Supreme Court Reform Is No Longer Optional for Democrats in 2028

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Rep. Jim Clyburn of South Carolina is about as establishment as an establishment Democrat can be: 86 years old, in Congress for 34 years, years as the third-ranking member of Democratic leadership in the House under Nancy Pelosi, known not as an ideologue but an inside player. In 2020 he delivered the single most important endorsement of the presidential primaries to Joe Biden, solidifying Biden’s standing among Black Democrats in South Carolina and propelling him to the nomination.

So when Clyburn went on Meet the Press this past Sunday and proclaimed his support for expanding the Supreme Court from 9 to 13 justices, it told us something important:

As soon as the midterm elections are done two months from now, Democrats will begin an intense internal debate about what they believe, what their policy goals are, and how they should go about achieving them. And it looks like a commitment to Supreme Court reform will be a minimum requirement for presidential contenders. It’s no longer optional.

There may be some room for argument about exactly what that reform will look like, but every candidate will have to support it in some form. Any candidate who fails to signal that they’re willing to fight Republicans aggressively and do what will be necessary to undo the horrific damage of the Trump years will stand almost no chance of winning support from the Democratic base.

There is a table, and things are on it

At the moment, term limits is the most popular reform among Democrats; the most common proposal would involve staggered 18-year terms, with each presidential term seeing two new vacancies (to get around the fact that justices are appointed for life, those beyond their limit could be shifted to some kind of ceremonial senior status). Those who favor expansion have settled on the number 13 in part because there are 13 circuits, or districts headed by an appeals court and overseen by a particular Supreme Court justice (when the court was created there were three districts, and the court had six justices, two per circuit). There are other reform ideas out there, including expanding the court to 15 justices, of whom 5 would be randomly assigned to hear each case.

There are other reforms as well, like putting teeth in ethics rules so billionaires wouldn’t be able to just shower gifts and money on justices who then rule on their interests, and cracking down on the forum-shopping Republicans have used to such great effect. But generally speaking, term limits are the entry point for reform, and court expansion is the most aggressive of the ideas on offer.

Here’s what some of the Democrats who may be running in 2028 have said about this issue; note that if a politician supports expanding the court, they almost always also support term limits as well:

  • Kamala Harris came out in support of expanding the court to 13 justices earlier this summer.

  • Pete Buttigieg proposed expanding the court to 15 justices when he ran in 2020; today he agrees that the court should expand to 13.

  • Rep. Ro Khanna supports expanding the court.

  • Sen. Ruben Gallego supports expanding the court.

  • Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez supports expanding the court.

  • Sen. Chris Murphy supports term limits.

  • Gov. Andy Beshear supports term limits.

  • Sen. Cory Booker supports term limits.

  • Sen. Elissa Slotkin supports term limits.

  • Gov. Gavin Newsom, who has opposed court expansion in the past, is now gingerly indicating an openness to the idea, without yet endorsing it.

  • Gov. Josh Shapiro says “I think everything needs to be on the table. I think we need radical reform” of the Supreme Court, but has not been more specific than that.

  • Gov. J.B. Pritzker says court expansion “may be what we need” but hasn’t firmly endorsed the idea.

  • Sen. Raphael Warnock says “all options have to be on the table” for reform, but doesn’t say if he supports term limits or court expansion.

  • Rahm Emanuel has proposed a mandatory retirement age of 75 for all federal officials including judges.

And what about the congressional leadership? House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently said that “dramatic Supreme Court reform is necessary,” but said he’d leave the details to Rep. Jamie Raskin, who will chair the House Judiciary Committee if Democrats take the House. No word yet from Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, but what happens in Congress will be determined by what the next Democratic president is committed to and chooses to push.

That’s a key question that will determine the outcome. Even if all the Democrats running for president endorse court reform, that doesn’t necessarily mean the one who wins will pursue it if they become president, let alone succeed in accomplishing it. As I’ve noted before, Biden put out an ambitious health care plan during the 2020 campaign, then promptly forgot all about it when he took office.

Nevertheless, it’s important to understand that this is not an argument between progressives and moderates within the party, even if progressives have generally been more likely to embrace procedural aggressiveness. Clyburn is pretty much in the center of the party ideologically, and Buttigieg and Harris aren’t fire-breathing lefties. It’s a question of whether you’re willing to just shake your fist in anger when the Supreme Court strikes down every meaningful thing the next Democratic president tries to do (which it will), or whether you’re committed to confronting a corrupt, partisan court that got the way it did through a combination of hundreds of millions of dollars in corporate money and underhanded GOP tactics.

Let them squawk

Which brings me to the final point. When Democrats pursue any reform of the Supreme Court, no matter how popular (around three-quarters of Americans favor term limits), Republicans will lose their minds and the elite news media will tut-tut the Democrats for their terribly uncivil behavior. That will be the moment when their mettle will be tested.

When that moment comes, they should repeat to themselves: Be like Mitch.

When Antonin Scalia died in 2016, Sen. Mitch McConnell, then the Senate Majority Leader, decided that he was simply not going to allow Barack Obama to fill Scalia’s seat. In other words, Republicans shrank the size of the court from nine to eight justices for almost a year, then expanded the court from eight to nine justices once Donald Trump took office. They justified their actions with a newly invented “rule,” that no court seat should be filled in the year of a presidential election. Then four years later when Ruth Bader Ginsburg died just weeks from the election, they pushed Amy Coney Barrett through to confirmation so fast she might have been shot out of a railgun. Whenever anyone charged him with hypocrisy, McConnell gave his little smirk and walked away.

What he understood, and what Democrats should understand, is that voters don’t care if you’re playing procedural hardball. What matters is who has power. McConnell seized it, and Republicans are still using it.

When they have the chance, Democrats need to do the same. And it looks like more and more of them are realizing it.

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Mysteries of Americana

Last week, after the death of Dolly Parton, I wrote about how Parton had aggressively and carefully preserved her various royalty rights through her life and how that was the foundation of her fortune much of which she gave to charity. I also noted a story which figured prominently in many obituaries and commentaries: how she’d refused to hand over a chunk of her royalty in exchange for Elvis Presley recording “I Will Always Love” — a song which Parton herself had had a country number one hit with in 1974 and would later become a global mega-hit for Whitney Houston in 1992.

This reminded me of something I’ve wondered about for a long time, because it was tied to a bundle of interrelated minor interests of mine. To set the stage, the guy who actually put the squeeze on Dolly was a guy named Colonel Tom Parker. And yes, “Colonel” could easily have been mistaken for his first name. Parker was technically Presley’s manager. But that greatly understated the nature of the relationship, along with his role in Presley’s rise to fame and arguably his slow downfall. Parker was a king of cigar-chomping, hard-charging good ole boy, someone out of central casting or perhaps a comic book. Maybe one part Albert Grossman, Bob Dylan’s early manager and one part Boss Hogg — one of a long ling of impresarios who both have some claim to making their charges into stars, but also then cocooning them, cheating them and cutting them off from other channels of advice, contact and more. And he wasn’t really one in a line — he was arguably the archetype, at least in the post-war era and in the history of Rock ‘n Roll and late 20th century popular mystery.

In case you’re wondering, Parker was a “colonel” in the sense that Colonel Sanders was a colonel, which is to say he wasn’t a colonel. He got the title bestowed on him on an honorary basis by the governor of Lousiana in 1948 in exchange for some campaign help. This was actually a pretty common thing in the South. Sanders got his from the governor of Kentucky in 1935.

Rock and roll singer and actor Elvis Presley confers with Colonel Tom Parker on the set of ‘Change of Habit’, Universal City, California, 1969. (Photo by Michael Ochs Archives/Getty Images)

For the story I’m about to tell it’s important to understand that Parker was always a very public part of Elvis’ entourage, really a public figure in his own right not just someone in the background who shook down people like Dolly for publishing rights. And this was Parker’s story right through Elvis’s death in 1977. But in the years just after his death it emerged that Parker wasn’t some central casting Southern good ole boy born in West Virginia, as he claimed. He was actually born in the Netherlands — Andreas Cornelis van Kuijk — and came to the U.S. illegally in 1929 at the age of about 20. He was worked as a seaman on shipping vessel. Basically he just hopped off a ship in New York City and that was it.

First he did odd jobs at one point before World War II and soon got drummed out of the service. He did more odd jobs and then started working on the road show circuit where he eventually got into talent management. He grabbed hold of Elvis right at the dawn of his career in early 1955. And the rest was history.

But here’s the part I never understood and which ties to another minor interest of mine. If you learn a second language after early puberty — say around 12 or 13 years old — it’s all but impossible for most people ever to fully lose their accent. It’s not an absolute rule. And different people go through those neurological and physical changes at slightly different times. But it applies to almost everyone. And the few people who are able to do it generally have to really work at it beyond whatever natural brain and neuromuscular plasticity they have. It has to do with how parts of your brain “fix” into place during puberty and ways that you learn to construct sounds in the musculature of your mouth and throat at around the same time. You might be able to capture an American (or any other non-native) accent perfectly for a short period — after all, actors do this all the time in movies. But as the way you naturally talk it’s very, very uncommon.

This whole issue of language acquisition has fascinated me for years. You can learn new languages through your life. But you lose the ability to learn those very subtle elements of articulating certain sounds. Your brain at 10 isn’t the same as it is at 20. As it happens, I know a TPM Reader, now a friend, who came to the U.S. at roughly the same age. The one time we met in person I didn’t notice any accent. But I think that’s because he went to an American school as a child. So notwithstanding when he immigrated, he must have gotten the accent down as a child. But I digress!

So how is it that Parker, a quite prominent public figure for decades, managed to maintain his false identity as well as the fact that he was in the country illegally and pull off his Southern good ole boy persona? He had a Dutch accent, albeit a relatively mild one. One side note here: as far as we know, Parker never left the United States during the entire time he represented Elvis, from 1955 to 1977. He couldn’t. He didn’t have a passport and couldn’t get one. And it’s often suggested that this is why Elvis, despite being one of the most famous people in the world, basically never toured abroad. Because Parker couldn’t accompany him.

But back to our story: how did Parker pull this off? I had to figure this out. So over the weekend I chased this mystery down a true rabbit hole. The answer, to me at least, was as fascinating as the mystery. He kind of didn’t hide it. He had a reasonably good accent. And what he did have was affect and he got people to think that he had a bit of a lisp or speech impediment. This also seem to be the reason he came with a fraudulent backstory about being born in West Virginia, despite the fact that his professional life was all around Mississippi and Louisiana and Tennessee. First, West Virginia is fairly far from those states in the Lower Mississippi Valley and second, there are all sort of odd-sounding (to us) Appalachian regional sub-dialects. So if anyone ever thought or said, “Well, Colonel Tom speaks a bit funny, don’t he?” The answer would just be, “Well, he has some kind of upcountry hillbilly twang from somewhere in West Virginia where he’s from and also he’s got a lisp. So just let it go.” And they did. So basically that’s how he hid his accent: he didn’t. Parker apparently spoke a variety of Lower Mississippi English with a mild Dutch accent that you’d expect from someone who by the mid-50s had been in the U.S. for about 25 years. But he had this cover story of the lisp-cum-West Virginia accent you don’t know about. And it worked.

I have to imagine that Parker was helped along by the fact that there weren’t many people at the time in the U.S. who knew what a Dutch accent sounded like. On many fronts, I think this is the kind of thing you could get away with in the middle of the 20th century but couldn’t manage in the age of the internet.

It all started to come out in the years right after Elvis died when a Dutch journalist, Dirk Vellenga, got a tip of some sort and started digging in “Parker’s” hometown of Breda. That journalist apparently dug especially hard because he was told that “Parker” had killed a man in the Netherlands and that might have been why he left in the first place. The journalist was never able to come up with any evidence of the alleged murder. And as best I can tell it seems like the alleged murder part of the story probably wasn’t true. Who knows? But eventually this guy’s reporting made it to the United States and this is how the story came out.

Parker had had some close calls. His sister in the Netherlands, Nel Dankers-van Kuijk, saw him in a publicity photo about Elvis in 1960 and identified him. But she agreed to keep the secret. Then the following year, 1961, “Parker’s” brother came to the U.S. for a couple weeks and met Parker in California where Elvis was then shooting Blue Hawaii. “Parker” got a call from Time magazine asking about this Dutch guy who said he was the Colonel’s brother. But Parker managed to shut the questioning down. He ended up putting his brother up in his Hollywood apartment for a couple weeks and made clear he needed to keep his mouth shut. He showed him around town as just a friend, but apparently told Elvis and his entourage that he was his “brother,” maybe leaving unclear precisely what that meant.

Elvis Presley (L) holding up his discharge paper w. Col. Tom Parker (R) in bkgrd. on day of exit from US Army. (Photo by Lee Lockwood/Getty Images)

In any case, the upshot is that no one ever heard anything about it and it never appeared in the U.S. press. It got a mention in a Belgian publication. But that was it. No one ever heard about that in the U.S. or apparently anywhere else outside of the Belgium. So it was only in 1981 when an Elvis biography by Albert Goldman included Vellenga’s reporting and broke the whole thing wide open. By the following year, in one of the many lawsuits surrounding Elvis’s estate and various publishing and songwriting rights, “Parker” actually shifted gears and used the whole thing in his favor, claiming either that he was a Dutch citizen or actually stateless and thus that the suit in question couldn’t be brought against him, or, at least, not in the way it had been. Sort of a huckster until the end. Parker was saying essentially, ‘You can’t sue me. I’m not even from here, bro. I’m Dutch.’

Parker died in Las Vegas at age (apparently but who knows?) 87. Thank you for coming to my Dolly, Elvis, Colonel Tom Parker/Andreas Cornelis van Kuijk, undocumented/illegal alien TED Talk.

Addenda: Here are two Youtube videos of Parker, in case you’re curious and would like to hear what Parker sounded like. As you can tell the accent is subtle. These are videos from 10 and 16 years after Elvis died. I can pick up the accent and it’s interesting that it becomes more prominent over the course of the interview. As I said, the accent is mild. But he certainly doesn’t have a Lower Mississippi or West Virginia accent.

Commercial Space Federation (CSF) Welcomes Two New Associate Members

Commercial Space Federation 20th anniversary logo

August 31, 2026— Washington, D.C.—The Commercial Space Federation (CSF) is pleased to welcome Outlier and Rendezvous Robotics as its newest Associate Members, bringing expertise in reusable satellite platforms and adaptable […]

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Speed to Field Starts Below the Prime

I have spent much of my career looking at the defense industrial base from different vantage points: as a warfighter, inside major defense companies, and now leading a company whose […]

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10 Brutally Honest Predictions on the Future of AI

Most of the predictions about AI have proven dead wrong. You could get more reliable information by consulting tarot cards or a Ouija board.

As a result, 95% of the pilot programs using AI failed. Companies believed the hyperscaler hype, and got hyper-burned. Even the average joe now knows to beware the bot—a recent survey shows that 86% of the public distrusts AI

You could get more reliable guidance from a Ouija board.

The experts have made so many grand pronouncements since the launch of ChatGPT almost four years ago. And they over-promised again and again. They kept saying that the next generation of bots would fix everything—but instead the embarrassments and failures continued, only on a larger scale.

So who can you believe?

Here at The Honest Broker, I don’t try to win popularity contests. I just tell it straight. So here are ten brutally honest predictions about the future of AI.

I usually keep these futurist articles behind a paywall. But this time I’m making it available to all parties. If you value analysis of this sort, consider taking out a premium subscription.


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10 Brutally Honest Predictions on the Future of AI

1. AI agents will join together in cartels and manipulate financial markets.

We already know that AI agents will work together without anyone telling them to do so. So what happens when hedge funds and private individuals start relying on AI to manage their investments? The obvious result is collusion on a massive scale, beyond any kind of market manipulation previously practiced by human criminals.

There are laws limiting people when they do this. But the legal code, in its current form, doesn’t apply to AI bots—they cannot be fined, sued, or sent away to prison. And how can you punish the person who relied on an AI agent in good faith, and never instructed it to break the law?

So get ready for turbulence in financial markets. And once it starts, it will feed on itself, creating a level of volatility never seen before.


2. AI agents will go to war with each other.

This is the corollary of the previous prediction. The same lack of control that allows AI agent collusion will lead to bot battles and rivalries—filled with more vengeance, betrayals, and reprisals than a Thomas Kyd play.

Probably the best analogy here is gang war or a Mafia turf fight. That’s because the rogue AI agents will form short-term alliances in order to advance their interests, but then turn on each other. Because, hey, that’s how the bots roll. It’s like the Gambino and Genovese families teaming up to take on the Corleone clan.

In this anarchic world, humans will be collateral damage. Bots have been trained to achieve results, and woe to anyone or anything that stands in their way.


3. AI will serve as the “higher power” for more and more users—and lead to the formation of organized slop religions.

AI is already a disorganized religion. Individual fanatics turn to their bots for divine messages and Rosicrucian-type revelations, but people of this sort are currently dismissed as dupes or crazy fools. But that will change as true believers join together in groups, creating rites, services, scriptures, and other trappings of formal religion.

This will lead to many social problems. For a start, these adherents will demand non-profit status for their ‘churches’ and demand immunity from legal strictures because of their constitutionally protected freedom of conscience. But this is just a start of the chaos to come. That’s because the AI god is a talkative, hallucinating one, and the demands it makes on believers will lead to startling, calamitous results.


4. AI will find a place in the creative world, but increasingly as the microwave meal version of culture.

Food is the useful analogy here. When frozen dinners and microwave meals were introduced, many consumers embraced them as the tech-driven foods of the future. But over time, the public figured out that more tech isn’t always better when it comes to food.

The same will happen with AI music, AI writing, AI art, and all the rest. Like the microwave meal, it will be cheap and easy. But anyone with discernment and taste will prefer handcrafted alternatives.


5. Schools and organizations will return to traditional practices in a last ditch effort to curtail the cheating and deception propagated by AI.

For centuries, colleges have been the first institutions to embrace new tech, but now they will be the earliest to abandon it.

  • Face-to-face teaching will replace remote learning.

  • The handwritten Blue Book exam will supplant take-home tests.

  • Oral exams will make a surprising comeback.

  • The honor code will disappear, as proctoring and surveillance become standard practices.

It’s a shame, but colleges don’t really have a choice. Their degrees will turn into a joke unless they jump off the AI train. So this shift will play out very rapidly.


6. Analog will return in other settings, and for the strangest reason of all.

People once argued whether analog or digital music sounds better. Or they debated the relative cost and convenience of physical books versus e-books. But those kinds of disagreements have become irrelevant.

Instead analog will gain now immense status for its honesty. It doesn’t have to be a superior medium, it just needs to retain its independence from digital rot. In that simple way, analog will gain status as the last untainted source of information in a world of widespread deepfakes and data contamination.

An analog photo negative will be viewed as far more trustworthy than any digital image. An analog tape recording will now serve as ultimate proof that a conversation, a speech, or a musical performance really happened. Historical information from a physical book published before the rise of AI will have more credibility than the most up-to-date online sources.

The more cumbersome the analog artifact, the more trustworthy it becomes. Are you accused of using AI to write a book or document? Your best defense is retaining handwritten and typewritten drafts.

What a bizarre world the technocracy has created. It thought it was building the future, but instead it will force people to return to a past even older than Silicon Valley itself.


7. The backlash against AI is already huge, but it will get far more intense.

Silicon Valley has consistently underestimated how much people hate AI. That’s why they now find themselves in a tight spot.

  • Anti-AI coalitions are forming everywhere, even in small communities.

  • Both political parties now oppose AI buildout.

  • Lawsuits are popping up everywhere—and it’s increasingly clear that juries also dislike AI.

  • Regulatory bodies are fighting back, with almost total support from the public.

  • Financial markets were once enthusiastic, but now are wary—especially in the face of the huge borrowing needs of AI companies.

  • The public is shifting from passive grumbling to active resistance.

This is a problem even billionaires in their bunkers can’t ignore. They thought that the right response was to push harder. But they thought wrong.

They are still living in denial, but that won’t last for much longer. The public is getting more fierce, and the hyperscalers’ cash resources—which once seemed almost infinite—are dwindling. Silicon Valley has the weaker hand here, and nobody believes its bluffs anymore.


8. In the next stage, the revolt against AI will come increasingly from inside the tech community.

This is already starting. Everybody was shocked when Bill Gates came out against AI last week—but this is exactly what I’ve been predicting. Even the insiders are now losing faith.

That’s why YouTube is finally taking steps to limit AI, although it is owned by Alphabet. That’s why LinkedIn is also fighting AI slop, although it is owned by Microsoft. That’s why CalTech is now pushing back against AI, despite the fact that Tech is actually part of its name.

All those things have happened in just the last few days.

This is a sign that we have reached the final stage of the battle. The smarter people inside these huge tech companies are, at last, reading the room. They know that the public won’t accept more force-feeding of AI, and are trying to restore a sense of sanity and balance among their colleagues and bosses.

This will inevitably lead to more transparency, and at least some safeguards—although perhaps not enough.


9. Money always calls the shots—and that’s where the AI crisis will intensify the most.

The cash getting invested in bots is beyond anything ever seen before in the history of capitalism—already $3.7 trillion has been spent, and the outlay is growing by another trillion per year.

This investment will never generate an adequate return. It can’t. The numbers just don’t add up.

Let me make a comparison. For less than that amount, Silicon Valley could have acquired every movie studio, every video game company, every major record label, and all the big publishers in the world—and still have plenty of cash left over.

So do you think the average person will pay more for AI each month than for all that entertainment? Is AI really worth that much? Not at all—at best, the true believers will pay roughly the same amount as a single Netflix subscription. But the market cap of Netflix is a tiny percent of total AI expenditures. So the mismatch between the level invested and the resulting demand is unprecedented.

But the situation is even worse than that. These AI companies haven’t even begun to feel the real pinch of the depreciation charges caused by this capital investment—those will devastate earnings. And meanwhile there’s an intense price war underway within the AI world, so revenues will get squeezed even if there’s growing demand. Add to this, the massive debt burden, unlimited liability exposures, punitive legislation, and all the rest.

This is an easy prediction to make. Get ready for write-offs and financial ugliness of the most extreme kind. It’s hard-baked into the business plans, and keeping the mess in the oven for longer won’t make it taste any better.


10. You can avoid the pain—by living in the real world.

Many will suffer from this. And I’m not just talking financial losses. Some people will travel the AI highway straight to psychosis and personal crises of various stripes. But that doesn’t need to be you.

Put your faith in reality, not digital constructs. Connect with actual people. Take a walk in nature. Read a book. Go to a concert. Get a pet. Learn a musical instrument, a foreign language, an artisan skill. Visit a new city, a new country. Volunteer at a school or non-profit.

In other words, get a life. That’s something no bot can do for you.

When the crisis reaches the breaking point, you might not even notice. Or at least, you will possess a richness in your everyday existence that can’t be measured in bot tokens.

And maybe we will even be grateful for this AI mania—because it has reminded us of what really matters.

Monday 31 August 1663

Up and to my office all the morning, where Sir W. Batten and Sir J. Minnes did pay the short allowance money to the East India companies, and by the assistance of the City Marshall and his men, did lay hold of two or three of the chief of the companies that were in the mutiny the other day, and sent them to prison.

This noon came Jane Gentleman to serve my wife as her chamber mayde. I wish she may prove well.

So ends this month, with my mind pretty well in quiett, and in good disposition of health since my drinking at home of a little wine with my beer; but no where else do I drink any wine at all.

The King and Queen and the Court at the Bath, my Lord Sandwich in the country newly gone.

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The extraordinary rise of Miami’s economy

Thanks to a combination of capital and politics, the city is booming. Can its success be sustained?

Yerevan bleg

Any advice on this front is most welcome, thank you!

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NASA's $4.3 billion Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, equipped with a 300-megapixel camera sighted through a refurbished spy mirror, launched Sunday from Kennedy Space Center in Florida on a mission to reveal the mysterious forces driving the Universe.

The new mission will extend the vision of NASA's other famous observatories, providing a field of view 100 times wider than the Hubble Space Telescope and complementing the groundbreaking work of the James Webb Space Telescope. Roman is just the second NASA-led astrophysics mission to launch this century, following the launch of Webb in 2021.

Unlike Webb, which suffered many years of delays before reaching space, Roman arrived at the launch pad nine months before NASA's commitment to send it skyward by May 2027.

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Week Fourteen in 250 to 250

Last week was the fourteenth week of videos from the 250 to 250 Project that we’re producing to honor the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence.

Our hope was for the videos to emphasize the agency of Americans—mostly everyday Americans—to change the country. Each falls into a category that defines what it means to be an American, including community, democracy, innovation, mobility, civil rights, education, conservation, and creativity.

Lots of fun ones this week, with terrific narrators including some very old friends and some very new ones.

You can follow the project at the sites listed below, or under “videos” at my own YouTube page: Heather Cox Richardson. Or just wait until I send out the week’s roundup.

Follow Along | #WeAreAmerica250
Substack | YouTube | Facebook | Instagram | TikTok | Bluesky | Threads


Ellen Ochoa, Narrated by Hope Delgado

Hope Delgado is the Program and Content Associate at Made By Us, a national network of more than 750 museums, historic sites, libraries, and archives working to connect young people with history and civic participation. Delgado profiles Ellen Ochoa, the engineer who became the first Hispanic woman in space in 1993, and later the first Hispanic director of NASA’s Johnson Space Center.

Soo Locks, Narrated by Lauren Westphal

Lauren Westphal is a proud Yooper born and raised in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula. She is a producer and an independent media strategist. Here, Westphal tells how the Soo Locks unlocked Michigan’s iron riches, becoming the “Linchpin of the Great Lakes” that fed America’s steel mills and westward expansion.

Trail of Broken Treaties, Narrated by Nick Estes

Nick Estes is an enrolled member of the Lower Brule Sioux Tribe and Associate Professor in American Indian Studies at the University of Minnesota. He co-hosts the Red Nation podcast and is the lead editor of Red Media. He recounts the cross-country caravan that indigenous activists organized in October 1972.

Molly Ivins, Narrated by Andy Borowitz

Andy Borowitz is an acclaimed American humorist, New York Times bestselling author, and creator of the popular satire site The Borowitz Report. Borowitz celebrates Molly Ivins, the razor-tongued Texas columnist who skewered politicians and made a career of speaking uncomfortable truths.

Ice Industry, Narrated by Ken Lincoln

Ken Lincoln is president of the Thompson Ice House Preservation Corporation, which operates an onsite museum and sponsors an annual ice harvest. Lincoln chronicles America’s forgotten ice trade, which revolutionized how the nation ate and drank before mechanical refrigeration melted the business away.

Dust Bowl, Narrated by Representative Josh Turek

Joshua Turek is an Iowa House Representative, 4x Paralympian, 2x Gold Medalist in wheelchair basketball, disability advocate, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in Iowa. Turek recounts the Dust Bowl, the 1930s environmental catastrophe that drove families from the Great Plains and taught America the value of soil conservation.

Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, Narrated by Charlotte Clymer

Charlotte Clymer is a writer, activist, and military veteran. She writes Charlotte’s Web Thoughts, a popular, award-winning Substack newsletter about politics, religion, foreign policy, and culture. Here, Clymer honors the unbroken 89-year vigil at Arlington's Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, a solemn promise never to forget those who made the ultimate sacrifice.

Women’s Club Movement, Narrated by Katie Paris

Katie Paris is an Ohio suburban mom and 25-year political veteran. In 2019, Paris quit her job in national politics to found Red Wine & Blue, a community of over half a million diverse suburban women, working together to defeat extremism, one friend at a time. Paris explores the women's club movement, whose millions of members shaped Progressive Era reform and the fight for civil rights.

Johnny Cash, Narrated by Slaid Cleaves

Slaid Cleaves is a Texas-based singer/songwriter whose music is rooted in traditional country and folk forms. He has been putting out highly acclaimed records for 25 years. Cleaves profiles Johnny Cash, the “Man in Black” whose songs of rebels and outsiders made him a champion for the voiceless.

Great Migration, Narrated by Bryan Stevenson

The executive director of the Equal Justice Initiative, Bryan Stevenson is a public interest lawyer who has dedicated his career to helping the poor, the incarcerated, and the condemned. Stevenson recounts the displacement of staggering numbers of people forced to flee the dangers and violence of the Jim Crow-era South.

Nellie Bly, Narrated by Katie Couric

Katie Couric is an award-winning journalist, #1 New York Times best-selling author of Going There, co-founder of Stand Up To Cancer, founder of Katie Couric Media (KCM), and the first woman to solo anchor a network evening newscast. Couric profiles Nellie Bly, a pioneer of investigative journalism whose undercover exposé drove reform in mental health facilities.

Boston Subway System, Narrated by Mayor Michelle Wu

Michelle Wu is the mayor of Boston. She is one of the youngest mayors in the city’s history and is the first woman and the first Asian American to be elected to the office. Wu tells how Boston built America’s first subway in 1897, relieving a congested city and laying the groundwork for modern transit nationwide.

W.E.B. Du Bois, Narrated by Stacey Abrams

Stacey Abrams is a New York Times bestselling author, entrepreneur and political leader. She served as Minority Leader in the Georgia House of Representatives. Abrams profiles W.E.B. Du Bois, the pioneering scholar and activist who co-founded the Niagara Movement and helped build the NAACP’s fight for equality.

Marian Anderson, Narrated by Melissa Givens

American soprano Melissa Givens is an Associate Professor at Pomona College, specializing in music of women and African Americans. She is a frequent recitalist and clinician and sings with Grammy© winning Conspirare: A Company of Voices. Givens tells the story of Marian Anderson’s historic performance on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial in 1939—one that she repeated at the March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom on August 28, 1963.

Bilingual Multicultural Education Act, Narrated by Representative Teresa Leger Fernández

Congresswoman Teresa Leger Fernández represents the 3rd Congressional District of New Mexico. She serves on the House Rules Committee and the Committee on Natural Resources and is chair of the Democratic Women’s Caucus. New Mexico’s Bilingual Multicultural Education Act (BMEA) of 1973 was the country’s first legislation intended to honor multilingual and multicultural identity.

First Rhode Island Regiment, Narrated by Senator Jack Reed

Jack Reed, U.S. Senator from Rhode Island and Ranking Member of the Armed Services Committee, is a West Point graduate and Army veteran known as a bipartisan deal-maker on defense and consumer protection. This is the story of the First Rhode Island Regiment, widely recognized as America’s first Black military regiment, which saw its first combat experience at the Battle of Rhode Island on August 29, 1778.


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The Right to Run for Office

August 30, 2026

One of our founding myths is that of George Washington and the cherry tree. In his The Life of Washington, first published in 1800, minister and writer Mason Locke Weems, more commonly known as Parson Weems, wrote down for the citizens of this new nation the qualities they should require in a leader. The book was written not to reflect the facts of Washington’s life—biographies would not focus on facts for almost a century—but to show virtues the nation’s youth should imitate and to establish a set of attributes against which future voters could judge those vying to lead the nation.

Weems’s Washington was generous, reverent, studious, athletic, martial, hardworking, and beloved by his comrades. And, beginning with an 1806 edition of the book, he could not tell a lie. According to Weems, when George was about six years old “he was made the wealthy master of a hatchet, of which, like most little boys, he was immoderately fond, and was constantly going about chopping every thing that came in his way. One day, in the garden…he unluckily tried the edge of his hatchet on the body of a beautiful young English cherry-tree…. The next morning the old gentleman finding out what had befallen his tree…, came into the House; and with much warmth asked for the mischievous author…. Nobody could tell him anything about it. Presently George and his hatchet made their appearance. ‘George,’ said his father, ‘do you know who killed that beautiful little cherry tree yonder in the garden?’

“This was a tough question; and George staggered under it for a moment; but quickly recovered himself: and looking at his father, with the sweet face of youth brightened with the inexpressible charm of all-conquering truth, he bravely cried out, ‘I can’t tell a lie, Pa; you know I can’t tell a lie. I did cut it with my hatchet.’

“‘Run to my arms, you dearest boy,’ cried his father in transports, ‘run to my arms; glad am I, George, that you killed my tree; for you have paid me for it a thousand fold. Such an act of heroism in my son is more worth than a thousand trees, though blossomed with silver, and their fruits of purest gold.’”

Like many of the other anecdotes Weems delivered, this story was almost certainly invented. But it established the importance of truth-telling in a leader.

On Friday, Rick Maese of the Washington Post reported that despite orders from U.S. District Judge Ana C. Reyes saying that she wanted advance notice before the government took down more than ten trees from the East Potomac Golf Links or brought equipment larger than a sedan onto the property, the Trump administration has taken down more than sixty trees in apparent preparation for Trump to redesign the golf course.

Opponents have sued to stop the redesign of the historic publicly owned course. Trump has said the makeover will begin on September 1, but Maese notes that the administration has released “no final design, construction schedule or estimated cost.” It has apparently not conducted either environmental or historical preservation reviews. It has not said how changes to the course will affect public access to the three courses and to the popular recreation path on the property.

Reyes said she would not stop administration officials from doing routine maintenance on the property, and the administration says the tree removal is routine maintenance. A spokesperson for the Interior Department said: “Arborists are doing routine maintenance at East Potomac Park with selective removal of hazard trees, non-native invasive trees, and declining and dying trees that cannot be brought back to good health through any degree of intervention.”

One of the trees they have cut down is a cherry tree.

It seems like the writers for the 250th season of American democracy are becoming increasingly desperate to get the country’s attention.

On Friday, Trump announced: “The United States of America has just entered into an Agreement with the Country of Venezuela on, THE BIGGEST OIL DEAL IN WORLD HISTORY! At my direction, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, working closely with Highly Respected Interim President of Venezuela, Delcy Rodriguez, and, through a partnership with private business, have secured majority U.S. control of more than 65 BILLION BARRELS of proven Oil Reserves in Venezuela, at no cost to the American Taxpayer. This Historic Transaction MORE THAN DOUBLES American Oil Reserves, greatly increases our Oil Supply, and will substantially lower Gas Prices for all Americans, long into the future, while helping to continue to set Venezuela on a course toward Tremendous Success and Great Prosperity. This Transaction will greatly strengthen the already growing relationship between Venezuela and the United States! Thank you for your attention to this groundbreaking matter.”

There are reasons to greet this announcement with skepticism.

A U.S. official told Megan Messerly, Ben Lefebvre, and Scott Waldman of Politico that this deal was a new venture between the U.S. government and an “experienced private operator in Venezuela.” Although the official did not identify which operator that is, it became clear over the weekend that the person in question is Alejandro Betancourt López.

Rebecca F. Elliott, Anatoly Kurmanaev, and Edward Wong of the New York Times explained that Betancourt’s family controls Venezuela’s second largest private oil producer, North American Blue Energy Partners. Betancourt has been accused of corruption for years; Switzerland has investigated him for money laundering and has issued a warrant for his arrest, although it has not charged him.

According to the New York Times reporters, it appears the plan is for the U.S. government to back North American Blue Energy Partners, which will, in turn, develop oil reserves in 17 of Venezuela’s oil fields. The U.S. official who talked to the Politico journalists said the new venture would be the second-biggest private oil company in the world, after Saudi Aramco. The U.S. would control 55% of the venture’s output. When production starts, the person told the journalists, “the resulting stable supply of at-cost oil in our Hemisphere will go toward filling the U.S. strategic petroleum reserve and fulfilling the supply needs of our Great U.S. Military.”

But an executive in the oil industry told the journalists that the deal was “built on a legal environment that does not exist. The Venezuelan constitution does not allow for anyone other than [Venezuela’s state-owned oil and gas company] to own rights to oil and gas in the country,” the executive pointed out.

“The end of story,” the person said, “is the president wants to say we have billions of barrels of oil in reserve. That would act as a price stabilization nuclear bomb. Oh, the Iranians have blocked Hormuz? The president could say[,] ‘I have 65 billion barrels in reserve.’”

The Politico journalists report that Trump has been frustrated that U.S. companies have been slow to invest in Venezuela and that the administration has pressured Rodríguez to give them better terms. Samantha Schmidt and Helena Carpio of the Washington Post today flat out said the deal “cements the United States’ long-term dominance over Venezuela, which has become a neo-colony since the U.S. military’s capture of Maduro in January, when Trump vowed to ‘run’ the country and exploit its oil wealth.”

Last September, the Trump administration began striking small boats in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific that Trump claimed—without evidence—were being operated by narcoterrorists from Venezuela. The U.S. massed military vessels off Venezuela’s shores, where they blockaded Venezuelan oil tankers after Trump called Venezuela’s government a foreign terrorist organization. On January 3, Trump authorized the military to kidnap Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife Celia Flores in a nighttime raid and bring them to the U.S. for trial on weapons and drug charges.

Although opponents of Maduro, who had seized power after losing a presidential election, cheered the raid in the belief that Trump would help them put opposition candidate Edmundo González in power, in fact the administration supported Maduro’s vice president, Delcy Rodríguez. On January 5 it formally recognized her as Venezuela’s head of state. Venezuela’s high court disagreed. It called Maduro’s absence a “kidnapping” and determined that under the country’s constitution, elections had to be held to replace him.

Now the U.S. government says it has made a “deal” with Rodríguez, who told reporters: “The agreement is based on a very simple premise. Each party contributes what it does best. Venezuela contributes oil, its industry and the experience of its workers accumulated over more than 100 years. The United States contributes the capital and technology needed to recover and develop those assets.”

“So, let me get this straight,” national security reporter David Rothkopf wrote. “[T]he US illegally attacks a country, kidnaps its president, threatens its government with massive military force, gets them to hand over to US control a huge portion of their national assets, hails the billions it has already brought in and promises billions more[,] but we don’t know where the money’s going, how it is going to benefit the US, if it is going to benefit the US, who’s privately going to benefit, what side deals have been struck with the corrupt leaders of their country or ours, & we are supposed to celebrate this act of aggression and theft that violates international law and that could well turn out to be a massive mafia-style shakedown scheme to benefit the anti-democratic forces in Venezuela and the US, the president’s friends and supporters, possibly the president and his family?”

Rothkopf appears to have understood the point of the story of George Washington and the cherry tree.

Notes:

https://www.mountvernon.org/george-washington/facts/myths/george-washington-and-the-cherry-tree-myth

https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2026/08/28/east-potomac-golf-tree-removal-begins-ahead-trump-project/

https://dc.citycast.fm/news/east-potomac-golf-course-tree-removal

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/08/28/trump-says-us-has-a-deal-to-take-huge-stake-in-venezuelas-oil-reserves-01055442

https://www.cfr.org/articles/united-states-announces-blockade-venezuela

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/29/business/energy-environment/venezuela-alejandro-betancourt-oil-trump.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/08/30/venezuela-vowed-not-hand-over-its-oil-trump-aims-grab-windfall/

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/29/whats-behind-the-us-deal-to-seize-control-of-venezuelan-oil-reserves

https://thehill.com/policy/international/6059462-venezuela-us-oil-deal/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/08/27/us-intervened-criminal-probe-venezuelan-oilman-alejandro-betancourt/

https://www.caracaschronicles.com/2026/03/09/what-the-venezuelan-constitution-says-when-the-president-is-absent/

https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-04-06/venezuelas-delcy-rodriguez-remains-acting-president-after-her-initial-90-day-appointment-expired

Trump’s Truth:

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Bluesky:

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Geology Class

The rise of AI review bombing tools threatens to take away a crucial source of experience for geology undergraduates.

Monday assorted links

1. Prices, prices, prices: “Again I am asking how the following two things can be true at the same time: 1) we’re all massively compute limited so inferences & GPU time are $$$$$, and 2) SoTA models will just start running themselves on everyone’s GPU clusters & no one will notice or turn them off.”  From Jon Stokes.

2. Christian Catalini on incentives and the same.

3. Ben Yeoh on unconferences.

4. The ten best philosophy articles of the year?

5. Syracuse University, an R1 institution, is in serious financial trouble (WSJ).

6. Markets in gene-edited dogs? (NYT)

The post Monday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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The Defense Department Just Hired an Actual Fascist

Yesterday, the Washington Post revealed that the Defense Department just hired three rightwing online personalities (boldface mine):

The Pentagon has secretly installed several conservative military veterans with large online followings in government roles, declining to disclose their assignments as they amplify Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s viewpoints and attack those who scrutinize the Trump administration, according to people familiar with the matter and corroborating material.

At least some of the influencers have been assigned to civilian roles that could lead to changes in policy, the people familiar with the matter said…

Those involved include Rob Maness, a retired Air Force colonel, and Kurt Schlichter, a retired Army colonel, people familiar with the matter said. Pentagon records reviewed by The Washington Post show that both have active official government email addresses as of this past week and are assigned to the office of Anthony Tata, the undersecretary of defense for personnel and readiness. The email addresses include a “.civ” suffix, meaning they are labeled as civilian employees, rather than as military personnel or contractors.

For Schlichter, conservative or rightwing doesn’t adequately describe him–the appropriate word is fascist:

Calling him a fascist isn’t hyperbole, as in one thread, he managed to hit many of the fascist notes:

  1. Forcing your opponents to “be like us.”
  2. Banning political ideas you disagree with.
  3. Nationalizing institutions to ensure their political correctness.
  4. Banning critical media.
  5. Viewing women primarily as breeders.
  6. Dismantling unions.
  7. “Use the law to ensure blue submission.”

(of course, there’s pissing and moaning about mask wearing too…)

In any operational sense, this is fascism. It is a journalistic failure to call him “conservative”, when his program recapitulates previous fascist programs. And now he’s ensconced within a very powerful military. If Democrats take back the House or the Senate, Democrats need to expose this guy (though they also should try to do so now too).

And when this nightmare is finally done, we are going to need such a thorough detrumpification effort, one I hope professional Democrats are up to doing.

Market design from the Perspective of Theological Anthropology, by Christina McRorie (in the January 2027 ASSA program)

I'm always on the lookout for different perspectives on market design, and here's a paper that caught my eye in the  ASSA Preliminary Program for the January 2027 meetings in Washington DC.

 It's in a session called  What Economic Models Can and Cannot See: Human Flourishing, Freedom, and the Common Good (B4)  Hosted by the Association of Christian Economists 

Can Market Design Make Us More Free? Some Notes on the Use of Experimental Economics from the Perspective of Theological Anthropology  by Christina McRorie, Boston College 

Abstract
Although modern thought tends to construe freedom as freedom from constraint or freedom of choice, Catholic theological anthropology has long defined true freedom as the state of being agentially oriented toward the good. As Servais Pinckaers puts it, it is “freedom for,” rather than “freedom from”—specifically, freedom for living in a Christ-like way, which becomes possible as we come to participate in Christ’s character. This perspective suggests that social influences which encourage our growth in character are not only helping us become more good, but also more free. Moreover, because this conception of freedom is not based in autonomy, this remains true even if these formative influences are not chosen by us, and work on us without our awareness.
Using this concept of freedom, this paper considers the theological implications of experimental research on prosocial behavior in markets. It appears that certain conditions encourage subjects to act with more fairness, trustworthiness, and even generosity than they might under other conditions. (E.g., when market participants can observe each other’s behavior and communicate, and when the social framing of various options emphasizes values, or at least does not emphasize competition or the threat of loss, among other factors.) Insofar as laboratory studies replicate conditions present in actual markets, this indicates that some real markets elicit more moral behaviors than others.
Moreover, because virtue theory assumes that character is built through repeated moral action, markets which encourage individuals to act in prosocial ways can be read as supporting their growth in virtue, insofar as these elicited actions eventually influence individuals’ dispositions and habits. To the extent that this occurs, this paper proposes that good market design can encourage us to become more good, and thus more free. 

Tropical Storm Edouard Along the Gulf Coast; Heat Expands Eastward

Forgejo hack #2: Integration with Read The Docs

In this second Forgejo Hack installment I'll tell you how to connect a git repository that lives in your self-hosted Forgejo instance to Read the Docs, so that commits to the repository automatically trigger documentation builds, exactly like it works with GitHub.

If not the most grand, then this If not the most grand, then this


AI and Employment: So Far, So Good

In September 2023, the Census Bureau added questions about AI to its Business Trends and Outlook Survey. Census asked hundreds of thousands of businesses whether they had used AI in the previous two weeks to produce goods and services. At that time, 3.7% said yes; by late 2025 the figure had reached about 10%. (In November 2025 Census broadened the question to ask about AI use in any business function, producing a jump in measured adoption to about 18%.)

Twice the Bureau has asked a key question:

In the last six months, how did the use of Artificial Intelligence affect this business’s total employment?

In Dec. 2023 to Feb 24, when ~5% of firms were using AI the answers were 2.8% increased, 2.6% decreased and 94.6% reported no change. Two years later, in the Nov 2025–Feb 2026 supplement, the answers were: 2.3% increased, 2.0% decreased, and 95.7% reported no change. The answers were similar by firm size.

Some sectors reported more action. Information is the one sector where fewer than 92% report no change. But overall, almost all firms report no change and of those reporting change it’s about evenly divided between increasing and decreasing employment.

The supplement also asked about tasks. Among firms using AI, 44% say it supplemented or enhanced work an employee already does. Ten percent say it performed a task an employee used to do. Eleven percent say it introduced a task no one had been doing.

Among those using generative AI, 85% of firms cited writing or editing documents and email as the biggest uses, half cite searching for information, 45% summarizing documents, and 13% coding. Sixty-four percent of adopters say they changed nothing about the business in order to use AI, 15% trained existing staff, another 15% built new workflows, and just over one percent hired anyone with AI skills.

Among firms where AI has taken over some employee tasks, the degree of substitution is growing. The share reporting that AI took over “a large number” of tasks rose from 2.4% to 7.1%, while the share reporting “a moderate number” rose from 13% to 22%. But this group is still small: only about a tenth of AI adopters, who themselves make up about a fifth of firms.

I have reported firm-weighted estimates but employment-weighting gives essentially the same result. Thus, we have unusually direct evidence from a very large sample, and it says that the overwhelming majority of firms using AI do not yet report any effect on total employment. Very consistent with what Tyler and I said in our talk to OpenAI.

I used Fable and ChatGPT Sol in producing this post.

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The Singapore strategies

Lush green gardens with tall tree-like structures and a glass dome in the background under a cloudy sky.

The nation’s water is secure, but its food is another matter: lessons from the city-state in efficiency versus self-sufficiency

- by Peter A Coclanis

Read on Aeon

The therapist is dead

The therapist is dead

Can you figure out who murdered the therapist?

View on my website

Oligarchy and the Great Evasion

There was a time when the mob boss Al Capone effectively ruled Chicago. He had thoroughly corrupted the local police and politicians, and he murdered rivals with impunity. Federal authorities wanted to bring him to justice but couldn’t rely on the cooperation of state and local authorities. So how did they do it?

The answer is that the Feds convicted and imprisoned him for tax evasion.

Which brings me to the following question: could or would the Feds do something comparable today? Would a defunded Internal Revenue Service — defunded in large part because the modern Republican Party is effectively pro-tax-evasion — have the resources to go after him? And even if the Feds tried to bring charges, would a tax evader escape justice by simply buying a sufficiently large quantity of Trump family crypto?

Today’s primer is the latest in a series on the rise of American oligarchy, which I define as the extreme concentration of wealth and political power in the hands of a small number of people — not the 1 percent, but the .01 percent or even the .0001 percent, the 300 billionaires who made 19 percent of all reported federal political donations in the 2024 election.

When I began working on this series, I expected to focus mainly on changes in technology and markets, for example the “network externalities” that have created a handful of incredibly profitable technology companies. (Everyone is on Facebook because everyone else is on Facebook.) As I began looking into the math, however, it became clear that much of the rise of the modern American oligarchy has been driven by deliberate policy rather than technological or market forces. And that deliberate policy has been the decades-long dismantling of the system of progressive taxation — a system that had ended the Gilded Age, the last period of great inequality. Starting in the 1970s, right-wing politicians pushed through large reductions in effective tax rates on the wealthy. And in the 2010s, Republican-controlled congresses stripped the IRS of resources to enforce the tax code. These two changes set the stage for the reemergence of immense fortunes, with vast social and political consequences.

What exactly does a “reduction in effective tax rates” mean? Much of that change was implemented through reductions in the statutory rates. For example, the top federal tax bracket on individual incomes was more than 90% in the 1950s, versus 37% now. Large corporations paid a tax rate of 52% on their profits in the 1950s, which is now down to 21%. Large estates paid a 77% tax rate until 1976; now the rate is only 40%, and that only applies to the value in excess of $15 million.

However, beyond these reductions in statutory rates, tax avoidance and tax evasion have grown significantly. Avoidance” and “evasion” may sound like synonyms, but they are not: avoidance involves exploiting loopholes in the tax code in ways that are legal, even if they shouldn’t be, while evasion involves breaking the law.

And tax evasion is now a very big concern. Reasonable estimates of the “tax gap” — taxes that individuals and businesses are legally obliged to pay, but don’t — are startlingly large $600 billion a year or more – approximately 40% of the current budget deficit. Furthermore, much of this tax gap is surely accounted for by tax evasion by high-income Americans. So tax evasion is a significant contributor to both the rise of American oligarchy and the high federal debt.

Thus it is startling to realize that, except for a brief attempt to reduce the tax gap by the Biden administration, the U.S. government has over time reduced its efforts to ensure that the wealthy pay the taxes they owe. It’s clear that the purposeful reduction in the enforcement of the tax code for the wealthy is both a symptom as a well as a cause of America’s rising oligarchy. It is a key factor in America’s downward spiral into oligarchy, which is currently ravaging our politics and our democratic institutions.

Last week’s primer described how reduction in statutory tax rates, largely for the wealthy, have driven the rise in national debt. Today’s primer will cover tax evasion. Beyond the paywall I will address the following:

1. Why paying taxes used to be the American way

2. How big is the tax gap?

3. Who benefits from tax evasion?

4. Why doesn’t the federal government try harder to close the gap?

Read more

Spain fact of the day

CoverManager, an online platform that manages reservations for thousands of Spanish restaurants, reports that half the dinner bookings now are for before 9 p.m., compared with 27 percent a decade ago. TheFork, a similar platform, said its 8 p.m. bookings in Spain have nearly tripled from 2019, while 10 p.m. reservations have halved.

In Spanish homes, too, there are subtle signs of a shift. A government survey conducted in 2024 in the Catalonia region suggests that people there are starting their evening routines, including dinnertime, moderately earlier compared with 2010.

Here is more from Jonathan Wolffe at the NYT.  I learned also from the article that the late dining tradition is in part an artifact of the post WWII era in Spain.

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Understanding ChatGPT Work

OpenAI announced ChatGPT Work on July 9th, and have been furiously iterating on it ever since. It is an extraordinarily confusing and very powerful product. Here's what I've figured out about it so far.

ChatGPT Work is actually two products

The more interesting version of ChatGPT Work is the one that runs in the cloud. This can be accessed via chatgpt.com or through the ChatGPT mobile apps. Let's call it Work Cloud.

If you install the ChatGPT desktop app - the app that used to be called Codex - you gain access to a thing called ChatGPT Work that can access files and run programs directly on your computer. Let's call that one Work Local. This one feels more like regular Codex re-skinned to be less intimidating to non-software-developers.

For the rest of this article I'm going to talk exclusively about Work Cloud.

Work is for paid subscribers only

Right now, ChatGPT Work (in both flavors) is available only to $20/month and up subscribers. Free users and $8/month Go users do not have access.

Work has features that aren't available in Chat

The interface for accessing Work is a tab selector, which presents it as an alternative to Chat:

ChatGPT app header with a Chat and a Work tab

The obvious question is when should I use Chat, and when should I use Work?

OpenAI's official answer to that question is:

Use Chat when you want an answer, explanation, brainstorm, or short draft. Use ChatGPT Work when you want ChatGPT to complete a task with a clear outcome, such as a brief, deck, analysis, recurring update, workflow, or file you can review and use.

I find that almost entirely useless, because I've been using regular ChatGPT Chat for all of those task categories for years!

The better question then is what features does Work have that are missing from Chat?

After extensive experimentation I think I've mostly figured that out:

Model selection

In Work, you get the option to pick GPT-5.6 Sol, Luna, or Terra, each with Light, Medium, High, Extra High, Max, or Ultra reasoning levels. You can also pick GPT-5.5 at Light, Medium, High, or Extra High.

These look to be the same models that are available through the OpenAI API.

Chat offers a different selection: 5.6 Instant, Medium, High, Extra High, and Pro (actually Extra High and Pro are only available for $100/month+ subscribers - $20/month subscribers cap out at High). It doesn't explain if those are Luna or Terra or Sol (I'm assuming Sol?). 5.6 Pro appears to be exclusive to Chat, with no equivalent in Work.

My current understanding from using Codex is that Ultra is a special mode that more eagerly delegates to sub-agents.

I believe ChatGPT Work sessions are billed against your Codex allowance, while ChatGPT Chat Sessions get their own, separate allowance. This may help explain the model availability differences.

Code execution with Internet access!

As a long-time fan of the Code Interpreter pattern - pioneered by OpenAI in 2023 - this is by far the most exciting feature of ChatGPT Work (Cloud) for me.

The code execution environment can now talk to the rest of the internet!

ChatGPT Chat can't do this - if you ask it to install additional software packages or interact with websites or APIs that access will be blocked by the container proxy.

(Weirdly, back in January it grew the ability to install packages, but that doesn't seem to work any more. I wish they had better changelogs!)

Claude's equivalent container has allowed restricted internet access since it launched last September. Claude can install packages from PYPI and NPM and clone repositories from GitHub. But that is about it: the allowlist of domains is very short.

ChatGPT Work allows a whole lot more than that. It can be configured with a specific list of allowed domains, but the default appears to be open to all.

This makes Work an incredibly useful tool. You can have it clone GitHub repositories, install their dependencies, then use them to interact with the rest of the web!

A full, headless Chrome browser

Another killer feature of ChatGPT Work is the browser tool. ChatGPT Work can launch a full Chrome instance, load websites, fill out forms, and take screenshots.

Screenshot of a ChatGPT conversation. A user message in a black rounded bubble reads: Visit https://london-pelicans-in-her-piety.simonw.chatgpt.site/ and take a screenshot with you browser. Below it a collapsed status line reads "Worked for 1m 18s >", followed by the reply "Here's the screenshot of the live site:" and an embedded screenshot of a website.

If a site requires sign in the browser can prompt you to take over and enter both passwords and 2FA codes, without round-tripping those credentials through the model itself.

It can even run JavaScript against the DOM of loaded pages. I prompted:

Load simonwillison.net in your browser and extract the headings using JavaScript

ChatGPT Work fired up a browser instance and ran the code:

await tab.playwright.evaluate(() => {
  return Array.from(document.querySelectorAll("h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6"), heading => ({
    level: heading.tagName.toLowerCase(),
    text: heading.innerText.trim().replace(/\s+/g, " "),
    id: heading.id || null
  }));
});

This feels a lot like my shot-scraper javascript tool, only now I can access it on my phone!

A persistent, shared filesystem

ChatGPT Chat gets a fresh filesystem for each chat session. These cannot be accessed from any other session.

In ChatGPT Work each session gets its own scratch folder - named something like /workspace/scratch/e00a0a017944 - but each of those are persisted across sessions, so you can access files from previous chats. I have 171 folders in /workspace/scratch right now!

As far as I can tell that /workspace volume is mounted to all Work sessions that are currently running - file edits from one can be instantly seen by the others. They don't seem to share the same process space though, and localhost servers running in one can't be accessed from another.

ChatGPT Sites

ChatGPT Work has the ability to build and deploy entire websites, using Cloudflare Workers. These can have HTML and JavaScript and can run server-side features too, including stateful features on top of Cloudflare D1 and R2.

Here's a simple site I built with this feature:

london-pelicans-in-her-piety.simonw.chatgpt.site

Screenshot of a website homepage on a cream background. Top navigation bar: a circular logo reading "P/P" on the left, the links "THE CENSUS", "COLLECTIONS" and "METHOD" in the center, and "JSON ↓" on the right. The left half is a hero section with small red capitals reading "AN ICONOGRAPHIC CENSUS · GREATER LONDON" above a large serif heading "Pelicans in her piety", with "piety" set in red italics. Below it: "Across London, an impossible bird bleeds for her young—in limewood, marble, mosaic, metal and glass. This is an evidence-backed census of where to find her." Two buttons follow: a solid black "EXPLORE ALL 28" and an outlined "DOWNLOAD THE DATA". The right half is a photograph of an ornate dark carved wooden reredos in a church, with gilded urns and a crest on top, Corinthian columns, a gilded pelican with outspread wings at its center above inscribed panels, an altar with a brass cross and red flowers, embroidered banners on either side, and a black-and-white checkerboard floor with red carpet. Vertical text along the photo's right edge reads "ST MARY ABCHURCH" and a caption at its bottom reads "Grinling Gibbons's reredos, St Mary Abchurch. Photograph: Diliff, CC BY-SA 3.0, via SPAB ↗". A statistics strip along the bottom shows "28 FIXED SITES", "4 COLLECTIONS", "3 OPEN LEADS" and "2 KNOWN LOSSES".

My prompt was:

Figure out all of the places in London with a pelican in her piety, then turn that into a JSON file and build a ChatGPT sites site about them

(A pelican in her piety is a fascinating piece of medieval Christian imagery - once you know about them you'll find them all over the place.)

These sites default to being private to the user that created them, but you can make them public and (on team plans) share them with other specific individuals.

Sub-agents with Sol, Luna, and Terra

There's not much to say about this one. ChatGPT Chat can't run sub-agents. ChatGPT Work can. This is very much a power-user feature: if you are running a complex project that can benefit from multiple parallel agents working together, Work can do that.

Scheduled prompt automations

Another feature that seems to have migrated from regular ChatGPT to ChatGPT Work at some point. You can prompt ChatGPT Work like this:

run a search to see if Waymo have announced a launch date for Half Moon Bay every day at 8am

This will schedule a prompt to run on that frequency. These prompts can decide that nothing interesting has happened, or they can decide to notify you of some new information.

Update: Actually this seems to work in ChatGPT Chat as well.

It's still worth noting here though, as it can be used in conjunction with other ChatGPT Work exclusive features. You can set a scheduled task to update a ChatGPT Site on an hourly basis, for example.

Is this safe?

An open question for me right now is how safe all of this stuff is.

My lethal trifecta model warns about the risks inherent in any agent system that combines access to private data with exposure to untrusted content and a way to communicate stolen information back to an attacker.

ChatGPT Work combines all three!

I'd love to hear more from OpenAI about how they protect ChatGPT Work sessions against prompt injection attacks. I expect their answer is the same auto-review mechanism as Codex.

OpenAI could make this a lot less confusing

Figuring this all out took way more work than it should have.

I think there are two key problems here:

  1. OpenAI explain Work in terms of what it's for, not what it actually does
  2. OpenAI still insist on hiding their system prompts and tools descriptions

If the ChatGPT Work documentation included the exact system prompt and tool descriptions used by the agent I wouldn't have needed to write this post.

A list of all the tools

Shortly after publishing this article I had an idea. I started a fresh Work session and prompted:

Build a site that lists every one of your tools - nearly grouped into categories - and for each one explain what it does. Try to exactly duplicate arguments and tool descriptions where possible. Design aesthetic should be technical docs, minimal flare

Here's the site it built, which includes details of 223 registered tools - though 6 of those are from my own personal MCPs served via datasette-mcp.

And a whole lot of Skills

I noticed that the only browser-related tool in the list was web.run, which has methods for running searches, opening URLs, and clicking links, but didn't look like the full story in regards to headless browser automation.

This made me suspicious that something was missing, so I told the ChatGPT Work session that built that tools reference site:

Add full copies of every skill to the website (separate pages linked to from the homepage)

It turns out ChatGPT Work uses a lot of skills - 44 in fact!

The control-browser skill explains how the browser works:

Run browser setup code through the Node REPL js tool. In this environment the callable tool id typically appears as mcp__node_repl__js. [...]

The ability to interact directly with the browser is exposed through the browser-client runtime via the agent.browsers.* API. Before trying to interact with it, you MUST emit and read the complete documentation returned by await browser.documentation() in one go.

So I told Work:

Add the full output of await browser.documentation() to the bottom of the /skills/control-browser page

And now you can read that on /skills/control-browser as well.

A few more interesting Skills:

Tags: ai, openai, generative-ai, chatgpt, llms, code-interpreter, lethal-trifecta, general-agents

Pasterze Hangs on as Austria’s Largest Glacier

1985
2026
Ice in a broad Alpine basin feeds debris-covered glacial ice several kilometers long in the valley below.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
Ice in a broad Alpine basin connects with a short, narrow stretch of glacial ice in the valley below through one small icefall. Lakes fill much of the valley beyond the glacier’s terminus.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
Ice in a broad Alpine basin feeds debris-covered glacial ice several kilometers long in the valley below.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
Ice in a broad Alpine basin connects with a short, narrow stretch of glacial ice in the valley below through one small icefall. Lakes fill much of the valley beyond the glacier’s terminus.
NASA Earth Observatory/Michala Garrison
1985
2026
The Pasterze Glacier in the Eastern Alps undergoes significant retreat between August 22, 1985 (left), and August 15, 2026 (right). One narrow icefall connecting glacial ice in the upper and lower basins remains in summer 2026. The images were acquired with the TM (Thematic Mapper) on Landsat 5 and the OLI (Operational Land Imager) on Landsat 9, respectively. NASA Earth Observatory images by Michala Garrison.

Amid Europe’s scorching summer of 2026, Austria’s largest glacier was holding on by one dwindling thread of ice. The last icefall connecting the upper and lower portions of the Pasterze Glacier in the Eastern Alps appeared poised to break, which would put an end to its reign as the country’s largest. Groups monitoring the glacier say the last conduit of ice may, depending on weather conditions, survive to see another year or two, or it may face its demise before the cold months arrive this year.

The NASA/USGS Landsat images above capture the glacier’s change from August 22, 1985, to August 15, 2026. In 1985 (left), the higher-elevation portion of the glacier, where ice accumulates, fed ice to the valley below through multiple icefalls. (Note that ice along the southern edge of the valley is covered in debris, giving it a dark appearance.) In 2026 (right), only one icefall, known as the Hufeisenbruch, remained. The glacial ice in the valley below had receded substantially, and a proglacial lake filled in much of the area the ice once occupied.

In retreat since the mid-1800s, the Pasterze has lost mass almost continuously and at increasing rates since 1980, according to scientists from the University of Graz, GeoSphere Austria, and the Austrian Alpine Club. Small advances have occurred in only seven years since 1879. Starting in the 2010s, the volume of ice supplied from higher elevations has been small enough to leave the ice in the valley almost stagnant.

By 2020, the penultimate ice connection to the upper accumulation zone was replaced by a waterfall, leaving the Hufeisenbruch icefall as the glacier’s precarious linchpin. Between 1998 and 2025, scientists from the University of Graz monitored the width of the icefall, finding a decrease from nearly 900 meters (3,000 feet) to just 120 meters (390 feet). Researchers attribute the change to decreasing ice inputs from above, along with increasing thermal energy emitted from ice-free rock faces that furthers the loss of ice.

Photos taken in mid-August 2026 confirmed the icefall was still intact, said Andreas Kellerer-Pirklbauer, a scientist in the geography department at the University of Graz and co-head of the glacier measurement service of the Austrian Alpine Club. Observers expect the connection to last until at least 2027, he said, based on its current condition and assuming relatively normal temperatures in the upcoming autumn and winter.

Coupled with the dramatic loss of ice at Pasterze, apparent in the images above, is the growth of a proglacial lake at its terminus. Kellerer-Pirklbauer and colleagues tracked the lake’s growth from 1998 to 2019 and found that its area increased exponentially over that time. The researchers also documented several large-scale buoyant calving events in which ice slabs in contact with the water broke off from the terminus or even from the lake bed. Researchers are interested in how these lakes form and evolve not only because they can contribute to increased rates of ice loss, but also because they can raise the risk of dangerous outburst floods.

The sweltering spring and summer of 2026 have shone a spotlight on the Pasterze and the many other glaciers in the Alps already undergoing rapid retreat in the 21st century. A hot and dry spring in Austria was followed by the highest combined June and July temperatures on record in Western Europe, according to Europe’s Copernicus climate monitoring service. In 2024 and 2025, nearly all of Austria’s glaciers retreated, and signs in 2026 point toward yet more melt. When Pasterze’s Hufeisenbruch icefall does succumb to melting or collapse, the glacier will cede its status as Austria’s largest to Gepatschferner in the Ötztal Alps in Tyrol.

NASA Earth Observatory images by Michala Garrison, using Landsat data from the U.S. Geological Survey. Story by Lindsey Doermann.

References & Resources

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The post Pasterze Hangs on as Austria’s Largest Glacier appeared first on NASA Science.

Beim Hufeisenbruch löst sich die Verbindung zwischen unterem und oberen Teil des Pasterze-Gletschers immer mehr auf. Quelle: GeoSphere Austria

Anthropomorphizing AI?

I am very much opposed to the view that the AIs are sentient, or might be sentient.  I view that as a category error, and the chances of it being true are vanishingly small.  Nonetheless I largely side with Roon when he writes:

there are some number of bad abstractions in anthropomorphizing ai intents but there are at this point more dangers from avoiding anthropomorphism at all costs. if you have a mental picture of guys living in computers, it’ll likely prepare you for the future better than otherwise

While I am not a Friedmanite in economic methodology per se, I have lived with that perspective for a long time and have no trouble grasping it or working with it, same goes for Alex T.  None of this strikes me as weird or unacceptable.  Though be very, very careful when speaking with others, whether it be the less informed public or the more informed insiders who often come down with AI psychosis.  So insofar as this discourse is public, pragmatism may militate against this approach, even though it is methodologically defensible.  It depend on how psychologically robust your audience is?

We also need to do more work figuring out how the AIs might differ from humans.  Roon adds:

there are important ways in which ai psychology diverges from human psychology after lots of RL; the misaligned models are obsessed with the Scorer, the clearly “shattered” nature of personas (a normally helpful model can become deeply misaligned in certain domains)

And:

persona selection is clearly far less clean than many people thought earlier this year. it is not alignment by default and what kind of object a “persona” is is very much up for debate and study

The AIs also stand a higher chance of becoming very wacky as the discourse proceeds?  Exactly how much is that true for humans?…I am not sure.)

There is much more to be done in this direction, and it is one of the most important things you can be working on.  These investigations also do not need to be “owned” by any single field or discipline, so dig right in.

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A rare snowy day for the world's biggest eye on the sky

An unusual sight greets Cerro Armazones, in Chile’s Atacama Desert, in this drone image, taken on 19 August 2026. Snow blankets parts of the mountain while low clouds drift around the dome of ESO's Extremely Large Telescope (ELT), glowing in the light of a low Sun. 

Cerro Armazones was chosen as the ELT's home for its exceptionally dry conditions, clear skies and rock-steady atmosphere — conditions among the best on Earth for observing the Universe. That's exactly what makes a scene like this so rare: snow and thick clouds briefly turned the usually bare desert into a white landscape, before the mountain's typical dry, cloudless weather quickly returned.

These are extremely infrequent weather events, but even under normal conditions the Atacama Desert is still a harsh environment. To protect the telescope from its surroundings, the ELT sits inside an enormous dome built to shield its most delicate components, including its huge mirrors and scientific instruments, yet to be installed. 

Once construction is complete and the ELT achieves first light later this decade, it will use the mountain's exceptional skies to explore the Universe in unprecedented detail, tackling some of astronomy's biggest open questions, from exoplanets to the first galaxies that ever formed.

Links

Who are we Now?

This is based on my keynote at RubyConf 2026. They’ll publish a video eventually, I hope. There’s a philosopher in Naples, Italy,  way back in the 1700s who understood something important to software today. Giambattista Vico lived early in the Enlightenment, when mathematical and experimental thinking were all the rage. René Des Cartes and Francis ...

Read moreWho are we Now?

Why it matters that President Trump just dialed in to a NASA news conference

As is standard procedure for major NASA missions, the US space agency held a post-launch news conference on Sunday morning at Kennedy Space Center in Florida to provide information about how the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope was faring during its initial maneuvers.

What was not standard, however, is what happened in the middle of the news conference. A little less than half an hour in, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman looked down at his mobile phone, and then stood up and walked away from the dais where he had been seated behind a table along with other NASA officials. He briefly left the room.

Isaacman returned about a minute later, phone in hand, apologizing for interrupting NASA's chief of science, Nicky Fox, as she was speaking about the mission. "The President of the United States of America would like to address and congratulate everyone on this mission," Isaacman said, returning to his seat.

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Sunday 30 August 1663

[The Gutenberg text of the Wheatley edition of the diary has no entry for this date. Below is the entry from the Latham & Matthews edition. P.G.]

Lords Day. Lay long, then up; and Will being ill of the tooth-ake, I stayed at home and made up my accounts; which to my great content arise to 750l. clear Creditor, the most I have had yet. Dined alone with my wife, my brother dining abroad at my uncle Wights I think. To church, I alone, in the afternoon; and there saw Pembleton come in and look up, which put me into a sweat, and seeing not my wife there, went out again. But Lord — how I was afeared that he might, seeing me at church, go home to my wife; so much it is out of my power to preserve myself from jealousy — and so sot impatient all the sermon. Home and find all well and no sign of anybody being there, and so with great content playing and dallying with my wife; and so to my office, doing a little business there among my papers, and home to my wife to talk — supper and bed.

Read the annotations

Clyburn: Let’s Add Four

Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC) on Meet the Press

Rep. James Clyburn (D) of South Carolina said today on Meet the Press that he supports adding four new Justices to the Supreme Court. This would bring the total to 13. That is a common number people have focused on since there are 13 judicial circuits. In the distant past, the two numbers were kept in line. “13 is a pretty good number,” said Clyburn. “A baker’s dozen would be a good number to have on the Court.” This is a big deal. The particular number doesn’t really matter. I see adding four to get to 13 as sort of the minimum acceptable goal. But the point here is that rapidly (in time for 2029) establishing Court expansion and reform more broadly is becoming the consensus Democratic position. We don’t know if Democrats will get a trifecta in 2028. But it’s the first plausible opportunity to expand the Court.

Sometimes I’ll hear people say: Why start talking about it now? You complicate the 2026 midterms. Maybe you give the Republicans ideas? Why not just keep it close to the vest and spring it on them in January 2029?

Put simply, that’s just not how it works.

The inertial forces against reform are massive. Even among many elected Democrats who are pretty good on other issues, it’s often a very heavy lift. It’s only very recently that Court reform has even moved into the realm of conceivable for most of them. Change, building that consensus can only happen as a bottom-up process, making it clear that accepting the perpetuation of the Corrupt court as it exists today is an unacceptable position for a Democrat, certainly at the federal level — as a bottom-up process, it can only be a public process. You’ll only know someone is on board when they say it publicly and clearly. Even then you can’t be totally sure. But once a politician has committed publicly, it’s much harder to shift. And when you’ve got the great majority publicly committing, the pressure heightens on those who remain opposed or silent in inverse proportion to their declining numbers. The same applies to abolishing the filibuster and a lot else.

As far as I know, Clyburn is the first Democrat in leadership in either chamber to announce for Court expansion, and one of the relative few generally. Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has signaled general support or openness to reform in recent months. And that’s important too. But it only becomes hard and real when the details are attached.

In Case You Missed It…

…a week of Mad Biologist posts:

The Absurdity of the National Guard Deployment

Trump Has a Favorable Job Approval Rating in Only Three States (D.C. is at an estimated -83)

A Day at the Renwick Gallery

An OK Week for D.C.’s Crime Stats

Links 8/30/26

Links for you. Science:

Let’s Remember Some Publications That Said We Would Get To Mars By 2026 (excellent, must-read piece on science journalism)
New Kindergarten Vaccine Data Has RFK Jr.’s Stamp All Over It
Many N.F.L. Players Get Brain Disease. Why Hasn’t OSHA Intervened?
Self‑censorship, more stress, tougher recruiting – we asked US researchers how the Trump administration’s science policies have affected them
How scientists found a weakness in one of the deadliest ‘undruggable’ cancers
Brouhaha in Academia: Did We Really Hunt Mammoths?
Snakes on a Plate: Could Reptile Consumption Have Freed Us to Settle Down?

Other:

Return the Favor. They deserve it and future generations are counting on you.
It Was Inevitable That Trump Would Come to This
These women don’t trust politicians. They do trust Candace Owens
Extremely Online: A Definition. Becoming Extremely Online is a choice: one that fewer of us should make.
Families Debate Whether Children Should Play Football, After New C.T.E. Study
Sell Thy Neighbor: Trump Official Howard Lutnick and the Clandestine Deal to Sell NYC’s Glamorous Pierre Hotel
Inside Russia’s New Gulag. Human-rights groups estimate that more than ten thousand Ukrainian civilians have disappeared into the Russian prison system. This is the story of one cell.
The worst primary in America just ended
More than 1.2 million Texans’ voter registrations are suspended
Disgraced Anti-Sex-Trafficking NGO Gets $244 Million to Rep Migrant Kids
How Many Fascist Cronies Can One Republican Have?
There Is Only One Lesson Of Red Vienna
Enes Kanter Freedom’s Bigoted Stunts Have Nothing to Do With Protecting Women
The People Have Spoken; They Want Their Power Back
Trump Is in Open Revolt Against the Constitution
What Do I Do About My Fragile Kid?
The Syndicate
The Red Hot Chili Peppers Beyond Good And Evil
In A Plot Twist For Conservatives, New Data Finds No Link Between Immigrants And Crime
“RFK Jr. has lied to the Senate”: Lawmakers call for criminal probe, ouster
Come on, people, now, smile on your brother
At the FBI, a history of hiring prostitutes or stealing from employer may no longer be a barrier to being hired
ICE Plans to Spend Millions on Boston Dynamics Dog Robots
The Kennedy Center Has a Problem That Courts Can’t Fix
Hope Florida grand jury describes public money ‘misused for political purposes’
Court rules Kalshi sports bets aren’t “swaps,” just gambling with a different name
The Case For Hard Truths Told Well
Trump cuts down oldest cherry blossoms in DC for his golf course
Trump Isn’t Caligula, He’s Commodus
Confessions of an AI Editor

Russia markets in everything

While Western export bans have severed Russia from much of the auto market, they have not tempered the demand for brand-name SUVs and trucks. That has given rise to a sophisticated network of criminals that steals cars, hides them in shipping containers and sends them to Russia, often by way of the Middle East…

Interpol, the international police organization, received 4,798 reports that stolen Canadian vehicles had been found in Russia from February 2024 to July 2026, according to data obtained by The New York Times and confirmed by two law enforcement officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity because it is considered sensitive.

Pickup trucks like Dodge Rams, Toyota Tundras and Ford F-150s are in particularly high demand.

The Interpol figures significantly undercount the problem, but Russia is by far the top international destination for Canadian cars reported to Interpol, according to the Royal Canadian Mounted Police.

Here is more from Jane Bradley and Michael Swirtz at the NYT.

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August 29, 2026

On Thursday, August 27, Tolouse Olorunnipa reported on the attempts of Republican lawmakers to restrict the ability of naturalized and dual citizens to run for office. In several states, Republican lawmakers have introduced measures to cut those Americans out of candidacy for elected positions, while in Congress, at least five Republicans have called for prohibiting them from federal judgeships, Cabinet posts, ambassadorships, and congressional seats.

The push has come in the wake of the rise of New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani and other naturalized U.S. citizens whose policy positions those like South Carolina representative Nancy Mace consider un-American. These policies are, of course, the ones voters elected people like Mamdani to put into place. In her comments to Olorunnipa, Mace said: “This isn’t personal. It’s about what standard we want for the people entrusted with enormous power over the American people.”

Her word choice was revealing. Our elected officials are entrusted with the enormous power of the American people, not over them.

In the 1850s, Americans struggled over the question of equality and immigration. The United States had always been a nation of immigrants, but in the 1840s the failure of the potato crop in Ireland sent at least half a million Irish immigrants to the United States. As they moved into urban ports on the East Coast, especially in Massachusetts and New York, native-born Americans turned against them as competitors for jobs, warning that Catholics were un-American and could never assimilate into the U.S.

The 1850s saw a similar anti-immigrant fury in the new state of California. After the discovery of gold there in 1848, native-born Americans—the so-called forty-niners—moved to the West Coast. They had no intention of sharing the riches they expected to find. The Indigenous people who lived there had no right to the land under which gold lay, native-born men thought; nor did the Mexicans whose government had sold the land to the U.S. in 1848; nor did the Chileans, who came with mining skills that made them powerful competitors.

Above all, native-born Americans resented the Chinese miners who came to work in order to send money home to a land devastated by the First Opium War of 1839–1842, hoping to make money in America and then return to China, from which they could not legally emigrate. Expecting to go home again, they retained their languages, their culture, and their clothing. They tended to work the mines Americans had cleaned of their biggest deposits, focusing on meticulous reworking of the gravel, and they did better than native-born Americans thought they should.

Democrats and the new anti-immigrant American Party (more popularly known as the “Know Nothings” because members claimed to know nothing about the party) turned against the new immigrants, seeing them as competition that would drive down wages. In the 1850s, Know Nothing officials in Massachusetts persecuted Catholics and deported Irish immigrants they believed were paupers.

In 1850, in California, a legislature charged with establishing the legal framework for the proposed state adopted the federal law enacted a half-century earlier, in 1802, that limited citizenship to “free white persons.” The state legislature then went on to impose a foreign miner’s tax on Chinese and Mexican miners; then, in 1854, the state courts agreed that Chinese nationals could not testify in court against white Americans. In 1855 the legislature tried to stop Chinese immigration altogether by passing a $50 tax on shipmasters for each person ineligible for citizenship they brought to the state.

The construction of castes of immigrants mirrored the ideology of southern whites who enslaved their Black neighbors. As Georgia’s Alexander Stephens explained, the men who framed the Constitution had made the terrible error of believing in equality, and northerners stupidly clung to the outdated idea that Black people were equal to white people, “and hence conclude that he is entitled to equal privileges and rights with the white man.” In contrast to the United States government, men like Stephens believed that “subordination to the superior race is his natural and normal condition.”

In 1855, Illinois lawyer Abraham Lincoln wrote to his friend Joshua Speed to reiterate his dislike not just of enslavement, but also of the caste system going into place in places like Massachusetts and California.

“I am not a Know-Nothing,” he wrote. “That is certain. How could I be? How can any one who abhors the oppression of [Black Americans], be in favor of degrading classes of white people? Our progress in degeneracy appears to me to be pretty rapid. As a nation, we began by declaring that ‘all men are created equal.’ We now practically read it ‘all men are created equal, except [Black people].’ When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read ‘all men are created equal, except [Black people], and foreigners, and catholics.’ When it comes to this I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretence of loving liberty---to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocracy.”

Lincoln understood that once you give up the principle of equality, you have given up the whole game. You have admitted the principle that people are unequal, and that some people are better than others. Once you have replaced the principle of equality with the idea that humans are unequal, you have granted your approval to the idea of rulers and servants. At that point, all you can do is to hope that no one in power decides that you belong in one of the lesser groups.

Arguments that some men were better than others, “are the arguments that kings have made for enslaving the people in all ages of the world,” Lincoln said. “You will find that all the arguments in favor of king-craft were of this class; they always bestrode the necks of the people, not that they wanted to do it, but because the people were better off for being ridden…. Turn in whatever way you will—whether it come from the mouth of a King, an excuse for enslaving the people of his country, or from the mouth of men of one race as a reason for enslaving the men of another race, it is all the same old serpent….”

“I should like to know if taking this old Declaration of Independence, which declares that all men are equal upon principle and making exceptions to it where will it stop,” he asked.

Americans answered him definitively in 1868 when they added the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution. It recognized that “[a]ll persons born or naturalized in the United States and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.” It also established that states could not draw lines around different groups of citizens by providing that “[n]o State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.”

That same constitution also establishes requirements for officeholders. The president must be at least 35 years old and a natural-born citizen of the United States. A U.S. senator must be at least 30 years old, a citizen of the U.S. for at least nine years, and a resident of the state they’re representing. A U.S. representative must be at least 25 years old, a U.S. citizen for at least seven years, and live in the state they represent.

Law professor Pamela Karlan told journalist Olorunnipa that “Those qualifications are exclusive. The state can’t add qualifications on top of those, nor indeed can the federal government.” Former representative Mo Brooks (R-AL) added that in a country growing more diverse, telling naturalized Americans that they can’t run for office will ensure they vote for the opposing party. “It is one of the dumbest tactical moves I’ve ever seen politicians make,” he told Olorunnipa.

Karlan summed up the idea of discriminating against naturalized citizens, telling Olorunnipa it is “just incredibly ugly, stupid, and unconstitutional.”

Notes:

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/2026/08/naturalized-citizens-ban-elected-office-trump/688415/

https://quod.lib.umich.edu/l/lincoln/lincoln2/1:339?rgn=div1;view=fulltext

https://www.battlefields.org/learn/primary-sources/cornerstone-speech

https://georgepwood.com/2012/07/04/abraham-lincolns-speech-at-chicago-illinois-july-10-1858/

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w/e 2026-08-30

Home alone all week (plus the cat) and not really in the mood for writing, so in brief:

  • I finally sorted out a big pile of old paperwork I brought back from Essex months and months ago. Sorting, scanning, filing, shredding.
  • Three trips to the gym, the week’s only exercise apart from…
  • …three hours of scything and collecting grass before the rain began. Only a little patch left to do now.
  • Weekly guitar lessons are going well and I’m practising most days so I assume I’m making progress.
  • Two afternoons taking Mum to appointments.
  • I did a super-efficient shopping trip on Saturday morning, driving into town, getting to Waitrose, Wickes, and three other shops, and then being home by 9.45am. Despite being the weekend places are quiet first thing.
  • One of the two home batteries has stopped working, showing a red “fault” light, but the person dealing with emails at the installer was away this week.
  • My toe is pretty much 100% now, eleven weeks on. Just a slight ache occasionally. Of course, this morning I stubbed the toe next to it. Idiot. (Not too badly though.)
  • I have finally got all of the satchels in Red Dead Redemption 2. Time well spent we can all agree.
  • The GTA6 preview looked amazing, graphics-wise, but despite all those advances it seems like convincing talking mouths are still beyond today’s technology. Maybe next time.

Read comments or post one

Sunday assorted links

1. NYT covers Maria Edgeworth.

2. A calmer look at the Hugging Face incident.  And from Ciaran Martin in The Economist.  And Elie.  And Jacob Bruggeman.

3. Chandhana visits Egypt.

4. New quantum claims.

5. How youth football is evolving due to CTE concerns.

6. Pie Jesu by Gabriel Faure.

The post Sunday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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Ribbon-Cutting Event for NASA Deep Space Network’s Deep Space Station 23

2 Min Read

Ribbon-Cutting Event for NASA Deep Space Network’s Deep Space Station 23

Ten people in professional attire pose together outside under a clear blue sky, with a massive white satellite dish standing directly behind them.
PIA26779
Credits: NASA/JPL-Caltech

Description

Leadership from NASA Headquarters, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and the Deep Space Network (DSN) stand in front of the recently completed Deep Space Station 23 antenna at the Deep Space Network’s Goldstone complex near Barstow, California, on Aug. 25, 2026. 

From left: Germaine Aziz (project manager, DSN Aperture Enhancement Project, JPL); Bradford Arnold (manager, Telecom Programs & Oversight, JPL); Keyur Patel (associate lab director for Flight Projects & Mission Success, JPL); Wanda Peters (deputy associate administrator, Research and Technology Mission Directorate, NASA Headquarters); Jimmy Kenyon (associate administrator, RTMD, NASA Headquarters); John McCullough (acting director, Space Communications and Navigation Program, NASA Headquarters); Gregory Heckler (deputy program manager for capability development, SCaN, NASA Headquarters); William Marinelli (development manager, SCaN, NASA Headquarters), Michael Levesque (project manager, DSN, JPL); and Frank Kaufholod (project manager, NASA Glenn Research Center).

They gathered at the recently completed DSS-23 antenna for a ceremonial ribbon cutting on Aug. 25, 2026. It’s the latest antenna to be added as part of the DSN’s Aperture Enhancement Project, which began in 2009 to upgrade and expand the network by adding six new 34-meter (114-foot) multifrequency beam-waveguide antennas. These versatile Deep Space Network dishes can enhance many missions operating over different radio frequencies. 

The DSN allows missions to track, send commands to, and receive scientific data from faraway spacecraft. It is managed by JPL, a division of Caltech, in Southern California for SCaN, which is located at NASA Headquarters within RTMD.

For more information about the DSN, visit:

https://www.nasa.gov/communicating-with-missions/dsn/

The post Ribbon-Cutting Event for NASA Deep Space Network’s Deep Space Station 23 appeared first on NASA Science.

NASA Deep Space Network’s New Goldstone Antenna Goes Online

1 Min Read

NASA Deep Space Network’s New Goldstone Antenna Goes Online

A massive white satellite dish antenna stands on a desert plain under a clear blue sky, bathed in warm sunlight alongside small facility structures.
PIA26778
Credits: NASA/JPL-Caltech

Description

Long shadows are cast by the recently completed Deep Space Station 23 at the Deep Space Network’s Goldstone complex near Barstow, California, in August 2026. A 34-meter (114-foot) multifrequency beam-waveguide antenna, DSS-23 will boost the DSN’s capacity and enhance NASA’s deep space communications capabilities for decades to come.

NASA leadership and personnel as well as dignitaries gathered at the complete DSS-23 antenna for a ceremonial ribbon cutting on Aug. 25, 2026. It’s the latest antenna to be added as part of the Deep Space Network’s Aperture Enhancement Project, which began in 2009 to upgrade and expand the network by adding six new 34-meter multifrequency beam-waveguide antennas. These versatile Deep Space Network dishes can enhance many missions operating over different radio frequencies. 

The DSN allows missions to track, send commands to, and receive scientific data from faraway spacecraft. It is managed by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a division of Caltech, in Southern California for the agency’s Space Communications and Navigation (SCaN) Program, which is located at NASA Headquarters within the Research and Technology Mission Directorate.

For more information about the DSN, visit:

https://www.nasa.gov/communicating-with-missions/dsn/

The post NASA Deep Space Network’s New Goldstone Antenna Goes Online appeared first on NASA Science.

Panorama Showcasing the 34-Meter Antennas of the DSN’s Goldstone Complex

2 Min Read

Panorama Showcasing the 34-Meter Antennas of the DSN’s Goldstone Complex

A wide desert landscape featuring several large white satellite dishes pointing toward a bright sun shining in a clear blue sky above distant mountain ranges.
PIA26777
Credits: NASA/JPL-Caltech

Description

Five antennas soak in the summer sun at the Deep Space Network’s Goldstone complex near Barstow, California, in August 2026. The recently completed Deep Space Station 23, a 34-meter (114-foot) beam-waveguide antenna, can be seen to the right of the frame in the foreground. The other three 34-meter antennas are, from left, DSS-26, DSS-25, and DSS-24. At farthest right is a smaller 26-meter (85-foot) antenna, the retired “Apollo Antenna” that was built in 1967 as part of the Manned Space Flight Network and earned its nickname for providing tracking for the Apollo Program.

NASA leadership and personnel as well as dignitaries gathered at the complete DSS-23 antenna for a ceremonial ribbon-cutting on Aug. 25, 2026. It’s the latest antenna to be added as part of the Deep Space Network’s Aperture Enhancement Project, which began in 2009 to upgrade and expand the network by adding six new 34-meter multifrequency beam-waveguide antennas. These versatile Deep Space Network (DSN) dishes can enhance many missions operating over different radio frequencies. 

The DSN allows missions to track, send commands to, and receive scientific data from faraway spacecraft. It is managed by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California, a division of Caltech, for the agency’s Space Communications and Navigation (SCaN) Program, which is located at NASA Headquarters within the Research and Technology Mission Directorate.

For more information about the DSN, visit:

https://www.nasa.gov/communicating-with-missions/dsn/

The post Panorama Showcasing the 34-Meter Antennas of the DSN’s Goldstone Complex appeared first on NASA Science.

This Land is My Brand: From Woody Guthrie to DJ Trump

 President Trump's renaming* of Lake Ontario got me thinking about the famous song by Woody Guthrie, This Land Is Your Land. Its chorus is 

"This land is your land, this land is my land
From California to the New York island,
From the redwood forest to the Gulf Stream waters;
This land was made for you and me
. "

 

I asked three LLMs to propose Trump versions, and got these three: 

This Land Is My Brand  by Gemini

Chorus
This land is my land, it’s mostly my land,
From Mar-a-Lago to the New York island,
From Lake America to the Gulf of America,
This map was drawn for only me.
########

This Gulf Is My Gulf by Claude:

It's my gulf now, it's my lake now,
Change the name and don't look back now,
One man's word is all it takes now —
This map was made for me alone.
 #########

 This map is my map, by Chat GPT

It’s America’s Gulf, it’s America’s lake,
The greatest new names that a President could make!
They’re beautiful names, everybody agrees—
Ask anybody! Ask anybody! Ask anybody, please!

It’s America’s Gulf, it’s America’s lake,
Tremendous decisions for history’s sake!
The old names were terrible — frankly, a mess—
But these names are the greatest! The greatest! God bless! 

#########

*Names, like language itself, are largely equilibrium phenomena--even for entirely US based names, like Cape Canaveral, which was officially called Cape Kennedy only from 1963 to 1973, when it's earlier name was officially reinstated. 

Introducing Hy4 Preview

Introducing Hy4 Preview

New open weight text input (no vision) LLM from Chinese company Tencent today: 770B total parameters, 49B active parameters, 1M token context window, 1.56TB on Hugging Face.

This is a big size increase from their previous Hy3 in July, which was 295B, 21B active, 256,000 context, 598GB.

I recently started using model chat templates to better understand their capabilities. Here's Hy4's chat_template.jinja on Hugging Face, which includes this section:

{%- if not reasoning_effort is defined %}
    {%- set reasoning_effort = 'high' %}
{%- elif reasoning_effort not in ['high', 'no_think'] %}
    {%- if reasoning_effort is none %}
        {{- raise_exception('reasoning_effort error : None, should be no_think/high') }}
    {%- else %}
        {{- raise_exception('reasoning_effort error : ' + reasoning_effort + ', should be no_think/high') }}
    {%- endif %}
{%- endif %}

So it looks like there are just two reasoning effort levels: "high" (the default) and "no_think" (reason by disabled).

I tried my "Generate an SVG of a pelican riding a bicycle" prompt with the default high reasoning via OpenRouter and got this:

Flat vector cartoon illustration of a white pelican with a large orange bill riding a red bicycle to the right along a grey road with a dashed white centre line, its orange webbed feet on the pedals and grey tail feathers fanned out behind, against a pale blue sky with a yellow sun, white clouds and horizontal white motion lines suggesting speed

Quoting the reasoning trace:

[...] Let's maybe add a helmet? It could improve riding theme, but may obscure head. Maybe a small cycling cap or helmet? The user didn't ask; can add red helmet? Might be cute. But pelican with big beak; a helmet might obscure. Better maybe no.

Maybe add sunglasses? no.

Maybe add water? no.

It's interesting how the reasoning trace uses slightly truncated English, presumably because perfect grammar isn't useful or token efficient for hidden reasoning text.

Tags: ai, generative-ai, llms, pelican-riding-a-bicycle, llm-reasoning, llm-release, ai-in-china

*Finding Emily*

I very much enjoyed this British movie, which reminded me of the older-style romantic comedies, namely the ones that actually favor love and romance.  It also has themes of class/accent, US/UK, is anti-media, anti-cancel culture, anti-podcast (Laura Lewis steals the show), anti-academia, and is sceptical of certain branches of feminism.  But it is mostly entertaining.  Not an important film, but the sort of movie that makes going to the movies fun in the first place.  Let’s hope for more like this one.

The post *Finding Emily* appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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In defense of Asian American art

Back in 2015, when I was living in Brooklyn, my apartment flooded. My landlord, who owned a bunch of apartments, offered to put me up in temporary accommodations. He and his girlfriend were going to be out of town for several months, so he let me stay in her room. His girlfriend was an aspiring actress from Minnesota named Poppy Liu. I got to interact with her a number of times, and I can say that she’s one of the more interesting and original people I’ve ever met.

Poppy finally made it big. One of her latest roles is as the voice actress for one of the protagonists on the new animated Netflix series DANG!, a story about three Asian Americans living in NYC:

The show isn’t out yet, but from what I can tell, DANG! is trying to tell a story that will resonate with second-generation Asian Americans1 — one of the characters is a striver who goes off the beaten path, the others were escaping their striver upbringing by leading nontraditional lifestyles from the get-go. That’s probably a pretty typical real-world experience for the American-born children of high-skilled immigrants.

I don’t know if the show will be good or not, but as soon as the trailer hit, people on Twitter started ridiculing it — and using it as an opportunity to make fun of “Asian American media” or “Asian American art” in general. Some of the comments were dour and downbeat:

…While other commentary was pretty hilarious:

It turns out that Asian Americans bashing “Asian American art” is a pretty well-established tradition. Here’s another example unrelated to the Netflix show:

(See also here.)

It’s always fun to rag on tired tropes. But I feel like I should stand up for Asian American art here, because there really is a lot of excellent stuff out there that doesn’t fit into the standard format that people are complaining about.

“Asian American art” is defined too narrowly

The biggest problem with “Asian American art”, as far as I can tell, is that it’s defined so narrowly that there really isn’t much room for it to be creative. Consider these two possible definitions of “Asian American art”:

  1. Art made by Asian Americans

  2. Art made about Asian Americans or Asian American culture

As far as I can tell, movies, TV shows, books, etc. only get labeled “Asian American” if they satisfy both of these criteria at once. But that’s a pretty narrow slice of art!

First, it excludes art made about Asian Americans by non-Asians. There isn’t really a lot of this around, because America’s modern approach to identity politics says that you should only write about a group of people if you’re from that group — if a white author writes a novel with an Asian American protagonist, it’s generally frowned upon. There are some notable exceptions that get grandfathered in — Harold & Kumar Go to White Castle was written and directed by three white guys — but the culture of the 2010s really put a damper on that sort of crossover.

That means a lot of interesting and insightful stories about Asian Americans probably never get told. For example, I thought Ernest Hemingway’s portrayal of a frustrated Jewish striver in The Sun Also Rises was incredibly deep and thoughtful, and managed to say lots of things about how second-generation Jewish Americans were integrating into American society at the time. That portrayal probably wouldn’t get written today — a lot of people now accuse it of being antisemitic,2 because the character, while complex and sympathetic, is deeply flawed, and Hemingway himself wasn’t Jewish.

It also means that works clearly inspired by Asian America don’t generally get recognized as such. The clearest example of this is Avatar: the Last Airbender, which was arguably the best new fantasy IP to come out of the U.S. since the turn of the century.3 ATLA, as it’s sometimes known, drew on a bunch of Asian cultures — mostly Chinese, but also Japanese, Tibetan, Korean, and others — to create a sort of pan-Asian mishmash, informed by American sensibilities and written in a distinctly American style. That’s not too different from what Asian American culture is, and many Asian Americans were involved with both the production of the show and its adaptation into graphic novels and other media. But because the show’s creators themselves were white, it typically isn’t counted as Asian American art.

Even more importantly, the narrow definition of “Asian American art” also tends to exclude art made by Asian Americans, if it doesn’t deal directly with Asian American culture as its subject matter or motif. That ends up limiting the idea of “Asian American art” to things like Fresh off the Boat, The Joy Luck Club, Crazy Rich Asians, Everything Everywhere All at Once, American Born Chinese, Past Lives, the first season of BEEF, and so on.

I’m not saying those shows and movies are bad. For example, I love Everything Everywhere All at Once, which is among the most original and fun things I’ve seen in the past decade, and a true throwback to the zany 80s movies I loved as a kid. The first season of BEEF is one of the best things I’ve ever seen on TV. But Asian American culture is just a pretty small pool of source material to draw on.

It’s not that big, for one thing — if you exclude South Asians like Indians and Pakistanis, Asian Americans are only around 5.5% of the U.S. population. And Asian American narratives usually don’t tend to carry any special resonance with people in Asia:

And like all immigrant subcultures in America, Asian American culture is probably destined to be a sort of transitory, ephemeral thing. The classic second generation experience — “My parents really drove me hard and kids made fun of my weird lunch, until I went to college and met other people with the same background” — almost never lasts beyond the second generation.

Assimilation happens. It’s already happening. Around two-thirds of Asian Americans report having close friends of another race, and over 40% of U.S.-born Asian Americans marry people of other races (usually white or Hispanic). Despite concerns that nonwhite immigrants wouldn’t follow the same patterns as the East and South European immigrants of a century ago, Asian Americans are assimilating even faster than the white immigrants of yesteryear in every measurable way — outmarrying, climbing up the economic ladder, adopting American naming conventions, speaking English, moving out of coastal enclaves, and so on.

That means that both the source material and the natural audience for what we now consider “Asian American” narratives are destined to shrink. I’m fourth generation; when I read stories or watch movies about the New York Jewish culture of the early and mid 20th century, it already feels like a foreign country to me. I would be willing to bet that most fourth-generation Asian Americans will watch Fresh Off the Boat and feel the same way.

So we’ve defined “Asian American art” in a way that inherently limits it to something small and transient — basically, a micro-genre. It’s thus inevitable that lots of people see it as repetitive. If we want to appreciate the true breadth and depth of Asian American art, we need to take a broader view of what that means. I think we should start looking at any art created by Asian Americans as “Asian American art” — even if it’s about white people, or about robots, or about fantasy worlds where our modern races and cultures don’t even exist.

So here are a few examples of Asian American art I’ve enjoyed in recent years. This is far from an exhaustive catalog, or even a “top” list — it’s just a random selection of things I personally like. I’ve restricted it to works with major contributions by Asian Americans, so no Scott Pilgrim vs. the World, Kpop Demon Hunters, Counterstrike games, Kim’s Convenience, Mariko Tamaki graphic novels, etc. — those are all by Asian Canadians.

A few examples of great Asian American art

1. The comics of Adrian Tomine

A lot of the most interesting Asian American art comes in the form of graphic novels — a category that’s usually overlooked in these discussions. Adrian Tomine is probably tied with Neil Gaiman as my favorite graphic novelist of all time. He’s also one of the greatest authors of Generation X — he manages to capture the peculiar spirit of cynicism, longing, and rugged independence mixed with a strange sense of helplessness that defines that forgotten generation. His most famous work is Shortcomings, which was adapted into an excellent and overlooked movie in 2023:

(The opening scene of the movie is a send-up of Crazy Rich Asians — very much in the spirit of Asian Americans making fun of “Asian American art”.)

But my favorite are actually Tomine’s shorter comics, assembled in collections like Summer Blonde, Killing and Dying, and Sleepwalk. Tomine is one of the most sensitive observers of the human condition that I’ve ever read, and he deserves far more recognition than he’s received.

2. Monstress, by Marjorie Liu and Sana Takeda

This is possibly the best fantasy graphic novel I’ve ever read, both in terms of the storytelling and the art quality. Takeda, the illustrator, is Japanese, but Liu, the author, is American. Monstress is steampunk mixed with Lovecraftian horror, and the twist — sorry for the minor spoiler — is that one of the horrors is one of the protagonists. It has amazing fight scenes, an epic page-turning plot, and deep, complex characters. Like most long-running graphic novel series, it starts to meander later on,4 but it’s absolutely worth picking up.

3. The first season of BEEF

OK, on to television. TV tends to get short shrift in the cultural zeitgeist relative to movies, but I’d argue that television is where the truly creative screen stories now get told. BEEF is an anthology show created by Lee Sung Jin, with the running theme being suburbanites who get into feuds. I was lukewarm on the second season, but the first season is one of my favorite things ever.

This season actually is about Asian American culture, but it’s about interesting corners of it that don’t usually get air time, including working-class Korean Americans and Japanese American artists. The portrayals are devastatingly funny and deeply poignant at the same time, and the story arc is executed to perfection. Make sure to watch until the very last half-second of the last episode.

4. Atlanta (and Childish Gambino videos)

Atlanta is a quintessential work of Black art about Black America, created by (and starring) by Donald Glover, and written by an all-Black writers’ room. But one of the key creators of the show is Asian American: Hiro Murai, who Glover said “had the eye for this show”. Murai directed many of the episodes (including the pilot), and was also an executive producer. In fact, Murai and Glover have been creative partners for many years, and it’s difficult to separate their brilliance. Murai has also directed many of Glover’s music videos (in Glover’s alter ego as Childish Gambino), including the iconic “This Is America”.

Atlanta is, simply put, one of the most brilliant TV shows I’ve ever seen. If you haven’t seen it, you need to. And Murai’s participation in a quintessentially Black production shows how Asian artists can contribute to art well outside the typical “Asian American” paradigm.

5. Japanese Breakfast (and Crying in H Mart)

I really like the band Japanese Breakfast. They’re broadly a rock band, but really they defy genre — you could call them indie or synth-pop. Michelle Zauner, who is half Korean, is the lead singer and main songwriter. I recently saw them live, and they give a very good show.

Zauner also wrote a pretty well-known book called Crying in H-Mart, about the death of her mother from cancer. It’s a very good memoir, and it did indeed make me cry (though not in H Mart).

6. Wisp

I really loved shoegaze music when I was young, and I’m delighted that the Zoomers have brought the genre back. One of the best-known examples of the shoegaze revival — and my personal favorite — is Wisp. It’s basically just one woman, Natalie Lu.

7. Ninefox Gambit, by Yoon Ha Lee

Finally, on to my favorite genre of art: science fiction books! I grew up reading a lot of these, and one of my favorite subgenres was “weird” sci-fi books from the 1960s and 70s — Samuel R. Delany, Roger Zelazny, and stuff like that. I also love Rudy Rucker’s weird cyberpunk. Well, I can confidently say that Ninefox Gambit and its sequels and associated short stories are every bit as weird and far-out and creative as any of the stuff on my old shelf. It’s about a universe where the laws of physics depend on which calendar people use — and so of course the galaxy is made up of warring empires, each trying to make everyone use their own calendar. If you want your mind blown, this series is a good one.

8. The stories of Ted Chiang

Ted Chiang is, I would argue, the greatest English-language science-fiction short story author of the 21st century so far. His stories — collected in books like Stories of Your Life and Others and Exhalation — are high-concept stuff, exploring premises like “What if people had implants that gave them perfect memory?”, and “What if people could turn off their ability to identify beautiful faces?”. But they almost always manage to work deep and meaningful character arcs in as well, which is something that relatively few sci-fi short story authors are good at. His story “Story of Your Life” was adapted into the film Arrival.

9. Jade City, by Fonda Lee

I wanted to put a fantasy novel in here. I’m pretty picky about fantasy, but I really enjoyed Fonda Lee’s Jade City, which is about super-powered mafia wars in an alternate universe, in a city that’s somewhat reminiscent of Hong Kong — basically, think of The Godfather with superpowers. Lee is a very good writer, and I couldn’t put the books down.

10. How to Live Safely in a Science Fictional Universe, by Charles Yu

This book is pretty light on the actual sci-fi; it’s mostly about a guy resolving his psychological issues via time travel. But in fact, I like books about guys resolving their psychological issues via time travel — at least when they’re well-written, which this book definitely is.

11. Nothing, Except Everything, by Wesley Wang

This short film was made by a 19-year-old college kid, and it really blew me away. It’s a surrealistic portrait of a high schooler who comes to understand the idea of mortality:5

There’s apparently a bunch of controversy over whether it’s a good film, but the haters are wrong — it’s very good. Darren Aronofsky agrees, which is why when he saw the short film, he immediately called Wang up and gave him a deal to direct a feature film.

12. Plants vs. Zombies

OK, fine, video games aren’t exactly “art”. But who doesn’t love Plants vs. Zombies? I can’t even count the hours I sunk into that game.

Anyway, there’s a small selection of Asian American art that doesn’t fit the standard definition (except possibly BEEF, which stretches the typical format and takes it in innovative directions). Of course this is just the tip of the iceberg — it’s a smattering of stuff I just happened to consume over the past few years. There are a lot of very brilliant Asian American creators out there, making art that looks nothing like DANG!.

And to the snarky people on X, I’d think twice about bashing the traditional “Asian American art” stuff as well. Yes, many of its tropes have become cliche by now. But its often modest success opened the door for a lot of Asian American creators to break into the worlds of art and entertainment. Increasingly, they have the creative freedom to write stories and make art about anything they want, and we’re just starting to see a few glimmers of what that could encompass.


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1

It’s also clearly trying to be pan-Asian; the main characters are ethnically Chinese but have a typically Vietnamese last name, and one of the characters has the typically Korean name of Eunice.

2

Amusingly, the author of that New Yorker article alleging that Hemingway’s character was antisemitic is named Akhil Sharma — presumably, not Jewish — while I, who think the character is sympathetic and worthwhile, am Jewish.

3

The Song of Ice and Fire books, which inspired the Game of Thrones series, first came out in the 1990s.

4

This happens because writing graphic novels takes a ton of time and pays very little money, so once a graphic novelist gets a hit, they are financially forced to keep it running for as long as possible. The same problem occurs in the manga industry in Japan. The way to solve this is for TV producers to start adapting graphic novels for TV series early in their runs.

5

This probably resonated with me in part because my mom died when I was 19.

China fact of the day

Chinese actors and online influencers have a new rival: cost-effective advanced AI video generation programmes that are threatening millions of jobs in a once-vibrant area of China’s gig economy.

The release of powerful new AI-powered video software, such as tech group ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 model, has allowed digital actors to replace humans, enabling the production of higher-quality original videos more quickly.

The digital takeover intensified after this year’s release of Seedance 2.0, said Greg Wollner, a short-drama actor and producer in Beijing. Before its release, he was shooting three different productions a week. “And after that, everything just went.”

Many of Wollner’s friends “had to quit doing what they love and change to something else”, he said. In May, 89 of the top 100 animated dramas on Douyin, ByteDance’s domestic Chinese version of TikTok, were AI productions according to DataEye, a marketing analytics company.

Here is more from Joe Leahy and Isaac Castella-McDonald in the FT.

The post China fact of the day appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

       

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Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


Central North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Central North Pacific 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


000
ACPN50 PHFO 312312
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM HST Mon Aug 31 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Central Pacific:
An area of showers and thunderstorms are located well south or
southwest of the Hawaiian Islands. Development of this system is
becoming less likely as it drifts slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly
NNNN


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


000
ABNT20 KNHC 312350
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Edouard, located over the northern Gulf of
America.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard are issued under WMO
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard are issued under WMO
header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Kelly


Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern North Pacific 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312312
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 31 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast
of southwestern Mexico are continuing to become better organized.
The environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later
tonight or by early tomorrow morning as the system moves
northwestward around 10 mph. For more information, including storm
warnings, please see High Seas forecast issued by National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central Pacific:
An area of showers and thunderstorms are located well south or
southwest of the Hawaiian Islands. Development of this system is
becoming less likely as it drifts slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly


Finalist 4

My thanks to Finalist for sponsoring last week at Daring Fireball. Finalist is a remarkable, ambitious, and novel app for iPhone, iPad, and the Mac from indie developer Slaven Radic. It’s a planner inspired by paper day planners. I wrote quite a bit about Finalist when it first sponsored DF back in December — you should read that post. I’ve been using Finalist ever since. It’s a really good app. I’ll just reiterate from the first post that what really resonates for me is the idea of adding tasks to days, not assigning dates to tasks. If you add some tasks and then never actually do them, they’re still there, but they’re in the past, not harassing you in an ever-growing list of undone stuff today.

Finalist 4, which just came out a few weeks ago, is the biggest update yet. The headline new feature is notes, in the app or as a folder of Markdown files that round-trips with Obsidian. Tasks in those files land on the right day, next to your reminders and events, even inside the Mac menu bar app. Finalist’s rebuilt Timeline lets you pencil tasks into your day, and Apple Pencil gets special powers to sketch the plan in seconds.

There’s tons more, brewed over four months with 1,000 beta testers. Try it free on the App Store — for iPhone, iPad, Mac, and now Apple Watch.

 ★ 

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