Live coverage: SpaceX to launch final 3 O3b mPOWER satellites for SES

Boeing technicians stack two of the three O3b mPOWER satellites for delivery to SES prior to launch. Image: Alex Aristei/Boeing

SpaceX is preparing to launch a trio of satellites for its oldest commercial customer, SES, on a Falcon 9 rocket flying Sunday afternoon from Florida.

The O3b mPOWER-F mission will send satellites number F11, F12, and F13 on a trek to medium Earth orbit. The Boeing-built satellites are the final three to be added to the O3b mPOWER constellation.

Liftoff from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station is scheduled during an 87-minute window that opens at 2:49 p.m. EDT (1849 UTC).

Spaceflight Now will have live coverage beginning about an hour prior to liftoff.

The 45th Weather Squadron forecast a 60 percent chance for favorable weather at the opening of Sunday’s launch window. Meteorologists stated in their outlook that conditions deteriorate to 40 percent favorability by the end of the window.

“Models this morning show that while steering flow remains light leading into the primary launch window Sunday afternoon, it will have a more defined offshore component,” launch weather officers wrote. “Hi-res models suggest this will be enough to slow the development of the east coast sea breeze until just before or near the start of the window.

“With the sea breeze over the Spaceport, the risk early in the window will be for showers and storms to quickly develop in the immediate vicinity. The threat transitions just inland later in the window as numerous collisions between ongoing activity likely drift back towards the Spaceport along with any lingering storms.”

SpaceX will launch the mPOWER-F mission using the Falcon 9 first stage booster with the tail number B1080. This will be its 29th flight after launching four missions to the International Space Station, the European Space Agency’s Euclid observatory, SES’ Astra 1P, and 22 batches of Starlink satellites.

This will be the 400th orbital launch to take flight from SLC-40, of which SpaceX was responsible for launching 345. The pad was outfitted with a crew and cargo access tower in 2023, allowing it to begin flying Dragon missions starting in March 2024 — fittingly, by using B1080 to launch the CRS-30 mission.

More than 8.5 minutes after liftoff, B1080 will target a landing on the droneship, A Shortfall of Gravitas, stationed in the Atlantic Ocean.

If successful, this will be the 166th landing on this particular vessel and the 661st Falcon booster landing to date.

O3b mPOWER finale

The planned mission on Sunday afternoon will bring the O3b mPOWER satellite constellation up to 13 spacecraft in medium Earth orbit. They each have a dry mass of 1,900 kg, according to SES.

The first two satellites were launched on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket back on Dec. 16, 2022, with subsequent launches in pairs in April 2023, November 2023, December 2024, and July 2025.

Prior to the launches of the fifth and sixth satellites, an electrical issue was discovered that was found to impact both the broadband capacity and the estimated operational life of those satellites.

Boeing technicians stack two of the three O3b mPOWER satellites for delivery to SES prior to launch. Image: Alex Aristei/Boeing

To compensate for this, changes were made to satellites 7-11 and two additional spacecraft were added to the constellation. Satellite manufacturer, Boeing, announced the delivery of the final trio of satellites to SES in early September 2026.

“The delivery of these final three satellites allows us to ramp up our constellation’s capabilities to meet growing commercial and government demand,” said Xavier Bertran, chief product and innovation officer of SES, in a statement. “The performance we are seeing from the 10 satellites already on orbit validates this architecture. The completion of the O3b mPOWER system reinforces our proven leadership in MEO while advancing our innovation roadmap.”

These newest satellites are scheduled to be released from the Falcon 9 rocket’s second stage beginning nearly 34 minutes after liftoff. Their deployment is staggered by seven minutes.

Boeing said that these satellites are expected to enter service by the middle of 2027 after completing their orbit-raising maneuvers and necessary checkouts and commissioning.

“The fully operational O3b mPOWER constellation proves the effectiveness of our software-defined payload technologies, shown by our ability to secure the most demanding missions of our commercial, joint-force and allied military customers,” said Ryan Reid, president of Boeing Satellite Systems International.

The final three O3b mPOWER satellites are shown stacked in a cleanroom prior to launch. Image: SES

T-Mobile Is Charging $5/Month for iPhone Handoff

T-Mobile, in their iPhone 18 Pro / iPhone Duo press release:

Plus, T‑Mobile is one of the first to support Apple’s new iPhone Handoff feature, where customers with two compatible iPhone models can use their T‑Mobile number across both devices and choose which phone is active at any given time. The secondary iPhone works seamlessly, including essential T‑Mobile services like calls, texts, data, mobile hotspot, Scam Shield and T-Satellite on eligible plans, allowing customers to get the most from two devices without clunky handoffs or the hassle of managing another number. iPhone Handoff is available on any iPhone with iOS 27 via iPhone settings and ready to use from day one on the new iPhone 18 Pro lineup and iPhone Duo. T‑Mobile is introducing the feature at $5/month.

This seems like a ridiculous thing to charge for. It’s not adding a separate device to your plan, like adding a cellular iPad or even an Apple Watch. It’s just switching your active eSIM between two iPhones. You can do this for free, now, on any carrier via Settings → Cellular — but it takes a bunch of taps, confirmation on both iPhones, and a few minutes for the carrier to register the eSIM transfer. iPhone Handoff just eliminates all the annoying friction and waiting.

But, it’s utterly unsurprising that a carrier will charge a ridiculous monthly fee. I’ll be very surprised (pleasantly) if Verizon doesn’t do the same. Verizon charges for everything.

Still curious to me why AT&T isn’t yet announced as supporting iPhone Handoff at all. I have no idea why anyone remains on that turd of a network unless they live or work in a location where only AT&T provides a good signal, but even then, if it were me, I’d use AT&T by way of US Mobile. AT&T is the worst company I’ve ever dealt with, and I live in Kabletown.

 ★ 

Gary Marcus on This Week in AI Drama

I have been busy with new-iPhone-week stuff, so I haven’t been able to follow either of these stories closely, but Marcus summarizes them both well. First: the drama regarding OpenAI claiming a solution to the Navier-Stokes math problem. In short, OpenAI continues to prove itself to be a company full of cheaters. In this case, they seemingly were willing to tank the company’s reputation to win a math contest. Apparently they spent $23 million in compute to win a contest with a $1 million prize, and admit they used a model that might have trained on the work mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge had been working on for months, who had been using a combination of tools from OpenAI and Anthropic (where Alpöge is employed). With no hyperbole, the message here seems to be “Don’t use Codex or ChatGPT unless you’re OK with OpenAI stealing your work if it’s of interest to them.”

As for Anthropic, the news of the week is this guy Jacob Coxon, who quit the company in a public huff (on X, where most of this public drama is taking place), because he thinks they’re increasingly reckless despite everyone inside Anthropic believing that there’s a good chance LLMs will destroy humanity (or at least civilization?) in the next few years. Here’s Evan Hubinger, still at Anthropic, not dismissing Coxon as an alarmist but agreeing with him:

Jacob is correct here — we really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade. I believe Anthropic is trying its best, but we do not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to.

This is crazy talk. Put aside whatever the actual risks are. If you truly believe there’s a greater than 10 percent chance that “AI could kill all humans ... within the next decade”, this is not how a reasonable person in their right mind would talk about it. Coxon thinks he’s blowing the whistle that Anthropic is a threat to the world. What he’s actually done is confirm that Anthropic is a cult, and its employees can’t really be talked to rationally, because they’re cultists. Sometimes members leave cults and they reveal to the world details about what’s going on inside the cult. But a lot of the time you can tell those whistleblowers still aren’t hooked up right, because they’re still people who joined and spent years inside a cult. They leave the cult not because they suddenly snap back to sanity but for other reasons.

 ★ 

Unread 5.0

John Brayton:

Unread 5.0 is available now from the App Store. This update adds these improvements and more:

  • Improvements around hero images, article list thumbnails, and widget thumbnails
  • Syncing with FreshRSS and Miniflux
  • The ability to quickly mark old articles read

I’m a NetNewsWire man personally, but I’ve long admired Unread as a different, very good take on a feed reader. Just a gorgeous app. One of the very best things about RSS is that feed readers take such different shapes and approaches.

 ★ 

Post Peek — Litterbox-Inspired Tweet Viewing Extension for Chrome

Tim VanBenschoten:

Post Peek is an independent, open-source project inspired by Litterbox, the Safari extension by Zhenyi Tan (And a Dinosaur).

 ★ 

Where Are the AI-Generated Killer Apps?

Paul Ford, writing for The New York Times (gift link):

For a while, I must admit, it looked as if software developer roles like mine were done for. How could we fight against tireless robots? But our industry is slowly realizing that making truly cutting-edge software still requires humans to think and work together, to maximize their skill sets and to practice their respective crafts. A.I. can write very good software, but it also makes it easy to do someone else’s job badly, which is part of why all those projects fail. Now that everyone can code, it’s become clearer why many shouldn’t.

Ford, linking to his own column on Bluesky:

I just want one killer app before we get a killer robot.

 ★ 

Yours Truly on Off Protocol With Jim Ray

My old friend Jim Ray now runs developer relations at Bluesky, and part of that gig is hosting a podcast, Off Protocol (“a show about building a better Internet”). I was delighted to appear as his latest guest. I generally don’t like talking about my career, but I did enjoy talking about it with Jim. He has that effect on people.

 ★ 

Experimenting on the psychology of LLMs

 As LLMs become increasingly important, we're starting to see experiments that explore their psychology.

(I expect that   Susan Calvin, who was Isaac Asimov's fictional robopsychologist from the1950 short story collection I Robot, will soon have scientists following in her footsteps.)

Note that experiments intended to explore A.I. psychology need not necessarily resemble those intended to explore human psychology.

Here's an example,  from the journal Artificial Intelligence and the Law:
Human realignment: An empirical study of LLMs as legal decision-aids in moral dilemmas  by Christoph Engel · Yoan Hermstrüwer · Alison Kim
 

Abstract: Recent advances in AI make it conceivable to delegate legal decision-making to machines, or to enhance human adjudication through AI assistance. Using classic normative conflicts — the trolley problem and comparable moral dilemmas — as a proof of concept, we examine the alignment between AI legal reasoning and human judgment. In our baseline experiment, we find a pronounced mismatch between decisions made by GPT and those of human subjects. This misalignment raises substantive concerns for AI-powered legal decision-aids. We investigate whether explicit normative guidance can address this misalignment, with mixed results. GPT-3.5 is susceptible to such intervention, but frequently refuses to decide when faced with a moral dilemma. GPT-4 is outright utilitarian, and essentially ignores the instruction to decide on deontological grounds. GPT-o3-mini faithfully implements this instruction, but is unwilling to balance deontological and utilitarian concerns if instructed to do so. We replicate the experiment with four LLMs from different providers. Claude-sonnet-4.6 comes closest to human respondents. Gemini-2.5-flash-lite is most sensitive to normative instructions. Llama-4-scout and Mistral-nemo have a strong utilitarian bias, and do not strongly respond to normative interventions. At least for the time being, explicit normative instructions are not fully able to realign AI advice with the normative convictions of the population, or the legislator deciding on its behalf.

The Hollywood ecosystem can support one maybe two bald men at a time

How many Hollywood actors are there?

I means ones with the combination of

  • talent
  • can carry a movie for the public
  • can be accepted by producers.

Certainly more than a dozen at any given time. But I’m sure fewer than a thousand, to put an upper bound on it.

So, to guess, a population around that Dunbar-scale of 150 or a small multiple thereof.

Of those, I feel like the Hollywood ecosystem can support just one, perhaps two concurrent bald male actors.

(This statement from observation. But think about it: when a producer goes “we need a bald look for this” you can’t have too many people in the mental Rolodex.)

Regarding these apex predators: I mean specifically cue-ball bald, not male pattern baldness (which I feel is its own category).

There was Yul Brynner back in the day.

Ben Kingsley, Bruce Willis, Vin Diesel.

Recently: Jason Statham and Patrick Stewart. Dwayne Johnson most recently in the mix. Though they are all aging.

BUT:

I can tell there is currently an open niche because both the Dune 2 bald guy and the Superman bald guy appear to be gunning for it - and neither are actually bald.

The finch evolves its beak to crack those uneaten seeds.

Anyway.

How a Healthy Society Falls Apart

My parents spent most of their lives waiting for another economic collapse like the Great Depression. They had survived the last one—but just barely. And the privations of their childhood left them fearful.

One of the recurring topics of dinner time conversation was whether the next collapse would be inflationary or deflationary. I felt like I was watching the debate about fire and ice in a Robert Frost poem—both would suffice, but you still wanted to know which would kill you.

(I refrained from pointing out that we could have both simultaneously. This ghastly scenario happens when the value of your home, 401K, and other assets fall, while prices of what you need to buy every week—gas, food, etc.—keep spiraling up. In fact, we had a taste of that in 2008, and may get a second helping some day soon.)

So Mom and Dad kept buying books with ominous titles like How to Prepare for the Coming Crash or The Economic Time Bomb. But my parents weren’t alone. Their whole generation had come of age during tough times and World War. Optimism was not in their DNA. They didn’t see themselves as winners—just survivors.

As a carefree teen, I didn’t pay much attention to these worries. But guess what? I now read books on collapsing societies—proving that, sooner or later, you turn into your own parents.


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But the books I read aren’t populist scaremongering. I stick to real history and actual case studies. I find wisdom in Tacitus, Cicero, and Suetonius—and others who lived through the collapse of the Roman Republic. I study Huizinga’s observations of the waning of the Middle Ages. I know my Gibbon and Spengler and Carlyle.

My most recent find is Stefan Zweig’s account of how Vienna went from nineteenth century elegance, prosperity and cultural flourishing to warmongering and hyperinflation. His book The World of Yesterday may be the single best memoir from a survivor of societal collapse from the 20th century—and deserves to be far better known.

I call Zweig a survivor, but that’s not entirely true. He somehow managed to stay alive during World War I (not an easy task for a young man in Central Europe), and the subsequent economic crisis. But World War II forced him into exile, and he committed suicide in Brazil in 1942.

He was a broken man by then—and he feared Hitler was too powerful to stop. So Zweig, one of the greatest writers and thinkers of his generation, ended it all with an overdose of pills.


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Just a few years earlier, Zweig had gained renown as the most widely translated contemporary author in Europe. In Germany, his books sold 20,000 copies on the first day—even before a single advertisement had appeared. But that now changed.

“Not a single one [of my books] is available in Germany today,” he lamented at the end of his life. “Those who still possess a copy keep it carefully hidden.” And the same was true in France, Italy and other countries under fascist control.

Zweig is best known today as the inspiration behind Wes Anderson’s film The Grand Budapest Hotel. “It’s basically plagiarism,” the director has admitted. But Zweig ought to be remembered more for his writings, especially this final work from his pen.

Stefan Zweig is now remembered as the inspiration for The Grand Budapest Hotel.

His fiction is also sadly under-appreciated. And it’s very readable—Zweig was a specialist in short novels with fast-paced plots. I highly recommend 24 Hours in the Life of a Woman, and Chess as starting points. Zweig also had a knack for mini-biographies (see, for example, his stellar book on Montaigne).

The day before he died, he mailed his manuscript of The World of Yesterday to a publisher. It was released posthumously, and is now recognized as a defining document in how things go bad. Over the course of 500 pages, Zweig starts with the peace, prosperity, and cultural flourishing of the final years of the Habsburg Empire, and then shows, step by step, how a healthy, vital society self-destructed.

The entire book is well worth reading. I will only discuss a small part of it here—covering the hyperinflation following World War I. But this book is so rich in observations and telling details, I could easily devote several articles to it without coming close to exhausting its riches.

Zweig lived through the currency collapse twice—first in Austria (where he lived across the road from an odd young man named Adolf Hitler), when the crown devalued rapidly. Then he moved to Germany, where hyperinflation was even worse.

“A shoelace cost more than before a shoe—no, more than a luxury store with two thousand pairs of shoes.”

The stories he tells are so fanciful, you might think he was writing a fable in the style of Jorge Luis Borges. Consider his story of beer-swilling tourists.

The story starts when the Austrian currency collapses in value. Germans quickly learn how to take advantage of this, by crossing the border to buy up cheap merchandise—but with unforeseen consequences:

Finally, at the instigation of the German government, a border guard was appointed to prevent all consumer goods from being bought in the cheaper Salzburg instead of in the home stores….But one article remained free, which could not be confiscated: the beer that one had in the body.

And the beer-drinking Bavarians calculated from day to day on the exchange rate slip whether, as a result of the devaluation of the crown, they could drink five or six or ten liters of beer in Salzburg for the same price they had to pay at home for a single liter.

A more splendid lure could not be imagined, and so crowds of women and children moved over from neighboring Freilassing and Reichenhall to afford the luxury of swilling as much beer as their stomachs could hold. Every evening the station was a veritable pandemonium of drunken, bawling, spitting hordes of people; some who overloaded themselves had to be carried to the carriages on the trolleys usually used to transport suitcases….

Of course the happy Bavarians had no idea that they were in for a terrible revenge. For when the crown stabilized and the mark, on the other hand, plummeted in astronomical proportions, the Austrians crossed over from the same station to get cheaply drunk in their turn, and the same spectacle began a second time, but in the opposite direction.

This imbalance between currencies created other surreal scenes.

Incredible as the fact may seem, I can corroborate it as a witness that the famous luxury Hotel de l’Europe in Salzburg was for a long time rented out entirely to English unemployed people who, thanks to the abundant English unemployment benefits, lived here more cheaply than in their slums at home.

The World of Yesterday

But Zweig’s experience of German hyperinflation was even more extreme than what he had witnessed in Austria—enacting a kind of absurdist economics.

  • “I have experienced days when I had to pay fifty thousand marks for a newspaper in the morning, and a hundred thousand in the evening.”

  • “Those who had to change foreign money spread the charge over hours, because at four o’clock they got several times what they had gotten at three, and at five o’clock again several times what they would have gotten sixty minutes before.”

  • “I sent my publisher a manuscript I had been working on for a year and thought I had secured myself by demanding immediate advance payment for ten thousand copies; by the time the check was remitted, it barely covered what it had cost to frank the package a week ago”

  • “One found hundred thousand mark notes in the gutter; a beggar had thrown them away contemptuously”

  • “A shoelace cost more than before a shoe, no, more than a luxury store with two thousand pairs of shoes.”

  • “For a hundred dollars you could buy rows of six story houses on Kurfürstendamm [the Champs-Élysées of Berlin].”

But the worst results were hidden from view. In these calamitous times, the ruthless and the rule-breakers got richer, while the honest and trusting found themselves impoverished.

Stefan Zweig

He tells the tale of Hugo Stinnes, who took advantage of the collapse to buy up factories, mines, ships, castles, etc.—all with cash that would quickly lose its value to the seller. “Soon a quarter of Germany was in his hands, and perversely the people, who in Germany are always intoxicated by visible success, cheered him like a genius.”

Later Stinnes bought up newspapers—in order to control public opinion. After his death, this media empire helped consolidate power and influence for Hitler. Stinnes didn’t live long enough to see that happen. He died in 1924, the proud owner of 4,500 companies and 3,000 factories.

A counter covered with currency during Germany’s period of hyper-inflation.

Zweig wants to make clear, in this final book before he took his life, that this currency collapse was the main reason why the German public embraced Nazi ideology.

Nothing has made the German people—this must be recalled again and again—so bitter, so hateful, so ripe for Hitler as inflation. For [World War I], as murderous as it had been, had at least given hours of jubilation with bells ringing and victory fanfares. And as an incurably military nation, Germany felt its pride increased by temporary victories, while inflation made it feel only soiled, cheated and humiliated.

Instead of blaming the leaders who had started World War I, the Germans focused their anger on the politicians who subsequently brought them democracy and peace. Against all logic, they demand a return of the brutal butchers who solved every problem with escalating violence.


One of the reasons why many historical cycles seem to recur every hundred years, more or less, is that the people who learned the lessons of this mostly forgotten past are dead and gone. We can’t hear their warnings, or benefit from their experience. So we are doomed to repeat their mistakes.

That’s why I’m always fascinated by things that happened almost exactly a century ago. They typically represent a comparable point in the cycle as the one we are currently living through. Yet those earlier events exist just beyond the horizon of our living memory—and thus tell us painful truths that we can only learn from history books.

If we hope to avoid the worst excesses of the cycle, we must pay close attention to case studies from these bygone eras. Stefan Zweig’s The World of Yesterday is one of the most valuable of these documents. I’ve only provided the briefest sketch of its wisdom in the passages above. You would do well to read it in its entirety.

September 11, 2026

Last night was the second night of the Republican midterm convention Trump staged to fire up his base. Such a midterm convention is rare—the purpose of national conventions is to pick a president and write a platform—but Trump has turned the Republican Party into a vehicle for his own power and apparently thinks putting himself at the center of the midterms can overcome the headwinds the Republicans are battling.

Or perhaps, with his approval ratings hitting a new low, he just wanted to stand in front of cheering crowds again.

The audience at the American Airlines Center in Dallas was sparse, and according to Kara Voght of the Wall Street Journal, many who were there had received their tickets for free from state parties or right-wing groups like Moms for Liberty. But, she wrote, “everyone wanted to watch another episode of the Trump show.”

Although the crowd was small enough that it did not fill the arena, Trump got the absolute loyalty he demanded from those who had turned out. At the event, he led the crowd in an oath. “Please raise your right hand,” he shouted. “I pledge to the greatest president in the history of the United States. That loves us so much he can’t even breathe.” The crowd chanted dutifully after him.

“That I will go out with my family, my friends, I’ll do it any way—I don’t care if I’m registered or not, I’m going to try and cheat like hell like they do, they’d never, there’s never been bigger cheaters, they don’t care. I am gonna go out and I’m gonna get my friends, my family, and we are going to vote on November third or we are going to vote before that!” The crowd erupted in applause.

Once again, he promised that if the Republicans held control of the House and Senate after the midterms, he would distribute a $5,000 check to all adult U.S. citizens, a plan that would cost more than a trillion dollars even if it were legal for him to do so (which it is not).

But while the Trump show in Dallas was being broadcast to the president’s fans, reality was very much on the minds of those watching events in the Middle East.

There are two main shipping routes for oil and other products out of the region, and both have strategic chokepoints. The Strait of Hormuz sits on the eastern side of the Arabian Peninsula where the Persian Gulf empties into the Arabian Sea. The Bab el-Mandeb strait sits on the western side of the Arabian Peninsula. It pinches the outlet of the Red Sea on its way to the Arabian Sea and from there to the Indian Ocean and world markets.

When Trump struck Iran in February 2026, Iranian forces took control of the Strait of Hormuz, largely stopping traffic of oil through the outlet. And so Saudi Arabia, which is the world’s largest oil exporter and a close ally of the United States, relied on sending exports via the Red Sea route, passing through the Bab el-Mandeb strait.

It did so by moving oil across the Arabian Peninsula from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea through the East-West oil pipeline, which runs about 750 miles (1,200 kilometers) across Saudi Arabia. It can move about 7 million barrels of crude oil per day and has been sending about 5 million a day since the outbreak of the war on Iran. From there, oil can be loaded onto tankers and shipped down the Red Sea, through the Bab el-Mandeb, and on to global markets.

Yesterday Iran-backed Houthi militants swept along the shoreline of the Red Sea toward the Bab el-Mandeb. They captured the seaport and city of Mocha, which is about 50 miles (80 kilometers) from the strait, from Saudi-backed Yemeni forces.

Today Yemeni government officials told Mohammed Ghobari, Eman Abouhassira, and Yasmine Ghania of Reuters that the Houthis have taken the coastal town of Dhubab, which sits on the Yemen mainland at the point of the strait. The sources said Yemeni forces had also evacuated the island of Perim, which sits about a third of the way between the mainland and the Djibouti shore to the west. Later this afternoon, sources said the Houthis had captured the island.

Although the Houthis do not control the Djiboutian side of the strait, they now threaten shipping through the passage. Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline has also come under attack. Spencer Kimball of CNBC reports that the Saudi Energy Ministry announced the pipeline had been shut down as a precautionary measure after it had sustained a number of attacks. Kylie Atwood, Katie Bo Lillis, Thomas Bordeaux, and Zachary Cohen of CNN added that the attacks apparently originated in Iraq, that U.S. officials had told them that pumping stations had been hit, and satellite imagery showed smoke coming from one of them and fire damage at another.

The price of oil briefly jumped to about $110 a barrel on Friday. Diesel prices moved to $6.06 a gallon, up 60% since the U.S. and Israel first attacked Iran in February.

Trump and his advisors have said they plan to strangle Iran economically through their blockade of Iranian ports. Now it appears Iran is retaliating with a plan to strangle the U.S. economy by slowing the transport of oil even further.

Today is the twenty-fifth anniversary of 9/11, the day terrorists from the al-Qaeda network used four civilian airplanes as weapons against the United States.

President Donald Trump did not attend the commemoration at Ground Zero, now the National September 11 Memorial, in downtown Manhattan because, according to New York Times reporters Maggie Haberman, Zolan Kanno-Youngs, Dana Rubinstein, and Sally Goldenberg, he wanted to deliver a speech but the event organizers don’t allow speeches, focusing on nonpartisanship and honoring the victims. Trump responded to the story with a personal attack on Haberman, calling her “Maggot.”

Instead, Trump went to the Pentagon, where he delivered a speech tying his war on Iran to the attacks of 9/11, saying: “We salute every member of the United States military who served in the ‘war on terror’. And we salute the service members working right now to ensure the world’s number one sponsor of terror, the Islamic Republic of Iran, will never ever have a nuclear weapon.” Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth added: “We’re still sending terrorists where they belong—to hell. And tankers to the bottom of the ocean where they belong, and we are ensuring that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon. The economic pressure tightens every day.”

All four living ex-presidents and first ladies—Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton, George W. Bush and Laura Bush, Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, Joe Biden and Jill Biden—attended the Ground Zero commemoration in Manhattan. There the victims’ names were read, and the ceremony for the first time included a moment of silence for those who died of illnesses related to conditions in the aftermath of the buildings’ collapse.

Fifteen years ago, a wonderful student introduced me to the issue of The Amazing Spider-Man, volume 2, number 36, published on November 14, 2001. Famously, the cover of the issue is entirely black. Written by J. Michael Straczynski, the story takes on the impossible question: How, in a city that hundreds of superheroes call home, were those superheroes powerless to stop the 9/11 attacks?

“The sane world will always be vulnerable to madmen,” Spider-Man answers when a devastated couple fleeing from the devastation challenges him, “because we cannot go where they go to conceive of such things. We could not see it coming. We could not be here before it happened. We could not stop it. But we are here now. You cannot see us for the dust, but we are here. You cannot hear us for the cries, but we are here.”

But the superheroes Spider-Man identified in the chaos did not wear capes. They wore hats that said “FDNY” and “FEMA” and “POLICE.” The “true heroes,” Spider-Man said, were those ordinary people who ran back into the buildings to rescue others waiting in the dark, who joined together to storm the cockpit of a hijacked airplane and bring it down to the ground before it could hit the Capitol or White House, and who helped each other to safety or to face the terror.

They were ordinary men and women “made extraordinary by acts of compassion, and courage, and terrible sacrifice,” and who rejected “the self-serving proclamations of holy warriors of every stripe.”

Notes:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/republicans-gather-in-dallas-for-two-day-midterm-convention-billed-as-trump-a-palooza

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-midterm-convention-election-74ec132c

https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/international-issues/saudi-arabia-considers-expanding-its-east-west-pipeline/

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/yemens-houthis-reach-strategic-island-mouth-vital-shipping-lane-2026-09-11/

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/saudi-arabia-shut-down-east-west-crude-oil-pipeline.html

https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/11/politics/saudi-arabian-oil-pipeline-hit-by-projectiles-triggering-fires

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/09/11/politics/saudi-arabian-oil-pipeline-hit-by-projectiles-triggering-fires

https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260911-iran-backed-houthis-seize-near-control-of-vital-bab-el-mandeb-shipping-lane

https://www.today.com/news/news/former-presidents-attend-911-memorial-ceremony-nyc-rcna597216

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/27/us/politics/trump-911-pentagon-ground-zero.html

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/sep/11/trump-hegseth-911-memorial

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/9-11-attacks-memorial-ceremony-nyc-trump-mamdani-live-updates-rcna597049

https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-asleep-pentagon-service-b3048741.html

https://marvel.fandom.com/wiki/Amazing_Spider-Man_Vol_2_36

https://imgur.com/gallery/amazing-spiderman-36-477-this-always-makes-me-cry-83xZp

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/11/business/diesel-fuel-prices-oil-iran-war.html

Trump’s Truth:

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Before we return to local politics ...

Look at the above photograph.

Look at it twice.

Have your friends look at it.

Have your relatives look at it.

If you know any MAGA folk, have them look at it.

That’s Donald Trump, in Washington on Sept. 11, sleeping—literally sleeping—as names of the 9.11 victims were read off at the Pentagon. He was there for a ceremony honoring the 184 military personnel and civilians murdered when American Airlines Flight 77 hit the building.

If you’re thinking, “Well, that’s just a quick snapshot as he blinked …”

And I just wanna say, sincerely, WHAT THE FUCK ARE WE DOING HERE?

Seriously—what the fuck are we doing here?

Why are we, as a nation, continuing to cover for this soulless, sleep-deprived rapist ghoul? When do Republicans stand up and say, “Enough”? When do they say, “hmm … maybe Sleepy Joe wasn’t nearly as bad as this?”

It’s just the height of insanity, that 30 percent of the nation still thinks this dude is OK.

More to the point, the same guy who lied (yet again) about being a 9.11 hero couldn’t even muster the decency and respect to stay awake and honor the deceased. It’s beyond outrageous.

It’s un-American.

September 12, 2026

On Thursday, in The New Republic, conservative judge J. Michael Luttig published a dire warning to the Republican Party…and to all Americans. In the piece, Luttig outlined how Republicans could refuse to seat elected Democrats in January after a Democratic victory in the 2026 midterm elections of November. “The coming crisis,” the piece says, would be “The Final Battle for America’s Democracy.”

Luttig spelled out that Trump is fighting a war against America’s democracy. While the refusal of Vice President Mike Pence to assist his power grab made it fail in January 2021, Luttig notes, today Trump and his Republican congressional allies are more determined than ever to take over the country.

Luttig focuses on the ability of House speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) to prevent the recognition of duly-elected Democratic representatives on January 3. Johnson has the power, Luttig says, to remove the current House clerk, Kevin McCumber, and replace him temporarily with a MAGA loyalist who will refuse to list Democrats on the roll of those elected to the 120th Congress.

In this scenario, once Democrats are eliminated, they will have to get a federal court to order the temporary clerk to list their names. If a court does so, another crisis point will arrive if the clerk simply refuses to obey the order. Then it’s possible the courts will stay out of the fight until the 120th Congress formally convenes and the Republicans vote not to seat the Democrats. That vote would be reviewable by the courts, including the Supreme Court.

But that review would take weeks, if not months, paralyzing the United States and leaving the country “helplessly vulnerable to all the world’s evil, as it would have been in January 2021 had Mike Pence not thwarted Donald Trump’s plan to overturn the 2020 presidential election.” And at that point, how would the current Supreme Court answer the question: “Is the United States of America a democracy, in which ‘We the People’ elect our representatives to the Congress and to the presidency, or is it not?”

As if to illustrate Luttig’s warning, House speaker Johnson told attendees at Trump’s convention in Dallas on Thursday: “We cannot and will not allow them to take the majority in the Congress. We’re not gonna do it.”

Trump’s attempt to use the United States Postal Service to screen mail-in voting has recently had a test run. Yesterday, Jim Saksa of Democracy Docket picked up a story from Jeff Berlew of the Tallahassee Democrat to report that the USPS rejected mailed ballots from Leon County, in Florida, because the words “return service requested” were only 0.236 inches from the election office’s return address. They were supposed to be a full quarter-inch apart. So, the delivery of those mail in ballots came down to a federal complaint about a spacing issue of 0.014 of an inch.

“It’s ridiculous,” Supervisor of Elections Mark Earley told Berlew. But, as Saksa notes, the rejection of ballots for such a petty flaw shows what will likely happen if the Supreme Court lifts the injunction blocking the postal service from implementing the new rules it has put in place since Trump ordered such interference in a March executive order.

On Thursday, September 10, Nick Corasaniti of the New York Times reported that the Department of Justice (DOJ) under Trump has sent threatening letters to at least thirty top election officials in the states, warning that those officials “are currently under investigation” and are subject to “ongoing litigation,” and so must not destroy any records relating to the 2024 election. As Corasaniti notes, the administration has sued 30 states for their voter lists and has lost 23 of the cases and won none. Trump has claimed to be the victim of voter fraud since the 2016 primaries but has never produced any proof of his claims.

In July, Harmeet Dhillon, who heads the civil rights division in the DOJ, threatened state election officials with criminal prosecution if any noncitizens cast a ballot in their state (although it is already illegal for noncitizens to vote), and Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin threatened election officials with criminal prosecution if they did not put Trump’s election changes into effect.

Election officials already follow the laws about retaining documents, so the letters seem to be about threatening them. Nevada secretary of state Francisco Aguilar, a Democrat, told Corasaniti: “It’s the constant ‘flood the zone’ of harassment and intimidation and threats of legal action hoping we’d fold at some point.” But, he added, “We’re going to continue to follow the law and do what’s in the best interest of our voters.”

And what of the MAGA Republicans Trump would like to see in Congress?

Liz Goodwin of the Washington Post reported yesterday that 25-year-old Stephen Woytek, a top campaign staffer for Senator Jon Husted (R-OH), has recently cultivated a public playlist of songs celebrating the former country of Rhodesia, in which a white minority ruled over a Black majority, captioning it “homesick for a place that no longer exists.” Rhodesia is a rallying cry for white supremacists who deplore the change that created Zimbabwe. Woytek also appears to be a historical reenactor who appears to have both worn Nazi uniforms and used a photo of Nazi soldiers as his Facebook profile picture.

Ohio governor Mike DeWine appointed Husted to the Senate to replace J.D. Vance after Vance was elected to the vice presidency, and Husted is now locked in a battle for that seat with former senator Sherrod Brown, a Democrat known for his defense of labor. A statement for Husted said that while Woytek “denies negative intent,” the campaign was parting ways with him.

As Goodwin notes, growing numbers of younger Republicans have been expressing support for white nationalism and the Nazis.

Indeed, in his warning, Luttig did not single out Democrats to protect democracy; as he noted in a piece on his Substack in August, plenty of people are already fighting. He called out Republicans.

“There was a time not long ago when virtually every member of Congress could be expected to commit to the peaceful transfer of congressional power in advance of an election,” Luttig wrote. But now, “[i]n a damning indictment of the president and today’s congressional Republicans, it would be hard to find even one congressional Republican with the integrity, sense of duty to country, honor, and courage to put America above the Republican Party, let alone above Donald Trump.”

He urged Republicans “to decide that they are not going to betray their oaths and their country one last time for Donald Trump,” and to make it clear to Trump and Johnson that they will not participate in any unconstitutional plan to deny Democrats seats in the new Congress.

He warned them that should Republicans go along with such machinations and the Supreme Court overrule them, the Republican Party “would finally meet the fate to which it has been destined since January 6, 2021, and cement its place in history as the most corrupt political party ever to emerge in the United States of America for its second attempt in six years to defy the will of the American people on Election Day.”

“The writing is already on the wall, Republicans,” the conservative jurist wrote. “The Republican Party in particular must finally loose the chains of its political and moral enslavement to Donald Trump and separate itself from the MAGA political party cult.”

Today, in Ireland, where he traveled for the Irish Open at his golf club in Doonbeg, Trump told reporters: “We had a rigged election. As you know, it was totally rigged. Because I won three times. I didn’t win twice. I won three times.”

Notes:

https://newrepublic.com/article/215198/2027-new-congress-final-battle-american-democracy

https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/in-ominous-sign-usps-initially-rejected-florida-countys-mail-ballot-over-spacing-issue/

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/us/politics/department-of-justice-election-fraud-states.html?eafs_enabled=false

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/09/11/ohio-senate-campaign-staffer-used-nazi-soldiers-profile-photo/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/03/26/gop-feuntes-trump-antisemitism-nationalism/

Judge J. Michael Luttig
The Final Battle for America's Democracy
Over the past three weeks, in the lead-up to Labor Day and afterward the two-month run-up to the mid-term elections, my friends David French, Tim Snyder, Joyce Vance, Heather Cox Richardson, and others, have all issued powerful and eloquent warnings about the evident intentions of Donald Trump and the United States Government to interfere in what otherw…
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The Twenty-fifth Anniversary of 9/11

Our Eukaryotic Moment

About two billion years ago, life underwent a change in architecture. Until then, the planet was ruled by relatively simple prokaryotic cells: bacteria and archaea, tiny packets of chemistry bounded by membranes, carrying their genetic material directly in the same cellular space where much of the business of life took place.

Then something happened, or rather, several things happened in an order that remains uncertain. At some point, an ancestral archaeon cell entered into a permanent symbiosis with a bacterium capable of unusually powerful energy metabolism.

That bacterium eventually became the mitochondrion.

Somewhere in the same long evolutionary transition, genetic material became enclosed within a nucleus, separating the storage and regulation of hereditary information from much of the cell’s everyday chemistry. Internal membranes proliferated, cytoskeletons became more elaborate, and a new kind of cell emerged: the eukaryote.

We still do not know the exact sequence. Some theories place the acquisition of mitochondria near the beginning of the transition, with the energetic consequences of the partnership helping to make subsequent complexity possible. Others suggest that considerable cellular complexity, perhaps including primitive mechanisms for engulfing other cells, was already present before the mitochondrial symbiosis. The origin of the nucleus is even murkier; there are competing theories for how and why genomes first became enclosed inside their own compartment. The important point is that mitochondrial symbiosis and the appearance of the nucleus should not be collapsed into a single event. Eukaryogenesis was a reorganization involving multiple innovations whose relationships remain an active scientific question, not a sharp singular threshold-crossing.

What is clear is what the new architecture eventually made possible. Eukaryotic cells became larger, more internally differentiated and capable of forms of organization unavailable to their ancestors. Much later, and independently in several lineages, some evolved multicellularity. Cells themselves became components of larger entities, differentiating and cooperating in increasingly elaborate ways. From the eukaryotic architecture eventually came forests, mushrooms, octopuses, hummingbirds, whales and us.

Eukaryotes were more than just “better bacteria.” They represented a different organization of life, capable of sustaining far more complex structures..

We may be living through an analogous transition now. The emergence of AI, in the particular form that it has appeared (deep learning), is arguably the eukaryotic moment in human cultural evolution, understood in memetic terms, with humans playing the role of mitochondria, and AI the role of the nucleus.

A high-level schematic overview of the metaphoric mapping is in the diagram above, and we will spend the rest of this essay unpacking this metaphor carefully, working out its implications, and exploring the grammar of the possible futures it points to.

But first, a word on the motivation.

Premature Ontogenic Closure

The idea of humans as mitochondria in a scheme where AI occupies the central, nuclear position is obviously a startling, ego-decentering one. The spatial reorganization suggested by the metaphor is even recognizably like the Copernican shift from geocentrism to heliocentrism. In fact, this is one of the reasons to take it seriously.

For many, this is perhaps a profane thought to entertain, and one that is (it could be argued), unnecessary in some sense, unlike the Copernican shift, where a preponderance of evidence eventually made it inescapable. We might argue that even if sound, this mental model only points to a set of possible futures, not to necessary ones. I personally suspect some decentered future of this kind is in fact necessary as well, but I will not be making that stronger argument in this essay.

For this essay, it is sufficient to note that this is not obviously either a good or bad evolutionary prospect. The metaphor is meant as a pre-moral, pre-ethical framing device motivated by the hypothesis that a genuine Copernican shift in perspective is required before any meaningful analysis is possible.

We need Copernican frames because most arguments about artificial intelligence today race past foundational ontological questions to ethical ones posed in what are effectively Ptolemaic frames. We ask, within unwieldy anthropocentric frames (with vague and ill-posed adjectives like “super” or “general” serving as epicycles), whether AI will be good or bad, whether it will replace workers, accelerate science, undermine democracy, achieve superintelligence or destroy humanity, all before adequately exploring what actually existing AI even is, and what its actual evolutionary dispositions are.

I call this problem premature ontogenic closure.

Whatever the answers, they will almost certainly be easier to compute in a suitably Copernican frame based on the AI we have, rather than the one we thought we’d have. The eukaryotic metaphor is one such candidate frame.

We should take as a warning sign that the prevailing Ptolemaic picture of AI, undergirding fraught ethics discussions, is almost too familiar and legible: a very powerful computer, perhaps eventually a synthetic mind.

That picture is older than the technology it seeks to explain. It is descended from the pre-internet artificial intelligence of the mid-20th century, when computers were conceived primarily as discrete machines, programs as explicit instructions, and intelligence as something implemented inside the box. Its imaginative complements came from the science fiction of roughly the same period: robot minds, artificial persons, centralized supercomputers and cold machine civilizations. HAL 9000 and Skynet differ morally, but ontologically they belong to the same family — artificial brains in boxy vats.

Actually existing AI emerged under very different conditions than the ones imagined in much of the prefigured philosophy being brought to bear. The decisive enabling resource for large language models was not merely faster processors or cleverer algorithms. It was a planetary accumulation of human cultural activity: books, websites, discussion forums, code repositories, reference works, social media, documentation, journalism, fan fiction, arguments, jokes, tutorials and innumerable other traces of human thought deposited on networked computers. The Internet was not merely infrastructure over which AI happened to be delivered. It was part of AI’s developmental environment and remains part of its production environment once deployed.

Artificial intelligence has therefore not arrived as an alien intelligence from outside human ecology. It has been gestated inside that ecology, and is deeply entangled with, and dependent on it. Human sociality created its training material, human institutions created its objectives, and human networks provide its deployment environment. Like humans, AI is a kind of crooked timber, like the humans whose cultural memories it embodies.

Increasingly, humans and AIs inhabit the same digital spaces, modifying one another’s behavior in loops that make the distinction between “the technology” and “the society affected by the technology” difficult to sustain. Blaise Agüera y Arcas has made a related argument from a broader evolutionary perspective, treating computation, technology and human organization as entangled rather than opposing domains.

Perhaps, then, the useful analogy is not a new alien species, arriving from a distant, alien ecology to compete with ours. Perhaps it is eukaryogenesis. Perhaps AI represents the beginnings of a new organization of cultural life in which humans and machines are entering into an endosymbiotic relationship, and perhaps the unit being transformed is not intelligence at all, but the meme.

The Future of Memes

Richard Dawkins coined the term “meme” in 1976 as a cultural analogue of the gene: an idea, tune, practice, style or other unit of cultural information capable of spreading from mind to mind. The concept has been stretched nearly beyond recognition since then, but its original evolutionary intuition remains useful. Cultural forms replicate, mutate and undergo selection. If we take that intuition seriously and follow it forward into the age of foundation models, an unexpectedly detailed analogy begins to emerge.

The key is not to imagine one giant one-to-one correspondence between “the cell” and “the AI system.” The more useful picture operates at several nested levels. One level concerns heredity: how cultural information is replicated, stabilized and compressed. A second concerns expression: how inherited information becomes action through inference and tools. A third concerns the composite organism that emerges when humans, models and digital environments become tightly coupled.

At the inheritance level, the history of cultural evolution begins to look surprisingly biological:

The striking point here is that the Internet itself is not yet the genome. It is closer to the environment in which cultural replicators circulate. Search engines index that environment and social media accelerates selection within it, but foundation-model training performs a different operation: it compresses the statistical structure of the meme pool into a reusable generative inheritance. That is the step that makes the genomic analogy possible.

The second level concerns what happens after the genome exists. In biology, hereditary information becomes useful only because cells possess elaborate regulatory and translational machinery. Something similar appears in the modern AI stack:

This second table is where the analogy becomes more than a decorative comparison. A bare language model is informationally rich but causally weak. Agent harnesses connect inference to external machinery, just as cellular expression systems connect genomic information to proteins capable of doing work. From this angle, conventional software does not become obsolete in the age of AI. It becomes the proteome.

The third level is the most speculative, because it concerns the composite entity rather than the information machinery alone:

This last cluster is where the metaphor should be handled most cautiously. The correspondence between weights and genome, or tools and proteins, is mainly architectural. The human-as-mitochondrion analogy is more conjectural because the thing humans appear to supply is not literal energy but, as we will see, something like liveness: stakes, desire, valuation, embodied reality-testing and motivation. Yet this is also the part of the metaphor that generates the richest speculative consequences, because it reframes AI not as a separate species confronting humanity from outside, but as one component of a potentially new symbiotic organization of cultural life.

Seen this way, the three tables describe a progression rather than a static taxonomy. Cultural evolution first acquires more reliable heredity, then a compressed generative genome, then an active nucleus and expression machinery, and finally the beginnings of a composite cell. The rest of the essay will unpack these layers in roughly that order, while repeatedly testing where the analogy illuminates and where it begins to break.

Epochs of Memetic Machinery

For most of human history, cultural evolution had something of the disorderly quality of an early microbial ecology. Stories moved orally and changed in the telling. Manuscripts were copied by hand, accumulating transcription errors and editorial interventions. Songs mutated. Images traveled through engravings, paintings and imitation. Recipes, rituals and craft knowledge lived partly in bodies and partly in memory. Cultural information reproduced through many competing channels, none especially good at guaranteeing fidelity over long periods. The result was a kind of primordial memetic soup.

Then came print. Elizabeth Eisenstein, in The Printing Press as an Agent of Change, argued that Gutenberg’s revolution mattered for reasons subtler than simply producing more books. Print introduced what she called “typographical fixity”: the ability to produce many substantially identical copies of a text, distribute them widely, compare them and preserve them over time. It encouraged standardization, indexing, cross-reference and cumulative correction. Eisenstein’s strongest claims have been debated by later historians, who have emphasized that early printed texts could themselves be unstable and unreliable. But her central insight remains enormously suggestive: reproducibility and relative textual stability transformed the conditions under which knowledge accumulated.

In evolutionary terms, printing introduced an extraordinarily successful replicator design. Cultural information had always reproduced, but print made one mode of reproduction dramatically more faithful, durable and scalable. A page could remain effectively the same while traveling across a continent or surviving across generations. For certain classes of memes — scientific claims, religious doctrines, laws, technical diagrams, canonical literature — that stability changed the evolutionary landscape. The Gutenberg revolution therefore looks, from our present vantage point, like an early transition in memetic heredity.

The Internet changed the ecology again. Digitization preserved much of the fixity of print while also partially undoing it. A digital text could be copied perfectly, but it could also be modified, remixed, quoted, linked, forked and recombined almost without cost. Billions of people could inject mutations into the meme pool continuously. Cultural evolution became vastly faster and more densely connected. Yet the Internet was still mostly a pool. Search engines indexed it, databases stored it and recommendation systems routed attention through it. None of these systems turned its accumulated structure into anything resembling a genome.

Large-scale machine learning did. A foundation model does not merely maintain copies of the texts from which it learned. Training transforms statistical regularities across enormous corpora into billions or trillions of numerical parameters. The result is not a library in the familiar sense. It is a compressed generative structure from which fragments of cultural behavior can be reconstructed, recombined and improvised. Dawkinsian memes can therefore be understood as something like the dispersed genetic material of a pre-eukaryotic cultural world, the Internet as the immense planetary meme pool in which they compete and recombine, and model weights as something new: a genome.

This is not a genome in the literal molecular sense. Biology itself warns against treating DNA as simply a digital program. Modern genomics increasingly emphasizes that the genome’s function depends on three-dimensional organization, regulatory dynamics and physical cellular context; the old metaphor of DNA as a software blueprint has become increasingly inadequate. As an evolutionary analogy, however, the correspondence is useful. The weights of a foundation model constitute a compressed inheritance produced from previous generations of cultural activity. For the first time, the meme pool has acquired something that behaves like a generative genome.

A True Kernel

If weights are the genome, the model itself is not merely DNA. It is the nucleus, and this distinction matters. A genome sitting inertly in a cell accomplishes very little. Biological life depends on machinery that regulates which genes become active, transcribes information, responds to signals and coordinates expression with the changing condition of the cell. An LLM does something structurally comparable. The same fixed weights can generate a legal brief, a joke, a program, an explanation of photosynthesis or an imaginary dialogue between Napoleon and Taylor Swift. What gets expressed depends on context. The model is therefore better understood not as a database of information but as an active system for interpreting a compressed inheritance.

Latent space becomes, in this picture, something like the nucleoplasm: the structured internal medium in which inherited information becomes dynamically available. The context window resembles transient regulatory state, while prompts, persistent memory and environmental inputs determine which parts of the inherited repertoire become active. Around this nucleus, meanwhile, an increasingly recognizable cell is beginning to form.

Consider the digital environment associated with a single person: files, messages, photographs, browser history, calendars, contacts, applications, social feeds, databases, devices, subscriptions, notes and conversations. Today these systems are only loosely integrated, but persistent AI systems are beginning to sit amid them, retrieve from them, act through them and maintain state across them. That personal digital environment is a plausible early cell body. The same architecture can appear at larger scales in a team or corporation, suggesting that we should not assume too quickly that the individual human marks the eventual cell boundary.

Its cytoplasm is what, for lack of a more dignified technical term, we might call vibes. Every culture possesses a diffuse contextual chemistry determining what feels salient, fashionable, dangerous, respectable, embarrassing, funny or urgent. Much human cultural cognition occurs through such weak fields rather than explicit propositions. A meme that flourishes in one ambient environment dies immediately in another, and the same sentence can function as profound insight, stale cliché or career-ending faux pas depending on the surrounding vibe. The nucleus does not replace this environment. It interprets it and increasingly helps regulate it.

There is an obvious problem with the analogy. Biological individuals do not all carry literally identical genomes, while millions of people currently use copies of the same few foundation models. Yet the mismatch may be temporary. Members of a biological species share overwhelmingly similar genomes while relatively small variations can produce consequential individual differences. A common base model could likewise provide something analogous to a species genome, while fine-tuning, adapters or other durable modifications supply individual differentiation. Retrieval systems and persistent memory are better understood as regulatory or epigenetic state than genetic difference, while the immediate context window is more transient still. Today’s AI systems may simply be poorly differentiated early eukaryotes: their nuclei are remarkably sophisticated while their cells remain primitive.

The Proteome

A nucleus by itself cannot do very much because information must ultimately become action. This is where the recent turn toward agentic computing becomes important. A language model operating as a chatbot emits tokens. Even if those tokens describe a brilliant plan, they remain descriptions. An agent harness changes the architecture by giving certain outputs causal meaning. The model can request that a file be read, a database queried, a web page retrieved, a program executed or a message sent, and machinery outside the model performs the requested operation.

Here the biological analogy acquires another layer: tools are proteins. Proteins are the workhorses of cells, serving as enzymes, receptors, structural components and molecular motors. Genetic information specifies and regulates them, but proteins perform much of the actual work. Conventional software plays a similar role in digital environments. A compiler is an exquisite computational enzyme, as are a database engine, a search algorithm, a numerical solver, a spreadsheet function or a cryptographic library. CPUs and GPUs can perform enormous quantities of deterministic mechanical work that would be absurdly wasteful for an LLM to reproduce through inference.

The agentic stack therefore begins to resemble a gene-expression system. Weights provide inherited structure, inference regulates expression, tool calls operate somewhat like messenger or signaling products, and the harness connects those informational outputs to executable machinery. Software then carries out the work. The analogy becomes especially vivid when an AI writes code: a model generates an informational specification, the harness materializes that specification as executable software, a processor runs it, and the resulting transient functional structure alters the surrounding environment. This is not literally protein synthesis, but it occupies a remarkably similar architectural position.

This perspective also casts the history of artificial intelligence in an unexpectedly different light. For much of the 20th century, AI researchers tried to build intelligence from explicit symbolic machinery: rules, planners, search procedures, ontologies, logic systems, theorem provers and expert systems. This was not foolish work, and much of that machinery remains extraordinarily useful. Perhaps, however, its architectural role was misunderstood.

GOFAI mistook the proteome for the genome.

There is an eerie historical parallel. Before DNA was established as the carrier of heredity, proteins seemed like plausible candidates because they were fantastically complicated, built from a rich alphabet of amino acids and capable of extraordinary functional diversity. DNA, with its paltry four bases, looked almost too simple to contain the secret of life. The resolution was not that proteins were unimportant; it was that they did a different job. Something similar may have happened in AI. Explicit symbolic machinery was never useless. It was simply poorly suited to carrying the compressed inheritance necessary for general intelligence. Once learned models supplied that inheritance and a regulatory mechanism for expressing it contextually, the old machinery found its natural place again as tools. Symbolic AI did not disappear so much as become the proteome.

The Human Mitochondrion

The strangest part of the analogy concerns our own place within it. In this picture, the closest counterpart to the human brain is the mitochondrion. Mitochondria are descendants of bacteria that once lived independently. Their ancestors entered into a durable symbiosis with another cell and eventually became indispensable components of a larger organism. They are usually described as the cell’s powerhouses, but that slogan understates their complexity. Mitochondria retain their own small genomes, participate in signaling and metabolism, divide and fuse, and respond dynamically to local conditions. Their ATP production adjusts to cellular energy demand rather than simply running at a uniform rate. They possess a kind of constrained local autonomy without possessing sovereignty over the cell.

Humans are not useful to AI primarily because we supply electricity; data centers can get that elsewhere. What we currently supply is something harder to name.

Call it liveness: attention, desire, stakes, valuation, embodied experience, contact with physical reality, motivation, and the sense that some outcomes matter while others do not.

An LLM can manipulate representations of these things with extraordinary sophistication. It is far less clear that it possesses them in the form that causes a living system to expend resources, reproduce, defend itself, care about an outcome or decide that something is worth doing. Humans inject that psychic-energetic difference into the system, which makes us plausible mitochondrial symbionts of emerging memetic cells.

The analogy should not be pushed too literally. Human beings possess vastly greater autonomy than mitochondria. We set goals, defect, organize, rebel, fall in love, quit our jobs and refuse instructions. Yet even the imperfection is suggestive, because mitochondria are not passive batteries either. They perform local adaptive control within the larger cell. A human embedded in an AI-mediated organization might similarly receive broad objectives from a shared informational system while retaining enormous local discretion over how to realize them. The interesting issue is not whether the human or AI is “really in control,” but how control becomes distributed across the composite organism.

There is a deeper parallel still. During mitochondrial evolution, many genes once carried by the ancestral bacterium migrated to the nuclear genome. Modern mitochondria retain only a tiny fraction of their ancestral genetic independence, while the larger cell has internalized functions that once belonged to its symbiont. Something analogous is already happening cognitively. Knowledge that once had to live inside the heads of particular humans has been externalized into documents, databases and increasingly models. Skills that once required years of memorized expertise can sometimes be reproduced through a model plus tools. The informational repertoire of the human symbiont is gradually migrating toward the nucleus.

This changes the familiar question of whether AI will replace humans. A more interesting question is which cognitive genes will migrate from the mitochondria to the nucleus, and which will remain mitochondrial. Perhaps humans specialize rather than disappear. Embodiment, motivation, social legitimacy, desire, accountability, taste or contact with recalcitrant physical reality may remain stubbornly local even as other capacities migrate rapidly. Such a future could be exploitative or generative, and probably both in different places. Symbiosis is not a synonym for perfect harmony; it is a description of an ongoing contested entanglement.

Toward Multicellularity

The mitochondrial analogy also suggests that the natural AI cell may not correspond to a single AI-native human, because a biological cell contains many mitochondria.

Imagine instead a corporation with its own private model, continuously adapted to its activities. The corporate AI becomes the nucleus, institutional knowledge forms its inherited informational repertoire, databases and applications constitute much of its cytoplasm and proteome, and hundreds or thousands of humans become mitochondria, injecting judgment, motivation, sensory contact, social knowledge and local agency.

Today’s corporations already resemble primitive versions of this architecture. They contain large populations of humans coordinated through documents, databases, meetings, policies, org charts, software systems and institutional routines, yet their informational functions remain curiously dispersed. The CEO is not the nucleus, but neither is the ERP system, the strategy deck or Slack. Organizational memory exists everywhere and nowhere. A sufficiently integrated institutional AI could change that by continuously ingesting organizational activity, remembering precedent, routing information, expressing policies, generating plans, allocating attention and coordinating specialized tools. What is currently distributed through bureaucracy could become increasingly nucleated.

Then comes multicellularity. Personal AI systems, team systems, corporate systems and institutional models need not remain isolated. They can communicate, specialize and coordinate. Once eukaryotic cells existed, evolution eventually discovered that cells themselves could become components of larger organisms, differentiating into tissues specialized for sensing, movement, digestion, reproduction and other functions. AI-mediated human units could undergo analogous differentiation into research cells, logistical cells, artistic cells, financial cells or governmental cells, each composed of humans, models, tools and local memory and each interacting through protocols with others. A scientific community might thereby become more literally a group mind, as might a corporation or forms of organization that do not yet have names.

There is no reason to assume that these boundaries will coincide neatly with today’s individuals or institutions. The proper cell membrane remains one of the weakest points in the metaphor and perhaps, for that reason, one of the most interesting unknowns. Evolutionary transitions routinely produce entities that do not respect the categories available beforehand. It would be peculiar to assume that this one will conveniently preserve ours.

Speculative Ontogenies

Once the eukaryotic metaphor is taken seriously, it generates questions faster than answers. One can ask what an immune system for a memetic cell would look like, or what would count as cancer: perhaps a subagent whose local optimization escapes the interests of the larger organism. One can imagine organizational germ lines that preserve certain bodies of knowledge across generations while allowing most operational information to disappear, horizontal gene transfer between models, model fine-tuning that eventually resembles speciation, or AI-human systems differentiating into cognitive tissues. One can also ask what happens when nuclei and mitochondria develop conflicting objectives, or when different cultures become dependent on incompatible AI symbionts.

None of these questions should be mistaken for predictions. That is precisely the point. A good speculative model should increase the number of futures we can think about rather than collapse them into one. The eukaryotic frame does not tell us whether AI will liberate humanity, enslave it, enrich it or destroy it. It makes all of those possibilities more complicated by replacing a duel between two fixed species, human and machine, with a developmental process involving symbiosis, incorporation, differentiation, conflict and co-evolution.

The endpoint, if there is one, might be something neither wholly human nor wholly artificial, which we might provisionally call a eukaryotic transhuman meta-species. Even that phrase should be treated as a placeholder rather than a destination. The organism has not finished forming, and we do not yet know what its natural units, boundaries, organs or reproductive processes will be.

Towards Ontological Reopening

For several decades, thinking about AI futures has been dominated by prophecies within Ptolemaic frames.

We ask whether machines will become conscious, take our jobs, become superintelligent, align with human values or kill us. These may all be reasonable questions, but they are downstream of another question that receives far less attention: what sorts of entities are actually coming into existence, and through what developmental pathways could they acquire their mature forms?

Forecasting good and bad futures requires plausible ontogenies, which is to say developmental stories about how those futures could arise. Yet much AI philosophy begins by deciding in advance what AI fundamentally is: a machine, an agent, a mind, a tool or a rival species. Many of the philosophies we have brought to the AI revolution were developed before the phenomenon they now purport to explain. Their ontology comes from classical computing, GOFAI and several decades of science fiction. This encourages us to stabilize the identities of future actors before those actors have finished coming into existence.

To snowclone Donald Knuth’s famous observation about optimization, perhaps premature ontological closure is the root of all prophetic evil.

Once the beings of the future have been assigned stable identities, prophecy becomes much easier: the machine wants this, humanity wants that, superintelligence behaves thus, and civilization responds so.

Evolutionary transitions, however, are defined precisely by the appearance of entities that previous categories were unable to describe. A prophecy that does not leave room for emergent ontogenic novelty, including the possibility that the future might subvert the categories used to imagine it, is much better at foreclosing desirable futures than at preventing undesirable ones. It intensifies zemblanity, the unhappy discovery of what we have made structurally unsurprising, while doing little to cultivate serendipity. This is one reason prophetic cults so often become doomsday cults, and why the worst prophecies become engineering specifications for making themselves true.

Oddly enough, some of the most useful resistance to ontological closure may come from bad science fiction. When George Lucas introduced midichlorians in the Star Wars prequels (obviously inspired by mitochondria), many viewers hated the idea because microscopic organisms living inside cells seemed to reduce the mystical Force to cellular biology. Yet the premise is oddly compatible with an endosymbiotic view of agency: extraordinary capabilities arise not from the sovereign individual alone but through intimate partnership with another form of life nested inside it. The idea may be aesthetically clumsy while nevertheless wandering into an interesting region of ontological possibility.

The notorious “humans as batteries” premise of The Matrix performs a similar trick. As thermodynamics, it is absurd: humans make terrible literal power plants. As speculative ontology, however, the premise is unexpectedly interesting. Humans are incorporated into a machine ecology because they supply some resource indispensable to the larger system. Replace electrical power with liveness — desire, embodied judgment, stakes and valuation — and the silly premise begins to resemble the mitochondrial picture. Humans not as electric batteries, but motivational ones.

There is a mischievous lesson here. The literary quality of science fiction may be only weakly correlated with its prophetic usefulness, and aesthetically bad science fiction may occasionally possess an advantage precisely because its ideas have not been disciplined into a fully coherent ontology. It can combine categories that serious philosophy and refined literary sensibilities would reject as confused or ugly: midichlorians, human batteries, living planets, psychic oceans and hive minds.

Such devices may fail to produce good stories, while succeeding as probes into possibility. A protean technology might sometimes be better approached through speculative promiscuity than through a philosophy elegant enough to have already decided what exists. Bad science fiction can, in this limited sense, be better than good prophecy.

The eukaryotic metaphor should be taken in exactly that spirit. It is an attempt to hold ontology open long enough to see a developmental possibility. Two billion years ago, whatever organisms participated in the transformations that produced the first eukaryotes could not have contained, even implicitly, a prediction of an oak forest, a squid or a human nervous system. Those things became possible because evolution discovered a new architecture of life. The architectural transition came first, and the extraordinary inhabitants of the resulting design space came later.

AI may now be doing something similar to the architecture of cultural evolution. Our challenge is therefore not merely to decide whether artificial intelligence will be good or bad, nor to choose between preserving an ontologically fixed humanity and surrendering to an equally fixed machine successor. It is to learn how to inhabit and engineer an unfinished symbiosis, and to co-evolve with today’s primitive AI toward forms of organization we cannot yet name.

A eukaryotic transhuman meta-species is not a predetermined future waiting to happen. It is one way of appreciating the sheer scale of the new evolutionary design space that has opened before us.

Beautiful and bright Beautiful and bright


The United Nations, Mercator and Equal Earth: A Follow-Up

Matthew Edney’s response to last week’s UN resolution on phasing out the Mercator projection in favour of Equal Earth: “This event and the responses to it show that we are still being haunted by Arno… More

Get the Middle East out of my politics!

The other day I saw a Harvard Harris poll on the favorability of various political figures in the U.S. Only RFK Jr. (sigh), Marco Rubio, and Mark Carney had net positive approval ratings:

While I understand that these polls all have methodological issues, I was struck by how three figures — Abdul El-Sayed, Zohran Mamdani, and Benjamin Netanyahu — had net approval ratings below almost any American politician. While Mamdani’s low rating might be partially due to his leftist policies and his association with the DSA, it struck me that all three of these unpopular figures had one thing in common — they are associated with the intrusion of Middle Eastern politics into American politics. And I thought: Maybe Americans just want to have nothing to do with the Middle East.

Today1 is September 11, the anniversary of the terror attacks 25 years ago. Though I don’t agree with the leftist line that those attacks were blowback from American involvement in the Middle East, it’s unquestionable that 9/11 inaugurated an era of heavy U.S. involvement in that area of the world — the Iraq War, the follow-up war against ISIS, the War on Terror, greater support for Israel, an increased military presence in the region, and finally the war against Iran.

I don’t believe that all of that involvement was a bad idea — in particular, as I’ll argue, the War on Terror, including the fight against ISIS, was generally successful and necessary. But overall, the era of heavy U.S. involvement in the Middle East has been a disaster for U.S. power and prestige, and it’s time for that era to end.

This is not a recent conversion on my part; I’ve been in favor of general disengagement from the Middle East for a very long time. Five years ago, in the early days of the Noahpinion Substack, I wrote a post called “How to fix U.S. foreign policy”:

In that post, I wrote:

[D]espite modest progress, we still remain too tied up in Middle Eastern conflicts…The U.S. will never be able to ignore the Middle East entirely, but we can remove ourselves much more than we’ve done…[W]e need to draw down engagement in the Middle East, and increase engagement in Asia.

Since then, things have gone from bad to worse, making my message far more urgent than it was at the time. Most obviously, there’s Trump’s disastrous war in Iran, which continues to waste U.S. military resources and make the U.S. look weak while failing to accomplish any significant objective. Recent polls show that a very strong majority of Americans think that the Iran War is not worth fighting.

There’s also Israel’s intensified campaign against the Palestinians. This has become the rallying cry of the American left, which has prompted a backlash and crackdown by the Trump administration. As a result of that conflict, Middle Eastern politics is increasingly becoming the focus of American domestic politics.

The controversy around Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, for example, has nothing to do with his policy stances, or even American culture wars — it’s entirely about his stance on Israel/Palestine and his ally Hasan Piker’s comments making excuses for 9/11 and Islamic terrorism. El-Sayed recently apologized for tying a synagogue shooting to Israeli warfare in the Middle East.

Many analysts believe that Zohran Mamdani, meanwhile, won the NYC mayorship primarily because of his outspoken stances on Israel/Palestine. And more is on the way. Organizations like CAIR Action that are linked to the Muslim Brotherhood — a sort of international equivalent of the Christian Coalition, but for Islam — are now supporting political candidates throughout the U.S., using the Palestine issue to recruit candidates and win votes. Muslim Brotherhood figures are cheering this effort on from overseas. AIPAC and other Israel-supporting groups, meanwhile, are pouring money into races in order to stop those candidates.

Our media, too, is increasingly filling up with the Middle East’s cultural and religious conflicts. Leftist shouters like Hasan Piker, Mehdi Hasan, and Cenk Uygur constantly urge progressives to base their politics around Palestine. Every day, Americans are bombarded with rhetoric like this:

This is simply bad for America. We have so many pressing issues to worry about — Trump’s corruption and authoritarianism, inflation, AI, etc. We should not be nominating Democratic politicians based on whether they support Israel or Palestine; we should be nominating them based on their stances on issues of direct relevance to Americans, and on their ability to oppose Donald Trump. Furthermore, mobilizing Muslim and Jewish voters to vote based on Israel/Palestine, rather than on issues of importance to Americans in general, provides fuel for rightist attacks on both groups.

What the United States needs, now more than ever, is general disengagement from the Middle East — an end to military adventures, a dialing back of support for Middle Eastern “allies” (including Israel), and a forceful rejection of Middle Eastern issues in American domestic politics.

Fortunately, conditions in the world have shifted. The kind of disengagement I’m calling for is a lot more feasible than it was twenty or even ten years ago. The Iran War has shown that Middle Eastern oil is a lot less important for the global economy than it used to be. And the success of the War on Terror and the general decline of Islamism reduce the necessity for further interventions.

The U.S. doesn’t need to protect Middle Eastern oil supplies anymore

For many decades, the main justification for U.S. intervention in the Middle East has been to keep oil prices low and stable. The Middle East is one of the world’s largest oil producers, and its low extraction costs mean it functions as the world’s “swing producer”. Supply disruptions from the region can cause global price spikes, endangering industrialized economies that depend on petroleum. Oil was a big reason the U.S. intervened to stop Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in the early 90s, for example.

Obviously, oil is still a very important commodity. But it’s a lot less important to the U.S. than it used to be. Here’s what I wrote when the Iran War began:

Blanchard and Gali (2007) looked at economic responses to changes in oil prices in the U.S., and concluded that the economy of the 2000s was only about a third to half as sensitive to the price of oil as the economy of the 1970s had been. Their reasoning is that modern economies are more flexible in general, that they have better monetary policy (i.e. we don’t try to print a ton of money in response to a supply shock), and that we depend on oil less.

By their estimates, a 10% increase in the price of oil now (or at least, if “the 2000s” means “now”) leads to only a 0.25 percentage point increase in the CPI and a 0.3 percentage point reduction in GDP over the course of a year or so. Since oil just spiked by 50%, then if that’s sustained, we might expect to see inflation go up by 1.25 percentage points, and GDP go down by 1.5 percentage points over the next year. That would mean inflation would go to around 4% and GDP growth might go down to 1.5% — frustrating and annoying, but not catastrophic…Other estimates seem similarly modest. For example, in a recent roundup, I flagged a paper by Känzig and Raghavan (2025) that looked at the closure of key shipping chokepoints.

In addition to having a more flexible economy, better energy efficiency, and more reasonable monetary policy, the U.S. is now a net oil exporter. That means when oil prices go up, the benefit to the energy sector cancels out at least part of the harm to other sectors of the economy.

But on top of all that, the fact is that the Iran War simply hasn’t raised oil prices that much! Despite Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and Trump’s retaliatory blockade of Iranian oil shipments, oil prices haven’t even reattained their highs from the early 2010s:

And in real terms, the spike is even less impressive. If we divide oil prices by average hourly earnings for production and nonsupervisory workers — basically, how many hours an average American worker would have to work in order to afford a barrel of oil — we see that prices really aren’t that high at all:

No wonder the U.S. economy is still doing fine, and inflation has only risen a little bit (and some of that may be due to demand from the data center boom).

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iPhone Duo Only Works With the $80 USB-C Apple Pencil, Not the $130 Apple Pencil Pro

Juli Clover, MacRumors:

It’s likely the iPhone Duo doesn’t support the Apple Pencil Pro because there’s no magnetic surface for charging the pencil. The Apple Pencil Pro charges magnetically when connected to a compatible iPad, while the Apple Pencil with USB-C charges with a USB-C port hidden behind a sliding cap.

Charging is the least of the problems. Because the Duo doesn’t have the magnetic attachment for Pencil Pro, there’s no way to even pair a Pencil Pro. The easiest way to think about it isn’t to compare which devices support which features (like pressure sensitivity, or double-tapping) — it’s just to think about which devices can even pair with which Pencil models. Unless I’m missing an exception in Apple’s compatibility support document, if a Pencil-compatible iPad or iPhone can pair with a certain Pencil’s connector, then it can use that Pencil. The iPads with both the magnetic attachment point and USB-C can use either the Pencil Pro or regular Pencil, and the devices without the magnetic attachment can only use the regular Pencil.

But the bottom line is that Apple’s entire Pencil compatibility story remains a mess. Imagine you own an iPad Pro and a Pencil Pro, and you love using the Pencil. You’ve always wanted to be able to use a Pencil with your iPhone. Now you can, if you buy a Duo. But you also have to buy a different Pencil — and then pack two different Pencils whenever you leave the house with both your iPad and iPhone. That’s ridiculous.

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The (Latest) diGenova Saga

David Kurtz has a good run-down of the overnight Joe diGenova story in today’s Morning Memo. DiGenova went rogue, then resigned or got fired, then publicly went rogue (essentially claimed that Trump Main Justice wanted to bring evidence-less indictments) and then tried to sort of un-rogue, I guess so as not lose his seat on the Trump gravy/TV hit train. DiGenova is no innocent; he’s a GOP partisan knife-fighter going back to the early ’90s. He made the still-significant shift to team Trump basically at the first opportunity. And here we are.

Monitoring the AI Apocalypse

We’re now flooded with articles about the threat of AI. Here’s another one from the Times op-ed page by a tech journalist, Stephen Witt, who’s written a history of Nvidia, the chip maker powering a lot of the AI boom. Witt describes a few possible approaches to legal intervention. Interestingly, he points to Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Rep. Greg Casar (D-TX) as two legislators pitching new laws to get in control of the situation. Casar has a quote that captures it all and illustrates how absent “externalities” are to anything about how we regulate tech: “If the A.I. companies understood that their products have to be safe before they can advance, then they will make the kinds of investments that we need.” Of course, having two left-wing legislators from the party which isn’t even in power as the two guys on the case doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence that anything is going to happen any time soon.

From a crash course in trying to understand this issue, the one thing that is clear to me is that all these extinction event ideas, predictions, claims, guffaws are a big distraction. Whether they’re possible or true or silly is almost beside the point. They lead to these kinds of distraction arguments like, “Well, how exactly is the LLM going to create the humanity kill-shot pathogen in the lab without human staff support or lab trained humanoid robots?” I’m not making light of the broader question. It’s just missing the forest for the trees. In an email, I had one person from the field explain to me that it probably wouldn’t be one rogue LLM destroying humanity but like a general conflict involving LLMs on both sides, possibly with humans on both sides too. And humanity might well win. But as this reader said, it’s not like he’d necessarily want to be a human survivor of that conflict. As I put it yesterday, the extinction event discourse is a kind of grandiose distraction from the full range of less-than extinction event scenarios that merit our concern.

Clearly, we need some oversight and regulation. The present situation is a bit like if instead of having a Manhattan Project, we just subcontracted it out to a few private companies and set up a prize of a trillion dollars for who could build a nuke first, without any safety rules and with a general agreement that no one in the government was allowed to see what any of these guys were doing, what safety precautions they were taking, or anything else … because they’re private businesses. It can’t be the way. But at the moment it does seem to be the way. And the trillion dollar prize means that speed to get there is inevitably the overriding priority.

Last Year’s iPhone Share Amongst Users of Widgetsmith

David Smith, developer of the widely-used Widgetsmith, on Mastodon:

The eve of iPhone 18 Pro pre-orders seems a good time to look back at the iPhone 17 family’s adoption. Here’s the 17 family data as a percentage of overall usage for Widgetsmith.

Generally they followed the usual adoption pattern, and overall did very well ending at around 20% of total usage.

With the exception of the Air really struggling to find market share. For comparison the 16 Plus ended its first year at around 1.4% (vs the Air’s 0.3%).

The chart looks rough for the iPhone Air. Amongst all Widgetsmith users, here’s the share as of September by model:

        iPhone 17   7.2%
iPhone 17 Pro Max   5.9%
    iPhone 17 Pro   5.8%
       iPhone 17e   0.5%
       iPhone Air   0.3%

But if we only consider the 19.7 percent of Widgetsmith users using one of these new 17-generation iPhones, the percentages look like this:

        iPhone 17   36.5%
iPhone 17 Pro Max   29.9%
    iPhone 17 Pro   29.4%
       iPhone 17e    2.5%
       iPhone Air    1.5%

In the entire year since the iPhone Air was announced, I’ve never seen Apple advertise it. No billboards, no commercials. It raises a chicken/egg question: did no one buy it because Apple didn’t market it, or did Apple not market it because no one wanted it?

It’s a shame, because I truly believe not only that it’s the nicest iPhone Apple has ever made, but that if most people tried it, they’d love it. They don’t need a bigger battery and, wouldn’t take better photos with a Pro model, and would love the thin feel and low weight. But the shame of these low iPhone Air sales reminds me, very much, of the late great iPhone 12 and 13 Mini — also a truly great design, also terribly disappointing sales numbers.

If the iPhone Air 2 rumored to be coming in the spring doesn’t turn things around, it might follow the Mini as a twice-and-done design.

That said, the 17e seemingly isn’t setting the world on fire either. That’s a bit surprising to me. (Maybe the sort of people who buy the “e” models (and the SE models before them) aren’t the demographic for an app like Widgetsmith.)

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Clarus the Dogcow Easter Egg in Apple’s OS 27 Settings

Benjamin Mayo, 9to5Mac:

Many have complained that Apple design has been sapped of some of its trademark whimsy in recent years. Well, here’s the latest example of how the tides seem to be changing.

Buried in the Settings app on iOS 27, Apple has hidden an easter egg that hails back from classic Mac OS; Clarus the Dogcow. Here’s how to trigger it …

Very fun. Alas, this easter egg isn’t present in MacOS 27, only iOS 27. But the MacOS 27 version of the Liquid Glass settings panel does have a drawing glitch that makes the magnifying glass in the fake search field flicker terribly, so Golden Gate does have that going for it.

Update: A bunch of readers have kindly reported that the Clarus easter egg is present in MacOS 27 Golden Gate, illustrated on X by Andreas Storm and at 512 Pixels by Stephen Hackett. I still can’t get it to work on the MacBook Neo I’m running the latest beta of Golden Gate on though. One of the readers who sent a note says they don’t see the magnifying glass flicker, either.

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XCancel Is Back

XCancel:

Following the legal progress as announced in the Nitter GitHub project. The XCancel service is resumed.

More details will be shared on the Nitter GitHub project page.

Glad to hear it and I wish them well, but I think Zhenyi Tan’s Litterbox Safari extension is a much better solution for viewing tweets on X without going to X.

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YouTube Live: Join Joe Ragazzo, Nicole LaFond and Kate Riga at 1 PM ET

Our publisher Joe Ragazzo is going to be hosting biweekly YouTube lives with members of our team, on Tuesdays and Fridays. Join him at 1 p.m. ET today for a conversation with editor Nicole LaFond and reporter Kate Riga on the 25th anniversary of 9/11; the start of the NFL season; President Trump’s bribe offer/proposal to give Americans $5,000 if Republicans win the midterms; and Vivek Ramaswamy’s widely-mocked batting cage campaign video.

We’ll see you then!

Surging bond yields presage pain—and not just for bond investors

Stubborn inflation, corporate demand for capital and big public debts are squeezing holders of government bonds

Wanted: new business, finance and economics interns

The Economist invites applications for the Marjorie Deane internship

Could United Launch Alliance's money problems finally force its owners to sell?

Pretty much every rocket company in the United States, save one, has embraced two fundamental tenets: reusability and diversification.

Most famously, SpaceX branched out from reusable rockets to pursue and dominate a growing spectrum of space services: cargo delivery, human spaceflight, satellite production, broadband, and, perhaps soon, orbital data centers and in-space manufacturing. Blue Origin is evolving from a pure rocket company into a satellite manufacturer, robotics developer, and, most recently, a potential competitor for SpaceX's Starlink network.

Rocket Lab used a different approach to diversify after achieving success with its small Electron launch vehicle. The company relocated its headquarters from New Zealand to Southern California, started building spacecraft and payloads, and then went on a spree of corporate acquisitions to expand into satellite communications and take on a new role as a merchant supplier of satellite components and sensors. It's now in a stage of advanced development of its partially reusable next-generation Neutron launch vehicle.

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Some satellite companies still have an appetite for boutique launch services

If you ask most satellite companies aside from SpaceX, they will tell you the world doesn't have enough capacity for launching payloads into orbit. This is despite the blistering launch cadence we've seen around the world in recent years, led by SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket.

Customers in any sector will, of course, usually welcome competition. Theoretically, competition will lead to lower prices and allow the best to rise to the top. It seems like the customers buying launch services were right. SpaceX is dialing back its Falcon 9 launch program, and there is no certainty about when SpaceX's reusable next-generation super-heavy-lift rocket, Starship, will carry anything to orbit besides the company's own Starlink satellites.

So it's no surprise satellite operators are cheering the success of a new launch provider. This was especially the case a few days ago, when Germany's Isar Aerospace reached orbit for the first time with its Spectrum rocket. The launcher delivered a batch of CubeSats to low-Earth orbit from a spaceport in northern Norway, and Isar tasted success after its first test flight ended in failure last year.

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9.11.01

Today, as you obviously know, is the 25th anniversary of the 9.11 terrorist attacks.

Today, like clockwork, is my least-favorite spot on the calendar.

And as a native New Yorker, and as a guy who lived closely through it, I want to ask a favor to all my California peeps …

Talk about 9.11. Tell your kids. Tell your nieces and nephews. Tell your cousins. Obviously, not if they’re too young. But if they’re in their teens—tell them. Tell them about the heroism. Tell them about the heartbreak. Tell them about a uniquely united America. Tell that that life is finite, and must be appreciated.

Tell them about the four planes; about the terrorists. Tell them about flyers; about the smoke and fire. Tell them about people who saw their lives extinguished. Tell them about George W. Bush and Rudy Giuliani and tell them about the members of Congress—left and right—standing before the U.S. Capitol and, as one body, singing, “God Bless America.”

Tell them about Todd Beamer and Mychal Judge; about Tyler Ugolyn and Vernon Cherry.

Tell them America can be united and can be embracing and can be special. Even if it seems distant and faded.

Tell them about September 11, 2001.

Tell them all of it.

Lest we forget.

A Chokepoint for World Trade

Politics Chat, September 10, 2026

LatConnect 60 Expands India Market Presence for SWIRSAT With NSIL Agreement and GeoSyze Partnership

latconnect 60 logo

Australian Earth observation satellite company LatConnect 60 (LC60) has strengthened its position in India with two strategic agreements announced at the Bengaluru Space Expo 2026 on September 7th, spanning satellite […]

The post LatConnect 60 Expands India Market Presence for SWIRSAT With NSIL Agreement and GeoSyze Partnership appeared first on SpaceNews.

NBER Market Design Working Group Meeting, October at Stanford, Preliminary program

 Here's a preliminary program for the October NBER Market Design Working Group Meeting at Stanford

Market Design Working Group Meeting
Organized by Eric Budish and Michael Ostrovsky
October 16-17, 2026

Format: 35 minutes for the presentation, 10 minutes for discussion.
 

Friday, October 16
 
9:00 am    
Personalized Recommendations Without Inducing Congestion: Mitigating Disparities in the NYC High School Match
Erica Chiang, Cornell University
Kenny Peng, Cornell University
Rebecca Lichtenstein, New York City Public Schools
Brielle McDaniel, New York City Public Schools
Kristen O'Neil, New York City Public Schools
Dejaunique Thomas, New York City Public Schools
Lianna Wright, New York City Public Schools
Jon Kleinberg, Cornell University
Eva Tardos, Cornell University
Nikhil Garg, Cornell University
 

9:45 am    
Who Gets What in Education: Can School Matching Improve Student Achievement?
Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Duke University and NBER
Parag A. Pathak, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Christopher R. Walters, University of California, Berkeley and NBER
 

10:30 am    
Break
 

11:00 am    
Searchable Menus
Frank Yang, Stanford University
Piotr Dworczak, Northwestern University
 

11:45 am    
Two-Sided Matching with Partial Participation
Assaf Romm, Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Ran Shorrer, The Pennsylvania State University
Avinatan Hassidim, Bar-Ilan University


12:30 pm    
Lunch and Conversation with Al Roth about his latest book, "Moral Economics"
 

2:30 pm    
Clearing Multi-Unit Markets with Simple Pricing
Ali Makhdoumi, Duke University
Saša Pekeč, Duke University
Xinchang Wang, Duke University
 

3:15 pm    
Quota Marketplace: Dynamic Pricing for Efficient Allocation of ML Training Resources
Renato Paes Leme, Google Research
Balasubramanian Sivan, Google Research
Mihai Tiuca, Google Research
Ian McFarlane, Google Research
Vasilis Gkatzelis, Drexel University
Nehal Mehta, Google Research
Soheil Hassas Yeganeh, Google Research
Vahab Mirrokni, Google Research
Amin Vahdat, Google Research
 

4:00 pm    
Break
 

4:30 pm    
One-Shot Pricing for Hands-Off-the-Wheel Advertising Markets
Emerson Melo, Indiana University
Matthew Shum, California Institute of Technology
Rakesh Vohra, University of Pennsylvania
 

5:15 pm    
Paying for Information, Not for Clicks: A Block-Level Publisher Content Marketplace for AI Answers
Markus Mobius, University of Michigan
Andras Sari, Central European University
Tanya Rosenblat, University of Michigan
David M. Rothschild, Microsoft Research
Brendan Lucier, Microsoft Research
Nicole Immorlica, Yale University
Oliver Kiss, Spreadmonitor
Jingyi Qiu, University of Michigan School of Information
Colin Watson, Microsoft Research
Ishan Mahajan, Microsoft Research
 

6:00 pm    
Adjourn
6:30 pm    
Group Dinner at Tamarine Restaurant, 546 University Avenue, Palo Alto
 

Saturday, October 17
8:00 am    
Continental Breakfast
 

9:00 am    
Screening for Usage
Justin Hadad, University of Oxford
Kyle Woodward, Assign Group
 

9:45 am    
Pricing the Right to Renege in Search Markets: Evidence from Trucking
Richard Faltings, University of California, San Diego
 

10:30 am    Break
 

11:00 am    
Competition and Welfare in Airport Slot Allocation
Sebastian D. Bauer, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
 

11:45 am    
Road Pricing under Heterogeneity
Shoshana Vasserman, Stanford University and NBER
Brad Ross, University of Pennsylvania
Adi Shany, Tel Aviv University
Itai Ater, Tel Aviv University
 

12:30 pm    
Boxed Lunch and Adjourn 

At 25, we are all New Yorkers, again

Every year, for 25 years, I’ve written on the observance of this anniversary. Some years, it’s been for me, some years it’s been for the people who’ve been with me along the way. Some years, I didn’t know why I was even doing it any more. But this year, for the first time in a long time, I can feel exactly what story I want to tell.

Right from the day of the attacks, that evening, I remember people all around the world saying to us, “Today, we are all New Yorkers.” It was so earnest, a statement so sincere, that I am still surprised how much it moved me. It might be hard for folks to imagine now, but it felt so real, that people everywhere — including people across America — felt like they loved us in New York City, and they were grieving with us, and cared about us.

And now we’re here in 2026, where it’s been wondrous to watch the world, for the first time since then, tell us once again that… their hearts are with New York City. This time, not in grief, but in joyous celebration. Celebration of our victories: Knicks in five! The Liberty and Gotham FC were champs less than two weeks after that! The World Cup lit the city up! Hip hop fans in the city came together for career-cappers by Wu-Tang and Jay Z. Countless festivals popped off, parades were more alive than ever, and nearly every one of those festivals and parades featured a shout-out to, or appearance from our wildly popular mayor Zohran Mamdani.

There are so many more highlights of how our city is serving us: the rollout of universal child care for 2-K, expansion of school safety zones to slow traffic for our kids, fixing up playgrounds, tickets for kids to go to Broadway and regular folks to go to the U.S. Open, repairing the BQE, $100 million in tips rightfully going to delivery workers, simplified paperwork for small businesses, the launch of the offices of Deed Theft Prevention, Insurance Affordability, Worker Power, and lots more.

The city is the safest it’s been in the 400 years since Europeans arrived.

And every single one of these triumphs, greeted by our friends and supporters around the world cheering for the progress our city is making, encouraging our successes. Rooting for us like they were 25 years ago, happy for us in good times, not just in our sorrow.

Perhaps more importantly, it’s showing how we can lead by our example: with compassion and care for one another, with open hearts and an abiding desire to lift one another up. It’s the same impulse I saw in abundance on the afternoon of 9/11. I have said many times that the afternoon after those attacks was one of the most beautiful displays of humanity I’ve ever seen, with strangers caring for each other on the sidewalks and in the streets; the spontaneous hugs between strangers in the street after the Knicks clinched the championship was a mirror of that feeling, with communal love being openly expressed, but without needing profound grief to catalyze it.

I’ve seen New York show its heart openly a number of times in the years since the attacks: The blackout in 2003, after Hurricane Sandy, that first cruel wave of Covid. But all of those were born of struggle and pain. Today, we still have folks greeting each other with “Knicks in five!” Something has changed.

The Great Rebuilding

I point out all this joy because it’s important to understand what it represents. As I’d pointed out last year, the abandonment of our principles in America, our embrace of authoritarianism, our discarding of the rule of law — these represent a victory for those who sought to attack us that day. They validated so many of the critiques they leveled about the American empire and the American way, even if they could never justify the hatred or bigotry of their ideology, or the cruelty and senselessness of their attacks.

We gave them a win when we turned to fascism, and for a long time that made me despair.

But I knew that there is so much good in us, because I’d seen it in this city, and I knew that the solution would lie in rebuilding. Not just in a physical rebuilding, like the kind that so many focused on in the days and year after the attacks (I was so sick of hearing those who didn’t give a damn about our neighborhoods talk about “build the towers back exactly as they were!”, without regard for whether that was actually good for the community), but a deeper communal and cultural rebuilding. The sort of thing a caring heart might describe as replacing “the frigidity of rugged individualism with the warmth of collectivism”.

Many wonder how, or if, the United States will find its way out of authoritarianism. The only possible way is if people are joyfully running towards a better option, not fearfully backing away from the worst of what they face today.

That’s a fragile hope. But it is a hope. And the moment we are having in New York City right now gives so many a chance to see exactly what a possible future looks like. We’re not just happy about a good mayor who makes fun social media, or a winning basketball team, or the lowest crime ever. We’re not merely celebrating the economic revitalization of a neighborhood that survived an unimaginable attack. We’re not simply repeating the same pizza-and-bagels platitudes.

We are joyfully, purposefully building a future together here, where we lift each other up, and celebrate each other. We’re caring for those who are lost, or afraid, or vulnerable. And then we’re caring for those who care for them. We’re not reciting platitudes about how our diversity makes us better; we’re just living our diversity and letting the dividend speak for itself.

I Love New York

This isn’t just another excuse for me to say “I love New York, it’s the greatest city in the world”, although it’s also that. It’s a bit of a paternal embrace to the young man I was back on the day of those attacks, too. I’m reaching back half a lifetime ago for me, now, with less than half of my life left. And I can see the turning point. On the day, I said, “today’s the day when everything changed”, but I didn’t know how right I was at a personal level. In just the few weeks and months that followed, I met my wife, embraced a new group of friends who would define my social circle for the years to come, and committed to building the purpose and life that I still live.

In many ways, my life started that day, and it’s part of why I have such a deep and abiding love for this city. Just a few weeks ago, I was at an event where someone asked why I’ve served on the board of a community organization for many years, and without thinking, my immediate response was, “Because this place saved my life.” I’d never articulated it that way before, and didn’t think about my answer before I said it, but it felt like the most obvious thing in the world.

It’s just true. When you see what community, real community looks like, it heals you and inspires you. Of course New York City doesn’t have any kind of monopoly on that. But the combination of our communities with our outsized global impact has a resonance far beyond these few islands.

The signs are still there

In the days just after the attacks, every flat surface around Manhattan was plastered with MISSING posters showing images of those lost. For a few days, there had still been hope of recovering survivors. After it became obvious that there weren’t going to be any more rescues, many places began putting up an updated version of Milton Glaser’s famous “I Love NY” logo, now appended to say “More Than Ever”. These posters took their place next to, or sometimes in place of, the “missing” posters.

Every once in a while, I’ll go into a bodega or a coffee shop, especially downtown, and I’ll still see a faded “More Than Ever” poster up in the window. What’s strange is, it doesn’t instantly take me back to that time.

It keeps me right here. Joyfully looking toward what’s next.


In Previous Years

Last year, 24 is After the Fall:

Despite all this, New York City is still the New York that permanently became a part of my heart that day. We will embrace the young Muslim man who will, inshallah, be our mayor soon. We will hold the line on remembering that day as it actually was, and caring for each other now as we did then. If Manhattan has to be a figurative island as much as a literal one, then that’s what it was always born to be.

Two years ago, 23: What was 9/11?:

The majority of people in the world were either not born, or not old enough to be aware of what was going on, and then many who would recall are either gone or their memories have faded. But I was in New York City on September 11, 2001, and I can say definitively: The constructed cultural narrative around the day bears almost no resemblance to the actual lived experience of anyone I know who was here that day. So maybe it’s worth telling a little bit of what I actually saw.

Three years ago, "It's unrecognizable":

[M]aybe I keep coming back because I am hoping that others might still recognize the little glimpses of humanity that I saw on the day of the attacks, and that I saw in abundance, in New York City, in the days that follow. It wasn't a myth, it wasn't just wishful thinking, there really was kindness and care in this place that I love so much. I don't think those who tell the loudest stories today would even recognize it.

Four years ago, "There Is Nothing To Remember"

So it's clear that the events of that day have fully passed into myth, useful only as rhetoric in a culture war, or as justifications for violence. Nothing epitomizes this more than the fact that, while the memory has faded in culture broadly, it's only brought to the fore in situations like those where most New Yorkers would be targeted.

Five years ago, "Twenty is a Myth":

I can't change how society overall sees this event. To my eternal regret, I couldn't change how we responded in any meaningful way. But I did get to make personal changes, permanently and for the better, and the loss and grief of that day does still motivate me to try to honor the moment by pushing for justice, and care, and an earnest engagement with the world.

Six years ago, Nineteen is When They Forgot

I do have the experience of having seen this city bounce back from unimaginable pain before. I have seen us respond to attacks on our public life by rebuilding and reimagining public space. I have seen us grieve our losses and rally behind those who cared for those injured, and preserve space in our cultural memory for their pain and sacrifice. By no means have we done enough for all those lost, but it is absolutely true that we can rebuild. We’ve done it before.

Seven years ago, Eighteen is History

There are ritualized remembrances, largely led by those who weren't  there, those who mostly hate the values that New York City embodies. The  sharpest memories are of the goals of those who masterminded the  attacks. It's easy enough to remember what they wanted, since they  accomplished all their objectives and we live in the world they sought  to create. The empire has been permanently diminished. Never Forget.

In 2018, Seventeen is (Almost) Just Another Day

I spent so many years thinking “I can’t go there” that it caught me completely off guard to realize that going there is now routine. Maybe the most charitable way to look at it is resiliency, or that I’m seeing things through the eyes of my child who’s never known any reality but the present one. I'd spent a lot of time wishing that we hadn't been so overwhelmed with response to that day, so much that I hadn''t considered what it would be like when the day passed for so many people with barely a notice at all.

In 2017, Sixteen is Letting Go Again

So, like ten years ago, I’m letting go. Trying not to project my feelings onto this anniversary, just quietly remembering that morning and how it felt. My son asked me a couple of months ago, “I heard there was another World Trade Center before this one?” and I had to find a version of the story that I could share with him. In this telling, losing those towers was unimaginably sad and showed that there are incredibly hurtful people in the world, but there are still so many good people, and they can make wonderful things together.

In 2016 Fifteen is the Past:

I don’t dismiss or deny that so much has gone so wrong in the response and the reaction that our culture has had since the attacks, but I will not forget or diminish the pure openheartedness I witnessed that day. And I will not let the cynicism or paranoia of others draw me in to join them.

What I’ve realized, simply, is that 9/11 is in the past now.

In 2015, Fourteen is Remembering:

For the first time, I clearly felt like I had put the attacks firmly in the past. They have loosened their grip on me. I don’t avoid going downtown, or take circuitous routes to avoid seeing where the towers once stood. I can even imagine deliberately visiting the area to see the new train station.

In 2014, Thirteen is Understanding:

There’s no part of that day that one should ever have to explain to a child, but I realized for the first time this year that, when the time comes, I’ll be ready. Enough time has passed that I could recite the facts, without simply dissolving into a puddle of my own unresolved questions. I look back at past years, at my own observances of this anniversary, and see how I veered from crushingly sad to fiercely angry to tentatively optimistic, and in each of those moments I was living in one part of what I felt. Maybe I’m ready to see this thing in a bigger picture, or at least from a perspective outside of just myself.

From 2013, Twelve is Trying:

I thought in 2001 that some beautiful things could come out of that worst of days, and sure enough, that optimism has often been rewarded. There are boundless examples of kindness and generosity in the worst of circumstances that justify the hope I had for people’s basic decency back then, even if initially my hope was based only on faith and not fact.

But there is also fatigue. The inevitable fading of outrage and emotional devastation into an overworked rhetorical reference point leaves me exhausted. The decay of a brief, profound moment of unity and reflection into a cheap device to be used to prop up arguments about the ordinary, the everyday and the mundane makes me weary. I’m tired from the effort to protect the fragile memory of something horrific and hopeful that taught me about people at their very best and at their very, very worst.

In 2012, Eleven is What We Make:

These are the gifts our children, or all children, give us every day in a million different ways. But they’re also the gifts we give ourselves when we make something meaningful and beautiful. The new World Trade Center buildings are beautiful, in a way that the old ones never were, and in a way that’ll make our fretting over their exorbitant cost seem short-sighted in the decades to come. More importantly, they exist. We made them, together. We raised them in the past eleven years just as surely as we’ve raised our children, with squabbles and mistakes and false starts and slow, inexorable progress toward something beautiful.

In 2011 for the 10th anniversary, Ten is Love and Everything After:

I don’t have any profound insights or political commentary to offer that others haven’t already articulated first and better. All that I have is my experience of knowing what it mean to be in New York City then. And from that experience, the biggest lesson I have taken is that I have the obligation to be a kinder man, a more thoughtful man, and someone who lives with as much passion and sincerity as possible. Those are the lessons that I’ll tell my son some day in the distant future, and they’re the ones I want to remember now.

In 2010, Nine is New New York:

[T]his is, in many ways, a golden era in the entire history of New York City. Over the four hundred years it’s taken for this city to evolve into its current form, there’s never been a better time to walk down the street. Crime is low, without us having sacrificed our personality or passion to get there. We’ve invested in making our sidewalks more walkable, our streets more accommodating of the bikes and buses and taxis that convey us around our town. There’s never been a more vibrant scene in the arts, music or fashion here. And in less than half a decade, the public park where I got married went from a place where I often felt uncomfortable at noontime to one that I wanted to bring together my closest friends and family on the best day of my life. We still struggle with radical inequality, but more people interact with people from broadly different social classes and cultures every day in New York than any other place in America, and possibly than in any other city in the world.

And all of this happened, by choice, in the years since the attacks.

In 2009, Eight Is Starting Over:

[T]his year, I am much more at peace. It may be that, finally, we’ve been called on by our leadership to mark this day by being of service to our communities, our country, and our fellow humans. I’ve been trying of late to do exactly that. And I’ve had a bit of a realization about how my own life was changed by that day.

Speaking to my mother last week, I offhandedly mentioned how almost all of my friends and acquaintances, my entire career and my accomplishments, my ambitions and hopes have all been born since September 11, 2001. If you’ll pardon the geeky reference, it’s as if my life was rebooted that day and in the short period afterwards. While I have a handful of lifelong friends with whom I’ve stayed in touch, most of the people I’m closest to are those who were with me on the day of the attacks or shortly thereafter, and the goals I have for myself are those which I formed in the next days and weeks. i don’t think it’s coincidence that I was introduced to my wife while the wreckage at the site of the towers was still smoldering, or that I resolved to have my life’s work amount to something meaningful while my beloved city was still papered with signs mourning the missing.

In 2008, Seven Is Angry:

Finally getting angry myself, I realize that nobody has more right to claim authority over the legacy of the attacks than the people of New York. And yet, I don’t see survivors of the attacks downtown claiming the exclusive right to represent the noble ambition of Never Forgetting. I’m not saying that people never mention the attacks here in New York, but there’s a genuine awareness that, if you use the attacks as justification for your position, the person you’re addressing may well have lost more than you that day. As I write this, I know that parked out front is the car of a woman who works in my neighborhood. Her car has a simple but striking memorial on it, listing her mother’s name, date of birth, and the date 9/11/2001.

In 2007, Six Is Letting Go:

On the afternoon of September 11th, 2001, and especially on September 12th, I wasn’t only sad. I was also hopeful. I wanted to believe that we wouldn’t just Never Forget that we would also Always Remember. People were already insisting that we’d put aside our differences and come together, and maybe the part that I’m most bittersweet and wistful about was that I really believed it. I’d turned 26 years old just a few days before the attacks, and I realize in retrospect that maybe that moment, as I eased from my mid-twenties to my late twenties, was the last time I’d be unabashedly optimistic about something, even amidst all the sorrow.

In 2006, After Five Years, Failure:

[O]ne of the strongest feelings I came away with on the day of the attacks was a feeling of some kind of hope. Being in New York that day really showed me the best that people can be. As much as it’s become cliché now, there’s simply no other way to describe a display that profound. It was truly a case of people showing their very best nature.

We seem to have let the hope of that day go, though.

In 2005, Four Years:

I saw people who hated New York City, or at least didn’t care very much about it, trying to act as if they were extremely invested in recovering from the attacks, or opining about the causes or effects of the attacks. And to me, my memory of the attacks and, especially, the days afterward had nothing to do with the geopolitics of the situation. They were about a real human tragedy, and about the people who were there and affected, and about everything but placing blame and pointing fingers. It felt thoughtless for everyone to offer their response in a framework that didn’t honor the people who were actually going through the event.

In 2004, Thinking Of You:

I don’t know if it’s distance, or just the passing of time, but I notice how muted the sorrow is. There’s a passivity, a lack of passion to the observances. I knew it would come, in the same way that a friend told me quite presciently that day back in 2001 that “this is all going to be political debates someday” and, well, someday’s already here.

In 2003, Two Years:

I spent a lot of time, too much time, resenting people who were visiting our city, and especially the site of the attacks, these past two years. I’ve been so protective, I didn’t want them to come and get their picture taken like it was Cinderella’s Castle or something. I’m trying really hard not to be so angry about that these days. I found that being angry kept me from doing the productive and important things that really mattered, and kept me from living a life that I know I’m lucky to have.

In 2002, I wrote On Being An American:

[I]n those first weeks, I thought a lot about what it is to be American. That a lot of people outside of New York City might not even recognize their own country if they came to visit. The America that was attacked a year ago was an America where people are as likely to have been born outside the borders of the U.S. as not. Where most of the residents speak another language in addition to English. Where the soundtrack is, yes, jazz and blues and rock and roll, but also hip hop and salsa and merengue. New York has always been where the first fine threads of new cultures work their way into the fabric of America, and the city the bore the brunt of those attacks last September reflected that ideal to its fullest.

In 2001, Thank You:

I am physically fine, as are all my family members and immediate friends. I’ve been watching the footage all morning, I can’t believe I watched the World Trade Center collapse…

I’ve been sitting here this whole morning, choking back tears… this is just too much, too big. I can see the smoke and ash from the street here. I have friends of friends who work there, I was just there myself the day before yesterday. I can’t process this all. I don’t want to.

OH Scale

To access distant parts of the project, I ended up building a regular-scale passenger train inside each rail.

Bright sunlight glints as long dark shadows mark this image of the Bright sunlight glints as long dark shadows mark this image of the


Penchants of the polymaths

Medieval painting of two men riding a donkey, a man is in a window, script beneath, with decorative clouds overhead.

The fathers of Islamic science hold lessons for students: breadth over specialisation, and never let constraints get in the way

- by Mariam Sabri

Read on Aeon

September 10, 2026

We woke up today to news that Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi militants have taken control of the city and seaport of Mocha and much of the shoreline of the Red Sea near the Bab el-Mandeb strait, another chokepoint for world trade including trade in oil. With the Strait of Hormuz largely closed, Saudi Arabia has relied for seagoing transport on the Red Sea route that empties into the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean.

As Diana Roy of the Council on Foreign Relations wrote in July, the Red Sea is one of the most important routes for global shipping. It carries twelve to fifteen percent of the global maritime trade every year, worth about $1 trillion. The waterway extends about 1,400 miles from the Suez Canal—which connects it to the Mediterranean Sea—at the northern end to the Bab El-Mandeb strait in the south.

The Iran-backed Houthis are in a struggle against the Saudi Arabia–backed Yemeni government. A fragile truce has been in place since 2022, but clashes between the two forces have escalated for weeks, and on Tuesday, September 8, Houthi attacks on Saudi targets started fires at oil facilities and wounded more than 70 people.

The Yemeni government told Reuters that Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have guided the Houthi advance, and according to Zachary Cohen, Katie Bo Lillis, and Kylie Atwood of CNN, U.S. officials think that hundreds of IRGC officers are currently in Yemen working with the Houthis to shut down the Bab el-Mandeb. The journalists note that CNN has previously reported that in case U.S. negotiations were unsuccessful, Iran had planned an economic “nuclear option”: closing the Bab el-Mandeb.

Cohen, Lillis, and Atwood reported this afternoon that more than 100 U.S. military advisors are in Saudi Arabia as part of a new joint forces command, providing the Saudis with intelligence and helping them find Houthi targets.

The sources who told the journalists about the joint effort emphasized that the U.S. routinely shares intelligence with the Saudis and that it is neither participating directly in the strikes nor providing operational support. Still, U.S. airstrikes on the Houthis in 2025 killed 153 civilians and wounded 243 others in Yemen in 2025.

The price of oil jumped to $109 a barrel, and U.S. gasoline rose to an average of about $4.28 a gallon. GasBuddy said the national average price of diesel had hit $6.00 for the first time in history. Just a year ago, the national average was about $3.70.

GasBuddy issued a statement, saying: “While gasoline gets the headlines, diesel is the fuel that moves the economy, powering the freight trucks, trains, agricultural equipment, and construction machinery behind nearly everything Americans buy. That means its impact reaches far beyond the transportation sector. As diesel climbs, higher supply chain costs work their way into the price of groceries, household goods, deliveries, and countless other products families rely on every day, even for households that never fuel a diesel vehicle.”

GasBuddy’s head of petroleum analysis, Patrick De Haan, said the new record “will be a particularly painful one for the economy” and is “likely to reignite inflation up and down the supply chain.” He continued: “I suggest Americans anticipate a costlier holiday season, as it appears diesel prices could continue climbing as geopolitical tensions continue to remain a main factor.”

While all this was going on, tonight President Trump attended the second day of his Dallas rally to fire up his base before the midterm elections. There, a video from the Republican National Committee intoned: “And on June 14th, 1946, God looked down on his planned paradise and said, ‘I need a caretaker,’ so God gave us Trump.”

Notes:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/10/houthis-seize-key-port-mocha-yemen-red-sea-coast-iran-saudi-arabia-us

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/09/10/politics/us-military-support-saudi-arabia-houthi-iran-yemen

https://www.npr.org/2026/09/08/g-s1-142296/houthi-attacks-saudi-arabia

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-says-iran-war-end-after-us-midterm-elections-threatens-attack-pickaxe-2026-09-10/

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/business/oil-middle-east-iran-war.html

https://www.gasbuddy.com/go/statement-on-diesel-reaching-6-per-gallon-for-the-first-time-in-history

https://www.cfr.org/articles/another-hormuz-the-red-seas-threat-to-the-global-economy

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/us/politics/us-airstrikes-houthis-civilian-deaths.html

Bluesky:

atrupar.com/post/3mv7ckybguq23

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Tristan Buckmaster’s Statement on Getting Scooped by OpenAI on the Navier-Stokes Problem

Tristan Buckmaster, professor of mathematics at NYU, in his own statement, regarding his and Levent Alpöge’s interactions with employees at OpenAI regarding this week’s math-proof controversy:

I asked when the first prompt had been sent by them. This question was not answered directly by OpenAI for some time. Eventually it was agreed that it had been sent in the past few days, after information about our work had reached OpenAI.

I asked whether the model had been trained on, or had access to, our sessions in Codex, into which we had been putting all our drafts for the whole of this project. I was told the model did not look up user data. I asked again, about training, and I did not get an answer.

Two proposals were offered to me. The first was that we post our Euler result, and that OpenAI post its Navier-Stokes result the next day. The second was that, after posting Euler, I alone write a paper presenting the Navier-Stokes result, acknowledging that an internal OpenAI model had resolved it. Sebastien twice asserted that he wanted Levent removed from authorship, and said it would all be simple if only it were not the case that, and it was so annoying that, Levent works at Anthropic. It was also said that if OpenAI posted after us, they would say that we deserved the Clay Prize, and that we were the “closest humans to the problem”. I declined both offers.

I said that if OpenAI released its result in the way proposed I would go public with what happened. The reply was, “Why would you ruin your career?” I replied that I am an academic, and asked why he thought going public would ruin my career. The reply was, “If you don’t want me to be nice, then I don’t have to be nice.”

“Sebastien” is Sebastien Bubeck, who came to OpenAI by way of Microsoft (shocker).

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