except for that last one), but the problem is not just that it deprives the government of money it needs to perform important functions, it accepts the conservative premise that taxes are inherently bad, and if we can eliminate them on the right people, then we will have offered them much-needed “relief” from this burden.

That is simply not what liberals should be telling the public about taxes. They should be telling the public that taxes are necessary and important, and we all contribute to creating a country and a society we want. Taxes fund schools and hospitals and roads and bridges and parks and clean water and retirement benefits for seniors and a thousand other things. What’s important is that the tax system is fair, and if you feel that it isn’t, then you’re right. But the answer isn’t just to exempt some people from income taxes, it’s to make sure everyone, including the rich, pays their share.

That’s the message Democrats ought to be sending. Instead, some of them are essentially saying “Your taxes are too high; I’ll make them lower.” Which is exactly what Republicans say.

Look, I get it: Offering a tax cut sounds like a direct and tangible way to help people in the short term (even if it’s not something Democrats can actually do, since they’re in the minority, and they probably won’t even do when they’re in the majority). You cut their taxes, and then bingo, more money their paychecks. The things that would have a much more substantial effect on affordability, like having a well-functioning national health system and creating more housing stock? Those are hard, and take a long time.

Bud Democrats need to understand that right now it doesn’t actually matter if they have any solution to the problem. Every political consultant and member of Congress will say “It’s not enough to say we’re mad too; we need to show voters that we have better ideas.” But actually, you don’t. Not at a moment like this and not for a problem like this.

As a political matter, Democrats don’t have to solve high gas prices and high grocery prices and high health care prices. Voters don’t actually care what their solutions are. It’s enough to say “Look how bad things are! It’s all Trump and the Republicans’ fault! Throw those bums out!”

Trust me, it’ll work. Democrats can certainly come up with policy ideas for the future, but those should be long-term solutions, especially since it will be almost three years (at a minimum) before they get the chance to do any genuine governing. And who knows what the world will look like then. Right now voters are mad, as they should be, and all Democrats need to do is remind them who they ought to be mad at. But don’t do it in a way that reinforces the conservative perspective and makes long-term solutions harder.

I’ll leave you with this little ditty called “I Paid My Income Tax Today,” which I included in a piece I wrote recently at Public Notice (where I write a weekly column — subscribe there too!). It’s a song Irving Berlin wrote in 1942 to encourage Americans to contribute to the war effort, and it includes the immortal line, “See those bombers in the sky/Rockefeller helped to build them, so did I!”

Thank you for reading The Cross Section. This site has no paywall, so I depend on the generosity of readers to sustain the work I present here. If you find what you read valuable and would like it to continue, consider becoming a paid subscriber.

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Hollis Robbins on AI and higher education

There’s a growing idea I’ve seen in some circles that college could be replaced by conversations between an A.I. tutor and a student. When I think about your model, I wonder why college even needs to exist. If I can just seek out a tutor, somebody that I like, and they just charge me a little bit, and we go through these edge-knowledge cases together, what’s the degree for? Couldn’t you, as Hollis Robbins—not only a specialist in African American sonnet traditions but also an idiosyncratic thinker on the subject of A.I. and the future of the academy—just set up your own shop?

I was in Austin, Texas, a couple of times in March with a bunch of twenty-five-year-old billionaires. This is what they’re looking at. Instead of having the credential from the institution, why not have the credential from the professor? If you have a Hollis Robbins education, what would that signal? What would that credential mean as opposed to a degree from a university? There was some conversation about what that would look like, and one guy at the end of the dinner said, “Instead of OnlyFans, it’s like OnlyProfessors.”

Here is much more from The New Yorker.

The post Hollis Robbins on AI and higher education appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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Legal Protections Following a Collision With a Roadside Service Truck

Roadside assistance vehicles operate in high risk zones where visibility is often compromised by traffic or lighting. These heavy trucks are frequently stationary while surrounding cars move at high speeds, creating a dangerous disparity in momentum. The margin for error is incredibly small.

Every year, motorists fail to account for the presence of these service crews on the shoulder. Whether due to distracted driving or poor judgment, the resulting impacts are catastrophic. These incidents happen in the blink of an eye, leaving victims with life altering injuries and significant financial burdens.

When a crash involving a tow truck  or service vehicle occurs, the legal implications are highly specific. Many people find it helpful to consult with a Dallas truck accident lawyer to navigate the complex insurance layers and safety regulations that apply to these commercial operators.

The Impact of Move Over Statutes on Driver Liability

Most states have enacted specific safety laws that require drivers to vacate the lane closest to any stationary vehicle with flashing lights. These rules are designed to create a buffer zone for workers who are exposed to the flow of traffic. Ignoring these laws is a serious offense.

If a driver stays in the lane and strikes a service truck, their failure to move over is a primary indicator of negligence. Evidence from highway cameras or witness accounts can quickly establish that the driver had the opportunity to switch lanes. This violation simplifies the recovery process.

These statutes apply to a wide range of vehicles, including tow trucks and utility vans. Respecting the flashing amber or blue lights is a fundamental duty of every person on the road. When this duty is ignored, the law provides a clear path for holding the driver accountable.

Operator Negligence and Failures in Vehicle Recovery

Service operators also have a professional responsibility to follow strict safety protocols during a recovery. This includes using proper signaling and setting up reflective cones to warn oncoming traffic. Failing to provide adequate warning is a form of negligence that puts everyone at risk.

The mechanical process of towing also requires precision to prevent a secondary crash. If a car is not properly hitched, it can break loose and become a projectile on the highway. Using worn out straps or incorrect attachment points is a sign of poor training.

Operators must also be extremely cautious when merging back into active traffic lanes. Their heavy vehicles accelerate slowly and have large blind spots. A sudden move without checking for clearance can force other drivers to swerve, leading to a multi vehicle pileup in seconds.

Sorting Through Complex Insurance and Employment Status

The business structure of a roadside assistance company often determines which insurance policy covers a crash. Some tow trucks are part of large national networks with substantial corporate coverage. Others are operated by independent contractors who may have much smaller individual liability limits.

Large corporations frequently attempt to distance themselves from an accident by claiming the driver was a third party agent. This legal tactic is used to shield the parent company from direct financial responsibility. Uncovering the true nature of the employment relationship is vital.

Determining who is actually responsible requires a thorough review of contracts and payment records. A detailed investigation ensures that the claim is filed against the right entity. This step is essential for securing a settlement that covers all current and future medical expenses.

Investigating Mechanical Integrity and Professional Training

Commercial service vehicles must undergo rigorous inspections to ensure their hydraulics and braking systems are in top condition. A failure in a tow arm or a winch can lead to a loss of control during a vehicle recovery. Maintenance logs are critical pieces of evidence.

Proper training is equally important for staff who must operate heavy machinery in high stress environments. Companies have a duty to ensure their employees understand how to handle different vehicle weights and weather conditions. A lack of preparation leads to preventable and tragic errors.

If a company sends an untrained technician into a dangerous situation, they are liable for the outcome. Negligent hiring practices and a failure to supervise staff are serious issues in the industry. Proving these systemic failures is the key to achieving a fair and just resolution.

Conclusion

The safety of everyone on the highway depends on a shared commitment to caution and awareness. Motorists must respect the space needed by roadside service crews, and operators must follow every protocol. When these standards are ignored, the consequences for victims are often devastating.

Holding negligent parties accountable is the most effective way to drive meaningful improvements in industry safety. It ensures that corporations prioritize the well being of the public over their own bottom line. Legal action provides the necessary leverage to enforce these high standards.

Achieving a successful outcome provides a sense of closure and the financial support needed for a full recovery. By focusing on the facts and the law, victims can overcome the hurdles of a complex claim. Accountability makes the roads a safer environment for everyone.

photo: Wolfgang Vrede via Pexels


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What to Know About Open-Source LMS Platforms Before Choosing

Choosing an open-source learning management system platform is not a decision to be taken lightly. The right selection ensures the achievement of the educational or training objectives effectively. An awareness of the essential considerations of these platforms will help organizations be more informed in their decisions. Before deciding on a solution, you should also factor in the following key considerations.

Cost Considerations

Open source LMS platforms, like Moodle LMS , came into the picture primarily due to the fact that they did not impose any licensing fee. Organizations can use and tailor the software without ongoing expenses. Compared to most commercial alternatives, the savings can be substantial. But then some additional costs can pop up, like hosting, support, development, etc. Allocating a budget for training, customization, and recurrent updates, if any, prevents sudden financial hiccups.

Support and Community Involvement

In most cases, the support for open-source LMS platforms comes from a strong user community. A lot of useful resources, like forums, online groups, and documentation, help you in fixing problems or learning a new feature. Support from the community encourages collaboration and constant development. That said, prompt help may not always be available. Some organizations may invest in additional professional support services, which may provide more peace of mind.

Security and Data Privacy

When choosing a solution for hosting educational content and user data, security is a prime consideration. Open-source  code transparency and thorough peer review help discover and reveal vulnerabilities more quickly. Countless contributors also regularly update and patch it. Even so, the organization is still responsible for implementing security controls. Continuous monitoring and updating, as necessary, are critical to protecting sensitive information.

Integration and Compatibility

Most modern learner environments tend to have integrations with external tools/platforms. Open-source LMS solutions generally come with plenty of add-ons and plugin support. Integration with external platforms like conferencing or assessment tools expands teaching options. Organizations must explore the integrations these tools offer and ensure they fit into the existing workflows before finalizing their selection.

Scalability and Performance

Your selected LMS should be scalable to accommodate more activity for current and new users without lagging. Not all open-source platforms scale as demand grows. It is better to identify potential performance bottlenecks upfront, which can save time and effort to a large extent later on. Load testing guarantees that the system you will be using will always be able to sustain the maximum number of users that you expect.

Security and Data Privacy

When choosing a platform to host content and user information, security is a pivotal aspect. The beauty of open-source code is that it is transparent, which means vulnerabilities are often highlighted quickly by peers. Dedicated contributors often release frequent updates and patches. However, an organization is ultimately responsible for implementing security measures, even with SSTP.

Integration and Compatibility

Integration with other tools or platforms is often a necessity for modern learning environments. Open-source LMS solutions often support a broad range of add-ons and plugins. Integrations with third-party systems, such as video conferencing or assessment tools, expand what is possible in terms of instruction. Organizations should explore possible integrations with existing workflows before they select the right platform.

Ease of Use and Training

LMS should be easily understandable by instructors and learners alike. Easy-to-use interfaces reduce the training time and help in avoiding frustration. Thorough docs and tutorials empower new users to be independent. On the downside, due to its open-source nature, the design would possibly be less aesthetic than the commercial solution. While it seems counterintuitive, spending more time training users beforehand may actually lessen the number of support requests and increase satisfaction.

Conclusion

Selecting an open-source LMS platform is about more than comparing features. There are multiple factors like flexibility, cost, support, security, integration, scalability, ease of use, and maintenance. These features may or may not work for your organization. Ultimately, you must decide what is best for your organization based on your considerations/resources.

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Skincare Habits That May Be Aging Your Skin Faster Than You Realize

Many people focus heavily on buying new skincare products while overlooking the everyday habits that quietly affect skin health over time. Premature aging is often associated with genetics or major environmental damage, but smaller routine behaviors frequently influence skin texture, hydration, elasticity, and overall appearance much more than people realize. Inconsistent care, excessive irritation, and chronic stress on the skin barrier can gradually create visible changes long before people recognize the underlying cause.

This is one reason skincare conversations have become increasingly focused on prevention and consistency rather than quick fixes alone. More consumers now understand that healthy-looking skin usually comes from long-term habits that support recovery, hydration, and barrier protection instead of constantly overwhelming the skin with aggressive treatments or trend-driven routines.

Overusing Harsh Products Can Damage the Skin Barrier

One of the most common mistakes people make is assuming stronger products automatically create better results. Over-exfoliating, layering too many active ingredients, or using overly harsh cleansers can gradually weaken the skin barrier, leading to irritation, dryness, inflammation, and increased sensitivity over time.

As a result, many skincare routines now emphasize calming and restorative products rather than constant exfoliation or aggressive correction. Collections connected to Neurogan  show the broader interest in topical wellness products designed to support comfort, hydration, and skin balance. Many consumers increasingly prioritize ingredients and routines that help reduce stress on the skin instead of repeatedly overstimulating it.

Inconsistent Hydration Often Accelerates Visible Aging

Hydration strongly affects how smooth, firm, and healthy skin appears throughout the day. When the skin becomes chronically dehydrated, fine lines often appear more noticeable, texture may become rougher, and overall radiance tends to diminish gradually over time.

This is why serums designed around moisture retention and skin support continue attracting attention within modern skincare routines. Products such as anti aging serum for face  can help consumers increasingly prioritize hydration-focused skincare that supports elasticity and long-term skin appearance rather than relying entirely on temporary cosmetic effects. Consistent hydration often influences skin quality more visibly than people initially expect.

Poor Sleep Habits Affect Skin Recovery

Photograph illustrating this sponsored article
Photo by Content Pixie on Unsplash

Many people underestimate how closely skin health connects to sleep quality and nighttime recovery. During sleep, the body naturally repairs stress-related damage and supports processes tied to hydration, circulation, and skin regeneration. Chronic sleep disruption often contributes to dullness, puffiness, dryness, and visible fatigue over time.

This is one reason skincare increasingly overlaps with broader wellness conversations. Stress management, sleep routines, hydration, and overall recovery habits all influence how skin responds long-term. Even expensive skincare products often struggle to compensate fully for persistent exhaustion or chronic stress placed on the body daily.

Sun Exposure Continues Being One of the Biggest Factors

Despite growing awareness around skincare, many people still underestimate how strongly daily sun exposure contributes to premature aging. Fine lines, uneven pigmentation, texture changes, and collagen breakdown are frequently linked to long-term UV exposure accumulated gradually over many years.

According to American Academy of Dermatology, daily sun protection remains one of the most important factors in reducing visible premature skin aging. Even relatively small amounts of repeated exposure can gradually affect skin appearance significantly over time if protection habits remain inconsistent.

Constant Product Switching Creates Skin Stress

Another increasingly common skincare mistake is constantly changing products in response to trends or short-term expectations. Social media often encourages rapid experimentation with multiple ingredients and routines simultaneously, which can overwhelm the skin and make it difficult to identify what actually works effectively.

Many dermatology professionals now recommend simpler, more consistent routines built around long-term support instead of constantly introducing new active ingredients unnecessarily. Skin generally responds better to stability and gradual improvement than repeated cycles of irritation followed by recovery attempts.

Healthy-Looking Skin Usually Comes From Consistency

One of the biggest misconceptions in skincare is that dramatic results require highly complicated routines. In reality, healthy-looking skin often depends more on consistent daily habits than extreme treatments alone. Gentle cleansing, hydration, sun protection, stress reduction, and barrier support usually create stronger long-term improvement than constantly chasing fast results.

This is why many modern skincare routines are becoming more balanced and wellness-focused overall. Consumers increasingly want products and habits that support comfort, hydration, and long-term skin health instead of routines that feel harsh or emotionally exhausting to maintain. The habits that protect skin best are often the quieter ones repeated consistently over time rather than the most aggressive or trend-driven solutions available online.

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Who Really Benefits When Private Space Companies Get Public Money

The standard story goes like this. American taxpayers fund NASA. NASA hands contracts to private companies. Private companies innovate faster than the government could on its own. Everyone wins. It is a tidy narrative. It is also missing the most important details about where the money actually ends up and who gets to call the shots once the wire transfers clear.

The Scale of the Transfer

Start with the numbers, because the numbers are the story.

SpaceX alone has received more than $15 billion in NASA contracts over the past decade. The Department of Defense has added billions more for launch services, classified payload missions, and Starshield, a military variant of the Starlink satellite constellation. The Federal Communications Commission at one point approved Starlink for nearly a billion dollars in rural broadband subsidies before reversing course under public pressure. Add in tax abatements at launch sites in Texas and Florida, free use of federally maintained infrastructure, and the value of regulatory accommodations, and the public investment in one company climbs higher still.

These are not loans. They are payments and benefits that have helped transform a private company into one of the most valuable enterprises on the planet. The growing speculation around the spacex ipo  tells you what investors already know. Public contracts built a private fortune.

The question worth asking is not whether SpaceX delivered on those contracts. By most measures, it did. The question is who actually benefits from this arrangement once the contract is signed, and who carries the risk when something goes wrong.

A Familiar Pattern Wearing a New Uniform

Defense contractors have run this playbook for decades. Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, and Raytheon have spent generations turning government dependence into private wealth while convincing the public that the relationship runs the other way around. DCReport has documented how defense contractors milk the Pentagon , a quiet practice that costs taxpayers hundreds of billions over the life of programs like the F-35.

The new generation of private space companies has adapted that playbook. The branding is different. The faces are younger. The press coverage is friendlier. But the financial mechanics are recognisable to anyone who has watched defense spending for the past forty years.

Government contracts private space companies receive come with several familiar features. Cost-plus structures that protect the contractor from losses. Reimbursement for research the company keeps as proprietary. Limited public access to financial data because the company itself is private. And a revolving door between NASA, the Pentagon, and the executive suites of the companies receiving the money.

The Workers Who Built It

There is also the matter of who, exactly, made the technology work.

The Falcon 9 is often described as a triumph of private engineering. Much of the underlying knowledge came out of decades of NASA research, paid for by taxpayers and made available to SpaceX engineers through technology transfer agreements, hired former NASA employees, and open scientific literature. The same is true for the heat shielding work behind Dragon, the engine technology behind Raptor, and the orbital mechanics that make reusable rockets possible.

This is not a knock on SpaceX engineers, who solved real problems in real time. It is a recognition that the foundation was paid for by the public before the first SpaceX rocket left the ground. When private space executives talk about disrupting a “stagnant” NASA, they are taking credit for a body of work they inherited.

Where the Money Concentrates

Look at how the dollars move once they leave the federal treasury.

A portion goes to launch crews, technicians, machinists, and engineers. Real workers doing real work for real wages. That part of the equation deserves credit. But a much larger portion flows into corporate equity, where it concentrates dramatically. Elon Musk’s net worth has grown roughly in line with the value of SpaceX, which has grown roughly in line with its federal contract pipeline. The wealth created by public money does not stay public.

Compare this to how a publicly funded NASA program distributed money in earlier eras. Apollo employed roughly 400,000 people directly and indirectly. The benefits flowed out across the workforce, the supply chain, and the broader economy. The current model concentrates wealth at the top of a much smaller corporate structure, with shareholders and founders capturing the upside.

This is not an argument against private space contracts. It is an argument for being honest about who the contracts actually enrich.

The Accountability Gap

There is a structural problem with handing public functions to private companies. The accountability gap.

When NASA ran the Space Shuttle program, the failure of Challenger triggered a presidential commission, congressional hearings, and a transparent public reckoning with what went wrong. When a SpaceX rocket fails, the company decides what to share, when, and with whom. Internal investigations are not subject to FOIA. Engineering decisions are protected by trade secret law. Even fatal incidents at SpaceX facilities have been slower to surface than they would have been inside a government agency.

The Federal Aviation Administration has struggled to maintain oversight of commercial launches, particularly at Boca Chica in Texas, where Starship test flights have caused environmental damage and prompted lawsuits from local communities. Musk has publicly criticised the FAA for its review timelines and has called for “comprehensive deregulation” of commercial space activity. His political endorsements during the 2024 election cycle, covered in Musk’s Trump endorsement implications , came with explicit policy expectations attached.

Private companies have a legitimate right to argue for the regulations they prefer. The public has a legitimate right to ask what happens to safety oversight when one of the largest recipients of federal contracts also has the political leverage to shape the rules that govern him.

Who Is Not at the Table

Worth listing the parties who are not represented when these contracts get negotiated.

The taxpayers who fund them have no direct seat. Congress provides authorisation but rarely scrutinises specific awards. Local communities living near launch sites, who absorb the noise, environmental impact, and occasional debris from failed launches, are not consulted in any meaningful way. Workers at the contractors, who do the technical work that makes the contracts possible, have no role in negotiating the terms. The scientific community, which provided the foundational research, has no claim to the commercial upside.

The parties at the table are NASA procurement officers, Defense Department acquisition staff, and the executive teams at the contracting companies. The shareholders sit just behind them. The political donors sit slightly further behind, but close enough to be heard.

What a Better Bargain Could Look Like

None of this requires ending commercial space contracts. Private competition has lowered launch costs and accelerated innovation. Those are real gains. The question is whether the public is getting fair value in exchange for what it puts in.

A more honest bargain might include several things the current system avoids. Equity stakes for the government when public contracts create durable private valuation. Mandatory disclosure of financial data once federal contracts exceed a certain threshold, even for privately held companies. Clawback provisions when contractors break safety regulations or environmental commitments. Worker protections that apply across the entire contractor workforce, not just the corporate office. And political activity disclosures that match the scale of the public dependency.

These are not radical ideas. Variants of them exist in countries that fund private aerospace work through different structures. They are, however, ideas that would meet aggressive opposition from the companies currently benefiting most from the existing arrangement.

The Bottom Line

When the next major private space company files for its public offering, expect the headlines to focus on valuation, founders, and market potential. Expect less coverage of how much taxpayer money went into building the company, what oversight gaps allowed it to grow, and which workers and communities are not sharing in the upside they helped create.

That is the missing part of the story. It is also the only part that determines whether the public-private space bargain is working for the public or just working past it.

photo: SpaceX via Pexels


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OH Canada: Can the Stanley Cup Curse Be Broken this Year?

It’s quite clear that there has been a lot of political sniping between Canada and the United States over the past couple of years. The back and forth with tariffs and reneging on trade deals , all of this talk of a 51 st  state, and other factors have all caused frictions not seen in a lifetime.

Of course, away from the murky depths of social media and the brinkmanship between Washington and Ottawa, things are less fractious, even in the arena of sports, where the sniping between Americans and Canadians has mostly been a friendly rivalry going back decades.

Still, in Canada’s favorite sport, ice hockey, the fans south of the border have a ready-made riposte every time the bickering gets too heated – No Canadian team has won the Stanley Cup since 1993 . It’s 33 years and counting, and it is now being viewed as something akin to a curse.

Canada’s NHL curse feels unique

“Curses” are part and parcel of sports, of course. The long-suffering Boston Red Sox fans had to deal with the Curse of the Bambino for over 80 years before breaking it in 2004. A similar drought happened in Chicago with the Cubs. And in Buffalo, well, the city is deemed one of the unluckiest in its attempt to bring home a major sports championship.

Yet, this is an entire nation in what is deemed its national sport. Technically, lacrosse is the official national sport of Canada since 1859, but it’s evident that ice hockey is more popular. Regardless, it has become a painfully long wait.

The NHL Playoffs are taking place right now, so there is a chance that we will see the curse broken in the coming two months. Yet, it is once again an American team, the Colorado Avalanche, that is cited as the favorite in the Stanley Cup odds with DraftKings sportsbook . The Carolina Hurricanes, Tampa Bay Lightning and Vegas Golden Knights round out the top four in the betting.

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The Oilers had chances in 2024 and 2025

The Edmonton Oilers – beaten finalists in 2025 and 2024 – will probably be viewed as the most likely to beat the curse this season. It’s evident that the team is not as cohesive as it has been in the past couple of seasons. The worry is that the team starts to decline, and the mid-2020s will be looked back upon as a golden opportunity – the Florida Panthers won both Stanley Cups – that was let slip.

The Montreal Canadiens – the most successful team in NHL history and the last Canadian team to win the Stanley Cup – also remain in the mix, though Montreal’s odds would suggest the team is a middle-ground outsider. The Ottawa Senators need a miracle to get back into contention , down 3-0 in the series with Carolina.

A word to finish, too, on the Buffalo Sabres. As mentioned earlier, Buffalo has its own sports curse, mostly centered on the Bills’ travails and ill luck in the NFL. But the Sabres are back in the NHL Playoffs, and going nicely. The Sabres have not been in a Stanley Cup Final since the 1980s – and have never won one – so it would be nice to see the team break the city’s long championship drought. It’s not certain it would be celebrated in Canada, though.


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NASA’s Perseverance Captures Panorama at ‘Arbot’

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NASA’s Perseverance Captures Panorama at ‘Arbot’

Undulating terrain of reddish-brown soil and loose rocks stretches toward a rugged horizon. The sky above is hazy and pale. The image’s bottom edge is a jagged black border, indicating the edges of the frames stitched together to create the mosaic.
PIA26753
Credits: NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU/MSSS

Description

NASA’s Perseverance Mars rover used its Mastcam-Z camera to capture this panorama of an area nicknamed “Arbot” on April 5, 2026, the 1,882nd Martian day, or sol, of the mission, during the rover’s deepest push west beyond Jezero Crater. Made of 46 images, the panorama offers one of the richest geological vistas of the mission, revealing a windswept landscape of diverse rock textures. This is an enhanced-color version, which had its color bands processed to improve visual contrast and accentuate color differences.

Undulating terrain of reddish-brown soil and loose rocks stretches toward a rugged horizon. The sky above is hazy and pale. The image’s bottom edge is a jagged black border, indicating the edges of the frames stitched together to create the mosaic.
Figure A

Figure A is a natural-color version of the mosaic.

Undulating terrain of reddish-brown soil and loose rocks stretches toward a rugged horizon. The sky above is hazy and pale. The image’s bottom edge is a jagged black border, indicating the edges of the frames stitched together to create the mosaic.
Figure B

Figure B is a 3D anaglyph version designed for use with red-blue glasses. It is composed of 92 images collected by Mastcam-Z.

NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, which is managed for the agency by Caltech in Pasadena, California, built and manages operations of the Perseverance rover. Arizona State University leads the operations of the Mastcam-Z instrument, working in collaboration with Malin Space Science Systems in San Diego, on the design, fabrication, testing, and operation of the cameras, and in collaboration with the Niels Bohr Institute of the University of Copenhagen on the design, fabrication, and testing of the calibration targets.

For more about Perseverance: science.nasa.gov/mission/mars-2020-perseverance/

The post NASA’s Perseverance Captures Panorama at ‘Arbot’ appeared first on NASA Science.

NASA’s Perseverance Rover Snaps Westernmost Selfie

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NASA’s Perseverance Rover Snaps Westernmost Selfie

The head of a robotic rover looks down at a rocky outcrop in the foreground. The dusty, orange-red Martian surface stretches away toward the crater rim in the distance. The Sun seems to bloom in a hazy sky.
PIA26752

Description

NASA’s Perseverance Mars rover took this selfie on March 11, 2026, the 1,797th Martian day, or sol, of the mission, during the rover’s deepest push west beyond Jezero Crater. Assembled from 61 individual images, the selfie shows Perseverance training its mast on the “Arethusa” rocky outcrop after creating a whitish circular abrasion patch. The crater’s western rim of Jezero Crater is visible in the background.

The head of a robotic rover looks toward the viewer, above a rocky outcrop in the foreground. The dusty, orange-red Martian surface stretches away toward the crater rim in the distance. The Sun seems to bloom in a hazy sky.
Figure A

Figure A is a version of the selfie in which the rover appears to be looking at the camera.

The head of a robotic rover looks down at a rocky outcrop in the foreground. The dusty, orange-red Martian surface stretches away toward the crater rim in the distance. The Sun seems to bloom in a hazy sky.
Animation (.gif)

Here is a GIF combining the main image and Figure A, in which the rover appears to look up and down.

The selfie is composed of images taken by the WATSON (Wide Angle Topographic Sensor for Operations and eNgineering) camera on the end of the rover’s robotic arm. The images were stitched together after being sent back to Earth.

WATSON is part of an instrument called SHERLOC (Scanning Habitable Environments with Raman & Luminescence for Organics & Chemicals). WATSON was built by Malin Space Science Systems (MSSS) in San Diego and is operated jointly by MSSS and JPL.

The rover’s process for taking a selfie is explained in this video.

NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, which is managed for the agency by Caltech in Pasadena, California, built and manages operations of the Perseverance rover.

For more about Perseverance:

https://science.nasa.gov/mission/mars-2020-perseverance/

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Tuesday assorted links

1. Is it too expensive to sell a house? (NYT)

2. Sumner on Halperin on macro.

3. Why progress under Milei has stalled (WSJ).

4. Why is Latin America so violent?

5. Diet Coke parties are the rage in India.

6. Optimizing AI models for creativity.  “They simply have not done it yet” is one of the most useful phrases to keep in your mind these days.

7. Yes there is a European productivity crisis.

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VA Democrats Should Remove the VA Supreme Court, Even If It Will Not Save Redistricting

Yesterday, Virginia state Democrats joined the milquetoast caucus:

Top Virginia Democrats have decided against exercising a controversial procedural end run around last week’s state Supreme Court ruling that struck down their redistricting, which wiped away a gain of four House seats, the Democratic leader of the state Senate told The New Republic.

The decision—which nixes a complicated idea, discussed over the weekend by Democrats, to replace the state Supreme Court and get the case reheard—is likely to anger rank-and-file Democrats who had hoped the party would respond aggressively to the ruling, which has made it more likely that Republicans hold the House this fall.

This is the part that should upset rank-and-file Democrats (boldface mine):

“As a practical matter,” Virginia’s state Senate Majority Leader Scott Surovell said in an interview, the move “would not be capable of being implemented” given the “time frame.”

…Surovell insisted in an interview with The New Republic that the plan is unworkable. He cited a May 12 deadline set by the state Department of Elections for having congressional maps entered into the state’s election system. That’s necessary in order to be prepared for the congressional primaries set for August 1, for which early voting starts in mid-June.

That May 12 deadline would not leave enough time to execute the end run, Surovell said. The tactic would involve state legislative votes lowering the retirement age for judges followed by a new hearing of the case and other associated procedural arcana.

In a revelation that will dismay a lot of Democrats, the problem appears to be that the voting system has not been updated recently enough to make faster entry of the new maps possible (it’s currently being updated). If this ends up costing Democrats the House—which is unlikely but not impossible—the recriminations will be severe.

“Because the technology is so old, it takes a lot of time to input new districts into the computers, to ensure that people are assigned the correct ballots and that voting is not completely chaotic in November,” Surovell told me…

Surovell said that practical considerations weren’t the only thing motivating the decision not to exercise the retirement-age tactic. “Wiping out the entire Supreme Court is an incredibly extreme step to take over a decision you don’t like,” Surovell said…

Still, many Democrats will look at this situation and note that Republicans keep finding ways around procedural obstacles, while Democrats keep getting stymied by them. After the U.S. Supreme Court killed the protection against racial gerrymanders, it took Tennessee only a few days to wipe out a Democratic district by carving up the Black population in Memphis.

We will leave aside the reality that Virginia Democrats did not have a plan for dealing with the Virginia Supreme Court (though it will become obvious what it should have been). But Surovell* makes a fundamental error here: he assumes this awful decision will be the last awful decision the Virginia Supreme Court, as currently constituted, will make. Based on their recent decision, it certainly will not be the only bad decision it will hand down. And now the Virginia Supreme Court knows that Virginia Democrats will do nothing to stop them, so they will have no incentive to stop; they likely will be emboldened.

This is to say that Virginia Democrats should remove the Virginia Supreme Court on the basis of malfeasance, even if it will not fix this problem, because it will certainly prevent future problems that would have been created by this court. It is time for the courts to experience some checks and balances too, especially when the fight against fascism demands it.

And Virginia Democratic primary voters have an important role to play here (and this is a point that generalizes nationally). Democratic primary voters (which includes me too!) must start disciplining Democratic officials to the point where they are afraid to not use constitutional hardball to stop the fascists. As long as the milquetoast caucus keeps winning primary elections, they have no reason to change. Democratic primary voters can and have enforced party discipline on a few issues, such as basic abortion rights. While some Democratic officials might not be stalwarts on this issue, only a handful break at all from the party line—because if they do, they know they will be dead meat in their next primary.

It is time for Democratic primary voters to push their officials to fight–and fight to win.

*For what it is worth, autocorrect changes “Surovell” to “Shrivel.” Make of that what you will.

For a second time, poor weather scrubs Cargo Dragon mission launch to the space station

NASA, SpaceX scrubbed the launch of the CRS-34 mission to the International Space Station on Wednesday, May 13, 2026, due to poor weather. Image: SpaceX

Update May 13, 7:18 p.m. EDT (2318 UTC): NASA, SpaceX scrub launch on Wednesday, target NET Friday.

In a bit of deja vu, SpaceX and NASA were once again getting ready to launch a Cargo Dragon loaded with 6,500 pounds of science and supplies to the International Space Station from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station on Wednesday evening, but poor weather got the best of them yet again.

Unlike Tuesday’s launch attempt, which scrubbed well in advance of fueling the Falcon 9 rocket, on Wednesday, teams progressed through the countdown until the final minute when it was determined that a launch would violate the cumulus cloud rule.

Liftoff of the CRS-34 mission, atop a Falcon 9 rocket from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40), is now scheduled for Friday, May 15, at 6:05 p.m. EDT (2205 UTC), with the rocket flying on a northeasterly trajectory to target a rendezvous with the orbiting space station. SpaceX’s 34th mission for NASA as part of its Commercial Resupply Services (CRS) contracts.

The 45th Weather Squadron forecast a 35 percent chance for acceptable weather on Tuesday evening, thanks to a slow moving front moving across the State of Florida. During a media briefing on Monday, Launch Weather Officer Brian Cizek said that the forecast has been trending worse these past few days.

“The big difference in the forecast that we’ve seen today compared to the last few days is the models are really slowing down the progression of that front moving from north to south,” Cizek said. “So that will help pool more moisture over East Central Florida for tomorrow, which will lead to higher shower and storm coverage tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours.”

He said as the week goes on, there’s a “slight drying trend,” which offers a better outlook on Wednesday and better still on Thursday. The launch window for Wednesday showed a 60 percent chance for favorable weather heading into the window, which dipped down to 10 percent at one point.

SpaceX will launch the CRS-34 mission using the Falcon 9 first stage booster B1096. This will be its sixth flight following the launches of NASA’s IMAP, GPS III-9, NROL-77, Kuiper Falcon 01, and Starlink Group 6-87.

Less than eight minutes after liftoff, B1096 will return for a touchdown at Landing Zone 40 (LZ-40) adjacent to the launch pad at SLC-40. This will be the fourth booster recovery at this site and the 74th landing across the three pads SpaceX has used since 2015.

A SpaceX Cargo Dragon spacecraft, tail number C209, is seen atop a Falcon 9 rocket at Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station. Image: SpaceX

This will also be the sixth flight for the Cargo Dragon spacecraft, serial number C209. It launched the CRS-22, -24, -27, -30, and -32 missions. This is the first time that a Cargo Dragon spacecraft will launch for a sixth time, but the second for the Dragon-2 program overall. The Crew Dragon Endeavour has already flown for a sixth time.

“We completed similar life extension qualification for the crew vehicles, reviewing all hardware components across the vehicle, and ensuring we had at least six-flight qualification rationale for the crew capsule,” said Lee Echerd, SpaceX’s senior mission manager for its Government and Commercial Mission Management division.

“And then for the cargo qualification for this flight, it was essentially a delta certification with looking at the hardware items that are unique to the cargo configuration and completing a similar at least 6x qualification for for this mission.”

Cargo Dragon will separate from the Falcon 9 second stage about 9.5 minutes into the mission, kicking off a nearly 50-hour period during which the spacecraft plays catch up with the ISS. It’s set to dock with the orbiting outpost at about 7:35 a.m. EDT (1135 UTC) on Thursday, May 14).

Busy year in LEO

The arrival of the newest cargo spacecraft comes about two weeks before the next scheduled spacewalk on the Russian segment of the ISS.

Over the summer, there are spacewalks on the U.S. side scheduled in June and August. Between those, on July 14, the Soyuz MS-29 mission is scheduled to launch from the Baikonur Cosmodrome, carrying Cosmonaut and Commander Pyotr Dubrov, alongside fellow cosmonaut Anna Kikina and NASA astronaut Anil Menon.

Less than two weeks after the arrival of MS-29, MS-28 will depart. Before that happens, NASA astronaut Jessica Meir will become the commander of the space station.

The next crewed Dragon mission will launch in September with the Crew-13 quartet, led by NASA astronaut Jessica Watkins. She becomes the first active NASA astronaut to fly for a second time on a Dragon spacecraft.

The last quarter of the year will include another Cargo Dragon mission and the next Northrop Grumman Cygnus spacecraft.

A lingering question though is whether Boeing’s troubled Starliner spacecraft will make a cargo run to the ISS. NASA previously said it was hoping to fly the spaceship in 2026, without a crew to check the numerous problems encountered during its 2024 flight were resolved.

“Obviously, there’s a process that we go through. We continue to maintain as close to launch readiness as possible on Starliner-1 for all of our other factors that play into it,” said Bill Spetch, operations and integration manager for NASA’s ISS Program, in response to a question from Spaceflight Now on Monday.

“We’re continuing on to investigate the issues that that we saw, and so we’re working very close with our Boeing colleagues on that, and we will end up flying it when it’s ready. Some of that will determine exactly how much notice we have in front of the launch. As you know, our our schedule is pretty busy, but we’re trying to maintain windows where we can go, where we can go fly that.”

Ideas Behind Their Time: Part Two

In 2010 I wrote about Ideas Behind Their Time:

We are all familiar with ideas said to be ahead of their time, Babbage’s analytical engine and da Vinci’s helicopter are classic examples.  We are also familiar with ideas “of their time,” ideas that were “in the air” and thus were often simultaneously discovered such as the telephone, calculus, evolution, and color photography.  What is less commented on is the third possibility, ideas that could have been discovered much earlier but which were not, ideas behind their time.

I gave experimental economics, random clinical trials and view morphing (“bullet time”) as examples. Jason Crawford has a list discussing the wheel, the steam engine and bicycles among other possibilities. In some cases, further exploration indicates that an idea required precursors and so was not as behind its times as first suspected, in rare cases, however, good ideas really could have been invented much earlier.

Using Claude, Brian Potter has significantly expanded the list by looking systematically across a wide range of inventions and asking could they have been invented earlier? Most could not. Put the other way, most useful technologies tend to be invented quite quickly once they are possible–this is reassuring. The airplane, for example, could not have been invented before a high power-to-weight engine, which happened circa 1880 making the late 1880s the earliest feasible date for powered flight. Thus, the Wright Brothers (1903) were only just behind the earliest feasible date–and that is true for many inventions.

The ideas very far behind their time include the stethoscope, general anesthesia and reinforced concrete and quite far behind are the Jacquard loom and canning. Is there a pattern here?

Addendum: Brian’s Github with the full prompt and output for each invention is here.

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Beneath our human shallows

Aerial photo of a giant sinkhole in an urban area causing buildings to collapse into the hole.

We need a new imagination for the whole Earth, linking the power of the deep planet with the vitality of the surface

- by James Dinneen

Read on Aeon

Felix Salmon, at Bloomberg, reviews Moral Economics

  Felix Salmon, at Bloomberg, reviews Moral Economics, which starting today is now sold in stores (at least in the U.S.):

An Economist’s Case for Selling a Kidney.  In a new book, Nobel laureate Alvin Roth argues that decriminalizing taboo markets can save lives.  

He tells this story from the book:

"Roth gave a talk in 2017 at the Organ Donation Congress in Geneva about one such chain that started in 2015. A woman from the Philippines, known in the literature as FW, was willing to give up one of her kidneys to save the life of her husband, FM. The two flew to the US, where FM received a kidney from an altruistic donor in Georgia, and FW’s kidney was transplanted into a man in Minnesota. A friend of the Minnesota man, who had been willing to give up one of her kidneys to save his life, instead gave one to a man in Washington, whose father-in-law gave a kidney to a woman in Georgia, and so on. By the end of the year there had been 11 successful transplants, and the chain was still continuing.

" After his talk, Roth was confronted by a Spanish doctor who was deeply concerned about the potentially problematic implications of the economic inequality between the Philippines and the US. Roth pointed out that without the transplant, the patient would surely have died. Replied the Spanish nephrologist: “He should be dead!” Spain’s National Transplant Organization later denounced Roth as an organ trafficker.

"Roth tells this story in his most recent book, Moral Economics (Basic Venture, May 12), which, at least in part, is an attempt to apply the empiricism of economics to domains that are often resistant to such analysis. The opposition to the 2015 kidney chain, for instance, comes from nephrologists who have no problem with chains but who draw the line at international chains, or at least chains linking poor and rich countries."

######

Much of the objection to cross-border kidney exchange appears to be fading, some of it was based on the idea that countries should be self-sufficient in transplants.

See earlier posts:

Friday, January 9, 2026  WHO Says Countries Should Be Self-Sufficient In (Unremunerated) Organs And Blood by Krawiec and Roth (now open source)

 

Friday, September 11, 2020  Global Kidney Exchange supported by the European Society of Transplantation's committee on Ethical, Legal, and Psychosocial Aspects of Transplantation .

Early evidence on school smartphone bans and mental health

The word “early” is appropriate here and is to be stressed, nonetheless I am not surprised by these results, given the relative impotence of treatment effects in so many settings:

To provide causal evidence of the effects of these bans, I rely on synthetic difference-in-difference models and the National Survey of Children’s Health (NSCH) from 2016 to 2024. Currently, there are data for only one state with two post-ban periods and two states with one post-ban period, which makes the results preliminary evidence only. The outcome variables are screentime and measures of psychological wellbeing. Overall, these early results provide no clear evidence that the school ban policy reduced screentime or improved psychological wellbeing.

That is from a recent NBER working paper by Henry Saffer.

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Using agents to build economic datasets

Constructing datasets from primary sources is one of the costliest tasks in empirical economics. We propose Deep Research on a Loop (DRIL), a methodology that uses AI agents to assemble datasets from publicly available sources. DRIL applies a fixed research instrument across a mapped unit space (e.g., countries by years), with a two-stage architecture separating design from implementation. The instrument specifies variables and coding rules, an evidence policy governs sources and citations, and data quality mechanisms track gaps and uncertainty explicitly. We exercise DRIL on a 2025 update of the Global Tax Expenditures Database for eight Latin American and Caribbean countries. The run produces 129 sources and 136 evidence records, covering 22 qualitative fields fully and 6 quantitative estimate types with documented gaps, at the cost of a standard LLM subscription comparable to a few hours of research-assistant work. We argue that even partial automation of dataset construction can shift the production function of empirical economics.

That is from a new NBER working paper by Santiago Afonso, Sebastian Galiani, Ramiro H. Gálvez & Raul A. Sosa.  Be ready people, this and related uses of AI are the future of much of science.  Do not be left behind.

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Australia’s Cloudy Beauty

Wide patches of fog fill river valleys cutting through rugged, dark green mountains in eastern Victoria.
Fog fills networks of river valleys in eastern Victoria in an image captured by the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) on NASA’s Terra satellite at 8:19 a.m. local time (22:19 Universal Time) on May 11, 2026.
NASA Earth Observatory / Lauren Dauphin

It’s autumn in the Southern Hemisphere, which means it’s fog season in the Victorian Alps. NASA’s Terra satellite captured this view of morning fog filling valleys in several national parks across the mountains of eastern Victoria in May.  

As nights lengthen with the season, the atmosphere has more time to cool and approach the dew point—the temperature at which the air becomes saturated and water vapor can condense into radiation fog. Because cold air is denser than warm air, it sinks and drains into valleys, allowing fog to develop there first. In low-elevation areas, radiation fog usually fades as the Sun warms the ground, but it tends to linger in mountain valleys because they remain shaded longer. On this day, geostationary satellite imagery shows the fog persisting for about two hours.

Fog is a low-lying type of cloud composed of tiny water droplets suspended in the air. The main difference between a cloud and fog is that the base of fog reaches the ground, while the base of a cloud is generally well above the surface. Radiation fog forms in clear, calm conditions at night. In this case, a blast of cold, soggy weather primed the region by moistening land surfaces a few days prior to the arrival of a slow-moving high that brought calmer, warmer conditions that were conducive to fog formation. 

Many valleys in the mountains also have rivers, streams, and lakes, which amplified the process by providing a ready supply of water vapor. In the image above, zones of fog have formed along several water bodies, including the Mitta Mitta River, Buffalo River, Livingston Creek, Lake Dartmouth, and Snowy River.  

A narrow arch-shaped cloud is visible over the blue waters of Port Phillip Bay.
An arch-shaped cloud drifts over Port Phillip Bay in this image captured by the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) on NASA’s Terra satellite at 8:19 a.m. local time (22:19 Universal Time) on May 11, 2026.
NASA Earth Observatory / Lauren Dauphin

The same conditions fueled another noteworthy cloud a few hundred kilometers to the southwest. At about 8:19 a.m. local time (22:19 Universal Time), the Terra satellite captured an arch-shaped cloud over Port Phillip Bay, roughly stretching from St. Leonards on the bay’s western shore to Mount Eliza on the eastern side.

The feature likely formed as converging land and sea breezes interacted with the horseshoe-shaped terrain that defines the bay. Geostationary satellite imagery shows the arch-shaped cloud moving southward across the bay as the valley fog to the northeast faded.

NASA Earth Observatory image by Lauren Dauphin, using MODIS data from NASA EOSDIS LANCE and GIBS/Worldview. Story by Adam Voiland.

References & Resources

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NASA’s Curiosity Takes Close Look at Rock That Got Stuck on Drill

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NASA’s Curiosity Takes Close Look at Rock That Got Stuck on Drill

A dark, brownish, roughly textured rock with a circular hole sits on the sandy-looking Martian surface. It has broken into several pieces after falling.
PIA26724
Credits: NASA/JPL-Caltech/MSSS

Description

NASA’s Curiosity Mars rover used its Mast Camera, or Mastcam, to capture this view of a rock nicknamed “Atacama” on May 6, 2026, the 4,877th Martian day, or sol, of the mission. The rock had gotten stuck to the drill on the end of Curiosity’s robotic arm on April 25. Engineers spent several days repositioning the arm and vibrating the drill to try and get the rock loose, finally detaching the rock on May 1.

Atacama is estimated to be 1.5 feet in diameter at its base and 6 inches thick. It would weigh roughly 28.6 pounds (13 kilograms) on Earth (and about a third of that on Mars). The circular hole produced by Curiosity’s drill is visible in the rock.

This mosaic is made up of eight images that were stitched together after being sent back to Earth. The color has been approximately white-balanced to resemble how the scene would appear under daytime lighting conditions on Earth.

Curiosity was built by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, which is managed by Caltech in Pasadena, California. JPL leads the mission on behalf of NASA’s Science Mission Directorate in Washington as part of NASA’s Mars Exploration Program portfolio. Malin Space Science Systems in San Diego built and operates Mastcam.

To learn more about Curiosity, visit:

science.nasa.gov/mission/msl-curiosity

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[Sponsor] Drata

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Critical Fire Weather for a Large Part of the Central U.S.; Areas of Severe Thunderstorms